FF/FG/Green Government - Part 3 - Threadbanned User List in OP

You haven't explained anywhere what O'Gorman is doing to knowingly going against the wishes of the people and how he personally is distressing communities far and wide across Ireland. Even if you could do that, and you can't, there is still a leap from there to why he deserves personal abuse.

Remember this Government was elected by a majority of the people and has a democratic mandate to carry out its actions.

Did anyone hear that interview with the exasperated A&E consultant on Drivetime? It was tough to listen to it and he said he is sick of coming on the radio to beg for more bed capacity year after year, month after month. He sounded angry with the conditions staff have to work in.

Latest on Trolleys in case people think the problem has vanished.

Hospital overcrowding 'out of control once again' as 651 wait on trolleys (breakingnews.ie)

The level of overcrowding in Irish hospitals is "out of control once again", the Irish Nurses and Midwives Organisation (INMO) has said, as 651 patients were waiting for a hospital bed on Wednesday morning.

I find it hard to believe that 84% of people would not be in favour of regulating Social Media to prevent online abuse. Do you have a link to that poll please?

FF down 4 in latest Sunday Times poll, journalist attributes it to eviction ban and general housing situation.

SDs up 2 but little other movement

Green Party suspends Neasa Hourigan for 15 months - she should leave go Independent

Her only opportunity to be re-elected is as Mary-Lou's running mate.

The coalition of chaos look very uncaring with the timing. Purely political decision with timing to minimise vote damage.

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/2023/03/23/holly-cairns-says-our-generation-is-worse-off-than-parents-but-what-about-the-huge-benefits-from-modernity/

IT rolling out a young female, who well knows the game, to counter Holly. Naturally not a subscriber but I'm sure Finn made a compelling argument that waving flags and going on identity marches is just as important as housing/health.

Ofc we all know Finn's father is ex-head TV3 & An Post and mother is a very active FG'er. LOL!!

Think that it is a RedC poll due on Sunday. Its methodology normally underestimates FF's support due to FF supporters being strongest in older demographics and not particularly liking online polling. It will be interesting to see if there's an increase in the SocDem support. Both Ireland Thinks/Sindo and B&A/Sunday Times showed an increase for the SocDems. The Indo seems to be drifting away from its old Daily Blueshirt image and seems to be giving a lot of favourable coverage to Holly Cairns and the SocDems. Poor Labour is struggling to get a mention these days. That B&A loss for FF (-4%) could have FFGers quite nervous because it could translate into a bad result for FF in the RedC poll. (Wouldn't be surprised to see FF around 13%) The decision on the eviction ban could also affect FFG support.

Regards...jmcc

As mentioned, lots of people already know this and so zero digging required! This is why the govmt/media hate social media so much because they are no longer able to deliver the truth from on high ;-)

Latest REdC poll, surprisingly little change TBH, given it was taken at the height of the Eviction Ban furore.

Guess that some FFers will be checking their property portfolios as they contemplate the next GE. FF on 15% would see it struggling to get 20 seats. It looks like the Holly Cairns/SocDem increase has been seen across all three pollsters. Labour is pining for the fjords. The Greens are victims of political climate change at 3%. They'll struggle to hold that many seats. FG will be absolutely chuffed at that 1% increase despite the MoE being +/- 3%. If FF is really on 15% (it is a RedC poll and it always under estimates FF support) then this will impact FG as well because FF transfers may not be available to get FG TDs elected.

Regards...jmcc

FF and FG may well experience a Fratricide Effect that will cause them to lose more seats than their support figures would suggest. This is because the transfers that FF or FG candidates need to get elected will stay locked in too long over multiple counts so that they act as deadweights to the strongest FF or FG candidate getting elected. Too many FF and FG candidates may be fighting for the same seats. (This Fratricide Effect already happened in the 2020 GE.)

The electorate has begun to think of FF and FG as a single party and the pattern of transfers in the recent GEs suggest that FF and FG transfers from outside FF and FG voters has also being declining. It may be the equivalent of an FG 2002 scenario playing out on FF and FG. While FG's decline in support in 2002 was not large, it caused damage far out of proprtion to the decline. The only way that FF and FG could offset the problem is to merge before the next GE. The SocDems, from their rhetoric, don't particularly like FF or FG. They certainly don't like Labour.

Regards...jmcc

A transfer pact would surely help? Varadkar and Donohoe have floated the idea but got slapped down by FF. I wonder could FF's attitude change if they continue flatlining in the mid teens.

Even as things stand, they're in or around the numbers to form another government, depending on what small parties and independents want to do. An extra four or five seats could make all the difference...

Bacik being interviewed on ‘The Week in Politics’. I don’t think She has answered one question She has been asked by Áine Lawlor - so far.