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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Ukraine needs whatever it's been asking for. It does my head in that many in the west treat them as intersting infants having a small scrap in a school yard who don't realise what they really wan't, need or can handle.

    Ukraine can manage the maintainance of Abraams and fighter jets. They wouldn't be asking for them otherwise. They have very experienced military people telling Zelensky what's needed and what they can master and what is within their capabilities to utilise. When Zelensky is asking for things, he's not cracking jokes or making it up, he's speaking for an entire military that have put thought into it and informed him of their needs, so he asks for that.

    All in on Leopard 2s? A large chunk of those morphed into Leopard 1's. It shouldn't be about intellectualising fine niceties of what would be the perfect solution and giveng them that, The perfect solution is as many tanks as possible, irrespective of brand name.

    It should be about what they are asking for. There is no 'this western tank might be slightly better than that one', it really is a matter of just numbers, so it's as many tanks as possible, challengers, Leopards, Abraams, the lot.

    Yesterday I watched a western reporter on TV with an active Ukrainian artillery unit. One guy was saying it's been a year and they have not seen anything from all the western assistance he's been reading about. Their Grad dated to 1972, their artillery piece to the 1950's. And this was an active unit, mid sentence a target came in on the radio and they stoppoed talking and jumped to it and started firing.

    They simply need a lot more than the west has been giving, of everything, even down to blankets.

    If Australia were to send those sitting doing nothing Abramms, they would of course send all the spares and diagnostic tools and everything they have and use to support them, that goes without saying.

    They also have somewhere around 46 F-18s, sitting around doing nothing which would be far better and more useful than F-16s. As Australia was hoping to sell those, I think Ukraine should offer to buy them, which might be more realistic than asking for a multi billion gift. They are being gifted billions from the G7, Japan and Norway, so those very capable planes should be well affordable, like the two blackhawks they bought.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Where the hell would you plonk it though? Orwell Road seems like a bit of a tight squeeze. Interestingly Google Maps have updated their Streetview of that area. This is from September 2022. They managed to capture the protest across from the embassy.




  • Registered Users Posts: 8,172 ✭✭✭realdanbreen


    Clonan has been pimping his opinion to the highest bidder for the last 10 years.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,002 ✭✭✭Dufflecoat Fanny


    If they just shut up we'd probably be far more cautious with them. I'd love a game of poker with that lot i'd fleece them



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,375 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    The problem was they did feel ready to take on the world... Georgia, Crimea, Syria before biting off too much with all of Ukraine ... I don't think many analysts got the shape of this war correct if you look to just over a year ago.

    And as noted on the thread, if they'd gone "all in" with their forces for the four border oblasts this time last year they might have pulled it off.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,799 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    It has.


    The Chinese economy is bigger than the entire EU economy, it's all a bit Siamese twins going in to surgery and trying to figure out who is to be worse off.


    China and it's Communist party are a hostile power, not far off an existential threat just because there is trade and smiles they are still the Chinese Communist Party, killers of 100mn people in the last 80 years.


    If China arm Russia it will be punished and retaliate in turn, damage trade. Neither side can go too far with sanctions, bit of withdrawal might be good though.


    As you say China has a domestic debt crisis, property crisis.


    Increased hostility with the West may distract and also it may see itself as ready to take its place as the global leader, before the chance disappears due to domestic issues.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,799 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    There is a bit of a surge happening among Left movements, Socialist parties etc, more vocal, more defiant recently.


    Lots of marches, protests etc calling for an immediate ceasefire, Lula in Brazil refusing ammunition to Ukraine, Scholz rolling back on Tanks, again. A whole slew of Socialist party leaders across Europe fighting arms exports to Ukraine. Countries like China, North Korea, Cuba stepping up support in solidarity with the Comrade in the Kremlin.


    If they are getting worried, then Russia must be really sweating.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Pretty much sums them up, the Far left & right have merged and on the same page wrt Russia.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    "so it's as many tanks as possible, challengers, Leopards, Abraams, the lot."

    Ideally yes, but what your proposing is a logistical nightmare for the Ukrainian army. No army will entertain using a myriad of MBTs from a logistical point of view. It just isn't best practice. Here's an answer from Quora from Nicholas Moran (Manic Moran I believe) on why the Americans turned down the use of the British Sherman Firefly during WW2 and used their own 76mm gun instead. One reason was the lack of interoperability of the Firefly 76.2mm shell with other weapons such as tank destroyers.




  • Registered Users Posts: 13,799 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Tom Clonan is a good primer analyst for this conflict.


    He should have known better than to sign that though.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,799 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    It might consider domestic issues to threaten harmony and what it considers its rightful place as global super power.


    We'll end the China discussion, like Russia they may have other considerations, outside of what we consider advisable. History is often the story of "well we wouldn't have done that if we had a chance again".



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    It's a very serious issue long-term.

    All the cost of development makes any new military tech skyhigh on a cost per unit basis. The companies only make a profit selling to other countries, thus reducing the cost per unit.

    It's not specific to Russia. Imagine the cost per unit of the F35's if the US was the only customer etc...

    You can see the USA starting developing their new tank, I believe South Korea and probably Germany and China doing the same etc.... The Russians haven't even started mass production of the T14 and with no orders on the books, I very much doubt it ever will.



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Did you read what I wrote? If Ukraine are asking for something, they want it and know full well what it entails. I am not proposing a logistical nightmare, the Ukrainians are by asking for everything. 37% of Ukrainians who had jobs before the war, don't now. They have 25% unemployment and so they have the manpower to do logistics, turbine repairs, you name it. They make jet engines and missiles and drone boats and aircraft and keep old Soviet planes and stuff functioning. They can fix an Abraams.

