December 2022 Boards weather forecast contest

After two weeks and one ice age ...

IMT has sunk to 2.1 C, and the second week average was -0.8 C which was 6.5 below normal.

MAX 11.9 and MIN -8.1 although could now be lower (15th min)

PRC now just 32% of normal, the second week 29% (Belmullet and Malin Head contributed most of this, other locations close to zero).

SUN renains close to 167 per cent with this past week managing 162% of normal.

Looking at guidance, if you believe it, considerably milder after Sat 17th, IMT low point may be 1.5 or so, then could begin climbing, how far it goes depends on how many warm sectors of lows Ireland manages to attract as several appear ready to bring 10 C temps at times. If the average was a conservative 6 C for last 14 days, the blend would then result in a final IMT of 3.5, likely range seems to be 2.5 to 4.0. That covers quite a few forecasts but leaves some of us adrift. Would imagine the milder spell will bring PRC up closer to normal and SUN down towards a fairly high finish but not this high. These model runs have been quite variable for past few days and there is plenty of uncertainty beyond one apparent warming episode Sunday-Monday.

After three weeks ...

IMT has recovered to 2.9, the third week average of 4.3 was 1.2 below normal.

MAX 15.0, MIN -8.8

PRC has risen slightly to 46% of normal with the third week 74%.

SUN managed to add a bit, now at 177%, with the third week a shade under 200% (1197/600).

So with the results 10.9, 1.7 and yes (weak but evidence supplied), I decided that all locations mentioned would be okay since the radar showed similar if not equal returns to Casement for the other locations, and there were similar temperatures. (it's only a matter of one point for a group generally not in contention other than sryanbruen who had Casement anyway, so the contest implications are trivial).

Looks like Adam240610 has the highest total score for the temperatures in the Christmas bonus.

The scoring for temperature will be based on five points for max and also five for min. With the number of entrants we had, five people will be in each group except for a few tied over-runs, so here's the breakdown of scoring, holding on to the format of the forecast table and showing what is probably a somewhat approximate scoring estimate for other elements based on the values shown:

FORECASTER ________ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN__25th Dub (A)_snow ____ TOTAL

__ Estimated values ___ 4.0_15.0_-8.8_080_130__10.9_ 1.7_ Yes (any) _DEC _ (see note)*

M.T. Cranium _________ 05 _ 12 _ 00 _ 00 _ 05 ___ 5 __ 2 __ 0 ______ 29 (45, 612)

Tae laidir ____________ 07 _ 12 _ 00 _ 12 _ 04 ___ 5 __ 3 __ 0 ______ 43 (52, 680)

john mac ____________ 07 _ 09 _ 00 _ 06 _ 04 ___ 2 __ 5 __ 3 ______ 36 (46, 590)

MrSkinner ___________ 08 _ 14 _ 00 _ 10 _ 05 ___ 4 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 46 (52, 637)

waterways ___________09 _ 17 _ 00 _ 11 _ 03 ___ 4 __ 4 __ 0 ______ 48 ( ---,622)

__ NormaL __________ 11 _ 15 _ 00 _ 08 _ 04 ___ 4 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 47 ( ---,558)

Pauldry _____________ 11 _ 00 _ 00 _ 13 _ 06 ___ 4 __ 4 __ 0 ______ 38 (49, 641)

Dacogawa ___________ 12 _ 18 _ 19 _ 01 _ 04 ___ 2 __ 2 __ 3 ______ 61 ( ---,670)

DOCARCH ___________ 14 _ 19 _ 00 _ 12 _ 06 ___ 3 __ 4 __ 3 ______ 61 ( ---,648)

Mr stonewall _________ 14 _ 19 _ 06 _ 12 _ 04 ___ 3 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 63 ( ---,679)

Kindred Spirit ________ 14 _ 10 _ 00 _ 15 _ 07 ___ 3 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 54 ( ---,646)

Sunflower3 __________ 15 _ 19 _ 00 _ 15 _ 05 ___ 4 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 63 ( ---,658)

Appledrop ___________ 15 _ 15 _ 00 _ 05 _ 03 ___ 4 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 47 (57, 704)

Dasa29 _____________ 15 _ 00 _ 00 _ 02 _ 04 ___ 2 __ 3 __ 0 ______ 26 (50, 621)

