Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

"Green" policies are destroying this country

Options
16046056076096101067

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 15,126 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    A recent poll here showed 43% in favour of nuclear with 43% opposed and 60% of those 18 -24 were in favour. Here just a day or two ago showed the change in the numbers in Poland from being opposed to being in favour. a change in legislation is just a stoke of a minister`s pen. Design would not take years. The basic plans are there already from others that are being built, so rather than a few tweeks it should not be a problem. Greens have changed the permission for offshore and have changed it onshore as well for solar, so if the will is there then permission does not seem to be a problem.

    I`m not saying we will eventually go down the nuclear road, but the one we are talking about now with offshore, even from the little we know is horrendously expensive and no guarantee it would even work. I believe it makes more sense to put the figures for both offshore and nuclear out there and let the people decide rather than being 10 years down the road with the economy in bits and electricity prices through the roof.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Speaking of which, can you imagine any nuclear power allowing Sinn Féin access to nuclear tech/materials, the thought honestly makes me chuckle



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,126 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    How often do I have to point out that the strike price it is not going to be double. it`s going to be much higher.

    The ESB plan is 50% domestic, 50% hydrogen to ensure we have 100% of our needs from renewables. There is no figure in the ESB plan for the sale of hydrogen.

    renewables, similar to your point about oil platforms, have reached the economy of scale where costs are concerned. You have only to look at Siemens, Vesta and General Electric end of year reports to see that. General Electric is predicting a loss of $2 billion from their renewables unit and Vestra are selling turbines for 8% below cost.

    If nuclear costs without the financing are meaningless, where does that leave the 30 Gigawatt offshore plan that isn`t even costed ?

    Of again I see on everything associated with green plans will come in on cost, even though we do not know the cost, on time and do exactly what it is being guessed at to do, while anything else is the complete opposite. No wonder a poster here termed it hopium.



  • Registered Users Posts: 125 ✭✭Kincora2017


    “a few tweaks”! Haha!

    Not trying to be patronising but the first report recommending the new Childrens hospital was published in 2005. 17 years later and it’s still not finished and god only knows what it’ll cost. Now imagine it’s a Nuclear plant at Tarbert or wherever you’re trying to get built.

    Its impossible to put a cost on a nuclear solution for Ireland because currently it’d be impossible to get it built. And by the time public opinion may have softened and the will is there, renewables will have had another X years of development.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,273 ✭✭✭xxxxxxl


    What development wind turbines are a pretty mature technology building bigger seems the only thing that is being done.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 1,732 ✭✭✭ginger22




  • Registered Users Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    Completely oblivious to the fact that a far more dangerous idealogue in Rip Van Ryan is running around the country trying to tax the shïté out or ban anything he can get his hands on that doesn't argee with his world view. A world view I may add that would have landed someone in the loony bin not so long ago. That fella thinks the world is literally going to go up in flames.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,163 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    You have totally avoided my question.

    How much has been spend per GW/h on fossil fuels compared to renewable sources, since year zero?

    Your argument is all based on comparing centuries old tech to relatively new renewable tech, its an asinine argument tbh.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,163 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    Is it just the ESB doing renewables in Ireland?



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,163 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    Well if we are going to become net exporters of energy then it would behoove us to improve our grid and interconnectors where needed right?

    Did the Saudis look at their oil and do nothing or do they focus on exporting it to the rest of the world?

    And if you are going to use planning objections as a reason why we cant improve the grid yet ignore them when building a bloody nuclear power plant and waste facility I'm not going to take you very seriously.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 27,163 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    Whats the finite bit with renewables?

    The sun?

    The wind?

    The sea?

    Your objections?



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    I'm not ignoring planning when it comes to Nuclear. In fact, I've already clearly stated it's a major issue.

    Planning is a major issue for any large infrastructure project in this country. We have a crazy situation where a handful of objectors go around and delay almost every single large scale project in the country. So, if we want to get to net zero (which is a daft idea because it's not technically possible but whatever) then before we even think about massive grid improvements or hydrogen facilities or new offshore/onshore farms we need to tackle that first. The efforts made to data do nothing IMO to improve the planning process. It's a complete farce in this country.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    We have a crazy situation where a handful of objectors go around and delay almost every single large scale project in the country

    That's a common misconception with little basis in truth. There is one famous objector, Sweetman, who only challenges based on non-adherence to the requirements laid out by environmental regulations. The fact that he has something like a 90%+ win rate should show that its not him that is the problem.

    The efforts made to data do nothing IMO to improve the planning process.

    Don't worry, rather than staffing the relevant depts and entities to allow for challenges to be heard and decided within 2-3 months, the Housing Minister Burke is instead putting forward legislation to strip rights away from the public to prevent participation in the planning and legal process.

    We've seen how well this worked out with the SHD process which leapfrogged the local councils forcing objectors to have no avenue except the High Court to lodge objections, resulting in the majority of approved SHD developments being quashed. An absolute farce.

    On the plus side, Burkes legislation is already slated to be challenged as far as the EU courts as it contravenes the Aarhus Convention and right to justice in environmental matters affecting the public so its not going to be in place long anyway.

    Maybe when it gets killed in the courts they'll finally staff the planning depts, courts etc and we'll all see things improve.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,126 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    No I told you where you could find the relevant figures but you have been either too lazy to do so, or you didn`t like what they showed.

