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Softening house market?

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,735 ✭✭✭pinksoir


    It'll be interesting to see how it plays out. A lot of those working in "tech" are not actually involved in the tech (i.e. engineering, product development etc) side but rather in stuff like advertising (social media etc), HR, sales and multi lingual sales, "customer success" (whatever that even means), and other fluff.

    Some will find jobs in other companies (may or may not be tech) if/when they are **** canned, but many will not as the jobs aren't there, and those that do will likely be taking a considerable pay cut. There's still a huge demand for engineering/design/ux roles, as these are not restricted to "tech" companies. And man, is it hard to find good candidates for those.

    It was obvious there was a slowdown on the cards as soon as there was a pandemic, it's difficult to comprehend how this wasn't seen by the companies themselves, but rather infinite growth into the future and thus a massive hiring drive all round. I suppose everyone just drank the cool aid.

    It's a bit like the pre crash housing market, only with tech companies.

    Hopefully doesn't damage the employment figures and economy too badly, I genuinely don't see it doing so. Particularly as so many of the roles were filled by foreign labour which will either get another job (good luck if you're on a sponsored visa) or head off.

    But I do see a small but significant fall in higher paid labour (that needs to be housed) which will no doubt affect housing availability albeit in a limited way.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,472 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Nobody is .Ali g excuses for personnel responsibility however it was so easy to get money in the noughties it was crazy.

    One local lad without an ''ar5e in his pants '' as the expression goes was interested in buying a small pub/hotel ( that commercial travellers used to use pre the noughties) he came out of the bank with the money for the hotel and for a huge house that was for sale in the area as well, he borrowed a million plus

    In 2010/12 he walked away from the whole lot and went abroad. Personal responsibility only protects the public so far. Regulations protect other individuals from the irresponsibility of others.

    TBH if you had a head on your shoulders, did not over borrow and kept away from property it was a great opportunity if you managed to have cash in hand going into the 2012-2014 period.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,650 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I entered the working world in an extremely depressed economy, and I struggled for years to find a decent job. I didn't earn good money until I was in my early 30s (I'm 36 now). I didn't travel the world or splurge on gadgets and gizmos. I saved what I could, tried to invest in things I knew a lot about and generally tried to improve my lot. I have received no help from my parents as they don't have a lot to give. Am I typical of my generation? I don't know, but I can assure you that many of us a not soy-latte chugging hipsters who walked into a 100k a year job out of college.

    Regarding those who bought at the height of the Celtic Tiger, I actually think that something SHOULD have been done to help such people, but I'm glad that you managed to pull yourself out of debt.

    I don't want anything handed to me. All that I want is the opportunity to work hard and lay down roots that I can pass down to my godson. As it is, it seems that for an ever increasing proportion of younger people, the future is perpetually paying rent to prop up someone else's investment fund.



  • Registered Users Posts: 171 ✭✭Beigepaint


    Many of the late 50s/ early 60s users of this forum only know a handful of wasteful rich kids (perhaps their neighbours and friend’s children and grandchildren) and think this is representative of the age cohort.

    If only you were literate enough to understand how your generation screwed mine, grandad.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,948 ✭✭✭cute geoge


    What I can not understand is people renting houses for years and then complaining about the buying prices of a house .Did they all miss the day at school when the teacher told us that 'rent was dead money'



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,751 ✭✭✭straight


    Best of luck with it all lad. I remember when I started working in 1999 for 12500k pounds a year. I was paying 300 pounds a month rent sharing a house with 4 other pissheads. Great times and that's what your 20's are for. Houses kept doubling in price and we were all saying they have to fall, It can't continue. Most of my friends settled down and bought houses with their girlfriends at the peak of the boom, lost jobs then, negative equity, stuck in a house in the wrong place, etc. No generation has it easy. It's just easy when you look back sometimes it seemed easy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 398 ✭✭jimmybobbyschweiz


    Rents peaked at crazy high levels the last couple of years and considering, for me, the rental market has inflated the whole property market, we are beyond the peak for the whole market.

    Rents at €2k pm for a one bed are the absolute maximum possible without extreme wage inflation for workers who rent them.