___ Con Sensus ______ 15 _ 12 _ 00 _ 12 _ 05 ___ 3 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 52 (61, 689)

Gonzo ______________ 16 _ 12 _ 10 _ 06 _ 06 ___ 5 __ 4 __ 0 ______ 59 ( ---,668)

Artane2002 __________17 _ 17 _ 04 _ 13 _ 02 ___ 2 __ 4 __ 0 ______ 59 ( ---,671)

Bsal ________________17 _ 01 _ 00 _ 06 _ 05 ___ 2 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 36 (59, 673)

esposito ____________ 19 _ 00 _ 18 _ 10 _ 05 ___ 3 __ 4 __ 0 ______ 59

SleetAndSnow ________22 _ 16 _ 00 _ 14 _ 08 ___ 2 __ 3 __ 3 ______ 68

Jpmarn _____________ 23 _ 05 _ 07 _ 13 _ 03 ___ 2 __ 2 __ 3 ______ 58 ( ---,651)

200motels __________ 23 _ 06 _ 03 _ 14 _ 10 ___ 1 __ 2 __ 3 ______ 62 ( ---,497) (8/12)

sryanbruen __________ 21 _ 12 _ 17 _ 15 _ 10 ___ 1 __ 2 __ 3 ______ 81 ( ---,687)

adam240610 _________20 _ 18 _ 20 _ 07 _ 06 ___ 5 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 81 ( ---,620)

Joe Public ___________ 18 _ 03 _ 15 _ 14 _ 08 ___ 2 __ 2 __ 3 ______ 65 ( ---,597)

Bazlers _____________ 14 _ 01 _ 00 _ 13 _ 07 ___ 2 __ 1 __ 3 ______ 41

Danno ______________ 12 _ 00 _ 00 _ 10 _ 04 ___ 1 __ 1 __ 3 ______ 31 ( ---,570)

BLIZZARD7 ___ (-5) ___00 _ 00 _ 00 _ 02 _ 08 ___ 1 __ 1 __ 3 _15-5 =10

WolfEire ___ (-5) ______18_ 13 _ 19 _ 10 _ 04 ___ 5 __ 2 __ 0 _71-5 =66

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The element most in doubt above would be PRC, as several heavy rainfalls lie ahead and we are already at a guaranteed outcome of 60% after some locations picked up considerable amounts yesterday. The SUN amount assumes mostly cloudy skies now to end. I will re-calibrate this preliminary scoring table whenever circumstances change any elements, but quite a few of these scores are low enough that you could assume you will be using a different month for your 10th of 12 scores (whatever score in the last annual scoring table was then second lowest).

Also there will probably be a few points available for the less awful half of the zero MIN scores, but with a reduced boost due to several high raw scores.

* Just to save you some bother, I went back and looked at the annual scoring in the NOV thread and all numbers above in brackets after totals are "guaranteed" scores both in terms of the next value to be added and the annual scoring total that creates. If there's no reason to bump the DEC score shown here, the first of those two numbers is replaced with --- ). These contest scoring details are not shown for the few December entrants who have only a few entries.

Of course in the secondary total point contest, you add December to the previous total. This brings sryanbruen up to second place (from sixth after NOV) with 781 total points, while Appledrop retained first (by these estimates) at 806.

Most of the best 10/12 scores remain in a similar order because the top half of the field almost exclusively turned to another month to add their final score, and the range of those additions is fairly small (mostly in the 50s). Sryanbruen would move up from 8th to 2nd in that contest also.

Once again, I underscore the fact that these are early scoring estimates and they can change. Watch for updates.

After four weeks ...

IMT on 3.6 C, the fourth week average was 5.7 which was 0.4 above normal.

MAX 15.0 and MIN -8.8

PRC has moved up to 85% of normal. The fourth week was quite wet at 195%. There has been enough PRC to guarantee an outcome of 76% plus whatever falls today, Friday and Saturday. The GFS says that will be enough to bring us to 100-105 per cent. Scoring estimate may need another edit.

SUN will no doubt finish at or slightly above 140% as it has only fallen a bit, to 154% with the fourth week dropping off the pace at 90%.

The bonus question was scored (from 10.9, 1.7, Yes) -- see the scoring estimates posted a few days back.

