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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,028 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    The amount of aid Ukraine can realistically get is finite - politics and logistics gets in the way.

    So why ask for F16s given that there is a huge logistical mountain to climb to get any use out of them, when they could instead ask for more M777s, HIMARs, grenade launchers, mortars, and most importantly - artillery shells which are in short supply. All of this would have a bigger and more immediate impact than enrolling Ukrainian pilots in an F16 program and training all the engineers/support staff to be able to maintain F16s.

    Though it may seem like it at times, the chequebook is most certainly not unlimited. There is an opportunity cost for various types of military aid given that the full wishlist will never be fulfilled. With that in mind, F16s are an awful choice.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,768 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Talk man, small man, fat or skinny we have the suit for you comrade and it will always be just that bit too big.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    F16s vs random joe in Meath



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




  • Registered Users Posts: 9,007 ✭✭✭Gregor Samsa




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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,982 ✭✭✭rogber


    Sounds like a lot of wishful thinking on your part.

    None of us know exactly how Putin and the other criminals are spending their time. They have amassed huge wealth and luxury over the years and they're certainly in a much better position than all the people dying in their stupid war.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    I don't even know if Ukraine has officially asked for F16's or just every Twitter user asking for them instead.

    It's also not a case of Ukraine can only have this or that. Oh you can't have an F16 cause you choose HIMARS instead, no tanks because you choose a Bradley etc...

    It's also a case of rational thinking. Artillery shells are in short supply, but dumb bombs are plentiful, ergo give Ukraine JDAMS. Hopefully they come to the same conclusion with the SAAB smart bombs launched from standard rockets. Both are plentiful and can't piss Russia off because they ain't ATACMS.

    As for the chequebook, plenty of the aid has been stock items. The Bradley's are already bought and paid for years ago and sitting idle in storage, same goes for other IFV's.

    Poland getting leopards to replace T72's given to Ukraine, again the leopards already bought and paid for. Net cost pretty much zero.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Pakistan is sending a number of shipping container full ammunition to Ukraine.


    Slightly unexpected



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,738 ✭✭✭zv2


    January 1, 2023: The first clip shows a Russian T-90M Proryv tank activating the TShU-2 Shtora-1 photovoltaic active protection system after it was targeted by Uka's ATGM anti-tank missile.


    “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.” — Voltaire



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,634 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    I didn't think the fighting around Bakhmut could get any more intense after the Russians started throwing waves at it a couple of months ago but since their breakthrough into Soledar it has somehow.

    They're doubling down trying to solidify their gains and Ukraine throwing in reinforcements trying to hold the line. I hope the outcome is favourable if not hopefully they can hold the line at the river.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,738 ✭✭✭zv2


    They should pull out of Soledar and then bomb it to dust while the Zorcs are in there.

    “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.” — Voltaire



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    That's what they have already been doing they flattened anything they could to prevent the orcs having strong points, while the Russian put a serious amount of artillery into soledar too ,

    They need aircraft and the right munitions at this point, along with armor they can fight 24/7 in .

    Look at bakhmut




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,738 ✭✭✭zv2


    “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.” — Voltaire



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,028 ✭✭✭timmyntc




  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




  • Registered Users Posts: 17,891 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Technically it's correct, they are running out of munitions. They are having to use Iranian drones, they are reportedly having to source other countries like N Korea for shells, there's evidence they have had to remove nuclear warheads from older rockets and use those. Russian soldiers (they are down to conscripts and mercenaries now) have been spotted using older and older equipment, they using increasingly aged tanks, their navy has drawn right back, their air-force doesn't have air superiority. The sanctions make it harder for them to maintain their current inventory and makes it harder to build more complex munitions like cruise missiles.

    Of course, they are never going to "run completely dry", but it's clear the good stuff is dwindling and the bad stuff is in a bad state. It's obvious they didn't plan nor expect a conflict of this length and intensity.

    The US officials have been pretty good this conflict, there's a bit of wishful thinking in there and the odd mistake, but overall it's been fairly spot on.



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Why is it a bunch of irish civillians think they know more about the military needs and capabilities of Ukraine, than the Ukrainian military does?

    You don't, no matter how smart you think you are, you just dont.



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    ..



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,876 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Well I'm no military expert but I think I can state Ukraine will need an airforce with modern planes.

