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Ukraine (Mod Note & Threadbanned Users in OP)

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  • Registered Users Posts: 655 ✭✭✭BoxcarWilliam99



    Remember when the EU and US said at the beginning of the war that they would sanction the Russian economy into the ground. Yet Russia continues to advance and has hundreds of thousands of men in training soon to be sent to the front lines.

    This war is endless and pointless



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Give us your peace plan ,

    To this endless and pointless conflict that's barely a year old



  • Registered Users Posts: 655 ✭✭✭BoxcarWilliam99




  • Registered Users Posts: 29,422 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    They 'continue to advance' at a rate of ... 0.1 percent. You dont think thats a rather desperate use of statistics?

    It is pointless for Russia, sacrificing thousands of men for tiny WW1 trench warfare gains. They can go home whenever they want. Ukrainians are fighting for their homes.

    Did you miss all the announcements of advanced western weapons coming to Ukraine? Or is that the reason why you have popped up now?

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    You must have some opinion on how this endless conflict can end ,



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,570 ✭✭✭jackboy


    If you pick out small periods of time they appear to be making small advances. In general they are retreating though. They are also losing their best soldiers and equipment they cannot replace.

    Im sceptical that the rumoured upcoming advance will happen. If it does it will be catastrophic for Russia.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,924 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Russia is heavily sanctioned, sanctions are tools. They don't "stop" the economy or military. Russia have indeed recaptured some territory (albeit at very slow progress and high causalities), and the situation is indeed serious.

    The war is pointless, however Russia could end it all at any time by simply turning around.



  • Registered Users Posts: 655 ✭✭✭BoxcarWilliam99


    If Moscow nuked Kiev and other key cities simultaneously it would probably put a stop to the war.

    The US would never respond in kind as it would guarantee mutual destruction. Ukraine is not a NATO member.

    If Moscow did nuke Ukraine I could see NATO on one side and Russia on the other rush to gather territory and some sort of buffer zone and border between Russia and NATO would be created in the land mass formerly known as Ukraine.


    Unlikely to happen though



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    So your peace plan is

    Nuke Kiev and the rest of Ukraine,


    Single handedly worse post I've read on this forum .



  • Registered Users Posts: 655 ✭✭✭BoxcarWilliam99


    Peace plan?

    You said : You must have some opinion on how this endless conflict can end



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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,843 ✭✭✭Pete_Cavan


    Any gains Russia has made recently will be quickly reversed and then some when Ukraine launches it's next counter-offensive. Russia is incurring heavy loses to make these small gains. They can throw tens of thousands more under-trained and ill-equipped soldiers to the front lines but they will only be replacing better soldiers and won't last as long.

    Once the Ukrainians are adequately trained on the new equipment they are receiving and conditions improve, they'll hit the Russians, hard. We've seen it several times before, once the Ukrainians go for it, the Russians can't stop them. Ukraine will have a well prepared plan, likely involving a faint elsewhere and then trapping the Russians along a river, and they will have softened up the Russians beforehand by disrupting their supply lines. Ukraine will take back in a week what Russia took over the last month.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,272 ✭✭✭fash


    The US wouldn't "respond in kind" if you mean nuke Russian cities. The US would be quite likely to destroy all Russian forces in Ukraine and together with NATO countries occupy much of Ukraine- letting the Ukrainian army get on with pushing the remains of the Russian army out of Crimea. China would also withdraw support.



  • Registered Users Posts: 655 ✭✭✭BoxcarWilliam99


    That means the US goes to direct war with Russia. The US and NATO would be the aggressors as they are attacking first.

    That won't happen. To the military Ukraine is a buffer zone that is high in natural resources. Nothing more



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,422 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    A nuclear attack on Ukraine would be enough to trigger NATO Article 5 because of impact on NATO countries.

    The US, UK and France are also entitled, under the Budapest Agreement, to act as it would be a violation of the security guarantees given when Ukraine gave up their nuclear weapons.

    This is a treaty signed by Russia also.

    So it is absurd and requires angels dancing on the heads of pins levels of special pleading to suggest US and NATO would be the aggressors in that situation.

    It is like saying Britain were the aggressors in WW2 because they declared war on Germany for invading Poland.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,324 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Your only perspective on how the war can end is the nuclear option from Russia? Really? At least can you elaborate on this, because frankly, it's kind reads a little hyperbolic to put it mildly. Not least because Putin might be swimming against the tide somewhat but hasn't completely taken leave of his senses.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,269 Mod ✭✭✭✭Chips Lovell


    Is the war endless? It's been underway for less than a year which, unfortunately, as wars go is relatively short.

    Is it pointless? Well yes. Russian's invasion appeared entirely pointless even before it occurred and it's going even worse than most people expected. In terms of achieving its war goals, it's having the opposite effect.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,444 ✭✭✭jmreire


    The changes started for Ukraine when Yanukovych was removed from power, and the move away from Russian influence and towards the west began. It is accelerating now due to the war, and when the war is finished, the transformation from Russian Stooge to full EU membership will take place. Putins worst nightmare is taking place before his eyes.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,444 ✭✭✭jmreire



    Boxcar, if Putin in a moment of madness orders a nuclear strike of any kind, its end game for him. The Chinese have already told ( ordered ) him to stop ratcheting up the nuclear threats, they are against a Russian Nuclear strike of any size. The US have warned him as well saying that a Nucear strike will mean the total destruction of his Army, Navy and Airforce within a very short time, using conventional weapons.

