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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 16,612 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Sending UN peacekeepers and taking all troops out of disputed territory is about the only ceasefire possible.

    russia won't accept any ceasefire where Ukraine doesn't give up a lot of their land and leaves russia ready to strike again when it wants as well as denies Ukraine access to arms.

    Thus russia will continue to decimate both it's own economy and army while the world watches and NATO becomes more and more powerful.

    If putin was reasonable, he'd have withdrawn after the 3 day plan spectacularly failed, he'd still have his oil money, but I suspect that he needs a foreign war to have an excuse to keep the russian people afraid to speak out against him.

    Would the posters who want a ceasefire or peace accept the UN moving in and russia moving out?



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,612 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    If you want to keep your posts, there is no point quoting them, they're here to wind up others and send them off to get "answers". Your posts will be deleted in the cleanup.



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,612 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has been ongoing since 2014. The conflict began when Russia annexed Crimea from Ukraine and supported separatists in eastern Ukraine. The conflict has been fueled by a number of factors including historical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, ethnic divisions within Ukraine, and geopolitical interests.

    While it is true that many Ukrainians are native Russian speakers, this does not mean that they support Russian aggression against Ukraine. In fact, many Ukrainians have been fighting against Russian-backed separatists in eastern Ukraine for years. It is important to remember that the conflict in Ukraine is not simply a matter of language or ethnicity, but rather a complex geopolitical issue that requires a nuanced understanding of history, politics, and culture.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,512 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    One could hardly read too much into the language issue. Michael Collins couldn't speak a word of Irish, despite being regarded as on of Ireland's great patriots and revolutionaries.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,440 ✭✭✭jmreire


    When the Ukraine Government is good and ready to talk, then they will talk, and not before. It will be their decision and theirs's alone to make. And rightly so!



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Putin does want to own Ukraine, yes. This may not be the aim of another hypothetical Russian leader and Russia is a nation of individuals who will all have their own opinions on the matter which may or may not align with that of Putin, but Putin is leader of Russia, is in charge of its political direction and does want to own Ukraine, at least in the case where Ukraine wants to diverge from Russia.

    Your reasoning on language could be used to say that Irish people are really English. You would find widespread disagreement on that assertion, if made. Look at behaviour rather than words: the Ukrainian people have fiercely resisted Russkiy mir. Ask yourself why that's happening. Clue: it's not because they're just confused Russians.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,652 ✭✭✭greenpilot


    Pity. You're giving away your age with this post. You had a good point, but then your post became teenagey, Genx nonsense. Have a coffee, eat some fruit, walk up and down the road outside for 10 minutes and try it again. You're letting us down here.


    Lol.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users Posts: 2,578 ✭✭✭Field east


    Has ‘the West’ not presented him with a number of options as to how to get his gearbox fixed and he has refused them all to date?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,578 ✭✭✭Field east


    the only problem with all of this is that Moscovy do not honour any agreements they are part of. There are numerous PRECIDENT eg Moscovy agreeing to never attack Ukr if Ukr Give up their nuclear weapons



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,858 ✭✭✭Rawr


    So there was another forum troll screaming for talks.

    It will be interesting to see if this will be the continuing trend in their scripts going forward.

    “Let’s get them to talk!” “No more killing!” “Putin and Zelensky can be reasonable” “Common Since!!l”

    I can of course be wrong about this, but my takeaway is that the Russians now know they’re peaked in this fight and will be lucky to hold their current creeping advance across Donbass. They are devouring their own army by fighting a professional AFU defence, and they must be concerned what a professional AFU offensive might do to them. If the Russians are very unlucky, a breakthrough anywhere on the lines might result in their Bakmut forces getting encircled and taken out.

