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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,491 ✭✭✭swiwi_




  • Registered Users Posts: 410 ✭✭Mullinabreena


    More likely they will send more young Russian men off to die through conscription in a futile attempt to win an unwinnable war for Putin



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,782 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Most of Western Europe has given sweet fu67 all in all types of aid, but especially military.


    America is by far the most generous but in terms of the American defense budget it is a tiny figure so even with fatigue in Washington, which is very unlikely, it will keep coming.


    Fatigue was always in Rome, The Hague, Berlin, Vienna and Paris, a bit more makes no difference.

    It is not going to set in in Washington, London, Warsaw, the Baltics and they are frankly the only friends that Ukraine can count on from start to finish.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,919 ✭✭✭Cordell


    No, it wasn't fatigue that was always in some EU countries, it was russian influence.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,739 ✭✭✭zv2


    “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.” — Voltaire



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,853 ✭✭✭Rawr


    This is pretty much what I'm thinking whenever there is talk of mobilisation or any mention of how many 100's of thousands of men they can draft. They've nothing but the remains of rotting Soviet surpluss to work with.

    Kind of makes me wonder if Soviet Russia had sort of missed their best shot to invade Western Europe decades ago. A lot of the gear we're seeing are of 70's / 80's vintage. Little doubt they were stocking up for a possible World War against NATO nations, and my guess is a lot of the dumb munitions they've been lobbing at Ukrainian civilians were produced for that War that never seemed to happen.

    Then you had Afghanistan bleed them in the 80s, they just about held together in the 90's and then all the way up to today with the military budget being crippled by corruption. Makes you wonder when / if they can get back into a position where they can arm and operate an army large enough to wage that kind of war. I don't believe they can lean on the efforts of 70's Soviet planners forever.



  • Registered Users Posts: 73 ✭✭reforger


    The Dutch government recently announced a big support package for Ukraine.




  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 14,502 Mod ✭✭✭✭johnnyskeleton


    I strongly disagree. There is a lot of misleading information around, and its kind of sad that there is a sort of oneupmanship between donor states.

    There are many ways to measure Aid. The US and UK like to point to military aid as this is the most glamourous. But financial and humanitarian aid is just as important - Ukraine could not survive without it. Even within military aid, how do you measure it? How do you value NATO training ik the UK, France etc? The US considers that the provision of intelligence to Ukraine counts towards its total, but they would probably do this anyway. If you provide old stinger missiles, do you value them at purchase price in 1972, or do you value them at replacement cost? Are former soviet supplies valued lower even though their impact is greater?

    Further problems with measuring funding is when you measure it. Is it fair to measure contributions just after the UK make an announcement but before the EU do? Do you count committments, or aid actually delivered? Do you include loans and lend lease, or just unequivocal gifts?

    Finally, and most importantly from the Western European point of view, do you count aid from EU institutions or just the direct contributions? It is clear from this article (with the above caveats) that if you add the EU money to the European states' contributions, it is comparable to the EU, albeit predominantly financial aid:


    Remember that the UK Govt and press want to run a UK Good/EU Bad narrative through the aid to Ukraine, so if you believe that Germany isnt pulling its weight because most of its contributions are financial or indirectly through the EU, Im afraid youre falling for Brexit propaganda.

    Finally, with all of that in mind, there are competing interests in the narrative about aid. Many European countries like France dont want to antagonise Russia further, so downplay their aid. There is also an incentive for Ukraine to play up the benefits of western weapons (to get more) while downplaying the overall aid received (to also get more). Thus, its easy to see how the narrative that Western European nations are doing nothing when in fact they are doing a lot and the EU has committed to a further 18bn for 2023 (which gets nowhere near the same amount of press as the US' 44bn).

    As an aside, its strange that you include Vienna in the European capitals doing nothing. They, like Ireland, arent part of NATO, have a relatively small army and arent comparable to Germany, France, Italy, Spain etc.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,435 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Now that's what you call "Bang for your Buck" !!! And judging from the mad rush from the building, they knew it was coming.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,235 ✭✭✭paul71


    You do know that there is a considerable body of opinion which takes the view that Chamberlin bought the UK the time it needed to build the RAF into a force capable of defending the UK. That may not have been his intention, but it could be true that had war started in 1938 the Luftwaffe may have destroyed the RAF leaving the the Royal navy as the only defence of Britain.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,782 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    I said that all types of aid from much of Western Europe has been dire and a pittance to date.


    There is more than military aid, the Kiel institute in Germany, one of the oldest economic institutes in Europe, has collated the figure online up to end of November 22 for financial, military and humanitarian.


    Lots of small countries in Eastern Europe doing seriously heavy lifting, lot of the richest and strongest in Europe doing token gestures to date across all 3.


