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General Irish politics discussion thread

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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,747 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    It is down to the choice between a party that is very unlikley to achieve its housing promises, and a pair of partites that have proven themselves to have no genuine interest into even starting to address the problem.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Yes, I think this will be what it comes down to. Intent.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,511 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    But is a party that advances policies that are unlikely to succeed truly displaying intent, or merely displaying the desire to appear to have an intent which, in fact, they may not have?

    After all, if a partly truly intends to achieve X, wouldn't you expect it to advance policies likely to achieve X?



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Well, they then join the list of those who failed to fufill their promises. And lose support.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,511 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    I guess my question is, do you have to wait for that? If a party is advancing a policy that ostensibly addresses an issue that the public is concerned about, but that when you think about it is very unlikely to address that issue effectively, I don't think you have to wait for the policy to fail before you draw conclusions that might affect how you vote. Either the party is cynically advancing the policy in an attempt to attract the votes of people concerned about the issue but it has no intention of doing anything effective about the issue, or it has stupidly failed to recognise what is obvious to you — that the policy will be ineffective.

    I should add that I'm not talking about SF housing policy in particular here; just making the point in general. But if housing is something you're particularly concerned about, then your expectation of SF or any other party should not simply be that they will have a housing policy, but that they will have a housing policy that is likely to be effective.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Not sure what you are asking here.

    If you think their policy will fail, don't vote for them. Seems fairly simple.

    If you think, like I currently do, that at least they will attempt to do it better and will put the citizen first, then vote for it. Because voting for more of the same is not an option really. I did that already in 2011 and 2016.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,911 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    I intend to win the Euromillions.

    Probably have a better chance of that than Sinn Fein being a success in government.

    Intent is nothing.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,911 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Branches of the Chinese Communist Party nominate their leader too. They then have to be elected at a conference.

    It appears to be a very similar process to the one set out for Sinn Fein.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    We 'intend' to win the Euromillions, but we forgot to spend the money on a ticket.




  • Registered Users Posts: 26,511 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    The key point is that Pommiebast susggest that SF is "very unlikely to achieve its housing promises". If you disagree with Pommiebast think SF's housing policy is in fact likely to prove effective then obviously you will vote for them, but that wasn't your response to Pommiebast; your response was, effectively, "it comes down to intent", which I took to mean "at least SF is concerned about housing policy; they are willing to try something the other parties won't".

    My suggestion is that a party advancing a policy that is unlikely to achieve may, in fact, not be concerned; they just hope to attract the votes of those who are. If they were really concerned they would advance a policy likely to achieve.

    The alternative explanation for advancing a policy unlikely to achieve is that a party is simply incompetent — they can't see that their policy is unlikely to achieve. That may acquit them of the charge of cynicism, but you'll agree that it's not much of a basis for voting for them.

    So, if you share Pommiebast's view that SF's current policy is unlikely to be effective, you shouldn't be committing your vote to SF. You should be making it clear to SF that your vote is there for the taking, but if they want to take it they are going to have to do better on the policy front.

    To be clear, I don't have strong views one way or the other on the likely effectiveness of SF's housing policy. My go-to example of a party cynically advancing a policy that they know will be ineffective but think will be popular would be the Tory policy of performative cruelty towards asylum-seekers. But I would say that the temptation to advance probably popular but probably ineffective policies is particularly strong for parties in opposition, since they are not used to being called to account for the effectiveness of their policy proposals, and they see it as something that can only happen after they have won the election, which is what mainly interests them right now.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Seems to me to be more like the FG system.

    The membership can be ignored and the leader is elected by powers assumed by a central committe.

    By custom the party leader has either been elected by the CCP Central Committee or the Central Politburo.[1]


    P.S. If members of FG are happy with this system then so be it. I'm not a member of FG so it has no real effect on me, just don't tell me it is democratic in a membership context.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    To take this position, you first have to agree with Pommiebast's view that they are 'very unlikely to achieve its housing promises'.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,511 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    A point I make myself — if you think SF policy is likely to be effective and beneficial, of course you'll vote for SF.

    But when Pommiebast put that position, you didn't respond with any expression of confidence in the effectiveness of SF policy; you said it was SF's intent that mattered. And that's the point I was picking up on.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    No, I said: 'I think that is what it will come down to. Intent'.

    I.E. That is how I think the vote in general will go. I didn't say anything about my own views.

    I gave FG two elections cycles to fulfill their 'intent' to introduce reformative new politics. They failed abjectly. Therefoe they won't qualify for a vote from me regardless of specific policy's.