As suspected, no MS today so will be confirming DEC scoring tomorrow, but will start to generate the scoring posts now with enough time to edit where necessary. Starting with the DEC scoring we have, but now in order of finish ...

and very slight changes were required, here's the final scoring for December

Final scoring for December 2022

FORECASTER ________ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN__25th Dub (A)_snow ____ TOTAL

__ Confirmed values ___ 3.9_15.0_-8.8_098_148__10.9_ 1.7_ Yes (any) _

adam240610 _________21 _ 18 _ 20 _ 13 _ 04 ___ 5 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 86

sryanbruen __________ 22 _ 12 _ 17 _ 09 _ 08 ___ 1 __ 2 __ 3 ______ 74

WolfeEire  ___ (-5) ____17 _ 13 _ 19 _ 14 _ 02 ___ 5 __ 2 __ 0 _72-5 =67

Gonzo ______________ 15 _ 12 _ 13*_12 _ 04 ___ 5 __ 4 __ 0 ______ 65

Dacogawa ___________ 11 _ 18 _ 19 _ 07 _ 02 ___ 2 __ 2 __ 3 ______ 64

SleetAndSnow ________21 _ 16 _ 02*_08 _ 09 ___ 2 __ 3 __ 3 ______ 64

Mr stonewall _________ 13 _ 19 _ 10*_12 _ 02 ___ 3 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 64

200motels __________ 24 _ 06 _ 07*_11 _ 08 ___ 1 __ 2 __ 3 ______ 62

Joe Public ___________ 19 _ 03 _ 16*_10 _ 06 ___ 2 __ 2 __ 3 ______ 61

esposito ____________ 18 _ 00 _ 18 _ 14 _ 03 ___ 3 __ 4 __ 0 ______ 60

DOCARCH ___________ 13 _ 19 _ 02*_12 _ 04 ___ 3 __ 4 __ 3 ______ 60

Artane2002 __________16 _ 17 _ 08*_11 _ 00 ___ 2 __ 4 __ 0 ______ 58

Jpmarn _____________ 22 _ 05 _ 12*_11 _ 01 ___ 2 __ 2 __ 3 ______ 58

Sunflower3 __________ 14 _ 19 _ 02*_09 _ 03 ___ 4 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 56

__ NormaL __________ 10 _ 15 _ 03*_14 _ 02 ___ 4 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 53

Appledrop ___________ 14 _ 15 _ 03*_11 _ 01 ___ 4 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 53

___ Con Sensus ______ 14 _ 12 _ 03*_11 _ 03 ___ 3 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 51

Kindred Spirit ________ 13 _ 10 _ 03*_09 _ 05 ___ 3 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 48

MrSkinner ___________ 07 _ 14 _ 00 _ 14 _ 03 ___ 4 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 47

waterways ___________08 _ 17 _ 00 _ 13 _ 01 ___ 4 __ 4 __ 0 ______ 47

john mac ____________ 06 _ 09 _ 02*_12 _ 02 ___ 2 __ 5 __ 3 ______41

Bsal ________________16 _ 01 _ 01*_12 _ 03 ___ 2 __ 5 __ 0 ______ 40

Tae laidir ____________ 06 _ 12 _ 00 _ 12 _ 02 ___ 5 __ 3 __ 0 ______40

Bazlers _____________ 15 _ 01 _ 02*_08 _ 05 ___ 2 __ 1 __ 3 ______ 37

Pauldry _____________ 10 _ 00 _ 02*_11 _ 04 ___ 4 __ 4 __ 0 ______ 35

Dasa29 _____________ 14 _ 00 _ 03*_08 _ 02 ___ 2 __ 3 __ 0 ______ 32

Danno ______________ 13 _ 00 _ 01*_04 _ 08 ___ 1 __ 1 __ 3 ______ 31

M.T. Cranium _________04 _ 12 _ 01*_03 _ 03 ___ 5 __ 2 __ 0 ______ 30

BLIZZARD7 ___ (-5) ___ 00 _ 00 _ 00 _ 08 _ 06 ___ 1 __ 1 __ 3 _19-5 =14

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Meanwhile, here's the update on the annual report of high scores and multi-year scoring, updated directly from last year's posts. Once again, this is subject to review later today but I wouldn't expect much about this report to change significantly.

