Autumn 2022 - General Discussion

The latest GFS is a horror show for the next 10 days, non stop low pressures coming straight for Ireland, by the end of November it could be 10 straight weeks of strong wind and rain with maybe 3 separate dry or calm days in that whole period if even. I can't ever remember a period like that, 3 weeks is common but it usually backs off for a while before a reload of energy comes out of North America. Its like every bit of energy in the Northern Hemisphere is on a conveyer belt between Newfoundland and Ireland.

I'm talking about West Mayo, it has rained almost every day since Sept 21st on the west coast, maybe 3 dry days in that whole time and they were spread out, the wind has not relented since that day either and almost entirely from the south or west, no crazy storm but most days above 30-40kmph and plenty of days in the 60-110kmph range.

We're well used to lots of wind of course, what's unusual is to get an unrelenting 10 weeks of southwesterlys, usually you'd have a mix of all points of the compass, a week of north winds, some east wind for a few days and prob 60-70% south and west.

The rain of course has been anomalous, but it's been even worse in Cork and Kerry, the rain is never a big problem here by the coast, showers pass by very quickly, but low lying areas that don't typically flood untill the groundwater rises in late December or January have been flooded for weeks around here now.

It has been annoying as we don't associate Autumn with weather that prevents you from going outside but literally every single day has been too wet for outdoor activity. And the pattern doesn't seem like it will change, 2 more weeks of strong lows coming.

I was replying to the poster above you but yes, good chance with this setup in Wicklow, you could see very little rain and lots of warm weather too, it's just an annoying pattern for the west and south, it would be great if the jet stream would just point anywhere else for a while 🙂

This is the GFS for West Mayo for end of Sept to present, dry and calm are not how I'd describe it! Heavy rain most days and moderate-strong gusts a lot of the time, not complaining about the weather, just noting how unusual it is to be in one pattern for so long without change

Although as per username I’m a snow, cold weather person, if we’re not getting that for now this mild is great for drying clothes and no heat on!

Heavy rain since 5am on the west coast, only cleared in the last hour, strong winds all morning too. There's a few hours respite tomorrow then according to met.ie continuous rain for the next 7 days.

I would have thought Galway and Mayo will get the strongest winds, and maybe the bulk of the rain

We have just moved to a new area and I don’t know if our old house was just very sheltered but it’s been so windy here the last few weeks.

Highest gust of 93kmph recorded at Roches Point so firmly in yellow territory at the moment. Mean speeds touching 65 which is the boundary between yellow and orange.

A few fairly intense bands of wind and rain just passing over South Wicklow the past 90 minutes or so but the worst of it seems to be clearing to the Irish sea now.