    Hopefully that will change as the capitals of Western Europe come to accept that Russia can't win and decide to be serious about supporting Ukraine, hopefully.


    Brexit has nothing to do with it, they don't control what European Govts spend.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,782 ✭✭✭✭Danzy




  • Registered Users Posts: 8,435 ✭✭✭jmreire


    The biggest problem facing Russia even after the the war finishing and sanctions being lifted etc,( normality if you like), will be the same problem that has always handicapped Russia, and that's the endemic corruption. Its like an Eifel Tower that has never had any maintenance and is riddled with rust, and with each storm its chances of collapse grow. Russia is in the middle of one such storm now, and its anyone's guess what will remain standing when it finishes.



  • Registered Users Posts: 23,246 ✭✭✭✭Dyr


    Isreal is doing what it always does, looking out for number one while it demanding that the US look out for Israel regardless of what it does.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,435 ✭✭✭jmreire


    I'd say that he's battling for his very own survival now, and his only chance to come out of it is with the "New Russian Territories'" firmly ceded to Russia. Which is not going to happen. So for him, nothing to lose by battling on to the last man, or until the Russians themselves turn on him. Which could still take some time.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,235 ✭✭✭paul71


    And that counter to that is that the war in Ukraine already exists, whereas there was no war in 1938 (unless you count China). Chamberlain acted in the ernest hope that he was preventing repeat of Verdun and the Somme. He was as you observe incorrect but he was earnest and a consequence was the RAF fought with an extra 50 squadrons of Spitfires and Hurricanes in 1940 instead of a purely hurricane force of much reduced numbers 1938. I am not sure that was intention but even Churchill new that Britain was not ready, in fact Churchills mantra from 1935 to 1939 was "Thank heavens for the French army".

    However I think this belongs in another thread!!



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,474 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Another thing about Clonan is that I get the impression he is somewhat ambivalent about Ukraine and Zelensky and is not overly supportive of them.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    We've very little to send that could make a difference in a military sense,

    I'd gladly see the few javelins and handful of other anti tank weapons,but that would remove/reduce the capability from our defense forces who are already in a bad way



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,634 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    Are France not sending decent aid? Could be much better but those artillery piece's are valuable?

    The Russians have definitely made some good adjustments despite occasionally doing some Very stupid things. When Ukraine first got HIMARS they were blowing up gigantic ammunition dumps left and right within 60km of the frontline.


    Since then Russia has moved these larger ammunition dumps back further out of range and those near the front like the one just destroyed in Svatove are much smaller. If Ukraine ever get ATACMS and if they get them secretly at first, the first thing you'll see is another wave of massive ammunition dumps go up in smoke further back in Crimea, Luhansk city and other areas near the rear.


    Russia would have no choice but to locate the larger dumps in Russia which would be a logistical nightmare.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    But posters this thread were telling us about people freezing to death I'm their bed if we didn't let putin do what he wanted....

    How many times have people's claim's been very wrong on here, from the weather,mud and WW1 trench warfare and casualties and the odd Ukrainian retreat



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,062 ✭✭✭Hobgoblin11


    Explosions were audible in Kursk


    Dundalk, Co. Louth



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,172 ✭✭✭realdanbreen


    Cloonan is an embarrassment. Himself and a few retired guards,one fella with a cork accent and another who gave a couple of years in europol have been pimping their opinions to the highest bidder for years. They make Vogue Williams look like a shrinking violet!



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,906 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    I don’t see how you can drawn any conclusions on how the eu would act if attacked as Ukraine isn’t a member of the eu. The response whatever it may be would be entirely different if a member state was attacked.

    Let’s not also forget that after the collapse of the USSR Ukraine was the 3rd largest nuclear power in the world. The USA and the Uk pressured them in to giving up their nuclear weapons to Russia with the promise of security assurances for doing so. Worked out well for Russia.

    Join NATO incase we are attacked? By whom? Russia is a lost cause at the moment and falling apart. Ireland is the last thing on their mind. Who else China? The only island they’re concentrating on is Taiwan.

    Plus the US is very volatile at the moment. The most watched pundit in America is right wing tucker Carlson. He’s on the record as saying he’s on Russias side in the weeks before the large scale invasion. He’s constantly criticising military aid to Ukraine and questioning Zelenskys character. A growing number of right wing politicians are echoing the same. We don’t know what nut job could take over from Biden and what direction they may take. American is simple too unstable to even contemplate joining NATO. That being said If we lived close to Russia I would be for joining but there’s no point as things stand and I don’t see that changing any time soon.

    I just don’t see any scenario where Ireland needs to join NATO because of the threat of invasion as things are.



