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Six Nations 2023 - Ireland v France Build-Up Thread, Sat 11th Feb KO 2:15PM - TV: RTÉ2, ITV, France2

1356

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,644 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers


    You said stats.


    There is a bit more to defense than tackling.



  • Moderators, Arts Moderators Posts: 35,618 Mod ✭✭✭✭pickarooney


    How many turnovers on the deck did we make? One in the first half and Aki made one I think. Not a significant enough number for any of our back rows to be highly rated.

    We tend not to even try most of the time unless it's a gimme. Without looking at any stats I'd guess Porter and Beirne are our biggest threats in that area of the game.

    I think we might have won one lineout also?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 741 ✭✭✭phily2002


    Did POM win any jackles?

    If Conan started and played like POM and POM came off the bench like Conan and got a steal and made all his tackles you'd be the first calling Conan out for not doing enough.

    POM was brilliant last year and deserved to start. He's not been great this year and others are playing better.

    He was OK at the weekend, like most ratings gave him 6-7 which I think is fair. He's been outplayed by the other 2 back-rows since the second NZ test where he was brilliant.

    I don't think it's crazy to suggest that one of the other back rows who are all going better with their clubs should get a start ahead of him?

    I questioned Coombes workrate early in the season but he's been brilliant lately and outplaying POM by a distance. Conan and Baird have also had huge games recently for Leinster.

    90 caps is brilliant but doesn't mean he's currently deserving of his start. If that was the case Earls would be starting also...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 741 ✭✭✭phily2002


    OK its the most important part to the defense is making your tackles. He made 5 and missed 1 which was poor



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 741 ✭✭✭phily2002


    Conan got 1 as well, Ryan got a lineout steal, possibly our only one



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Dan Sheehan also got credited with a lineout steal, that had a scrappy lineout that popped up to him.

    Irish Rugby stats (same as ESPN) have a stat for turnovers won (and they seem to include winning or losing kicking battles in it I believe). On that metric they have Stuart McCloskey with 1, James Lowe with 2 (he definitely won one after Ringrose's tackle on Biggar on our line), Sexton with 1 (the choke tackle on George North with JVDF I think), then JVDF with 1, Caelan Doris with 1 and off the bench Jack Conan and Bundee with 1 apiece.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,644 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers


    There is an awful lot more goes into defense than just tackles, and its simplistic to say the least that its the most important part. you can have a player making 100% of their tackles but be out of position for a lot of the game, or slow to get up and thats not use.

    You reckon he should be dropped for any of 3 other players because his “stats” are bad, and the only stat you can refer to is that he missed a tackle.

    Can you even refer to the tackle in question or is it just that you think you have found a stick to beat him with and thats it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,770 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    This. The team needs to be merit based. If POM isn't hitting the levels he was last season, then his place should rightly be threatened.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 10,965 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    And, for example, Ringrose had missed 4 tackles. But I don't think he played poorly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 741 ✭✭✭phily2002


    I didnt say he should be dropped because his stats are bad. You brought up the stats and said he had the best ones but didn't show anything to back it up. I showed one area of the stats(tackling) where he was our poorest performer.

    I said he should be dropped because others are playing better than him. He was brilliant in the second NZ test but hasn't come close to that level of performance since. If he recapture that form I'd be happy for him to start.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 10,965 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Last season was the best in POM's career, imo. He was absolutely outstanding from September to July. He doesn't need to be hitting those career-high levels to justify his place in the team.

    None of the alternatives are performing like POM did last season either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 741 ✭✭✭phily2002


    Again I didn't say POM played poorly, I said his tackling was low numbers which it was and he missed one. His last 3 games his tackling stats have been poor. I said he was 6-7 out of 10. He was grand but had none of his big moments that he was getting frequently last year. I also think others are playing better and he's not doing enough keep his spot.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 10,965 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    If Conan started and played like POM and POM came off the bench like Conan and got a steal and made all his tackles you'd be the first calling Conan out for not doing enough.

    Mod: A friendly reminder here; attack the post and not the poster.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,533 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    Ringrose always has the most missed tackles because he's the shooter, he comes flying out of the line to break up the opposition attack, if he makes the hit, great, but it's not a big deal if he misses.

    As for POM, he has never put in big numbers on tackles or carries, yet he's closing in on 100 caps so it doesn't seem to be an issue for him either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,770 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    I'd agree, but are they performing better than him this year? There's a good argument they are.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 10,965 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Absolutely agree. Ringrose's ability to shoot and scrag is huge to us in defence. They often go down as missed tackles, but it's so far behind the gainline, it's of huge benefit to us.

    And in the OTB piece, they specifically mentioned that their rating included a large number of things, like ground covered oprior to the tackle, assist tackling etc. with regards POM's rating.

