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Softening house market?

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  • Administrators Posts: 53,833 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    The banks absolutely did throw money at people. They would phone people up asking if they needed credit!

    Yes, people had to accept it, yes it's their own fault for being foolish, but the banks were not blame free. Not everyone is great with money, when the bank is ringing these people up offering to lend them for a brand new car this was irresponsible. Offering people 100+% mortgages so they could buy a new motor or kit the garden out at the same time was irresponsible.

    It does not negate the point being made that back then houses were being bought with no savings at all.

    Whether the end result of a downturn on the housing market today is the same as 2008 remains to be seen, but the underlying situation in the housing market could barely be any different. It is chalk and cheese.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,394 ✭✭✭Ray Palmer


    The banks give you all the warnings about every loan you take. You as an individual are responsible for your own decisions. If you are bad with money then you are bad at being a grown up. One thing to not earn very much but another to buy what you can't afford on a good wage. How many business offer to sell you something in your life? Do you accept all their offers? No different to when the bank asks you do you want to buy a loan. YOU SAY NO. If you say yes then you are responsible completely. People made the decision to borrow the same way the bought something they couldn't afford.

    There are a lot of people blaming the banks as if they tricked people. They tell you everything when you take out a loan. People acted foolishly themselves. I got the mailers about loans and I think one teller mentioned loans to me directly. I just didn't take up the offer. Nobody forced them they made a decision and many didn't think about.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,192 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    There was a climate or a culture of borrowing to the excess. This was heavily promoted by the banks on all media.

    I get that people should have full awareness of their own situation, but you can't blame people 100% for getting carried away by the fever. Remember the loan ads that were run in the mid 2000s?

    Need a place to get laid? Buy a house! (100% mortgages from Bank of Ireland)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T_URy6gEijg



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,289 ✭✭✭alwald


    Consumer protection wasn't as big and as well regulated as it is now. The 08 crash resulted in a lot of regulations being put in place, including all the warnings you are referring to.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,689 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I'm in the same age-bracket. Many of my cousins / friends / colleagues are trying to settle down. Some of them have, but others have not. I actually have two friends who are single again because their long-term relationship fell apart. Both of them have told me that an inability to find accommodation was a major factor.

    Honestly, it does sometimes feel like we're a cursed generation. Speaking for myself, I graduated in 2010 and spend five years doing crumby jobs. I didn't get to earn good money until I was nearly 30. I happen to not want a family, but if I did, it wouldn't really be an option. How many people of our age have put their lives on hold (again)?

    Anyways, there's little that we can do about it. The state and the older generations don't seem to care as long as their pensions are paid...



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    What is it that you think the state should do to help you? Other than say, affordable homes, help to buy, local authority home loans etc that allow people who would otherwise not be able to buy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,689 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I don't want anything from the state whatsoever. What I would like is to see the state stay out of the market, and cease its tinkering. It is relying on the state as if its some sort of parent that has lead us to where we are now.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    Well, I would agree with that. I don't think the state should be subsidising the accumulation of assets.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,394 ✭✭✭Ray Palmer


    Really can you point to the changes? I remember all the warnings before you claim they existed and I don't know of what was introduced about signing a loan like you say. Are you talking about some slight changes to advertisement and promotions?that customer protection was

    Not sure why you think customer protection was so lax. What I do remember is the amount of people lying on their applications for mortgages



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,289 ✭✭✭alwald


    I never said they didn't exist nor did I say they were lax. I said that regulators started to focus more on them since 08 and as a result they are greatly enhanced now than ever before.

    Quick Google will give you a full list, not only regarding banks and loans but also insurance, pension, investments...



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,949 ✭✭✭Dr Turk Turkelton


    If the state was to stop tinkering in the market would it not be up to the banks to decide themselves how many times salary to loan ratio is applied?

    For instance if they had a guy who was a sure fire bet to be an earner for his working life they could give him ten times salary?



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,812 ✭✭✭straight


    The self pity of your generation is overdone and driven by media and other interested political parties and the like trying to profit from it. Look to the generations before you that were sent to world wars, my parents bought in the seventies and they hadn't a penny, it was a big deal to have central heating and an indoor toilet . I bought in the Celtic tiger, house value fell to half and nobody gave a sh1t. Stuck in negative equity and still below the price I paid for it in 2006. Only through hard work, sacrifice and effort I managed to build another house in 2013. People now want all the bells and whistles but don't want to pay for it. Fur coat and no knickers mentality.



  • Registered Users Posts: 171 ✭✭Beigepaint




  • Registered Users Posts: 4,812 ✭✭✭straight


    More excuses. Plenty value out there. I see plenty houses in cork and limerick cities for under 250k.