• Best monthly forecasts (all scores 83+ appear here) 2010 to 2022
• 
  
• FORECASTER _______Month _____ Score ___ Rank for this forecaster
• 
  
• John mac _________ 06 2013 _____ 94 _____ 1
• BLIZZARD7 ________05 2018 _____ 92 _____ 1
• Con Sensus ________03 2014 _____ 92 _____ 1
• Artane2002 ________07 2019 _____ 91 _____ 1
• Con Sensus ________11 2017 _____ 91 _____ 2
• mickger844posts ____12 2019 _____ 90 _____t1
• dacogawa __________07 2017 _____ 90 _____ 1
• NormaL ___________ 12 2017 _____ 90 _____ 1
• mickger844posts ____ 02 2015 _____ 90 _____t1
• Schadenfreudia _____ 11 2015 _____ 90 _____ 1
• Appledrop __________06 2022 _____ 89 _____ 1
• Pauldry ____________03 2018 _____ 89 _____ 1
• Western Storm ______11 2017 _____ 89 _____ 1
• Lumi, dacogawa and_(03 2016) ____ 89, 89 ___ 1, 2 (dac)
• ___ mickger844posts_03 2016 _____ 89 ______3
• sunflower3 ________ 12 2016 _____ 89 ______ 1
• Bsal ______________12 2021 _____ 88 ______ 1
• sryanbruen ________ 04 2020 _____ 88 ______ 1
• MrSkinner _________ 12 2019 _____ 88 ______ 1
• Rameire ___________07 2018 _____ 88 ______ 1
• M.T. Cranium _______11 2016 _____ 88 ______ 1
• Kindred spirit _______12 2014 _____ 88 ______ 1
• Strasser ___________12 2011 _____ 88 ______ 1
• MrSkinner, Kindred Sp 12 2021 _____ 87 ______ 2, 2
• waterways _________12 2019 _____ 87 ______ 1
• Kindred spirit _______11 2018 _____ 87 ______ 3
• Joe Public __________05 2017 _____ 87 ______ 1
• Sponge Bob ________ 11 2012 _____ 87 ______ 1
• Adam240610 _______12 2022 _____ 86 ______ 1
• MrSkinner __________01 2020 _____ 86 ______ 3
• JPmarn ____________01 2020 _____ 86 ______ 1
• M.T. Cranium _______05 2018 _____ 86 ______t2
• Tae laidir __________ 01 2016 _____ 86 ______ 1
• M.T. Cranium _______04 2015 _____ 86 ______t2
• dasa29 ____________03 2019 _____ 85 ______ 1
• Pauldry ___________ 07 2019 _____ 85 ______ 2
• 200motels _________05 2018 _____ 85 ______ 1
• sryanbruen ________ 07 2018 _____ 85 ______ 2
• NormaL ___________ 08 2018 _____ 85 ______ 2
• MrSkinner _________ 03 2015 _____ 85 ______ 4
• Tae laidir __________ 02 2014 _____ 85 ______ 2
• omicron ___________03 2014 _____ 85 ______ 1
• dasa29, Artane 2002_ 11 2020 _____ 84 ______ 1, 2 (Art)
• Gonzo ____________ 07 2020 _____ 84 ______ 1
• waterways _________06 2019 _____ 84 ______ 2
• rikand ____________01 2015 _____ 84 ______ 1
• JPmarn ___________12 2013 _____ 84 ______ 2
• Con Sensus ________11 2012 _____ 84 ______ 3
• Tae laidir __________12 2011 _____ 84 ______ 2
• Sryanbruen ________ 07 2022 _____83 ______ 3
• Gonzo ____________03 2021 _____ 83 ______ 2
• Tae laidir ________ 03,07 2019 ____83 ______ 3
• John mac _________ 06 2019 _____ 83 ______ 2
• dasa29 ___________ 03 2018 _____ 83 ______ 2
• Rougies ___________11 2017 _____ 83 ______ 1
• John mac _________ 10 2016 _____ 83 ______ 3
• DOCARCH _________10 2015 _____ 83 ______ 1
• Con Sensus _______ 04 2014 _____ 83 ______ 4
• DOCARCH ________ 10 2013 _____ 83 ______ 2
• Joe Public ________ 04 2010 _____ 83 ______ 1
• 
  
• note: 82 Dec 2018 for Adam240610 noted before the above 87 in Dec 2022.
• 
  
• also updating this table of all-time performances from 2020 results (partial annual participation not used as it would distort full-time averages from earlier) ... and note, this table has used only "best 10/12" ranks which tend to discount differences based on number of contests between the qualifying 10 and 12 limits. Artane2002 and Adam240610 after the table now have four years, I have listed Appledrop, Gonzo and MrStonewall after just two full years, they all joined part way through 2020.
• Artane2002 was unlucky to drop any positions this update as as they finished second in total score but 8th in a very tight grouping this year in best 10/12.
• 
  