    Criticising POM for his low tackle count is judging him by something he's clearly not primarily picked to deliver.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 10,965 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    It's certainly closer. I actually thought he was good on Saturday fwiw, and deserves his spot for the weekend tbh.

    I always think back to the Wasps game last year. Below are the stats after the game. But anyone who saw that game will tell you POM was phemonenal that day.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 741 ✭✭✭phily2002


    Hardly attacking the poster? Aloooof doesn't rate Conan which is fine and he's questioned his place a number of times which he's entitled to do.(It would be boring here if we all agreed). Pointing this out is hardly attacking anyone. I can't image he took this as an attack on him...



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,644 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers


    You think he should be dropped because there are three other players playing better.

    One of which cant cover 6 the way Ireland setup, one who is on the bench and one who is vastly inexperienced.

    Doris is nailed on at 8, and vdf at 7. So i dont for a minute see what Conan brings to 6 that POM cant do, Coombes doesn't have the speed and isnt a lineout option on both balls and baird who might be the best option is way back on experience.

    I would suspect that even an injury to POM wouldnt bring any of those players into a starting jersey either, hendrson would start and beirne move to 6 is more likely.

    I didnt say he had the best stats, just that the rugby analyst on offtheball said he did, and i dont think that he was our best player but saying he should be dropped is hilarious.

    why dont you find the missed tackle that has you dropping pom and see what the story is with it



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,202 ✭✭✭Must love hardship


    I think with the competition across the back row.. and across the whole team really to be retained you have to get as close to those levels as possible.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 741 ✭✭✭phily2002


    I'm not rewatching the match to find the miss tackle, I just posted the stats from espn. If you want to do it knock yourself out.

    What makes you think he'd move Beirne to 6? I'm pretty sure he's never done this. He has move Dorris to 6 to put Conan at 8 which he could also do with Coombes. Baird he could put straight in at 6.

    Why would it be hilarious to think of dropping him. Farrell done it before.

    I'm not saying he's playing badly, but he's been outperformed by Dorris and Josh in every game since the NZ 2nd test and hasn't hit the heights of last season. Backrow is one of our strongest positions with lots of players putting their hand up and in better form. It's hardly a crazy decision to give one of them a shot...



  • Registered Users Posts: 862 ✭✭✭redlough


    The Beirne to 6 has been running in the press and other places but from recollection even during a game Beirne has never played 6 for Ireland.

    I don't see any player keeping his place if he isn't playing well. It doesn't matter who it is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,817 ✭✭✭✭Pudsy33


    Murray and Sheehan both doubts for the game, that's a serious test of depth in those particular positions.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 10,965 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Beirne has definitely played at 6 for Ireland.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 741 ✭✭✭phily2002


    Is Kelleher back? Herring would be grand to start as well.

    Could be some chance for Blade if Murray is out. Be great for Casey to get a start but I'd say Blade had nearly given up on getting an opportunity. Crazy how quick things can change



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,817 ✭✭✭✭Pudsy33


    Kelleher was back training this week but putting him in cold might be a step too far. I suspect it'll be Herring with Kelleher or Stewart benching.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Beirne started at 6 against Italy and Scotland in the 2021 Six Nations; in a backrow with Will Connors and CJ Stander.

    Ryan & Henderson were in the second row.

    For the final game of that Championship (James Ryan got injured) against England, he went into the second row, CJ moved to 6 and Conan came in at 8 (and got MotM).



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,182 ✭✭✭demfad


    Rewatched highlights of last years match. France were unlucky not to be out of sight at half time. We got a freak 7 from the Hanson restart try and that was it.

    We got really rattled. We need to really learn there. We cant allow that to happen again this year.

    I think we will win even with injury concerns.

    France had same buildup to last year where they trained heavy into the Italian match and used supercompensation recovery (very light week) before Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,644 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers


    The french are coming to dublin from Rome diretly, Two weeks away from home may not make for a lot of happy french rugby players.

    I think home advantage swings this one.

    Pity the KO time isnt a few hours later.

    scotland wales should be the curtain raiser at 4:30 and Ireland france at 7pm. Place would be rocking



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,644 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers


    So your happy to drop a player because of a missed tackle that you havent even seen.

    makes perfect sense.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Ruaidhri O'Connor has an unchanged team at the moment, but, worryingly, has flagged late injury concerns around both Dan Sheehan and Conor Murray.

    Either would be a significant problem. I rate both of them, but wouldn't fancy facing France with Craig Casey & Caolin Blade as my two 9s.