    Their Soviet-inherited airforce is a wasting asset, and they will be moving to Western aircraft at some point, whatever priority level of supplying planes is right now.

    (not response to your post - just a comment...) Placing artificial limits on the Western weapon systems (other than the doomsday weapons like nukes and ICBMs) Ukraine can be supplied with should really be finished with at this stage IMO.

    Putin has already escalated most of the way up the ladder all by himself and thrown the whole kitchen sink (bar wmds) at Ukraine and is almost out of rope.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,652 ✭✭✭greenpilot


    That depends on the Civilians.

    Also, analysis of capabilities is relatively simple, if you have an interest in researching the capabilities of various assets. The needs? Not so much.

    Also, nothing discussed on an Internet forum has any bearing on the war. We all know this. It is, however, interesting to discuss.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,652 ✭✭✭greenpilot


    Here an interesting observation.

    At the moment, a US Navy P8 is currently on overwatch at the Black Sea.

    Flying earlier from it's base in Sigonella, Italy, its currently monitoring ocean traffic on the Black Sea. Interestingly, this is also the airframe purported to have located and tracked the Moskva in the hours prior to it being hit by two Ukranian Neptune anti-ship missiles.

    According to intelligence sources this P-8 left US Naval Air Station Sigonella in Sicily on Apr. 13, hours before the attack. The Poseidon turned off its trackers, so it could no longer be followed online before reaching the Black Sea coastline, eventually passing on the targeting data to Ukraine forces.

    The aircraft was ‘hidden’ for almost three hours before it appeared again on ADS-B.

    Right now, it has its transponder activated and I'm certain it's making certain sailors on the Black Sea quite nervous...




  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Thanks for underlining my point. There are no Irish civillians more expert on what the Ukrainian millitary needs and can make use of than actual Ukrainian military leaders who have been asking for X,Y and Z systems to be supplied.

    How's Kaliningrad going, has that imminenet interesting event from 8 months ago happened yet? /s



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    They did.

    "In the sky, the greatest need is for fighter jets -- F-15s and F-16s of the fourth generation or higher would be sufficient," the country's Air Force tweeted on Thursday, "pilots can learn to fly these with just 2-3 weeks of training."

    No doubrt some expert is going to opine that the 2-3 week time span is some made up nonsense, but there Ukrainian pilots who have already learned to fly F-15s and have flown them. They have been training with the US national guard F-15 squadrons for years, and as I expected, after some digging, I found a comment by a US pilot confirming that during these training stints, they had each had a go flying the others planes. SU-27 pilots got to fly F-15s and vise versa.

    They are not going to learn the entire suite of capabilities and operational paramaters in that time frame, but they would learn enough to help their country survive and push back and would learn the rest on the job. Obviously US officials wouldn't think it ideal, but their civillians aren't being bombarded every day and dying and their country isn't fighting for it's very existence.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,451 ✭✭✭Markcheese


    Are there f15 s available ?

    Or surplus f-18s sitting somewhere in good knick ,

    It'd take only take a squadron or two with the right long range missiles to change things .. a squadron worth of pilots might not be that easy to come across though ,

    And then there's the maintainers and techs ...20 or 30 per plane ? More in combat conditions ?

    And the Ukrainians are operating off austere runways , moving around a lot to avoid being targeted with cruise missiles,

    Slava ukraini 🇺🇦



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,738 ✭✭✭zv2


    “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.” — Voltaire



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,738 ✭✭✭zv2


    “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.” — Voltaire



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Because who ever rules the air rules the battlefield

    F16 is a multirole fighter and can be used for SEAD missions with anti radiation missiles like aargm,but also as a ground pounder and air to air role.

    As a ground pounder and with the sniper pod you can take out targets from quite a long distance using laser guided bombs.

    I am pretty sure US would love to see how their newest aim 120 and aargm missiles do agains russian aircraft and air defences,same with newer bombs like the Paveway GBU 18

    Israel have used f16 before against russian air to air defences in Syria before with great success

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,434 ✭✭✭jmreire



    Well, if you have watched the TV series about El Chapo the Mexican drug lord and the inter cartel fighting, it will give you a pretty good idea how the Russian Mafia behave.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,434 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Yes, Putin introduced a new category of registrations too. It was for any group or individual , foreign or local deemed to be not 100% supportive of the state had to register as a "Foreign Agent" ( I think that was the term?? )



This discussion has been closed.
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