    My argument is based on a technology we know can deliver the requirements and the cost for that, compared to a technology we not only do not know if it will work but nobody that favors it has a clue as to what it would cost.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,126 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Do you know of any plan other than that of the ESB 30 Gigawatt offshore plan for 100% renewable energy ?



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,126 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    You need to read what I actually said. There is no technology to harness any of those that does not include finite elements.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    He absolutely is part of the problem. He even admits to objecting to projects he just doesn't like.

    So we have a ridiculous situation where we are looking to build incredible amounts of new infrastructure due to a climate and environmental "emergency" yet it's environmental regulations that are grinding everything to halt. Make that makes sense.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Apparently the ESB have a "plan" but it doesn't exist or its a secret or something because nobody except one poster here seems to be aware of it

    Supposedly the cost of the whole thing is going on to the national debt too, but again no evidence to support that claim either



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,126 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Nuclear plants are pretty much standard design as are reactors nowadays. A 1.1 Gigawatt reactor here would be no different to a 1.1 reactor in Poland

    We can come much closer to knowing the price of nuclear here than we can for a totally un-costed ESB plan. Poland`s 6.6 Gigawatt nuclear from Westinghouse is $31.1 Bn. The offshore section alone of the ESB plan to deliver the same domestic supply is anywhere between €83 - €120 Bn. A nuclear plant will operate for 60 years, whereas the offshore plan will have at least one total replacement of turbines during that time, so in today`s money a further €83 - €120 Bn. And that is without all the associated costs of hydrogen, again unknown, that would not be required with nuclear

    I do not get why this whole mad rush to spent unknown billions on something we do not know if it will actually work to the scale required, where financially we have only one shot at getting it right.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,163 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    Again missing the point. The figures you keep sharing are for current and proposed builds, I am asking you for everything that was ever invested in these non renewable sources, since day 0.

    Your argument is comparing what renewables produce today vs what nuclear and fossil sources produced today, I'm pointing out that this is an unfair and pointless comparison since one is a much newer tech that the other. If you compare the total money invested in fossil and nuclear vs their current output with the total invested in renewables and their output you will see which is a pipe dream and which is actually an efficient use of cash.



  • Advertisement
  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    yet it's environmental regulations that are grinding everything to halt. Make that makes sense.

    Simple, its non-adherence to those regulations, as I said.

    If the reg's say you must do X, Y & Z and you (as a developer) only do X, then you shouldn't be surprised to see a challenge on your failure to do Y & Z and for the courts to rule against you

    Its pretty straightforward really



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The end of a dirty era, good riddance

    The peat burning station in Lanesboro was shut in 2020 following 62 years of electricity production.

    The demolition of the Lough Ree Power Station has been approved by Longford County Council.

    To be replaced by BESS and a Synchronous Condenser



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    Neither of which will generate a lick of electricity.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    The regs need to be relaxed then. It's either an emergency or it's not.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,163 ✭✭✭✭GreeBo


    When its built and operational we can compare its cost vs its output you mean.

    A nuclear plant might exist for 60 years, it certainly wont be operational and producing its designated output for 60 years, as evidenced by pretty much every nuclear plant there has ever been.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Those caught speeding say the same about traffic laws



  • Registered Users Posts: 125 ✭✭Kincora2017


    Look, I’m not going to pretend to know everything there is to know on the technology side of both nuclear and renewables.

    But, taking your Poland example, tenders were received on that in late 2021 (according to the internet), and it is scheduled to be completed by 2033. So that’s a best-case 12 year process from the project going up on OEJU for procurement to construction. It doesn’t take into account any delays in construction, which have been documented throughout this thread as being common.

    Given where we stand currently with zero legislative and regulatory infrastructure in third country for nuclear, do you honestly think the price you’ve quoted (31m) would be anyway comparable to what an actual cost might be if we ever to even get to a tender process? What are we supposed to do in the meantime while we wait for this nuclear reactor to be built? Keep on burning coal? We have actual targets for 2030 that we have to meet. If we go down the nuclear route 2030 will be long gone before we’re even out of planning. We might not even have a regulative body operational in that time.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,126 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I have no idea what point you are attempting to make.

    For a start we have no idea how much has been spent on renewables to get them to today`s level.

    The point you keep attempting to avoid is we now knw just a little about what the plan for here is with renewables, and for just the offshore section the cost will be anywhere between €83Bn and €120 Bn which would require the same investment again within the lifetime of a nuclear plant that would deliver the same capacity, if it even actually works, as the $31.1 Bn price for the price Poland has agreed to pay Westinghouse, and that was not even the cheapest price.

    This offshore plan also includes hydrogen costs on top that we have no idea off which would not be required using nuclear as nuclear has a rolling capacity of 95% compared to the U.K. offshore rolling average of 43%



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,126 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    The lifetime of a nuclear plant nowadays is 60 years. the lifetime of an offshore turbine is 27 years. A nuclear plant has a rolling capacity of 95%. an offshore turbine on U.K. data has an average rolling capacity of 43%

    You do not have to wait until either is operational. From the little we do know about this offshore plan we know how much the minimum cost will be for just the Turbine section alone to generate 6.6 gigawatts for domestic use, and we know the price for the same nuclear generation that Poland is going to pay and nuclear is one third the price.



  • Advertisement
  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Plus the prediction from the guy on the latest hot mess podcast was for zero gigawatts offshore wind to be delivered by 2030. We don’t have the ports and the handful of installation vessels are already booked up seeing as everyone has the same idea



Advertisement