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Scottish independence

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  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Easy to say but harder to prove.

    Her resignation over this came as a surprise, therefore you have to conclude very few thought it a resigning matter.

    Calls for Sturgeon to resign have been a feature of her leadership. As I said, if the trans issue never arose and she called it a day, there would be the same people claiming it was 'because of' something else.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Fr Tod Umptious


    I'm talking about the narrative around Brexit and the narrative around Scottish independence.

    They are exactly the same.

    Just as leavers said that everything after Brexit would be no problem, borders, access to markets etc, the supporters of Scottish independence do the same.

    Citizenship ? no problem, keeping the pound and being in the EU ?, no problem, the border with England while in the Eu ?, no problem, getting back into the EU ?,no problem.

    Scottish nationalist are guilty of the same cakeism as Brexiteers.

    And why wouldn't they, they need to sell the positives, not the negatives or the boring details.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Who is saying there is 'no problem'?

    They were saying those issues were not insurmountable.

    And if you want to be trite, plenty were saying, 'staying in the Union? No problem' as well.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,050 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    They are not the same.

    When Scotland blames Westminster for something it's because Westminster actually controls Scotland.

    When Brexiters blamed the EU it was made up bllsht.

    For instance Westminster actually controls Scottish borders and passport colours.

    The EU did not control the UK's borders or passport colour.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Fr Tod Umptious


    Loads of posts here over the years waving away the possibility of issues around borders, currency etc.

    Just like the leavers did.

    It's very nieve to think that proponents of Scottish independence are any more 'honest" for the use of a better word, in their espousing of it's virtues than leavers were in espousing the virtues of Brexit.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 26,050 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    I'm not saying there will be no problems but problems were not what we were talking about.

    You said.

    "Everything bad about Brexit is blamed on the EU, everything bad about Scotland is blamed on London."

    Blamed you were talking about blamed and you were wrong. Talking about the future problems is goal post moving.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Loads of posts saying that those issues were not insurmountable, which isn't lies. All of them are.

    When will the trite likening of constitutional change to Brexit ever end for you guys? There has never really been a referendum quite like Brexit before and probably won't be in the future.

    Brexit was based on lies and a question that didn't for a second address the issues and options. Not to mention that the No campaign was led by an incompetent who scarpered after and the Leave campaign was led by liars fueled by a rainbow of agendas. A perfect storm.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    Scottish independence is just an even dumber answer to a dumb Brexit.

    The narrative is sadly exactly one and the same, maybe with a bit of more Scottish national undertones, focus on history, and more leaning to the left rather than the Brexiteers leaning to the right.

    In the eyes of the SNP it's all London's fault, in the eyes of the Brexiteer's it's the EU's fault.

    The rest is also the same, dance around the real issues and questions, promise voters the same, and tell the same lies, like how free the British economy will be outside the EU, the low taxes and the well funded NHS.

    Just look at Sturgeon's domestic performance and you'll see what kind of issues an independent Scotland will be facing, even more to a greater extent. And, no this time, there won't be any money flowing in from Westminster to fund free universities or menstrual products for women and everything else.

    Keeping the pound? No problem, eh? And if the Bank of England raises interest rates high to the needs of the rest of the UK's economy, Scotland would have to accept that as well? Citizenship wasn't even mentioned. Would Westminster really agree that Scots who want to leave, keep British citizenship? The SNP would of course say yes, but again it won't be their choice, it would be Westminster's choice. As citizens of the rest of the UK they could still vote in any Westminster election for 15 years, if outside of the UK, or then the rest of the UK, and I highly doubt that Westminster would ever agree to that happening.

    Westminster would also have another big leverage, and that would be trade between Scotland and England, or the rest of the UK. And still to date Scotland's main trading partner is still England.

    An independent Scotland would mean leaving, not keeping some things and leaving.

    It would mean leaving the UK, leaving behind NATO membership ( and the SNP's much hated submarines by the Royal Navy), leaving behind British citizenship, leaving behind a currency. Regardless of what the SNP promises, it won't be the SNP's choice.

    For that in return you'd get Scottish citizenship and a Scottish passport not sure on how many countries you could travel visa free in the beginning, a Scottish currency, however hard or soft that might be, maybe NATO membership at some point if other NATO members won't object, and maybe EU membership later on as well. If the Spanish won't object, they certainly don't want to set an example they have Catalonia to deal with.

