Spring 2023 - General Discussion

Finally it's not raining, sun shining over saturated and waterlogged fields/ditches. We need weeks and weeks of much dryer than average conditions after the March deluge.

While second half of January and much of February where dryer than normal, it didn't take long for the March deluge to cause saturated land because I reckon the land was never completely dry after such a prolonged and wet autumn and this was followed by another very wet spell mid winter which lasted about 3 to 4 weeks.

There is some dryer weather on the way to us now but we need weeks for it to have any sort of impact or else we will be in trouble again soon if we were to go back to a deluge Atlantic onslaught within the next 2 weeks.

Unfortunately no signs of any warmth over the next 2 weeks. This week will become more unsettled before drying out for the Easter weekend and we turn cool and unsettled again after Easter weekend. April looks like it's going to be very average, quite wet at times and on the cool side. April is unlikely to be as excessively wet as March as we have already had a few dry days to begin the month and there will be a few dry days over easter. As far as dry spells go this is looking rather flimsy with low pressures from the Atlantic always having a go at interrupting the dry weather.

There may be a warmer push in the second half of April. Deep into FI, the models have been playing around with the idea of a cut off low to the west of Portugal with high pressure further east over Europe which would send a direct southerly our way, this is the sort of pattern that would deliver a heat spike during the summer, however this is a long way out and probably won't verify.