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Is it time to join Nato

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,184 ✭✭✭85603




  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Well what's the alternative the united states of the Kremlin or Beijing.

    Our neutrality means feck all it's not some magic shield that will protect us if the world goes tits up ,

    Don't lads sure won't the British or Americans come to save us ,

    The British military is in a bad way and would struggle to defend themselves let alone us or anyone else,in a recent study on the invasion of Taiwan whenever china decides to make a move the US would lose a large amount of the military in a week including aircraft carriers and several hundred aircraft,

    So yeah place your bets on how long we would last before anyone else gets saved from any foreign aggression,

    We're not ukraine,if Ukrainans didn't stand up when they did the war currently in Ukraine would have been the war in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova pick your destination.

    Neutrality is a skirt for cowards to hide behind when they expect others to die for them



  • Registered Users Posts: 676 ✭✭✭Esho


    If the government had any interest in defence - apart from a soft target to implement budget cuts - they would create a cyber defense force to contribute.

    Otherwise I agree- it would be just specialized training and warm bodies.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,184 ✭✭✭85603


    Malta.

    Montenegro.

    Slovenia.

    I keep on having to tell you, we're an EU/csdp member.

    Thats a nuclear armed group, with way more conventional, diplomatic, and financial power than Rus.

    And we have an opt out to csdp too.

    We're in a kind of plasma flux state between neutral and a future EU military coalition. Its the best of both worlds, and we'd do well not to fvck it up with any changes.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,184 ✭✭✭85603


    The British* and the Americans can both fvck off.

    *Unless UK asks nicely to rejoin.

    Edit: oh yes, and the Russians too. Before you try that usual angle.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,659 ✭✭✭ittakestwo


    The US has foreign territory in the Pacific where Japan wanted to invade. It was preemptive attack on the US navy as japan thought they would go to war with them should they start going shopping in the Pacific. Completely no relevance to Ireland.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    So who's coming to protect you ,

    Yanks out, British out,the french aren't won't be arsed and the Germans are ****.

    Suppose you could emigrate



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,666 ✭✭✭charlie_says


    Ireland joining NATO would be a game changer! 😂



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,184 ✭✭✭85603


    This whole thing about Russians invading is nonsense. The EU would respond as a whole. It would have to. Attacking a member is a throwdown to the integrity of the whole union.

    Either EU responds in full upon 1 member being attacked, or the defense policy is seen as meaningless, which causes doubt throughout the whole system. And about all other policies.

    So yes I could see immediate aid from France, and Germany, and Italy, Spain and all EU members.

    They (we) have done a great deal for Ukraine, a non-EU country, so for EU member countries even more could be expected.

    Russia would have to sail like 2000km to try this anyway. Its just not in touch with reality.

    We have about 10,000 uniformed personnel, 100+ armored vehicles. And there must be 500,000 fit for various services. Full local support for transport, production, food, shelter, repair and medical. The advantage of defending. The morale of no possible escape or surrender.

    It would likely be impossible for Russia. Its nonsense. Its boards.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    They done and are doing a lot for ukraine because if Ukraine falls other countries will follow ,

    If we're attacked by anyone expect a strongly worded speech at the UN rapidly followed by Statements of well if only they had invested in the defense of their own country then they wouldn't be in this mess,

    Followed by Ireland should sit down and negotiate a settlement,

    Haven't mentioned Russia ,but hey keep bringing it up .

    And less 10,000 poorly payed and equipped soldiers with zero heavy artillery, armor, aircraft or radars,a naval service which can't provide crews the handful of vessels we actually have,and you think you can find another 500,000 men capable of fighting a war ,a few days of snow and the country comes to a total stand still, followed by a sudden lack of food in shops and super markets ,how many days to you think we would last in an actual war ,



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,184 ✭✭✭85603




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,416 ✭✭✭Zico


    I'm learning how to converse here without tripping any things that go off.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,416 ✭✭✭Zico


    I do my own research. You're facts don't matter.



  • Registered Users Posts: 510 ✭✭✭AerLingus747


    Sweden and Finland were that confident in that untested EU mutual defence mechanism that they decided not to join NATO



  • Registered Users Posts: 510 ✭✭✭AerLingus747




  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,666 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    They were in our economic zone, not "our waters" by any definition. The Admiral Kuznetsov has sailed far closer to the British coast than it ever has to the Irish one.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,666 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl




  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,666 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Ukraine and Georgia were neutral

    They also border Russia...



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,666 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I remain moderately open to joining NATO. I think it represents a commitment to Western values but a largely symbolic gesture. It would have zero realistic impact on our defensive posture. There is a reason no one has ever invaded Ireland except through Britain.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    I see Norway, Sweden and Denmark have now combined their airforces into one united airforce, why despite two of the three being NATO members and the third on their way to membership,

    Not that we could do something similar being we have No airforce or primary radar and zero air defenses,and zero naval defenses



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,666 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    The largest threat to Ireland, as it has been for the last 1,000 years, is invasion and subjugation by the UK. This is the reality of our geography. I do not think this is a particularly likely event.

    The Nordic countries have other concerns that they are rightfully addressing.



  • Registered Users Posts: 510 ✭✭✭AerLingus747


    What people are overlooking is the saboteur aspect ... while not troops and artillery ... Ireland is hugely vulnerable to destructive saboteur actions, which have mostly been kept at bay in Europe due to the majority of nations being in NATO and destructive saboteur actions being seen as a potential trigger for article 5 (now including comms infrastructure).

    There is nothing stopping anyone doing such actions in Ireland, getting diplomatic immunity in the Russian embassy and all that could be done is dismissal of diplomats and an increase of EU sanctions..

    With a lack of coastal and aerial monitoring and protection, there is nothing stopping nefarious actors entering Ireland through non-standard means.

    Ireland is a very soft target, and Russian likes soft targets.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,666 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    There is nothing stopping anyone doing such actions in Ireland, getting diplomatic immunity in the Russian embassy and all that could be done is dismissal of diplomats and an increase of EU sanctions..

    Well, apart from getting caught before getting to the Russian embassy. Nonetheless, there was zero talk of e.g. the Nordstream explosion triggering Article 5 if it was shown to be Russia who did it. I don't think there is any chance sabotage would start a war.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    Being a NATO member won't do anything to protect from that kind of attack. Neither will having a navy, jets or the threat of nuclear weapons in response.


    Those kind of attacks are done remotely, or by being undetected or having plausible deny ability of whoever carrys it out and every country is vulnerable to such attacks.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    It still helps to have the ability to detect and deter such attacks ,

    Rather than burying our heads in the sand and saying don't worry the Brits will save us ...



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    Yes.

    How does being in NATO help with detection?



  • Registered Users Posts: 510 ✭✭✭AerLingus747


    Nordstream wasn't the Russian's though and the UK and Norway have been very vocal that any attack on North Sea oil and gas infrastructure, along with UK and France mentioning comms infrastructure is a basis for triggering article 5.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,159 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    The most likely invader is still the UK (very unlikely at present but who knows). Russia is even more unlikely but in certain circumstances they could land and seize certain assets of use to them (perhaps for a short time) in a war. We should have a certain capability to deter and make such events very costly to any aggressor.



  • Registered Users Posts: 510 ✭✭✭AerLingus747


    Permission to track and survey potential enemy assets in and around Irish territory along with shared intelligence on said assets...



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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    28 /30 military intelligence gathering commands , combined with various federal laws enforcement agencies working together,are a powerful intelligence community,

    We are on our own, we can't detect aircraft, Naval vessels, ships or boats ,let alone detect and deter any kind of sabotage or attack on vital infrastructure.



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