• FORECASTER ___ YEARS (with 10-12 contests) ___ Average Rank to 2022 (2021)
• 
  
• Active now
• Appledrop ___________2 ___________________ 3.5 ___ (6th in 2021) (6, 1)
• 
  
• ___ Con Sensus _____ 13 ___________________ 3.9 ___ 4.1
• 
  
• Artane2002 _________ 4 ____________________4.3 ___ 3.0 (2, 4, 3, 8)
• MrStonewall _________2 ____________________6.0 __10.0 (t2, 10)
• MrSkinner __________ 8 ____________________6.6 ___ 5.7
• Tae laidir ___________12 ___________________ 6.8 ___ 7.3
• Sunflower3 _________ 8 ____________________ 7.9 ___ 7.7
• sryanbruen _________ 7 ____________________ 8.4 ___ 9.5
• JPmarn ____________10____________________ 8.5 ___ 8.4
• Pauldry ____________12____________________ 8.7 ___ 8.3
• DOCARCH _________ 14 ____________________ 9.9 ___ 9.8
• bsal ______________ 10 ____________________ 9.9 __ 10.4
• kindred spirit _______14 ___________________ 10.2 __ 10.2
• Adam240610 _______ 4 ____________________12.8 __ 12.0
• Gonzo ____________ 13 ___________________ 13.0 __ 20.0 (6, 20)
• John mac __________13 ___________________ 13.3 __ 12.8
• dacogawa _________ 12 ___________________ 13.5 __ 14.1
• M.T. Cranium _______14 ___________________ 14.1 __ 13.8
• waterways _________12 ___________________ 14.2 __ 14.0
• Danno (2009-12,21) _ 6 ____________________15.2 __ 14.0
• dasa29 ___________ 14 ___________________ 15.5 __ 15.5
• Joe Public _________ 13 ___________________ 16.8 __ 16.7
• 200motels ________ 14 ____________________17.4 __ 17.2
• BLIZZARD7 ________ 3*____________________20.3 __ 20.0
• * did not change stats. 2021-22 part-time entrant only
• 
  
• 
  
• Legends of the past
• 
  
• Jerry Seinfeld (2010-13)____4 ________________ 5.25 (3, 3, 3, 12)
• Lumi (2010-12,15-17) _____ 6 ________________ 6.5
• nilhg (2009-13) __________ 5 ________________ 8.0
• Mickger844posts (2011-20) _10 _______________ 8.8
• Rikand (2012-20) _________ 9 _______________11.6
• harps (2011-15) __________ 5 _______________12.6
• Rameire (2011-19) ________ 9 _______________13.2
• Strasser (2009-13) ________ 5 _______________16.6
• JD (2009-16) _____________8 _______________17.4
• 
  
• _________________________________________________
• 
  

• my avatar photo at a viewable size, Capitol Reef NP, Utah, April 2019, incipient funnel cloud passing in front of a reef (rock formation).
• (non sequitur award)
• This table was first posted in Dec 2019 and was next updated in 2021, and here's a further update for the leaderboard. ...
• (2019 text) ... winners from every year we've had this contest. This table does not show the position of Con Sensus (we've had enough of his or her bragging). I show the top three for each year. To make for an easier fit, mickger844posts is shortened to mickger in this table.
• 
  
• Highest scores of all time are in bold highlights. They were both in 2016.
• 
  
• 
  
• YEAR _ Boards Award (best 10 of 12) __________
• ______________________________"MTC Award" (total score)

2022 _ Appledrop (704), Tae laidir Sryanbruen & Mr Stonewall (t680)

_________________________________ Appledrop (812), Artane2002 (775), Sryanbruen (773)

2021 _ Sunflower3 (702), Tae laidir, (679) Artane2002 (668)

________________________________ Sunflower3 (791), Artane2002 (759), Tae laidir (753)

2020 _ JPmarn (675), dasa29 (670), Artane2002 (663)

________________________________ JPmarn (764), dasa29 (756), Pauldry (738)

2019 _ Tae laidir (711) Artane 2002 (695) waterways (694)