    It's time for the Scots to wake up and face the reality that the SNP has taken them for a ride for a long time.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,702 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    I think you are confusing the Brexiteer nonsense that they had too much from experts, and they wanted control back from the 'unelected bureaucrats* in Brussels'. This was errant nonsense, but went unchallenged by the media - in particular the BBC. There were more 'unelected bureaucrats' running Birmingham that those running the EU.

    The 2014 IndyRef laid out, by way of a white paper, all the ramification of becoming independent. That never happened with Brexit. Brexit meant whatever you were having yourself - and any opposition was shouted down, particularly in the media - and particularly on the BBC.

    Now a central plank of the NO side was the membership of the EU - that Scotland could not get membership of the EU if they were independent - not ever. But lo and behold, just two years, despite voting remain, they were to be ejected from the EU under unknown terms, which turned out to be the worst possible terms imaginable by even the Brexiteers.

    No, the SNP are not following the Brexit playbook.


    [*unelected bureaucrats are called Loyal Civil Servants in the UK - big difference - one is pejorative, the other is not.]



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The White Paper was comprehensive and it grew support from 32% to parity and beyond until Westminster grandees arrived (along with our own Unionist brethren) to bring the scare stories and promises they reneged on.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,010 ✭✭✭Shelga


    I thought that the independence movement would get a real boost after Brexit, but now I think people are just exhausted by the last few years and can’t face dealing with more upheaval.

    There are too many unknowns- the economy, citizenship, the border with England, NATO, currency, military- the list goes on and on and on. I imagine a lot of people just don’t want to have to deal with that after the last few years of Brexit, covid and now Ukraine.

    I liked Sturgeon well enough overall, but it does seem like the independence movement is running out of steam, at least for a few years, and if she’s not going to achieve that, then it’s time to go. I’m sure Labour are pretty happy at the idea of picking up a few more seats in Scotland at the next GE, as her departure is surely going to throw the SNP into disarray for a while and put off some voters.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,050 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Ya if we want to talk about which side lied lets not forget remain promised loads of reforms from the devo-max option which it then reneged on.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,702 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    On the question of British Citizenship, it might be salutary to ask the Windrush generation how their claim to British Citizenship worked out after working and living in the UK for 60 years and ended up being deported to Trinidad or Jamaica, which they left at 6 or 7 years of age, have no relatives there and know no-one?

    I doubt that the then UK Gov would treat Scottish people like that if Scotland voted for independence. It is not the way they treated the Irish after they got independence. In fact it is written into UK law that Irish Citizens are not aliens - that is, they are on a par legally with UK citizens.

    So, barring a vindictive rUK Gov, I think they are safe as far as British Citizenship - one way or another.

    On the question of currency, it is an old adage that 'money is money' and all that is required is prudent treasury management by any Gov. The newly independent Scottish Gov just needs to earn foreign exchange, and peg their Scottish Haggis* to a basket of currencies that best matches their exports to give stability, and keep the public finances under tight control. Liz Truss, I am sure, could give them advice on this.

    *Scottish Haggis is my term for a new Scottish currency. It is not copyrighted, so feel free to use it and put it into widespread circulation. :)



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    Westminster might agree to a similar ruling as the Irish have now in the UK for the future Scottish citizens. In the best case scenario Scottish citizens won't be treated as aliens in the rest of the UK like the Irish, but that would certainly be up for discussion and negotiation.

    However this ruling will be up to Westminster, not up to Scotland. If an independent Scotland want's to play hardball with Westminster, Westminster might also say no to that ruling.

    Future Scottish citizens will most likely to certainly not be able to vote in any Westminster government, and any future Scottish passport might not give the same kind of visa free travel to other countries than the British passport would offer, but they might be able to live and work anywhere in the rest of the UK.

    And then there are also other things to consider, like validity of driver's licenses, etc. I doubt that's even on the SNP's radar.

    What would happen to all the Scots having a military career in the Territorial Army, the Royal Navy or the Royal Air Force? They would certainly have an issue with allegiances as well, possibly being forced to decide between one or the other, citizenship included.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,856 ✭✭✭CrabRevolution


    I'm pretty indifferent regarding Scottish Independence and Sturgeon's position, but there's an Andy Murray-esque assymetry going on here where her successes (though I haven't really seen any convincing ones listed) are all hers, but any failings are due to the British Government in Westminster.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,330 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Correct. It's like a kid in a rich family saying "well if I moved out, I'd be rich as well!". No kid, your parents are rich, not you. They may have some of their own wealth, but it's not the same, not by a long shot.

