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Ukraine (Mod Note & Threadbanned Users in OP)

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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    No security Guarantees given by Russia or saught by America.

    As I said America didn't need anyones permission or security Guarantees for President Joe Biden to visit ukraine,





  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,668 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Fair enough.

    I suspect there were also no threats by America.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    I'm pretty sure the Kremlin were well aware of the Dire consequences they faced if they deliberately or accidentally on purpose threatened the Presidents life.

    That itself is a threat



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,668 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    No, it isn't. Its just reality.

    Only schoolyard bullies go around delivering threats and ultimatums. Someone Russia has shown itself adept at, and equally adept at failing to follow through on.

    Unless the US turns around from this and decides to deliver 4th and 5th gen fighter aircraft and fleets of tanks, then their position on avoiding escalation is clearly still in place.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,324 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Like the subject of nuclear weapons, Putin was probably aware Biden was headed for the Ukraine - or at worst perhaps only aware he would be at the Polish-Ukraine border - but hasn't completely gone off the deep end that a strike on the President was ever a sound tactical move. I know this whole war has taken us by surprise somewhat, but whatever is motivating Putin I don't believe insanity is driving the bus here. Nor is this Call of Duty (or for those of us of a certain vintage, 90s action film Air Force One).

    We've already seen what a moderately supplied Ukraine can do to Russia's ailing forces; America's response to an attack on Biden or his entourage would probably result in significant parts of the Russian military being glassed overnight.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,108 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    Yes. There was a line in an Atlantic piece about this where they said that the USA doesn't need to make threats because everyone else knows that they are strong. Russia, on the other hand makes constant threats in an effort to appear strong.

    The USA likely told the Russians exactly where Biden was going and when he was going there. That's all they would have needed to do. No permissions. No threats. No confusion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    I don't understand why people are trying to twist themselves into knots over this , there was no Security Guarantee sought by the Americans, their was no permission sought from putin himself,

    But now oh but that's school yard bullying,

    Trying to convulte stories to suit an agenda?



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,857 ✭✭✭growleaves


    Except the poster has now posted his source - and its a statement from the Ukrainian deputy defence minister.

    So how can the words of the Ukrainian government, spoken only a few weeks ago, be an instrument of Russian propaganda?

    Do you expect people to empty their brains and never recall anything that's been said?



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,924 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Odd comment to pickup on. I wasn't referencing any claim, I was pointing to another poster's comment that some individuals have a tendency to fall for Russian propaganda.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,741 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    This stuff is beyond parody. The Russians are complaining that Ukraine may have attacked (allegedly) their border.




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  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 14,502 Mod ✭✭✭✭johnnyskeleton


    At the risk of being flippant, what exactly are Russia going to do about it? If they do nothing, its licence for Ukraine to actually invade Russia. If they threaten to use nuclear weapons, we all know thats a bluff. They might try another mobilisation, but to be honest they couldve done that anyway, and didnt need the excuse.

    The Russians are too fond of the media game, and people are becoming immune to it



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,741 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Ide say if Ukraine don't stop Russia might invade.

    But seriously Russia moaning about this is like going to the Gardai because the guy you beat up also got a few punches in.

    It's pathetic and will only play with the people who are already stupid enough to be fooled by Putin.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,812 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    Looks like bahkmut is close to being retaken by the Russians.

    the Ukrainians gave it their old, fair dues



  • Registered Users Posts: 744 ✭✭✭Heraclius




  • Registered Users Posts: 12,812 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    Wasn’t it in Russian hands before the Ukrainians took it back?



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,304 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Nope, it's never been in Russian hands, you my be thinking of Kherson in the south.




  • Registered Users Posts: 7,108 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    Not in this conflict no. In 2014 the "rebels" briefly held it but the Ukrainian army took it back off them.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,812 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    Ok my bad, I was fully sure that it was in Russian hands and the Ukrainians took it back.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,422 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    That's a scenario that could play out in the coming months...

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The thing about bakhmut is Ukrainan artillery and drones have been used to great effect for the last 7 months,30/40,000 dead Russians that will be retaken whenever the big counter offensive begins,the Ukrainans already have it dialed in for artillery strikes can't see any large number of Russian forces being able to freely move once all Ukrainans withdraw,



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  • Registered Users Posts: 507 ✭✭✭Antipathetic


    The Russians claimed to have taken down a MQ9 drone close to Crimea according to the statements that they released it was taken down without weapons and without a mid-air collision

    So sounds like they either bought it down like the Iranians did to a American drone using electronic means or the Russian jet simply flew close to the drone and caused it to go out of control and crash by using the wake turbulance generated from its wings and engines.