    To see the property market keep climbing from here is to also see rents climb from here; 1 bed for €2.5k pm? Absolutely not.

    A 1 bed for €2k pm plummeting to €1.4k pm? Definitely possible. There is scope for a big correction in the market for sure; watch the rental market closely as demand for expensive rentals has dried up, aided by tech sector contraction and the cost of living crisis.



  • Registered Users Posts: 148 ✭✭Eclectic Econometrics


    I read your post and almost immediately saw this on Twitter https://twitter.com/balinares/status/1591403431616446465

    I looked at the thread again and Musk responded, hence the edit - https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1591580235132465153



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,352 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    The problem which these people don't realise, is that for the market to crash, they themselves have to be excluded too



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,273 ✭✭✭The Spider


    Ha yeah I saw that thread Musk seems to be under the illusion that he can fire Willy Nilly in Ireland.

    Not so Musk old chap, if you want someone out you have to put them on a pip and before you do that you have to have evidence that they haven’t achieved the goals assigned to them, if you don’t have that no pip.

    Also there has to be a series of warnings before the pip.

    when you put them on a pip the goals have to be achievable within a 40 hour week, also they can’t be humiliating.

    if they achieve all the goals it’s back to square one, and even if they don’t you leave yourself open to unfair dismissals still, as a dismissal in Ireland is automatically considered unfair.

    why do release of claims forms exist, a company can talk to an employee and ask them to sign a form that they won’t claim against the company, but the employee is required to get legal advice before they sign.

    Needless to say that’s a pretty expensive signature.

    The normal route a company takes when making redundancies is to look for voluntary redundancies, by paying over and above the odds to get as many to volunteer as possible, in fact ideal world they want the whole company to volunteer, because that removes all legal impediments and they can pick and choose who they want to go.

    if someone doesn’t volunteer and they’re made redundant then it’s automatically considered an unfair dismissal

    Post edited by The Spider on


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,526 ✭✭✭kaymin


    ^^^^ most of this is wrong or n/a - As an employer, if you no longer need someone in a particular job you may be entitled to make a redundancy. This could be because your organisation is closing or becoming smaller or because you have less work available. You should be able to show that the job in question will no longer exist in order for a redundancy to be genuine.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,273 ✭✭✭The Spider


    Ha no it’s not, all very accurate been involved in a few redundancies at this stage, only applies to people who have more than a years service it has to be said.

    If you are making a redundancy it’s the position not the person that’s redundant, so you can’t drop a software engineer and hire another one, if you make the job redundant the job is gone, and restrictions on rehiring apply.

    to your point it’s essentially about jobs no longer existing and that’s fair enough that’s a reason for redundancy, but there has to be a months consultation,he hadn’t done that and it’s debatable as to whether the jobs are required or not it seems a bit scattergun, he’s absolutely open to unfair dismissals across the board, he didn’t follow procedure.

    Post edited by The Spider on


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,650 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I agree. However, at this stage it's a choice between one's knowing that they will never own a house or praying for a crash and hoping the one is not among those who face financial ruin. It's not a good place to be.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,331 ✭✭✭landofthetree


    Even in the worst of times 80%+ will still have a job.


    I know loads of people who were first time buyers after the last crash.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,172 ✭✭✭OEP


    I believe they are following the proper procedures, just because Musk says something - it doesn't mean that's what is happening behind the scenes



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,352 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    It was very hard to get credit after the last crash. That's what limits people's ability to buy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,273 ✭✭✭The Spider


    I know a few people in there, a shitshow by all accounts, and it’s pretty much what you think happened, happened.

    No consultation period, people locked out of their computers randomly picked people, all the head guys quitting.

    no two ways about it he tried the American way here, there’ll be unfair dismissal claims all over the place because the payoff is terrible, gardening leave for three months (a lot of people have three month notice periods anyway this would be pretty standard) and then just two months salary.

    a lot will go for unfair dismissals claims, like I say normally a company looks for voluntary redundancy or to go for the ‘package’ because it makes it easier, much harder to argue unfair dismissal if you put up your hand to get the money.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,090 ✭✭✭Royale with Cheese


    Put a bid in admittedly a fair bit under the asking, got told this was an "insult". I pointed out it had been on the market for months with no offers but this didn't matter because "we'll get there". I was preparing another vastly improved bid but eventually got told to offer the asking or extremely close to it or basically fúck off. No softening according to this estate agent anyway.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,217 ✭✭✭Claw Hammer


    One swallow doesn't make a summer. One thick vendor soesn't make a market. What I notice is that Bidx1 has an enormous number of properties listed as "available". That indicates they properties failed to meet the reserve at auction. I haven't seen anything like this number of "availables" after a Bidx1 auction before. There used to be just a sprinkling, now there seem to be pages.



