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If the government called a general election tonight

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  • Registered Users Posts: 27,755 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    The other thing about Galway West to consider is what happens if the boundaries change.

    The census gave Galway county 276,451. That should allow for 10 seats at around 27,500 per seat.

    Galway City population is 83,456, which is enough now for a 3-seater for the city, which would leave two rural constituencies of Galway East and Galway West with one a four-seater and the other a 3-seater. This would allow for Ballinasloe, MountBellew Bridge and Glenamaddy to be brought back inside the Galway constituencies.

    Alternatively, there could be two five-seaters, but I sense Galway City getting its own urban seats might influence that.

    Edit: Roscommon with only 69,995 is short of a 3-seater if you use the Galway metrics, so food for thought.



  • Registered Users Posts: 60 ✭✭Qŵèrþÿ


    I would vote for Renua or the national party.



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,939 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    Pretty much every opinion poll when people are asked shows that voters number one priority is for improved services, better healthcare, better housing and more. When you look at our tax burden as a whole and not just income tax return to come out in the middle of the European league tables.



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,939 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    Will either of them have candidates in your constituency?



  • Registered Users Posts: 60 ✭✭Qŵèrþÿ


    Renua does.

    Unfortunaetly NP has no elected representatives whatsoever.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 28,939 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,893 ✭✭✭deirdremf


    Commonly, shíte rightwing governments empty the coffers (eg the Children's hospital overspend) when they know their race is run, in the hope that the new government will only last a single term, and they will get back in and stick their greedy snouts straight back into the trough.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,893 ✭✭✭deirdremf


    Not exactly the same tho, is it?

    TDs come and go all the time. When you vote, you vote for the candidate and/or for the party. You probably hope your choice will make it into government.

    You certainly don't look at a shíte TD and say, "Well he was a crap minister but I'm gonna vote for him 'cos he has lotsa experience." And let's be honest, there have been very few good ministers in the last 12 years, no the last 20 years, the great majority of them have been pathetic, to the extent that unless they are taking care of individual constituents their records as ministers are nothing something they can safely stand on. Some people praise Enda Kenny, for instance; but when I think of him I look at the 2016 census, and see that only two counties lost population between 2011 and 2016 - and Mayo was one of those counties; Kenny - for all his 40 years' experience in the Dáil - he wasn't even able to look after his own when he became taoiseach..

    In this situation of generalised ineptitude, a great many voters won't be thinking "Wow, my local TD was such a great minister that I'm going to vote for them again". A lot of people of course will continue to vote on their traditional tribal lines (ie regardless of the ministers' abilities or experience), but we're not talking about them, but about the floater who knows the Minister looking for re-election is so-and-so's son/daughter/relation but doesn't actually cut the mustard.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,903 ✭✭✭✭elperello


    We never had a right wing government and won't have one after the next election.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,893 ✭✭✭deirdremf


    Do you think that to be rightwing you have to espouse Yankee libertarian ideals? because that is the impression your comment gives.

    In European terms, FG is rightwing, FF is centre-right and moving further right every day.

    For the sake of clarity, left and right are in the main economic stances. The rightwing stands for accumulating wealth in few hands, leftwing tries to distribute wealth throughout society so that everyone has enough.

    The "woke" agenda may be considered leftwing in US terms as there is little else to distinguish between the two Big Business parties, but in European terms it is not central, although many leftwing people and movements accept a lot of its premises on the basis of tolerance/celebration of difference.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 28,939 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    We’ve never had a realistic scenario before of the main party in government having zero experience in government. Even in 2011, we had a few FG and Lab heads who had some experience from the 90s. It doesn’t bode well.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,399 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    @AndrewJRenko

    I'd be inclined to agree that it's better if the incoming government has some members who have served in a prior regime. That way change will be gradual and hopefully well-considered, with the 'rookies' taking advice from the old hands.

    However, it's probably not that unusual in politics for there to be a complete change and it isn't always a bad thing. Tony Blairs 1997 government (after 18 years of Conservative rule) was effectively a new broom with minimal input from those who'd served under Wilson/Callaghan. And it would be regarded as a successful government. In France the rise of Macron was basically with a new party, seems to have done fine. Doubtless there's some bad examples as well (Syriza in Greece).

    I guess the biggest problem would be if the new government (and clearly in an Irish context we are talking Sinn Fein) sees some narrow victory as a mandate to change the entire direction of the country overnight.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,903 ✭✭✭✭elperello


    Thanks for your reply and outlining your position.

    I was referring to Irish politics and did not mention US or EU.

    I remain of the opinion that we have never had a right wing government.



  • Registered Users Posts: 212 ✭✭Kiteview


    We are part of the EU. Our politics is EU politics.