    The Kremlin now wants to appeal to the West’s hippy peacenik ways and inject the idea that talks are needed. Talks…so they can hold onto what they have, and buy time. Never mind them starting this conflict needlessly. Never mind the innocent lives destroyed in its execution. Never mind Putin’s leaked plans to systematically exterminate undesirable elements in Ukraine, which I fear Bucha etc.. was just a preview of. Never mind any of elements that put Putin’s Russia into the same category as Hitler’s Germany or Pol Pot’s Cambodia. We should talk “peace” with him, as if that word had any value to him what so ever.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,578 ✭✭✭Field east


    One major key ,IMO, is that if Putin was disposed, - totally and PERMANENTLY removed from the scene - and his replacement showed some signs of wanting to bring an end to this madness then things might open up



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,578 ✭✭✭Field east


    We are being taken down another rabbit hole here by La-bev - a classical case of deflection, etc, etc, etc, etc. This Russian speaking thing has been flogged a few times in this thread and yet it is being brought up again. What has language FUNDAMENTALLY got to do with the present conflict.

    some points on the above

    (1) Donbas , Luhansk and Chrimea - the pro Ukr population —has been targeted and either killed , forced to leave the areas for their own safety or told to f—k off and then planted with people from Moscovy. We then hold a referendum and lo and behold it is passed by a large majority - most want to be part of Moscovy. Simple . ARE WE BEING TAKEN AS FOOLS?

    (2) the English language is 100% associated with the UK so the UK have every right to attack any English speaking country- , The USA , NZ and Australia immediately comes to mind as do a lot of its ex colonies. Cricket, court structures/proceedings, etc, etc - which are very British- as practiced by a lot of the ex colonies further strengthens the ‘RIGHT’ for the UK to attack and take control of these ‘SO CALLED’ countries

    La BEV - will you get up-the-yard and stay there with your tripe. By the way is the main gate at your Orwell Road pad swinging ok again?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,578 ✭✭✭Field east


    I assume you do know that if you are responding to a teenager you need to use teenage language,!!!!!



  • Registered Users Posts: 146 ✭✭Wes M.


    If that defector from Putin's security team is telling the truth about his former boss' self-imposed isolation - he doesn't use a mobile, he doesn't use the Internet, he sees a limited amount of inner-circle people, you wonder who exactly is running the war - after all, the supply of information to him can be held back, skewed, falsified and manipulated to suit any purpose - and we know that Kremlinites are all about self-interests. We're in real John le Carré territory here !



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,612 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    They're gone already, it's why it's not worth quoting them as your post is deleted as well, or if you do, put 0 effort into it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,858 ✭✭✭Rawr


    Gotten into a habit of not quote posting from these trolls for that very reason.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,190 ✭✭✭Patrick2010


    Putins propagandists aren't in the mood for a ceasefire...

    https://twitter.com/Prune602/status/1643109661405589504



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I would say the idea, for one, of barring Ukraine from NATO membership would be off the table now (this is something Zelensky was willing to offer at the outset, and still talks broke down). It would be the only thing preventing Russia from rebuilding its forces and attempting a fresh attack upon Ukraine in years to come.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,424 ✭✭✭Dubh Geannain


    Article trying to assess the heavy guns situation. Here's hoping it proves close to the facts. Only time will tell.


    Russia is running out of the shells that it needs to act like Russia.


    It is still true that Russia has a lot more artillery than Ukraine. However, at this point Ukraine is probably getting more shells per month than Russia. If that’s not true already, it soon will be. By the end of the year, the difference may be 2:1 in Ukraine’s favor. Russia may have a lot more guns, but that won’t matter much if they can’t keep them firing.

    ...



    But the U.S. estimates that Russia’s daily expenditure of artillery is down to one-fourth of what it was just months ago. That’s not just Wagner’s use of artillery. That’s the whole Russian military.

    It’s likely because the estimated rate of 5,000 shells a day now represents a maximum of what Russia can deliver through production and scraping the bottom of its old supply closets. It would not be surprising to see that number continue to decline. After all, 5,000 shells a day represents a burn rate of 150,000 a month—and that’s more than double the high-end estimates for what Russia can produce.

    If Russia’s actual production rate is closer to the 70,000 that some have estimated, their rate of fire will drop to no more than around 2,500 a day. It has to.


    Russia has reportedly gone hat in hand to China for a source of ammo and been rebuffed. Now the rumors suggest that Vladimir Putin is having to beg Kim Jong-il for whatever North Korea can scrape together. What’s clear is that Russia is not going find many other source of 152 mm ammo other than its own factories.