  • Registered Users Posts: 171 ✭✭Beigepaint


    A couple of years ago I was living in England, after a years there I moved home and brought my car home, which I had paid about £4000 for in around 2014.

    I vrtd it and drove it for about a year but I didn’t really need it and the tax was nearly €700 so decided to get rid of it and get something cheaper to run.

    I put it up on done deal for €3500 for a quick sale - I knew it was worth around €4000 but I wanted to get rid of it quick. The ad sat on donedeal for about a month with no calls or texts.

    I knew the car was worth €4000 and the pictures were good - there was no issue with the ad.

    The sellers you mentioned are here.

    They know the house is worth €x even though not a single person wants to buy it at that price.

    The next stage in my car selling journey was when I dropped the price to €3000 (with no interest) and then a few weeks later to €2500 (with no interest) and then €2000 when it finally sold.

    The estate agent will be learning a bit more about insults over the next few months.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,650 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    An aunt of mine has had a ruin of a house in the West on the market for nearly 18 months at this stage. The house needs at least 100k of work to make it livable, but she has it on the market for the price of what a perfectly good house in the same town would sell for. Some people are just delusional as to what they can sell something for.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,090 ✭✭✭Royale with Cheese


    The house next door which is admittedly in worse nick sold for 900 after going sale agreed back in June. They appear to be extremely hung up on that, and not the fact they've had little to no interest in months.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,667 ✭✭✭Allinall


    It all depends on who is selling and why.

    If it’s an investor cashing out, they will wait for the right price or just not sell.



  • Registered Users Posts: 171 ✭✭Beigepaint


    In a falling market, the right time to sell is immediately.



  • Registered Users Posts: 244 ✭✭FedoraTheAura


    I placed a bid on a property about 2 months ago, above asking price. Others submitted bids and a bidding war began.

    I kept an eye on the online platform and it went sale agreed. A couple of weeks later the sale agreed price had dropped quite a bit, I imagine the highest bidder pulled out.

    Now it’s back up for sale again.

    Interesting, whether people are finding they can’t get finance or are backing away to see what the market will do…



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,667 ✭✭✭Allinall


    Not true.

    in a falling market it can often be better to hold, rather than sell.

    Don’t forget, the rental market isn’t falling.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,650 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Bidding wars are not born from reason. I've seen a few of them start on houses that I've looked at, but I never got involved. The worst that I personally saw came from that benighted entity known as Auctionera. A house across the road from my mother (Dublin 5) went sale agreed at about 150k over its original asking price of 500k. It's now back on the market with another estate agent for 500k again.

    I think that these fall through because the "winners" of these particular rat races come off the highs of adrenaline and realise that paying that much over the odds for something is perhaps not the wisest thing to do.

    In my opinion, there needs to be some sort of regulation to prevent these bidding wars. If they want bids, an auction is always an option, but just taking "bids" from someone who may not even have the finance to follow up on the offer is simply a despicable way to do business.



  • Registered Users Posts: 244 ✭✭FedoraTheAura


    The property I was talking about was actually with Auctioneera.

    I think there’s a lot of problems with online platforms. Agents say it’s to streamline the process but it also changes the process for the bidder. It becomes almost like a game.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,202 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    I am getting ready to put an offer on a house in tomorrow just like you did and I am prepared to be rejected. But honestly, I know that is what is worth in the current market and won't budge. It won't be this one, another one will come. Plenty of fish in the sea.

    Living the life



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,202 ✭✭✭herbalplants


    You are wrong, Auctioneera vets the bidders, they are required to lodge documents in order to open an account and bid.

    It is true something went wrong after, possible.

    Living the life



This discussion has been closed.
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