    Another issue, as someone else once pointed out, is how Scotland would fare within the EU, if Spain etc let them join ( over fears of Spanish break up). Spain thinks that letting an independent Scotland into the EU would make Catalonia feel that there is precedent for them to leave Spain and join the EU. Say an Independent Scotland did join the EU, it (Scotland) would be less influential than the UK and so it may be less involved in influencing the EU. I think it's safe to say Scotland+England+Wales+Northern Ireland would have been more influential than Scotland on its own. When Ireland was in the EU, the UK had our back and as it was the second biggest contributer to the EEC / EU. Irish MEPs found it natural to chat to UK MEPs at coffee time etc. The UK made sure Ireland done well out of it, as it was in the UKs own interest in so many ways to have a prosperous, thriving country as its closest neighbour ( and the one it shared a land border with). Now that the UK has left, Ireland is now a net contribor to the EU. An independent Scotland would have to pay into a fund for the EU which is split between all member states, including developing ones from Eastern Europe. Scotland would be lucky to break even.

    Because the Scots get more from England than the Scots pay in tax themselves, its a no brainer. As someone else said, It's time for the Scots to wake up and face the reality that the SNP has taken them for a ride for a long time



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    So much falsehoods in this:

    Spain have no grounds to oppose Scottish entry to the EU. While it is reticent about the subject, Scotland leaving the UK would be entirely legal while under Spains constitution Catalonia leaving would not be. They could block Catalonia being even recognised by the EU for all time. They cannot do that with Scotland.

    Ireland was a 'net contributor' to the EU in 2013, long before Brexit and it had nothing to do with the UK leaving.

    We also had the UK's back on many EU issues.

    Many countries the same size as Scotland contribute to the EU without problem and would not have it any other way. What brexiteers never understood is that contributions work both ways in the EU. Countries get as much back as they contribute, otherwise why be in it at all.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    That was myself who said that it's time for the Scots to wake up and face the reality that the SNP has taken them for a ride for a long time. I still stand to that opinion.

    The Scots only liked Nicola for her charismatic attitude and probably also because she was another Scot with a Scottish accent who liked to take on Westminster but getting their money as well. This is most likely the cause why her approval rating was so high, despite the lack of results. The majority of Scots didn't even consider her results or more lack of it, and were blinded by independence dreams. At the same time Sturgeon probably made more money as a 1st minister than she would have if she stuck practicing law. She just needed to keep talking and keep the independence dream alive and going and collect her salary as a 1st minister whilst avoiding domestic matters.

    The problem is also that an independent Scotland would have to live with many years of austerity as many things like free universities, or free prescription medicine, and whatever else will not be able to be financed anymore. The NHS Scotland will certainly not be better funded in an independent Scotland.

    The question about a Scottish currency would be how strong or more how weak the currency would be. And they would have to provide their own currency, not the British pound, before they could consider joining the Euro. And then there is the question on whether a majority of Scots really wanted the Euro. There is no legal requirement in the EU to do so, but at some point it might be a necessity simply out of a business practicality.

    The SNP is also rather on the left, and the left rarely attracted international big money investment. This would just add to an independent Scotland's troubles.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,702 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Quote: Countries get as much back as they contribute, otherwise why be in it at all.

    I would say all member states get more out of the EU than they contribute - that is the whole point of it. All members benefit from the distribution of EU funds - no member state get nothing. All members benefit from the SM, as it reduces many red-tape issues. All members of the Euro group see the benefit of the single currency - even if some elements do not fit as well as they would like.

    Scotland would be more likely to join EFTA initially as it is a better fir for them - at least initially.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,702 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Quote post #3197 :Future Scottish citizens will most likely to certainly not be able to vote in any Westminster government, and any future Scottish passport might not give the same kind of visa free travel to other countries than the British passport would offer, but they might be able to live and work anywhere in the rest of the UK.

    Well, Irish citizens can vote in UK elections, on exactly the same terms as UK citizens - are you aware of this? You seem to be unaware that the UK does not have 'federal' elections, so this might be another little bit of knowledge you are lacking.