    My vote will be (and I have stated this before) intended to end the grip on power of the two main parties - FG and FF. If the Soc Dems emerge as being the best chance of achieving that, then my vote will switch to them. I think there are many like me tbh.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,330 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Election of leaders in FG is a lot more democratic than in SF anyway. Has SF not had only 2 leaders in 40 years, the last one appointed unopposed behind closed doors in Belfast? I shudder to think what other decision about women like Jean McConville were made behind closed doors in Belfast. Democratic? No, I do not think so.

    In other news / Irish politics, seeing as we had three Russian cable maintenance type vessels operating suspiciously off our west coast near the new subsea communication cables, which connect western Europe to North America, I wonder have we rounded up enough sailors to launch a single naval vessel of our own to monitor them or deter them yet? As of a few days ago, not one can be launched. We do not have enough sailors to crew one single ship and put it to sea when needed. They are all ashore, even though our navy costs us a fortune annually. As an island nation, that is really superb. Not.

    https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-41109211.html

    Bit of an embarassment to the EU that we cannot even launch a ship to monitor suspicous activity off our own coast, especially with the leader of the free world coming here shortly. We are the weak link here in the west. Whats the bets communications between the 2 continents may be disrupted in a week or two? Its not as if Russia and the US are not at loggerheads over Ukraine, to put it mildly, and there was another underwater incident closer to Ukraine not too long ago.

    And the importance of the cable the Russians were over? Someone else summarised it well: "Beyond the basic necessity of statehood, a lot of Ireland's economy relies on those transatlantic data cables, which don't just run through the Irish EEZ, but actually connect to Ireland's own communication cable network. Much of our GDP is generated by US companies, both in the tech and other sectors, and the massive loss of data connectivity that would happen if those cables were damaged would have serious effects on the Irish economy. And even if we were to divest ourselves from these multinationals, the extent to which our daily lives depend on a secure data connection would still leave us desperately vulnerable. The same loss of connectivity that would hit Ireland in case of an attack would also affect continental Europe, as a lot of their data traffic takes the same route. And the antennas at Ireland's National Space Centre in Midleton, together with the satellites they link to, simply don't offer enough bandwidth to compensate for the loss of the cables. 

    Russia, and before it the USSR, has demonstrated their proficiency with deep submergence underwater operations in the past. They're easily capable of getting divers down to those communications cables in order to cut them, either from surface ships, or from "special projects" submariners, such as BS-136 "Orenburg" or K-329 "Belgorod"., so it's not as if the threat to these cables is purely theoretical. They are very much a valid, and vulnerable, target. More in general though, Ireland as a whole is a weak spot in NATO's defense, one that can be easily exploited and that is currently unable to defend itself, should someone be looking to exploit that weak spot."



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    the last one appointed unopposed behind closed doors in Belfast?

    Time has come to put up some back up for this old myth.

    Mary Lou was the only person to put her name forward for the position, she was the clear frontrunner and favourite, with a few others mentioned as possible competitors.

    Look at a situation where the NI leader was challenged by somebody prepared to put their name forward, i.e. John O'Dowd and Michelle O'Neill...what happened? Normal party politics.

    A vote was held and MoN won that by 493 votes to 241 votes.


    Your turn now to back up what you are saying.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,330 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Only 2 leaders in 40 years. "Ms McDonald was confirmed as the sole nominee for the position following a party meeting in Belfast"

    What do you think of the Russians hovering over the subsea cables off our west coast? I know SF are very slow if ever to criticise the Russians, so just curious. Do you think our navy should have put a ship to sea to investigate them - they say they had not enough sailors to man a ship and a defence person said everyone from the Kremlin to the Kinahins are laughing at them. If SF were in power, do you think would we congratulate the Russians on helping come to fight the imperialist powers of capitalist UK and US, or what?



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    That simply isn't back up for this claim:

    the last one appointed unopposed behind closed doors in Belfast?

    Your 'back up' article clearly states that after a nomination process,(nominations closed the day before) one nominee (the long time favourite) was going forward to be ratified or not at the Ard Fheis.

    Re: The Russians, there seemed to be plenty of footage taken from the air, monitoring what they were doing. I believe they were trolling the EU and the UK. They've been at it for years.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,330 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    So 40 years with just 2 leaders appointed unopposed in secret is ok then.

    As regards the Russians, who I do not recall you or your comrades ever condemning even when they invaded Ukraine, sure they are a grand bunch of lads ? Nice socialist folk like ourselves?