    Look, if the west were handing over 300-400 latest model, all same type Leopard 2s, then yes that would be better and easier all round, but since that's not happeneing, it's a case of whatever is available.

    Just give them whatever they are asking for and let them handle it. They aren't idiots.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,919 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    Hitler's and Putin's speeches side by side.




  • Registered Users Posts: 17,919 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe




  • Registered Users Posts: 25,523 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    Leopard tanks from Poland arriving in Ukraine


    Poland brings first Leopard tanks to Ukraine on first anniversary of war





  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Give me a really big catapult and I'll show you where I would put it.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I did indeed read what you wrote. I know your not proposing a logistical nightmare, but the difficulties inherent in trying to provide the most efficient supply chain can't be avoided either. Here's the logistical challenge for just one model (the Abrams). Hard enough already IMO. Now throw in the differing needs of the Leopard 2 and the Challenger 2 on top of that. Quite daunting I think.




  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    🇺🇦 Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny said that almost 100 thousand Ukrainians were mobilized in two days. Half of them are in the Terodefense Forces.

    They got 20,000 applications to join some new assault units and 6,000 for some other unit.

    More presies from uncle Joe too:

    🔥🔥 The USA announced a new package of military aid to Ukraine worth $2 billion, the Pentagon said

    The package will include:

    📌 ammunition for HIMARS.

    📌 155-mm shells.

    📌 CyberLux K8, Switchblade 600, Altius-600 and Jump 20 drones.

    📌 ammunition for reactive systems with laser guidance.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,801 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Has there been any update on training on the Bradley's? I did see some obscure pic on Twitter a week or so ago, but nothing official RE training.

    I know France is due to deliver their light tank/IFV in the next few days.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    So let us suppose the Ukrainian military are a bunch of clueless idiots who don't know all that. If you gave them that list and they still said send us every Abrams you can spare, what would be your reply if it was up to you whether the tanks were sent; or not?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,100 ✭✭✭Akabusi


    I know they have had the switchblades already are the others new ones they will be getting for the first time?



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,201 ✭✭✭✭Grayson


    Went back the past few pages and couldn't see this posted. Apologies if it's a report.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,002 ✭✭✭Dufflecoat Fanny


    It's not like the Ukrainians will be launching a huge offensive with tanks they'll use them to crush pockets of orcs bit by bit, dig in and repeat. They'll be used sparingly in a combined arms effort to be sure.



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    My memory is far from perfect but I think so. A nice addition to whatever drones Australia announced sending yesterday.

    But.

    While it's nice to look at all these aid packages and think wow, there is this minute, a unit in Bakhmut trying to raise funds for €4000-€5,400 commercially available DJI or Autel thermal imaging drone, despite 90 odd such being sent to the area 2-3 weeks ago. The attrition rate is probably severe. Another unit is trying to raise funds for 10 thermal sights because of the night time street fighting. So just keep that in mind lest anyone thinks these small handfulls of stuff are game changers, or sufficient.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    You're obviously looking for a "yes" answer which I'm not going to give you, because I suspect you well know that it's a lot more complicated than that in reality.

    Bits of info in this article as to why the Leopard 2 would be preferable to the Abrams from the supply side.




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,002 ✭✭✭Dufflecoat Fanny


    Nance spent time with the foreign legion fighting in Ukraine



  • Registered Users Posts: 41 DrivingMrDaisy


    I'm reading a lot of stalemate talk but i think it's inaccurate and more helpful to Russia than Ukraine. Russia have been pushing hard and burning through resources in an attempt to make some kind of tangible progress, while Ukraine have largely been holding back and waiting for units to complete training on new platforms and for equipment and improved weather to arrive.

    Russia already seem to be struggling badly with logistics due to the range and precision of HIMARS launchers, and if Ukraine get the ability to hit targets further out (which they might already have) then Russia's main logistical hubs in occupied territory will become prime targets.

    A single breakthrough by Ukraine near Kreminna allows them to get behind the Russian defensive line and could see a collapse on the scale we saw last summer. A breakthrough near Melitopol splits the Russian supply line in two and puts the supply lines from Crimea in range, allowing them to starve out the entire southern occupied territory, which in turn allows them to starve out Crimea.

    The west is doing its best to gear up for a longer war of attrition, as it seemingly takes a long time to get military production up and running, but the opportunity for Ukraine to end things quickly is there if they can get enough hardware over the next month or two and launch another spring offensive.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,578 ✭✭✭Field east


    I read his IT article on the invasion of Georgia and how the Ru army is reorganising. If Ru did as Coonan said it did ttheen judging by the way Ru is operating in Ukr for the past year it must have ditched its new strategy taken on board after the Georgia operation and REVERTED BACK TO WHAT IT’S TRADITIONAL STYLE .

    I doubt. Very much if Ru ever changed its Special Operations strategy after Georgia. It’s just Coonan letting on that he is an expert on all these matters I always suspected him as a bluffer - riding on his army experience. I don’t think that he was ever directly involved in a war -though was involved as a peace keeper between warring factions - now lads , that’s enough for today - we will have none of that!!!!!!



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,254 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    I believe the first 650ish Ukranians have finished their training on the bradley. And another 650 are currently underway.

    They really are an absolutely vicious vehicle. I honestly think these things will outshine the Leopards/Challengers/Abrams/Marders etc....... by themselves.



This discussion has been closed.
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