    The fall off from Sheehan to Herring is huge as well. Sheehan is at the point of being taken for granted already at age 24 for how consistently excellent he is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,242 ✭✭✭Lost Ormond


    It wouldnt be fantastic but its perfect ahead of a world cup where we could end up potentially facing France in a quarter final with them in the 23?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yeah, I do get that. And, if you face this much adversity and still pull out the win then it's incredible as a momentum builder and really galvanises the squad.

    But, I just think our chances of winning slip a lot if we lose Murray and Sheehan, and I desperately want a Championship win!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,770 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    Conan is a much more effective carrier, both in terms of his physicality and his vision in attack. He also is a better passer of the ball.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,098 ✭✭✭Poorside


    It's not an injury for Murray, its a family issue.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 741 ✭✭✭phily2002


    Again, I never said I'd drop him because of a missed tackle....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,959 ✭✭✭Shehal


    If you offered me the option to keep Sheehan in exchange for losing Murray I would take it. I don't mind Casey starting at 9 if Sexton is next to him whereas against a team like France its not ideal to lose any more forwards than we already have.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,961 ✭✭✭TRC10


    Sheehan would be a loss for sure, but if Kelleher is back, that mitigates the impact a lot.

    Murray was good last week, but I would have changed the starting/finishing order at 9 this week anyway. Murray's style worked against Wales because we dominated the collisions. That won't be the case against France and we'll need to play a high-tempo game, so I'd have started Casey anyway.

    I'm still pretty confident about this game. France are missing Woki, Danty and Villiere too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭crisco10



    And I watched the 2021 game from aviva. The same was true, we got a flukey try from kelleher to bring us back into it, but before that France kept us at arms length. And even in the end game, with a point in it, France were well in control.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yeah, but the Ireland team that played that day will likely be significantly different to the team we pick this Saturday.

    Our team that day (likely changes in bold): Keenan, Earls, Ringrose, Henshaw, Lowe, Burns, Gibson Park, Healy, Herring, Porter (positional), Beirne, Henderson, Ruddock, Van der Flier, Stander.

    France will likely have 6/8 from their starting pack that day, and another three in the backs.

    I think we've indisputably improved a lot since then.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭crisco10


    Totally true (whatever about personnel, even playing style) , you could see hints of the Farrell/Catt style but there was also a lot of dross in there. Sure, some said Farrell and Co were under pressure for his role until the England game a few weeks later.

    Although I think the level of change is exaggerated somewhat by injuries. If JGP and Henshaw were fit, they'd be in this week bringing the level of change between the teams to a more comparable level. 8 changes v 6.

    I was really just re-enforcing the point that in a lot of ways France have had Ireland's number the past few years, so it would be a nice time to change that!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,925 ✭✭✭ionadnapokot


    France XV unchanged. Cros and Coullioud come in to the bench.

    Im not convinced by Thomas Ramos defensively at FB. French kicking has been superior in the last 3 matches v Ireland. Lowe, Hansen and Keenan in the backfield are prob the best selection for kick return.

    I think its important that Murray plays. Casey not up to scratch with his kicking. Blade? Not sure if it's a strength either.

    Sheehan would be a massive loss.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,959 ✭✭✭Shehal


    Im just accepting Sheehan's out as we seem to have 0 luck at the moment when it comes to injuries, if ever there's a doubt about a players availability they almost always end up being out, my hope at the very least is Kelleher can start at 2 as that at least.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,925 ✭✭✭ionadnapokot


    Strange that they are all hamstring injuries and occurring in training. Kelleher wont be ready apparently.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 10,965 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Casey not up to scratch with his kicking.

    Casey's kicking has improved sifgnificantly in the last 6-12 months, imo. He's box-kicxking more accurately, and he's even put in 50:22 that was a huge part in a try vs Leinster. (I think he kicked significantly better than Murray that day).

    Having said that, it'd be a huge test for him, and I don't think he manages the same hangtime as Murray tho.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,925 ✭✭✭ionadnapokot


    Hang time. Casey doesn't get the 4 seconds that Murray was getting on Sat. I was surprised by how well Murray played. His best performance in years.

    He has lost distance but still has that hangtime. Casey has gained accuracy but still cant get good enough distance or hangtime.

    On the plus side there will now be another left footed kicker in the backfield.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,959 ✭✭✭Shehal


    I mean we are just bang out of luck aren't we if that is the case...



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 10,965 Mod ✭✭✭✭aloooof


    Ah ya, I'm not sure Casey will ever get Murrays hangtime (law of the lever etc.). It's probably JGP's weakest part of his game too, but what they bring in the other areas of the game (pass quality, speed and tempo) are important to our gameplan.

    We'd be relying on Sexton and Lowe a lot more for out exits if Casey starts, I reckon.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,533 ✭✭✭Former Former Former


    "Hangtime" is just kicking it up very high, right?



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