Tesla Model Y

Tesla Ireland may not know what will arrive until they are on the boat and they then match up what they have in transit with the orders they have. If your order doesn’t match up with a car on the boat, you’re waiting for the next boat.

Yes, those of us with a 2022 RWD order and a 2023 LR order could be faced with a stick or twist in February. Now if the government were to announce before then that they were keeping the full grant until the end of 2023 it would take some of the pressure off.

Also, I think in some market in 2022, Tesla committed to absorbing the grant loss if the delivery date slipped to after the grant cut off date?

I still would like to know what in the Tesla process triggers the delivery window going from months (eg. Feb-Mar) to days (Feb 21-Mar 06). This occurred for everyone with a 2022 order on the 6th of January, regardless of the date they ordered. I think that at that point, Tesla know there are enough of your type of cars (eg. MY RWD, white on white, 19") in the batch to meet your order. The VINs aren't matched yet, but they know they have enough cars to match all the orders up to that date. Either on board or made in the yards waiting to be loaded. Add in a few days contingency to allow for storms in the Atlantic, stops in Jeddah, and you've got your 2 week window. Just my theory.

@celtic_oz - "I changed my SR (ordered in July)"

You dodged a bullet there twice dude 😁 your initial order didn't even qualify for the grant!

Does the blue being selected not take the AWD price over the grant limit? Pretty sure it does.

I agree that the date ranges for individuals who have changed their original order can no longer be considered reliable. The software would not be reasonably expected to accurately update in near real time according to each individual change. We should also remember that the software has probably been designed with the US market in mind rather than the Irish market where there is continuous deliveries within a few days from the factory. So as long as Fremont is churning them out, then most changes to your order will probably still not affect the 2 week delivery window. Totally different for Ireland though, and until a VIN is assigned nothing there is certain.

However for the update to the delivery dates from 2 months range to 2 weeks range back on the 6th of January, that occurred for all orders in Ireland at the same time. So that was triggered by some unknown milestone being passed in the overall Tesla process. For those who left their original order unchanged from last year, I would have more confidence in those delivery dates. But again, nothing certain until a VIN appears.

RWD version is a very efficient car.

Is lighter (approx. 90kgs) and the rwd motor is optimized for consumption (maybe only via firmware). In warmish conditions MY RWD will do well under 200 Wh / km (under 20kwh/100km) at speeds of 120 kph.

Also in city traffic and country roads you can easily achieve 130-150Wh with not much stress.

So if car is used most of the time in city conditions is a no brainer to go for the RWD. Also motorway autonomy might not bit that big of a difference.

See Bjorn tests in similar conditions (20-21C for MY LR vs MY RWD at 90km): 493 km vs 440 km. It's approx. 10% more.

At 120 km / h difference was well under 10%. Video is out but he did not update yet the google doc.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1V6ucyFGKWuSQzvI8lMzvvWJHrBS82echMVJH37kwgjE/edit#gid=735351678

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YNTMXiAHw-4&t=808s

There is a methodology behind it but we don't have visibility of it so it's hard to determine the logic. Or as my mother would have said, "method to the madness".

The 2 week delivery dates do seem to be related to the date in Q4 2022 when your order was placed. Those who ordered in October and have a slightly lower RN, have a delivery timeframe a couple of days earlier than those who ordered in November who have a higher RN.

I switched from white with tow bar to blue no tow bar the day before the price drop and my delivery date remained the same feb 17 - march 5

Apologies if it has been covered already, but what is the charging time of the RWD from 20 to 100% on a 50kw charger?

Accepted that there are some assumptions being made, but without any visibility of the internals, all we can do is observe the externals and try to infer. I also think Tesla were selling cars online before the Shanghai Gigafactory started production, so it's not unreasonable to consider that some of the backend logic may predate China's operations.

What do you think is the trigger for the 6th of January range updates for all the Irish 2022 orders?

That's high on my to-do list. There's a blue Y near me and it just looks dull, even in bright sunlight. VW Lapiz blue would look great on the Y In my opinion.