  • Registered Users Posts: 24 igord


    One thing I see happening first hand is people strongly considering moving out of Ireland and cashing in on their properties they bought in last 5-10 years. With today's prices they are in s good position to close the mortgage and have a small profit. Also with redundancies looming across the tech sector double cash injection is looking as an opportunity to them. Don’t know if the numbers are high enough to reverse property prices but in my circle there is a good amount that are considering the option.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,018 ✭✭✭Jonnyc135


    While I won't overly disagree and there is some of that going on but for the most part it's not. We have successful people earning good wages and are priced out of the market. A gard and a nurse back in the seventies would have been blue chip jobs and would have guaranteed that household a modest living. That couple now especially if the are living in Dublin wouldn't have a pot to piss in. The would have realistically a very low probability of saving a deposit in their 20s as their wages would not be high enough until the incremental yearly increases get you to a higher wage in your early 30s. I feel sorry for these people.

    Do I feel sorry for someone in a great high paying job and during their 20s the pissed alot of money away travelling here there and everywhere for istaworthy photos and in return have no saving for deposit and because of this excess lifestyle they are accostomed too their become incapable of saving, absolutely not.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    The banks have shown themselves to completely incapable of self regulation last time. That is the reason for the LTI restrictions. I don't think anyone wants a completely unregulated market. The banks should have to meet capital requirements etc. The houses/apartments need to be built to a certain standard.

    All that is completely different to giving FTB 30k towards a property purchase, or allowing special chosen ones to purchase properties at below market value subsidised by the state.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,192 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    With the exception of Facebook (meta shambles) Twitter (Musk shambles) and Stripe (expansion shambles), there have not been many rumblings of job losses. I would say a lot of it is fearmongering.

    I would only be worried if we start seeing previously profitable tech companies shedding long time staff and blaming the economy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,273 ✭✭✭The Spider


    Well there are a few others in fairness, the likes of zen desk and sales force, although personally I see this as bandwagon jumping, bigger concern is companies trying to roll back remote working, as that was giving a release valve to the Dublin property market, if these guys start looking for people to come back in there’ll be big trouble.

    I know a few people in Twitter and they were essentially told they could work from home forever before the whole Musk scenario, now some of them are ok because they’re earning really good money and are in commuter towns or suburbs of Dublin their other halves don’t work, so they can readjust. But there’s a whole other cohort who moved out of Dublin to Sligo, Galway, Cork etc, they’re on ok wages, their other halves work, but on the back of being told they can work from home forever, they cancelled child care etc, so their kids come home from school around 4, do their own thing while they’re working, and obviously they drop them to school.

    Now Musk has demanded people back in the office its untenable for those people even if they managed to commute, gong that distance 5 days a week will cost you around 360 a week in petrol, let alone time away from family, I’m going to assume the food is still free in the office so they don’t have to pay for that, childcare if they could somehow get it would be around another 3-400 a week depending on how many kids ages etc.

    so that’s an extra 3 grand a month for the pleasure of working in Twitter, I don’t need to tell you that these guys are seeing solicitors in terms of whether what Musk is doing is legal because there’s no way they can do it

    Post edited by The Spider on


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,192 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    Musk can say what he wants about US employees, there's a world of difference between US labour laws and ours.

    It will be interesting to see how it plays out and whether other companies jump on this bandwagon as well!



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,735 ✭✭✭pinksoir


    It'll be interesting to see how it plays out. A lot of those working in "tech" are not actually involved in the tech (i.e. engineering, product development etc) side but rather in stuff like advertising (social media etc), HR, sales and multi lingual sales, "customer success" (whatever that even means), and other fluff.

    Some will find jobs in other companies (may or may not be tech) if/when they are **** canned, but many will not as the jobs aren't there, and those that do will likely be taking a considerable pay cut. There's still a huge demand for engineering/design/ux roles, as these are not restricted to "tech" companies. And man, is it hard to find good candidates for those.

    It was obvious there was a slowdown on the cards as soon as there was a pandemic, it's difficult to comprehend how this wasn't seen by the companies themselves, but rather infinite growth into the future and thus a massive hiring drive all round. I suppose everyone just drank the cool aid.

    It's a bit like the pre crash housing market, only with tech companies.

    Hopefully doesn't damage the employment figures and economy too badly, I genuinely don't see it doing so. Particularly as so many of the roles were filled by foreign labour which will either get another job (good luck if you're on a sponsored visa) or head off.

    But I do see a small but significant fall in higher paid labour (that needs to be housed) which will no doubt affect housing availability albeit in a limited way.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,568 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Nobody is .Ali g excuses for personnel responsibility however it was so easy to get money in the noughties it was crazy.