  • Registered Users Posts: 589 ✭✭✭cheese sandwich


    Yeah I think he was sympathetic to the “Russia was provoked” gang



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,657 ✭✭✭storker


    Boards always seems to love a good recession porn thread.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,474 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I don't know his politics at all, but I wonder if he is of the left wing 'there are two sides to this story' argument. A couple of things he was saying this year left me with raised eyebrows.



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Bulldust

    There are some countries that have been woefull, but the Netherlands isn't one of them - much to my surprise.

    At the moment, 50 Panzerfaust 3 anti-tank weapons, 400 rockets, and 200 FIM-92 Stinger missiles are being transported to an unknown Eastern European country on board a C-17 cargo aircraft.

    The plane departed from Eindhoven airport yesterday. Already before that, 100 sniper rifles together with 30,000 pieces of ammunition and two diving crafts had been supplied.

    And that was 28th February, so talk about being quick out of the gate.

    And here's the full list:

    Anti-ship missiles (AShMs)AGM-84 Harpoon missiles [June 2022].[321]

    Air defence systems

    €15 million worth of AIM-120 AMRAAMs (For NASAMS II) [November 2022].[321]

    Self-propelled artillery

    8 155mm PzH 2000s [April 2022. Training completed in May 2022. Arrived to Ukraine from June 2022 onwards].[321]

    Tanks

    45 Upgraded T-72M1s [To be delivered] (Purchased by the Netherlands from Czechia, upgraded and delivered to Ukraine).[322]

    Armoured personnel carriers

    ''Several dozen'' YPR-765s [May 2022].[321]

    Vehicles

    DAF YA-4442 '4-tonner' Trucks [Delivered from November 2022 onwards].[321]

    DAF YAZ-2300 '10-tonner' Trucks [Delivered from November 2022 onwards].[321]

    Heavy Mortars

    6 120mm MO-120-HBs [November 2022].

    Man-portable air defence systems

    50 FIM-92 Stinger launchers [Delivered from March 2022 onwards].[321]

    Reconnaissance unmanned aerial vehicle

    Unmanned Aerial Vehicles [April or May 2022].[321]

    Unmanned underwater vehicles

    2 SeaFox Autonomous Mine-Detecting Underwater Vehicles [March or April 2022].[321]

    Radars

    5 AN/TPQ-36 Firefinder weapon-locating radars [Delivered from April 2022 onwards].[321]

    2 Thales Squire ground surveillance radars [Delivered from April 2022 onwards].[321]

    Small arms

    50 Panzerfaust 3 RPGs [Delivered from March 2022 onwards].[321]

    10 Barrett M82 .50 BMG anti-materiel sniper rifles [March 2022].[321]

    90 Accuracy International AX308 sniper rifles [March 2022].[321]

    Ammunition

    50 DM72A1 (PzF 3-IT) rounds For Panzerfaust 3 [March 2022].[321]

    200 Stinger missiles [April 2022].[321]

    30,000 rounds of 7.62mm and 12.7mm ammunition [March 2022] (for AX408 and M82 sniper and anti-materiel rifles).[321]

    Miscellaneous equipment

    3000 Gevechtshelm Composiet M95 Helmets [March or April 2022].[321]

    STRONG helmets [June 2022].[321]

    2000 flak jackets [March or April 2022 and June 2022].[321]

    30 hand-held mine detectors [March 2022].[321]

    1 field hospital [to be delivered] (in cooperation with Estonia and Norway).[321]




  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 14,502 Mod ✭✭✭✭johnnyskeleton


    To be clear, the EU, Germany, UK, France and Norway have given over €50bn in aid to Ukraine. I dont see how that could possibly be considered token gestures by Western Europe.

    Also to be clear, the relevance of Brexit is that I believe the Brexit spin of the UK media has denigrated European aid to Ukraine to such an extend, that I believe that is why you mistakenly characterise their aid to Ukraine as trivial.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    That's a pretty list, especially the tanks and stingers. Sometimes it's quality over quantity etc...

    It's worth pointing out that pledged aid is not the same as delivered aid when people compare figures.

    Also worth mentioning, some countries like Germany don't publically announce every bit of kit delivered.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    France sent them the extremely effective Caesar artillery, and more recently, the Crotale air defence system, which they supplied so quietly that there was no news announcement of them arriving in Ukraine and the only word about them is that the Ukrainians revealed the detection and arrest of a couple who were spying for the Horde and in particular were trying to determine the location of the Crotales.

    These are like a French Patriot, only probably better, providing 360° coverage instead of 90° and needing about one sixth as many personnel to operate.

    There's lots more the French have done, particularly in the area of intelligence.

    Who's done what is all here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_foreign_aid_to_Ukraine_during_the_Russo-Ukrainian_War

    Ireland even cracks a brief mention.



This discussion has been closed.
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