_______________________________ Tae laidir (810) sunflower3 (766) mickger (765)

2018 _ Pauldry (708) sryanbruen (683) DOCARCH (672)

_______________________________ Pauldry (814) sryanbruen (765) DOCARCH, JPmarn (761)

2017 _ Pauldry (700) MrSkinner (t2-687), tae laidir (t2-687)

_______________________________ Pauldry (816) mickger (789) MrSkinner (782)

2016 _ sunflower3 (717) MrSkinner (702) Lumi (689)

_______________________________ MrSkinner (818) sunflower3 (802) dacogawa (769)

2015 _ JPmarn (669) M.T. Cranium (661) Lumi (659)

________________________________ Lumi (761) Rikand (745) JPmarn (744)

2014 _ Rikand (689) harps (688) Bsal (651)

________________________________Rikand (791) harps*(737) kindred spirit (720)

2013 _ Tae laidir (602) harps (579) kindred spirit (566)

_______________________________ Tae laidir (683) harps (646) kindred spirit (641)

2012 _ Sponge Bob (605) Lumi (599) Jerry Seinfeld (585)

_______________________________ Sponge Bob (692) Lumi (670) Jerry Seinfeld (654)

2011 _ nilhg (560) kindred spirit (529) Jerry Seinfeld (521)

______________________________ nilhg (636) mickger (584) kindred spirit (583)

2010 _ Danno (549) Joe Public (509) Jerry Seinfeld** (502)

______________________________Danno (613) Joe Public (568) DOCARCH (541)

2009^^ Danno avg 62.6, JD avg 59.4, dasa29 avg 59.3

_____________________________ Danno (751) dasa29 (712) Nacho libre (708)

____________________________________________________________________

• *In 2014 harps managed second place total score off eleven entries.
• ** In 2010 Jerry Seinfeld played 11 of 12 which is why he missed out on second or third in the total scoring.
• ^^ In 2009 we did not track best ten of twelve and the main contest award was by average score as shown.
• ===============================================================
• 
  
• From the above it can be seen that Sunflower3, Tae laidir, JPmarn and Pauldry have each won the main (Boards) award twice, Sunflower3 in 2016 and 2021, Tae Laidir in 2013 and 2019, JPmarn in 2015 and 2020, and Pauldry in 2017 and 2018. Also, Danno won twice in 2009 and 2010. Tae laidir added a T-2 in the Boards award for 2017 and finished second again both this year and in 2021.
• Most of the Boards award winners also won the secondary (total score) MTC award when they won the Boards award, but not always. There were different winners of total score in the 2015 and 2016 contests. Other Boards award winners have been Rikand (2014), nilhg (2011) and Sponge Bob (2012). The two winners of the total score (MTC) award who were not also Boards award winners were MrSkinner and Lumi.
• A few other names show up more than once, including Lumi, mickger844posts, kindred spirit, harps, MrSkinner and Jerry Seinfeld.
• By the way, it's not that scoring has improved, I don't think we had minimum progression before 2014.
• Three have played every contest from 2010 to the present time: Dasa29, DOCARCH and M.T. Cranium; kindred spirit has missed only four. 200motels also joined later in 2009 and played almost all the contests from 2010 to 2021 and eight more in 2022. Dacogawa and John mac have been very frequent entrants also since some time around 2009-10. Joe Public also quite a lengthy record (so I'm told).
• It is interesting how many people do about the same in most contest years but almost everyone has that one year where they break out and have a chance at a win or at least a top three finish. The 2.0 version of Danno has not quite gained the consistency of Danno 1.0, last yearI said I was sure it will come on this year though and that was about the same as many other predictions I made in the contest, but Danno has begun to show some good form in the second half of 2022 (by my estimation).
• 
  
• 
  
• Registered User
• ✭✭✭✭
• Join Date: April 2007
• Posts: 13091
• 
  
• 
  
• This table was first posted in Dec 2019 and was not updated last year so here's a two year update for the leaderboard. ...
• (2019 text) ... winners from every year we've had this contest. This table does not show the position of Con Sensus (we've had enough of his or her bragging). I show the top three for each year. To make for an easier fit, mickger844posts is shortened to mickger in this table.
• 
  
• Highest category scores of all time are in bold highlights. They were both in 2016.
• 
  