    One local lad without an ''ar5e in his pants '' as the expression goes was interested in buying a small pub/hotel ( that commercial travellers used to use pre the noughties) he came out of the bank with the money for the hotel and for a huge house that was for sale in the area as well, he borrowed a million plus

    In 2010/12 he walked away from the whole lot and went abroad. Personal responsibility only protects the public so far. Regulations protect other individuals from the irresponsibility of others.

    TBH if you had a head on your shoulders, did not over borrow and kept away from property it was a great opportunity if you managed to have cash in hand going into the 2012-2014 period.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,689 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I entered the working world in an extremely depressed economy, and I struggled for years to find a decent job. I didn't earn good money until I was in my early 30s (I'm 36 now). I didn't travel the world or splurge on gadgets and gizmos. I saved what I could, tried to invest in things I knew a lot about and generally tried to improve my lot. I have received no help from my parents as they don't have a lot to give. Am I typical of my generation? I don't know, but I can assure you that many of us a not soy-latte chugging hipsters who walked into a 100k a year job out of college.

    Regarding those who bought at the height of the Celtic Tiger, I actually think that something SHOULD have been done to help such people, but I'm glad that you managed to pull yourself out of debt.

    I don't want anything handed to me. All that I want is the opportunity to work hard and lay down roots that I can pass down to my godson. As it is, it seems that for an ever increasing proportion of younger people, the future is perpetually paying rent to prop up someone else's investment fund.



  • Registered Users Posts: 171 ✭✭Beigepaint


    Many of the late 50s/ early 60s users of this forum only know a handful of wasteful rich kids (perhaps their neighbours and friend’s children and grandchildren) and think this is representative of the age cohort.

    If only you were literate enough to understand how your generation screwed mine, grandad.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,958 ✭✭✭cute geoge


    What I can not understand is people renting houses for years and then complaining about the buying prices of a house .Did they all miss the day at school when the teacher told us that 'rent was dead money'



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,812 ✭✭✭straight


    Best of luck with it all lad. I remember when I started working in 1999 for 12500k pounds a year. I was paying 300 pounds a month rent sharing a house with 4 other pissheads. Great times and that's what your 20's are for. Houses kept doubling in price and we were all saying they have to fall, It can't continue. Most of my friends settled down and bought houses with their girlfriends at the peak of the boom, lost jobs then, negative equity, stuck in a house in the wrong place, etc. No generation has it easy. It's just easy when you look back sometimes it seemed easy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 398 ✭✭jimmybobbyschweiz


    Rents peaked at crazy high levels the last couple of years and considering, for me, the rental market has inflated the whole property market, we are beyond the peak for the whole market.

    Rents at €2k pm for a one bed are the absolute maximum possible without extreme wage inflation for workers who rent them.

    To see the property market keep climbing from here is to also see rents climb from here; 1 bed for €2.5k pm? Absolutely not.

    A 1 bed for €2k pm plummeting to €1.4k pm? Definitely possible. There is scope for a big correction in the market for sure; watch the rental market closely as demand for expensive rentals has dried up, aided by tech sector contraction and the cost of living crisis.



  • Registered Users Posts: 149 ✭✭Eclectic Econometrics


    I read your post and almost immediately saw this on Twitter https://twitter.com/balinares/status/1591403431616446465

    I looked at the thread again and Musk responded, hence the edit - https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1591580235132465153



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,407 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    The problem which these people don't realise, is that for the market to crash, they themselves have to be excluded too



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,273 ✭✭✭The Spider


    Ha yeah I saw that thread Musk seems to be under the illusion that he can fire Willy Nilly in Ireland.

    Not so Musk old chap, if you want someone out you have to put them on a pip and before you do that you have to have evidence that they haven’t achieved the goals assigned to them, if you don’t have that no pip.

    Also there has to be a series of warnings before the pip.

    when you put them on a pip the goals have to be achievable within a 40 hour week, also they can’t be humiliating.

    if they achieve all the goals it’s back to square one, and even if they don’t you leave yourself open to unfair dismissals still, as a dismissal in Ireland is automatically considered unfair.

    why do release of claims forms exist, a company can talk to an employee and ask them to sign a form that they won’t claim against the company, but the employee is required to get legal advice before they sign.

    Needless to say that’s a pretty expensive signature.

    The normal route a company takes when making redundancies is to look for voluntary redundancies, by paying over and above the odds to get as many to volunteer as possible, in fact ideal world they want the whole company to volunteer, because that removes all legal impediments and they can pick and choose who they want to go.

    if someone doesn’t volunteer and they’re made redundant then it’s automatically considered an unfair dismissal

    Post edited by The Spider on


This discussion has been closed.
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