    I cannot see any chance that Scottish citizens would not have the same equivalence as Irish citizens. Also, it is inconceivable that the rUK Gov would attempt to strip existing British citizens living in the newly independent Scotland of their current UK citizenship.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,330 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    From 1973 up to 2018 Ireland was a net recipient, in nominal terms, of over €40 billion in EU funds. The country is now a net contributor due to its significant economic growth.

    https://ireland.representation.ec.europa.eu/strategy-and-priorities/eu-budget-ireland-european-commission_en



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,418 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    Spain would stop independent Scotland joining the EU in much the same way as Spain stopped Croatia, Slovenia, Estonia, Latvia & Lithuania joining after they split from Yugoslavia and Russia. It was a disgrace the way those countries weren't allowed join.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    From none other than Paschal in the Dáil, maybe he should correct the record?:

    Ireland has been a net contributor to the EU Budget since 2014, and this position is set to grow further over the course of the next MFF. Ireland’s contributions to the EU Budget are projected to increase considerably over the coming period in all scenarios as a result of economic growth in recent years.


    Two years before the Brexit vote and many before they actually left.

    https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/debates/question/2020-07-28/219/



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    This is sadly where you are wrong. It is not exactly the same terms. Irish citizens can only vote in UK elections if they are residing in the UK. UK citizens outside of the UK can vote for another 15 years in any Westminster elections as absentees. Irish who lived in the UK at some point and returned to say Ireland, certainly can't. If Scotland had the same arrangement, a future Scottish citizen would have to reside in the rest of the UK. This said, if a future Scottish citizen had the same arrangement as an Irish citizen in the UK has now.

    The UK or rest of the UK government would certainly not want a Scot living in an independent Scotland to vote in a Westminster election. Whether they would strip all Scots of British citizenship or not, and state they would have to be Scottish citizens, we don't know. This would be regardless of what the SNP is claiming or saying. It's simply not down to a future Scotland anymore what Westminster decides, after all Scotland would have left and judging by your posts, you do want to leave.

    If you are or anybody here is so much in favour of an independent Scotland, pls remember, that you WANT to LEAVE, and this means leaving everything behind the UK offers.

    Leaving, means leaving behind NATO, the TA, the RAF, the Royal Navy, citizenship, most likely the British pound and any kind of free trade with England, Wales and most likely Northern Ireland and all the money from Westminster to Edinburgh.

    After all, you want to leave and leaving means certain things from the UK won't be taken for granted anymore or only there at the benevolence of a "foreign" government in Westminster.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,657 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I've seen people suggest Sturgeon's resignation is a blow to Scottish independence and makes the union more safe, but I'm not at all convinced. Parnell's resignation in 1891 should in theory have been a devastating setback to Irish nationalism, but instead the country became even more radicalised and nationalistic in the ensuing years, almost as if he was still leader.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Agree. Seems like a good time to reset and focus. No leader is bigger than the movement itself.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,393 ✭✭✭Grassey


    In this 'Federal' system... And with regard to electing MPs to Westminister, is the UK not divided into constituencies where you vote for those standing in your area, and this by FPTP magic gives you Tory rule?

    So even if the Scots retained British citizenship, there wouldn't be constituencies and candidates for them to vote for in Westminster so that whole point is moot? Likewise with Referendums as each one individually can set the parameters for the vote (ie elegible to all those currently living in UK, eligible to all in UK with British citizenship etc etc)



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    That is a good point. With an independent Scotland, Westminster would certainly have less seats to begin with. And yes, it's a first past the post system.

    How this could be handled, we don't know. I would suppose that this would be up for discussion. It's unprecedented. I don't think that they could be excluded in any sort of referendum as a referendum isn't there to form a government. I always thought it would be handled similarly as if a British citizen were to move overseas and retains the right to vote for another 15 years, according to current legislation.

    On the citizenship question it's also, if one parent is British, so is the child, regardless of where it is born. So even if there was a cut off date (and I would speculate there would be one), as to when Scottish citizenship would kick in, their children born after would still be British, again, also down to current legislation.

    Incidentally, the Union Jack would also have to be changed.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,393 ✭✭✭Grassey


    Why, it wasn't changed when Ireland left the Union. They are still using the design from the 1801 Union as when it was raised with Ireland leaving 120 years later, and later raised again in the 1960 the response was it'd be too expensive to mess with the design...

    So like that cross of St Patrick I'd imagine that coss of St Andrew would remain.

    Might get more traction from a change of the Scottish flag to disassociate from the Jack though.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 24,074 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Northern Ireland remains in the UK, thats always been the justification for keeping St Patrick's Cross in the Union Flag (its not a Jack), as well as the Harp of Ireland in the Royal Standard.

    If Ireland were to reunify under the Republic and/or Scotland were to declare independence, the Union Flag becomes redundant and so too the Royal Standard. Although the Scots may choose to retain the Monarch as Head of State.



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