2022 US Mid-Term Elections Thread (election date: Tuesday, 8th November)

Voting reform would not have required breaking the filibuster. They had the energy and moral high ground after Jan 6, and squandered it. A spectacular failure, and baffling. From a purely political stand point, voting reform would benefit the Dems massively, likely securing them Congressional control for the foreseeable future.

It should've been the singular focus for them. The viability of all their other legislative goals flows from there.

Guam looking like a republican win for the first time in 36 years.

Huge on ground turn out should favour gop

Mi ami dade going gop

Yep of course Rubio and DeSantis won't be around forever so it could swing back one day.

This isn't a great start if you are hoping for a Red Wave in the senate, looks like a much more comfortable win for Hasan than some predicted in New Hampshire.

Republican majority on betfair was 1.3 now 1.77 ,,,so still favored but going to be a few close ones!

Yeah I think I referenced their was plenty of Warnock/Kemp voters.

Vance struggling in Ohio and Budd in North Carolina, they should still win comfortably enough as plenty of counting to come but this isn't ideal signs for those all in on a red wave.

Brutal performance by the Republicans all told. The Trump MAGA influence isn't good for the ballot box.

Infighting?

They'll be eating their young.

Trump is done. One and done.

Kevin McCarthy might be too, as House leader. McConnell is big enough to hang on, and move the narrative to the centre ahead of DeSantis24.

But lets be clear, the only issue that was big enough to stall the default position of selfish, greedy American voters was Roe.

This was all about abortion and the 'Red Wave' was held back by Women,many of them traditional Republicans, who though they may never have had so much as a conversation with another living soul about it, despised the USSC for what they did.

For sure, but it does make me laugh seeing people who rightfully call out fox for their bias and then post clips from MSNBC which is an absolute echo chamber for the dem party. There is very little standard old school media where the bias isn't obvious. CNN to their credit are much better than people think, partisan loons on both sides hate them so must be doing something right.

For sure, I think most at the time acknowledged it would but had hoped in the last few weeks that it wasn't such an issue ,,,whoops.

However candidate quality was the big issue here, Abbot signed of a very unpopular and restrictive abortion bill and stomped Beto , DeWine and Kemp also signed off on similar type bills and both did really well outrunning their MAGA Governors on their respective tickets.

They can, but other commentators disagreed that it was.

Its quite widely acknowledged that the Dem base was pretty deflated and rudderless of late. Of course thats not universal, but I do think many of these results are in spite of Democratic national leadership, not because of it.

If the Dems have any sense now, they will use this time to bring in new congressional leadership and put faces out front that reflect young America and will lead a massive effort for the next two years.

If these younger people have been politicised by Roe and the MAGA agenda, holding on to their engagement is the most important job in American politics this decade.

Never a bad day to hear that Trump is stressing himself into an early grave.

One suspects that McConnell/DeSantis will move to bring in all the senior Republicans with them and rule Trump's return out early. Who knows how Trump's legal problems will go, but if they throw him under the bus today, they can focus on the work at hand and it won't matter what happens to Trump between now and November 2024.

Neither of us can do anything other than speculate on that first point. You have no idea who mobilized this vote.

I think you are reading way too much into this. Its pretty normal for someone to throw a quick word of praise at the local campaigners who have had a good night.