    So your move Vladimir,



  • Registered Users Posts: 655 ✭✭✭BoxcarWilliam99


    If the US were to nuke Russia after Russia did same to Ukraine then they would be all but guaranteeing their own mutual destruction because of the retaliatory strike.

    Burden knows it, the generals know it, Putin knows it . I think we all know it.


    No way the US, France,UK etc would launch a nuclear weapon on Moscow if Putin flattened Ukraine. No way jose



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,924 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Nuclear escalation is not impossible but it's become more remote. The Chinese have signalled to Russia that escalations (a nuclear strike has many "steps" to it) are a red line for them, and Russia is becoming highly dependent on China in light of Western sanctions.

    On a side note, if I recall, a US official glibly said in the event of Russia using a battlefield nuclear weapon in Ukraine, it's possible the US would consider wiping out the Russian Black Sea fleet and destroying all Russian forces in Ukraine.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 923 ✭✭✭ilkhanid


    On the contrary, NATO would not be regarded as an aggressor. The use of a nuclear weapon by Russia, especially such a catastrophic and appalling act as the destruction of a city would throw all the conventional wisdom out the window. Russia would become a pariah. It would be regarded as such an atrocious act as to justify full-scale western intervention in Ukraine.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,422 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    And if the US has told Russia they would respond in kind to an attack on Ukraine then Moscow would know they were guaranteeing their own... thats one way it couled have gone down.

    Anyhow you arent up to speed.

    You missed the part where they said it would be a massive conventional response.

    And no in such circumstances they would not be the aggressors.

    And besides China has already told Putin to knock off the nuke talk.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,444 ✭✭✭jmreire


    And that's the one reason that Putin has not so far used Nuclear weapons. He is trying to weasel his way around the words "Nuclear" by using expressions like "Limited yield" and "Dirty Bombs" and only dropping them on Russian Territory ( his words to describe the annexed regions ) but he is fooling now one.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,324 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    I gotta be honest, this whole segue is a bit ludicrous: Putin hasn't used nuclear weapons because the world and its mother know how big a step that is to take. You can't unring that bell and if Hiroshima/Nagasaki was the demonstration of the bomb's potential? The accident in Chernobyl, Ukraine a potent reminder about how widespread the damage of radioactive fallout can be.

    It's the modern Mustard Gas: used briefly before all sides realised how self-destructive it can be - but nobody quite willing to be the first to put their weapons away (bar a few notable examples like South Africa and Ukraine). Besides, isn't there a rumour knocking about that Russia's nuclear arsenal mightn't be as numerous or functioning as we might be led to believe?



  • Registered Users Posts: 923 ✭✭✭ilkhanid


    ''isn't there a rumour knocking about that Russia's nuclear arsenal mightn't be as numerous or functioning as we might be led to believe?''

    If Russia's nuclear forces are as well maintained as their armoured forces and under the supervision of the corrupt, I could well believe it. I can imagine components of the missiles and the equipment and the computers used in the bases being sold off to gangsters or vital systems left to go to rack and ruin, subject to the attentions of rodents and other agents of decay.

    Post edited by ilkhanid on


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,198 ✭✭✭Good loser


    I hope, and expect, that the US has let Putin know that if he uses a nuclear weapon he will be signing his own death warrent. That they will kill him, in other words.



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,615 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Amy nuclear use in Ukraine would cause almost immediate obliteration of the russian army and any naval fleet in or near Ukraine. It's unlikely that Moscow would be targeted by anything.

    putin knows this, hence it won't happen and he'll continue trying to push a war of attrition with increasingly poorly trained soldiers and older and older equipment.



  • Registered Users Posts: 478 ✭✭Run Forest Run


    The reality is that the west will basically be powerless if Russia decides to go nuclear in Ukraine.

    But of course, they cannot allow the public to know this. It's all propaganda, designed to maintain the illusion of control. They have very little control over the outcome of this war even in conventional terms. If it goes nuclear, it's game over. All the talk of destroying Russian black sea fleets etc etc is just bravado on the part of the Americans. What is to stop the Russians from returning the favour, if they did respond with a massive conventional strike?

    And besides, they would never risk a direct NATO attack on Russia, as this could start ww3. And any good general worth their salt knows, if you're going to start ww3, you don't do it with conventional weapons as your first strike. It would be an incredibly dumb first move on a nuclear power, as you would basically be declaring war on Russia who might then retaliate with a nuclear first strike. All of these nations have secret strategies to "win" a nuclear war... as crazy as that notion sounds. And it most certainly does NOT include a first strike with conventional weapons.

    Anyone with their head screwed on, knew the moment the yanks came out with this rhetoric, how completely ludicrous it was. But of course, there are quite a lot of clueless people who are swallowing literally anything they're told around this conflict. Propaganda relies on these types of ill-informed people.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,667 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    What is to stop the Russians from returning the favour, if they did respond with a massive conventional strike?

    Lack of equipment and general incompetence.

    If Russia could do any better then they are currently doing with conventional warfare they would be doing it.


    If Russia goes nuclear in Ukraine then the first strike has already happened. Also the entire globe rounding on a mid strength regional power does not a world war make.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,578 ✭✭✭Field east


    Your post is based on what you know and it is NOT BASED ON WHAT YOU DO NOT KNOW



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