    Don't let the terrorists in Israel win. Please donate to UNRWA now!

    https://donate.unrwa.org/-landing-page/en_EN



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,108 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    Given the Russian MoD's track record of stating that black is white and up is down that's probably exactly what did not happen.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,884 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    I believe they were initially claiming not to have gone near the US drone, before the usual MO of kind of smirkingly admitting it in the end (I think they think this lying stuff is clever or something).

    Now saying they are going to salvage wreckage of the drone.

    It's an interesting event anyway, the information being collected by NATO/US in such flights and passed to Ukraine must be bugging them something fierce to start taking risks like this.😘



  • Registered Users Posts: 478 ✭✭Run Forest Run


    Strange when you think about it...

    We've been told for a solid 12 months now, that Russia have been getting a big old royal a$$ kicking on the battlefield.

    So if that was the case, why would they be close to taking anything? Very peculiar war, where the side that is apparently being humiliated on the battlefield is close to taking key territory!



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,668 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Its not key territory. It is a medium sized town with a pre-war population of 70,000 - i.e. fewer than the number of Russians that have died in Ukraine so far.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,324 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    You're replying to a post from 2 weeks ago, which in of itself is instructive about how well Bahkmut is going for Russia. Their losses are mounting and wasn't for noting Putin had to mobilise more troops from around Russia. Humiliation is apt when a country exponentially larger WRT soldiers and sheer logistics has struggled to take a country it presumed would fall in days. Not for the first time Russia has failed to tame a country it was ostensibly superior to.

    As Podge notes Bahkmut is not of extreme strategic importance to warrant this focus; but Putin is pushing a lot of corpses - thanks to Wagner basically shouldering the burden - into what's increasingly looking like a folly. One with somewhat crude parallels with another great battle around an otherwise innocuous city that refused to fall. Albeit this time Russia isn't the country digging in and trying to outlast the invader; Putin might be careful this isn't his Stalingrad for the wrong reasons..if Bahkmut falls it'll be a Pyrrhic Victory for the ages.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,209 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    I think the Ukranians are happy enough to hold on in Bahkmut because they're probably killing 3 or 4 Russians for every one of them that dies. How many people can Putin realistically send to die at the front before it starts to cause problems domestically?



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,324 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Once Putin starts mobilising the affluent Moscow sons and suchlike, then you might see proper unrest. IIRC there's lopsided proportion of rural regions and ethnicities making up the Ukraine losses, Putin knowing full well if they start sending the powerful's children he's in trouble.

    Post edited by pixelburp on


  • Registered Users Posts: 478 ✭✭Run Forest Run


    But why would they be close to taking ANYTHING, if they are in fact getting their a$$es handed to them in this war in spectacular fashion? It's a very simple and logical question to ask.

    We've been told for many months now, just how superior the Ukrainians are on the battlefield compared with their Russian counterparts. And we can see the effort that they have been putting in to hold on to Bahkmut... they're giving it everything they have. Yet the inferior Russians appear to be getting the better of them.

    It would be different if the narrative was that this is a 50/50 war, with both sides having success and failures... but that's certainly not the narrative being spun by the western propagandists. The Ukrainians are vastly superior in practically every way imaginable, and the Russians are embarrassingly useless apparently...

    It's interesting to see this rhetoric being rolled back now... And it's not a trivial matter either.

    Public and political support for this military adventurism from the west, is to a large extent reliant on what the projected outcome will likely be. If people realise they are being lied to about how this conflict is actually progressing, they're not going to be very happy about supporting some never ending crusade to defeat Russia. There is a relatively small but loud minority in the west who are enjoying and cheering on this ugly blood-fest... most people in the west would prefer some sort of negotiated peace.

    And the political pressure for this is just going to keep growing bigger as time goes on... particularly as we get closer to the next US election.



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,324 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Moscow thought Kyiv would fall in days, such that the advance troops carried dress uniform for the presumed parade. They have barely made any gains in the months beyond the original territories that fell. By any reasonable metric the invasion has failed - because it's key goal has failed, looks unlikely to succeed and at very best at this stage, have got into a Sunk Cost slugfest with an opponent with more to fight for.

    Everything else is just hyperbole. If you want to talk "logic" then consider the goals of the invasion, the losses and relativity of the conflict - not emotive rhetoric you're pulling from thin air. Nobody's rolling back anything except the reality that Russia can throw more bodies at the problem, Ukraine can't and you have stalemate. If you want to talk logic then consider how Bahkmut has become a point of fixation in Moscow despite questionable strategic value. If you want to be logical then ask yourself what Ukraine's goals here are.

    If you have stats showing a waning level of support then by all accounts present it - but a US election that's still the guts of 2 years away is irrelevant. 2 years is a long time, this war is only a year old. Especially as we don't know who Boden will face. Or indeed who the GOP candidates are.



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