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If the government called a general election tonight

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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,903 ✭✭✭✭elperello


    Oh yes the funding limits.

    If only you could figure out how to get around them 🙂



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,068 ✭✭✭Murph85


    Very, very different times . Abortion issue sank renua, that political hot potato is done. Mandatory prison sentences, more prison spaces, reduced income taxes and stricter immigration control. Big vote winners. Also when pd or renua were around fg hadn't been found out for lying about rewarding work....



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,362 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    In the PDs' heyday FG were allying with Labour and criticising the FF/PD government from the left. Anyone voting FG over the last 40 years in the expectation that they would be consistently 'right wing' in the way you are looking for (Mandatory prison sentences, more prison spaces, reduced income taxes and stricter immigration control) hasn't been paying attention....



  • Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The depressing thing is that a lot of people would love to get rid of FF/FG but SF are the only alternative and even worse I imagine.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,068 ✭✭✭Murph85


    Given no party will get a majority, we need centre right, to balance the left of every other option we have...



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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,410 ✭✭✭jmcc


    Given the discontent over various issues, there is a chance of a new party forming. However, spoiling your vote doesn't negatively affect the parties with which you disagree. It helps them by taking your vote out of the equation. By not voting, you are helping them get elected.

    Rather than spoiling your vote, use it strategically to ensure that the candidates with whom you disagree don't get elected. Simply vote for their opponents. Their opponents don't have to win but just have to stay in the count long enough to knock them out. In that way, you've voted and changed things. It is much better than spoiling your vote.

    Regards...jmcc



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,504 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    No party with a new plan or message is going to emerge until first a vaguely conservative media outlet comes to the fore in a meaningful way , more than a political lack of choice in this country, we have a lack of media choice



  • Administrators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 76,141 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭Beasty


    We have a thread dedicated to the current Government. If you wish to discuss the Government's actions (or indeed inactions) use that one not this. And if you are threadbanned from that one you will also be threadbanned from this one if you continue trying to make this a thread about the Government



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,939 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    I'm not so sure. A wealthy candidate could certainly fund their own election campaign, up to the maximum spend limits. Outside of election time, they could fund personal advertising and PR and social media activities with no limits, afaik.

    Different times for sure, but every time is a different time. That's a fairly simplistic view of FG's policies and history.

    If you can find a few TDs to kick off a Renua part 2 or PD part 2, sure work away, but I'd be very surprised if it was any more successful this time round.

    Post edited by AndrewJRenko on


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,640 ✭✭✭Floppybits


    I'd love to get rid of them all. They do nothing but feather their own nests and the nests of their cronys



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,068 ✭✭✭Murph85


    I agree totally about the media outlets. Many are brainwashed when they only get one perspective...



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,186 ✭✭✭✭jmayo



    I think you are giving them too much credit.

    They had already pushed asylum seekers into small towns and villages throughout the country so at some stage they had to start looking at Dublin.

    And of course there is no way they would look at leafy areas like parts of South Dublin no more than Clontarf, Sutton, etc, so they had to start using lower socio economic areas of Dublin.

    The things is with this government there hasn't been any plans, bar just let people in.

    You don't appear to have noticed how much the times have changed.

    IF FG HQ are so far removed from reality they think things are like they were back in 90s or even early 2000s then they are well and truly screwed.

    Your party are not offering anything that vast numbers of your former supporters now want.

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,939 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    You seem to have made a very wrong assumption about 'my party'. I don't have 'a party'. But FG would generally be a fair bit down the ballot for me, and FF would be further. You're right that things have changed dramatically, but the core of that change is the movement away from FF, Lab and some of FG to SF, so it's hard to see that benefiting any right or centre right parties.

    That's how things worked out for the PDs in the 90s, but it's hard to see any centre right party mobilising before the next election. Maybe if someone brings together a bunch of Indos, as Ross did in 2016.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,410 ✭✭✭jmcc


    The PDs were only ever Provisional Fianna Fail and Renua was only ever a splinter of FG.

    The emergence of a genine Right of centre party is a possibility but the problem would be the time it would take to organise it. If a GE was called tonight, it would not feature in the GE as it might be too difficult to fundraise and get candidates. However, the longer the current government stays in place, the possibility of such a new party increases. The big question is over a MNoC in the next few weeks. Looking at the results of that Immigration poll published in the Sindo, the FFG government might start to tear itself apart before any MNoC is tabled. The %s will have seriously worried every rural backbencher in FFG. If those attitudes and concerns play out in a hypothetical GE then there may be an increase in Independent candidates who will take seats from FFG. The lack of credibility of the media would also be a factor in any immediate GE.