    However, do you understand what the Russian cable maintenance ships were doing loitering over the sub sea cables? Do you understand, as explained before, a lot of Ireland's economy relies on those transatlantic data cables, which don't just run through the Irish EEZ, but actually connect to Ireland's own communication cable network. Much of our GDP is generated by US companies, both in the tech and other sectors, and the massive loss of data connectivity that would happen if those cables were damaged would have serious effects on the Irish economy. And even if we were to divest ourselves from these multinationals, the extent to which our daily lives depend on a secure data connection would still leave us desperately vulnerable. The same loss of connectivity that would hit Ireland in case of an attack would also affect continental Europe, as a lot of their data traffic takes the same route.

    They may be grand socialist folk like yourself, and anti-imperialist all the better like your good self, and sure we sent up a little plane to wave at them from the air ( I wonder did they wave back or is it true they all done moonies at us?), but you do not think their subs or divers would have any interest ever in interfering with the sub sea cables? Not even when Biden visits?



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Once again, I didn't bother reading beyond the still unbacked up bit.

     2 leaders appointed unopposed in secret 



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,330 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Seems to be a bit of secrecy in how SF leaders "emerge" and how only 2 have "emerged" in the past 40 years. The last one announced after a meeting in Belfast, no minutes of the meeting or anything. If you think that is as usual or as transparent as other political parties in these islands, then that is what you think.

    I said "as regards the Russians, who I do not recall you or your comrades ever condemning even when they invaded Ukraine, sure they are a grand bunch of lads ? Nice socialist folk like ourselves?"

    "However, do you understand what the Russian cable maintenance ships were doing loitering over the sub sea cables? Do you understand, as explained before, a lot of Ireland's economy relies on those transatlantic data cables, which don't just run through the Irish EEZ, but actually connect to Ireland's own communication cable network. Much of our GDP is generated by US companies, both in the tech and other sectors, and the massive loss of data connectivity that would happen if those cables were damaged would have serious effects on the Irish economy. And even if we were to divest ourselves from these multinationals, the extent to which our daily lives depend on a secure data connection would still leave us desperately vulnerable. The same loss of connectivity that would hit Ireland in case of an attack would also affect continental Europe, as a lot of their data traffic takes the same route.

    They may be grand socialist folk like yourself, and anti-imperialist all the better like your good self, and sure we sent up a little plane to wave at them from the air ( I wonder did they wave back or is it true they all done moonies at us?), but you do not think their subs or divers would have any interest ever in interfering with the sub sea cables? Not even when Biden visits?"



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    No Francis, you are making things up again.

    No 'leader' was announced after a meeting.

    A 'nominee' was announced at a press conference and that nominee went forward to the Ard Fheis where the membership ratified her. Then she became leader.

    No interest in discussing the Russians here. Plenty of threads already doing that.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,330 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    My point was ""Ms McDonald was confirmed as the sole nominee for the position following a party meeting in Belfast" and I gave you the link.

    How come only 2 leaders have "emerged" in the past 40 years. The last one after a meeting in Belfast, no minutes of the meeting or anything. If you think that is as usual or as transparent as other political parties in these islands, then that is what you think.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    They had a meeting to assess who had been nominated...the 'nominations closed the day before', stop willfully misinterpreting facts with edgy words..

    All parties have 'meetings' without some sinister implication.

    Where are the 'minutes' from this meeting for instance?

    Can we call it 'secret' or 'anything'?




  • Registered Users Posts: 4,548 ✭✭✭political analyst


    Varadkar mentioned factors that make it more difficult to build new dwellings, i.e. rising cost of materials, labour shortage. Covid and the war in Ukraine have played a part.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,330 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Whataboutery. Re SF, how come only 2 leaders have "emerged" in the past 40 years? The last one after a meeting in Belfast? No other nominations? If you think that is as usual or as transparent as other political parties in these islands, then that is what you think.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,848 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I'll leave you to the slanting.

    If you find some back-up, get back to us.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,330 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    If you find a third or fourth leader in the past 40 years, get back to us.

    Post edited by Francis McM on


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 39,750 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Mod: I'm tired reading through various threads being used as sticks to attack SF.

    You've all made your points now move on and let's have a discussion for everyone and not just tit-for-tat bickering about SF.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,715 ✭✭✭eire4


    To throw my 2 cents in when it comes to housing. For me it is an absolute disgrace that the current government and previous ones since the 2008 financial crisis have refused to ban foreign cuckoo funds from buying up Irish housing. Banning them is a real tangible step that could be taken very quickly.



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