    Parties don’t have to be extremist nutters to be right wing or left wing. They can be moderate and one or the other.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,903 ✭✭✭✭elperello


    Yes we are members of the EU but this thread is about our local politics.

    I agree that there are varying levels of adherence to either cause.



  • Registered Users Posts: 212 ✭✭Kiteview


    He is correct.

    FG is a mainstream European Centre Right Christian Democrat party. FF is a fairly conservative (Free Market) Liberal party.

    The Conservatives in the U.K. may once have overlapped the more right wing elements of the Christian Democrats but those days are long gone. They most definitely aren’t Centre Right nowadays.



  • Registered Users Posts: 212 ✭✭Kiteview


    It has nothing to do with “adherence to either cause”. The issue is how the political parties here fit in EU political terms.

    We know how they fit because they chose which EU Political parties they (continue to) adhere to and vote with at EU level. It isn’t a case that, let’s say, FG are a centre right party at home but are members of, and vote with, the centre left at EU level. That would be bizarre were it the case.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,007 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Which candidate?

    Pretty sure they are as good as dissolved.

    They have provided no statements of accounts since 2019.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,504 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    FF have moved sharply left both economically and socially since Michael Martin took over in 2011



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,504 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    Of course the Torys are centre right, what else would you classify them as?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 21,952 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    FF are anything but right wing. They are center left. FG are historically center to center right, but are far from right wing. We havent had a right wing party since the PDs.



  • Registered Users Posts: 212 ✭✭Kiteview


    The Conservatives have basically been taken over by their “Militant Tendency” and are characterised as “BluKIP” by some. That’s a fairly accurate tag in many ways as they have been trying to out-UKIP UKIP for many years.

    That puts them in Far Right territory as they are now more extreme than many of the Far Right parties in the EU, many of whom have abandoned their overt hostility to the EU, particularly since Brexit has turned out to be a complete failure.



  • Registered Users Posts: 212 ✭✭Kiteview



    That’s a fairly silly claim given how the two parties self-identify and how they vote both at EU level and at home.

    FF now belong to the same EU level political party that the PDs did - the Renew Europe (formerly the ALDE or ELDR) party.

    That’s the classic European Liberal group - ie pro Free Market Liberal economics. That’s not centre left.

    Centre left is the mainstream European Social Democrat/Socialist parties - and, yes, our own Labour Party is, and was, very much a mainstream member of that grouping.



  • Registered Users Posts: 21,952 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    EU coalitions do not a definition make.

    You have to understand what Left and Right wing are. Could you realistically say that any major party in Ireland is closer to capitalism than socialism?



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,504 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,496 ✭✭✭Luxembourgo




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,893 ✭✭✭deirdremf


    Can you explain why this is a problem?

    And I don't mean for you to repeat that they have no experience in government, I mean can you explain what are the practical problems that you see arising out of their lack of experience (and for the moment, I'll ignore the fact that they have run government departments in the North, that discussion is for another place.)

    Post edited by deirdremf on


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,893 ✭✭✭deirdremf


    FF was centre-left back in the 1930s when they set about building thousands upon thousands of houses for working class people. They gradually moved rightwards, first under Seán Lemass and have continued to do so ever since. Now they are indistinguishable from FG.

    FG started as an avowedly rightwing party - I'm sure you have seen the photos of Blueshirts making the fascist salute. When fascism fell out of favour after WW II, they moved away from that - in public at least. But the Cosgrave, Donegan, Cooney and O'Brien cabal was a highly authoritarian rightwing government, albeit with some notes of socialism from one or two of the Labour ministers. In public, Garret the gobsh.te was keen on social justice, but it was never more than window dressing, no-one in their right minds would deny that Bruton was rightwing, and certainly (despite a window dressing of social change) there is not a single sensible person in the country who would deny that Varadkar and his coterie would happily fit into the English Tory party.

    So, rightwing. Not Libertarian rightwing, not extreme rightwing, just plain old run of the mill rightwing.



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,362 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    I dont see any discernable difference between FF or FG on housing, immigration. social welfare, crime etc...and all their policies are distincly left wing and liberal.


    In European terms, FG is rightwing, FF is centre-right and moving further right every day.


    FF have moved sharply left both economically and socially since Michael Martin took over in 2011


    FG is a mainstream European Centre Right Christian Democrat party. FF is a fairly conservative (Free Market) Liberal party.


    FF are anything but right wing. They are center left. 

    ...



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  • Registered Users Posts: 28,939 ✭✭✭✭AndrewJRenko


    The people who have run Government departments in the North won't the people trying to run Government departments in Dublin.

    It's a problem because putting a load of people with no actual experience of doing a job into the one organisation at one time isn't a great idea. Just imagine if the top layer of your organisation disappeared tomorrow and was replaced by people who have no experience in doing those jobs. How do you think that would impact your organisation?



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