• 
  
• YEAR _ Boards Award (best 10 of 12) _________________"MTC Award" (total score)
• 
  
• 2021 _ Sunflower3 (702), Tae laidir, (679) Artane2002 (668)
• ________________________________ Sunflower3 (791), Artane2002 (759), Tae laidir (753)
• 
  
• 2020 _ JPmarn (675), dasa29 (670), Artane2002 (663)
• ________________________________ JPmarn (764), dasa29 (756), Pauldry (738)
• 
  
• 2019 _ Tae laidir (711) Artane 2002 (695) waterways (694)
• _______________________________ Tae laidir (810) sunflower3 (766) mickger (765)
• 
  
• 2018 _ Pauldry (708) sryanbruen (683) DOCARCH (672)
• _______________________________ Pauldry (814) sryanbruen (765) DOCARCH, JPmarn (761)
• 
  
• 2017 _ Pauldry (700) MrSkinner (t2-687), tae laidir (t2-687)
• _______________________________ Pauldry (816) mickger (789) MrSkinner (782)
• 
  
• 2016 _ sunflower3 (717) MrSkinner (702) Lumi (689)
• _______________________________ MrSkinner (818) sunflower3 (802) dacogawa (769)
• 
  
• 2015 _ JPmarn (669) M.T. Cranium (661) Lumi (659)
• ________________________________ Lumi (761) Rikand (745) JPmarn (744)
• 
  
• 2014 _ Rikand (689) harps (688) Bsal (651)
• ________________________________Rikand (791) harps*(737) kindred spirit (720)
• 
  
• 2013 _ Tae laidir (602) harps (579) kindred spirit (566)
• _______________________________ Tae laidir (683) harps (646) kindred spirit (641)
• 
  
• 2012 _ Sponge Bob (605) Lumi (599) Jerry Seinfeld (585)
• _______________________________ Sponge Bob (692) Lumi (670) Jerry Seinfeld (654)
• 
  
• 2011 _ nilhg (560) kindred spirit (529) Jerry Seinfeld (521)
• ______________________________ nilhg (636) mickger (584) kindred spirit (583)
• 
  
• 2010 _ Danno (549) Joe Public (509) Jerry Seinfeld** (502)
• ______________________________Danno (613) Joe Public (568) DOCARCH (541)
• 
  
• 2009^^ Danno avg 62.6, JD avg 59.4, dasa29 avg 59.3
• _____________________________ Danno (751) dasa29 (712) Nacho libre (708)
• ____________________________________________________________________
• 
  
• *In 2014 harps managed second place total score off eleven entries.
• ** In 2010 Jerry Seinfeld played 11 of 12 which is why he missed out on second or third in the total scoring.
• ^^ In 2009 we did not track best ten of twelve and the main contest award was by average score as shown.
• ===============================================================
• 
  
• From the above it can be seen that Sunflower3, Tae laidir, JPmarn and Pauldry have each won the main (Boards) award twice, Sunflower3 in 2016 and this past year, Tae Laidir in 2013 and 2019, JPmarn in 2015 and 2020, and Pauldry in 2017 and 2018. Also, Danno won twice in 2009 and 2010. Tae laidir added a T-2 in the Boards award for 2017 and finished second again this year.
• Most of the Boards award winners also won the secondary (total score) MTC award when they won the Boards award, but not always. There were different winners of total score in the 2015 and 2016 contests. Other Boards award winners have been Rikand (2014), nilhg (2011) and Sponge Bob (2012). The two winners of the total score (MTC) award who were not also Boards award winners were MrSkinner and Lumi.
• A few other names show up more than once, including Lumi, mickger844posts, kindred spirit, harps, MrSkinner and Jerry Seinfeld.
• By the way, it's not that scoring has improved, I don't think we had minimum progression before 2014.
• Three have played every contest from 2010 to the present time: Dasa29, DOCARCH and M.T. Cranium; kindred spirit has missed only three. 200motels also joined later in 2009 and has played almost all the contests from 2010 to 2021. Dacogawa and John mac have been very frequent entrants also since some time around 2009-10. Joe Public also quite a lengthy record (so I'm told).
• It is interesting how many people do about the same in most contest years but almost everyone has that one year where they break out and have a chance at a win or at least a top three finish. The 2.0 version of Danno has not quite gained the consistency of Danno 1.0, sure it will come on this year though.
• 
  
• 
  

________________________