    The last GE was fought when Dinny O'Brien was ceasing to have control over much of the Irish print and broadcast media. O'Brien is no longer a player and this might be one of the reasons why FG/Lab support collapsed and Labour never recovered from the 2016 wipeout. The whole media landscape has changed in the last ten years as has the electorate. Some publications like the Sindo and the Indo will still be pro-FG but the declining readership means that they would not have the same level of impact on this hypothetical GE.

    Regards...jmcc



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,755 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    We are seeing this happen already with the way that Paddy Cosgrave is running his social media activities in support of Sinn Fein. Don't be surprised if it becomes more.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,007 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    The emergence of a genine Right of centre party is a possibility

    Considering it was right centre policy that help create the problems in housing, health, etc. The things that people actually care about I doubt a more extreme version of that will make any sort of reasonable headway, none at all in fact.

    It would be illogical.



  • Registered Users Posts: 891 ✭✭✭JPCN1


    Probably Aontu,

    Next govt will be a coalition and I’d far rather see the Greens dispatched to the opposition benches before they do any further damage.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,640 ✭✭✭Floppybits


    Is there are party in this state that was not created because of a split in another party? PD's created because Dessy O'Malley didn't like Haughey and other disgruntled TD's from both FF and FG, the social democrats formed because Labour didn't back Shortall when she called out and stood up to James O'Reilly. Same with Renua and then if you want to go back the FF formed because a split with Sinn Fein. It seems only FG are a party that was not created because of a split in another party but the coming together of smaller parties. Even a lot of independents are not really independent, they are just independent because it suits them to get elected in their constituency because either FF or FG at one stage or other screwed that constituency over, thinking of the Roscommon hospital fiasco, Healy-Raes splitting with FF and Lowry, well I suppose he is independent only because FG won't let him back it because it would look bad for FG.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,410 ✭✭✭jmcc


    If a GE was called tonight, the Greens might lose most of their seats. They might return two or three TDs on current polling.

    Regards...jmcc



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,755 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    That is what the current polls are showing, holding Dublin Bay South, Dublin Rathdown and possibly Dublin West.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 16,362 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    The 'might' still applies though. That guy reckons their two 'holds' are very marginal.

    Only his read anyway, another analyst might tell you they are holding none or four on the basis of the same poils...



  • Registered Users Posts: 884 ✭✭✭seamusk84


    FG 1

    Green 2

    FF 3

    With our neighbours (North of the Boarder and across the Irish Sea) seemingly is complete disarray - I'd prefer if we stayed the course with a bit of stability. Keep as many of the multinationals here and in general support Irish industry.

    Money and jobs make the economy go around. Without a stable political system there is no environment for investment.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 39,628 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    What damage do you believe they have done and how does it compare to the two main government parties?



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,755 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The Greens weren't created because of a split.



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,362 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    Is anybody doing any sort of planning to set up such a party though, even 'talking over a pint'? It won't just form by itself, somebody is going to have to take practical steps if it is ever going to happen. And nobody seems to be aware, even third or fourth hand, of any practical steps to do that, or even put a name to anybody who might be involved.



  • Registered Users Posts: 21,952 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    I dislike the greens but I agree with your mentality otherwise.

    Well they are a left wing fiscal and right wing social party. The exact opposite of what we need and what is lacking in the options . Additionally, they arent really a party, it's just one loudmouth and his rentamob. Most left wing people would be left on both divides, ie socialist/left fiscally and liberal/left on social issues. This is why Aontu have only one candidate who gets elected based on his work in the parish. I used to live in his constituency and him and his wife are very very active on the ground. Rentamobs, attending and getting seen to lead each and every anti government protest going.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 39,628 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    That may be but I'm curious to know background exists behind the belief that they should go "before they do any further damage" (to quote @JPCN1). The Greens don't have the power to control the economy, social welfare, education, justice, health etc. so what is the damage?



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,410 ✭✭✭jmcc


    Don't think so. The main problem would be funding rather than organisation. Such a prototype party could emerge from like-minded Independents after the next GE.

    Regards...jmcc



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    FG 1

    FG 2

    Greens 3

    Labour 4



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  • Registered Users Posts: 16,362 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    Are you talking about independents who are already there? The obvious rejoinder to that is why aren't they doing it already, if they have any interest? The likes of Lowry and Grealish are in the Dail a long time...

    Or a new crop, possibly elected primarily on an anti-immigration ticket? To me that would be almost as big a departure as the far-right parties themselves getting TDs elected...



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