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  • Registered Users Posts: 394 ✭✭Bitcoin


    Time is not on the side of the orcs when it comes to shell production. Western production is only just starting to ramp up.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    6 more mig's coming from Poland

    Via Euronews: Poland pledges more MiG-29 fighter jets to Ukraine




  • Registered Users Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭briany


    You'd think an ex-KGB intelligence officer like Putin would recognise the potential danger of limiting your information feed to such a trickle. It seems that dictators always get themselves trapped in information bubbles and either do not notice or do not care.



  • Registered Users Posts: 394 ✭✭Bitcoin




  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Ukraine needs modern western fighters. Given how competent Ukraine's military has proven to be, I find it extraordinary how armchair experts can blithely proclaim they know Ukraine's military needs better than they do themselves.

    A patriot missile battery costs $1 billion; a SAMP-T $600m. Ukraine could purchase 40-45 Australian F-18s which have modern radars, ECM and targeting pods, including plenty of spares and all the maintainance and support infrastructure for them, for a paltry $200m. That's two squadrons!

    SAM batteries are a very expensive one trick pony. A multirole fighters is an air defense platform that can cover the entire country, fixed SAM batteries can't at anything like a reasonable cost.

    SAM's protecting Kyiv and Odessa can't provide CAS or CAP near or at the frontline and couldn't support offensive action.

    Four senior US generals/Admirals have said Ukraine needs exactly what they themselves know they need and have asked for repeatedly - modern multirole western fighters:

    Admiral James G. Stavridis, former commander-in-chief of NATO forces in Europe

    General Christopher G. Cavoli - current commander-in-chief of NATO forces in Europe

    General Patreus, former Director of the CIA.

    General Ben Hodges, former commander of the U.S. Army in Europe.

    Ukraine needs those western fighters and it's unequivocal.

    Post edited by cnocbui on


  • Registered Users Posts: 394 ✭✭Bitcoin




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,858 ✭✭✭Rawr


    Now that Finland has also joined NATO, the irony of the “Finlandisation” of Ukraine away from membership of the alliance can’t be lost on anyone. Ukraine will likely join the EU down the road. NATO membership might have to wait until they get all their territory back.

    Reason for that is that if Ukraine join with the Russians still occupying pre-2014 land, the entire alliance would nearly be automatically at war with Russia upon Ukraine’s membership. Ukraine could activate NATO’s collective security clause and the alliance would be obliged to engage the Russians. At least some NATO members (cough Turkey cough) would veto on those grounds. I think that’s part of the reason Cyprus can’t join the alliance. NATO would likely be at war with the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus the day afterwards.

    But if Ukraine got everything back, up to the 1991 borders, then membership should happen straight away, and the frontier fortified. I fear in future, no matter what happens, Russia will need to be contained.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    US production is starting to ramp up.

    EU are in the process of debating proposals about ramping up. Rheinmetal have gone on record saying they won't ramp up without orders, and they have no orders, so they have not even begun the process of building new production lines.

    Russia has been increasing artillery shell production 20% annually since 2014. They are not where they need to be but they started the process much sooner and have no red-tape in the way. If someone is slowing things down he gets thrown out a window. They have raw materials and energy in abundance. Right now they are manufacturing ammunition round-the-clock in 3 shifts, while the EU is debating whether to increase production.

    As the West ramps production up, some will go to Ukraine and some will be used to refill the now-empty stockpiles. Russia do not have this luxury (of holding some shells back), everything they make will go to the battlefield.

    It's very unlikely that Ukraine will have artillery parity with Russia in the next 2-3 years.



  • Registered Users Posts: 23,246 ✭✭✭✭Dyr


    It's almost like a collective of European nations capable of acting indepentendly or together is far superior in terms of responsiveness than a outsourcing your decision making and funding to a committtee



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Ukraine won't be joining NATO unless the territory internationally-recognised as Ukraine is entirely free of Russian occupation at the time of accession. However, Ukraine could cede territory to Russia as part of a peace agreement, redrawing Ukraine's borders. Crimea is under de-facto Russian administration. Ukraine could say it's worth losing that territory in exchange for lasting security. This would be a big decision, and it would have a lot of critics, but that's what it may come to, or something like.

    Now, on the other hand, if this counteroffensive goes as well or better than predicted, that may not even be necessary. We hope this can be the case, but if not, and this thing gets bogged down then some kind of negotiation will eventually have to take place.



This discussion has been closed.
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