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Evidence that wealth tax doesn't work

  • 10-04-2023 7:37pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 990 ✭✭✭



    More wealthy people left Norway last year than in the previous 13 years combined due to imposition of wealth tax.

    Rather than raising revenue, it is costing the Norwegian state tens of millions in lost tax receipts.

    Can this end the argument for once and for all about the merits of a wealth tax?

    Just imagine the damage SF will do when they impose it on this country where we are even more dependent on international capital than the Norwegians.. They and other left parties fail to realise that people and capital are internationally mobile.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/apr/10/super-rich-abandoning-norway-at-record-rate-as-wealth-tax-rises-slightly



«1

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,222 ✭✭✭✭Strumms



    PWC only yesterday warned clients to sell assets before SF gets the opportunity to get power… it highlighted the ‘huge threat’ that their tax policies posed for our economy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Great. People dumping their assets should bring down asset price inflation, which has been out of control for the last decade in any case. Particularly real property.

    30 people left Norway, stop the presses. I'm sure the salmon farming magnate will continue his salmon farming endevour from Zurich anyway. It's not like the fish are going to migrate to the Alps. I'm sure Norway will survive.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 129 ✭✭LongfordMB


    Its incredible that this does not seem to be getting through to voters. It might feel good to "hurt the rich" but it does nothing except hurt the country and ultimately everyone.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 129 ✭✭LongfordMB


    People dumping their property means prices are depressed and economic sentiment is lowered which means fewer homes get built ultimately., kerping rents very high. Careful what you wish for.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    For every high-profile wealthy person that throws a strop and leaves and writes an open letter, there's probably ten more that suck-up the tax and don't go anywhere.

    Bizzarely enough, the country these Norwegians are moving to - Switzerland - also imposes a wealth tax. Go figure. Yet it remains a desination for the wealthy.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 129 ✭✭LongfordMB


    What about losing tens of millions of tax revenue? That's real money going to another country now. So enlighten us what is the point of the tax if less money raised?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,041 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Strong evidence that wealth taxes may not work is the fact that very few countries have wealth taxes.

    Here is an OECD report on wealth taxes:


    Foreword

    This report examines and assesses the current and historical use of net wealth taxes, defined as recurrent taxes on individual net assets, in OECD countries. It provides background on the use of wealth taxes over time in OECD countries as well as on trends in income and wealth inequality. It then assesses the case for and against the use of a net wealth tax to raise revenues and reduce inequality, based on efficiency, equity and tax administration considerations. The effects of personal capital income taxes and taxes on wealth transfers are also discussed to understand how these taxes interact with net wealth taxes. Finally, the report looks at practical tax design issues and shows that the way a net wealth tax is designed can have a significant impact on the effectiveness and fairness of the tax. The report concludes with a number of practical tax policy recommendations regarding net wealth taxes.

    This report complements recent OECD work on the taxation of household savings and, more broadly, on tax design for inclusive growth. The report also paves the way for future work focusing, among other areas, on the design of inheritance and capital gains taxes, as well as on the potential use of wealth-testing for broader tax and benefit purposes.


    https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/sites/9789264290303-en/index.html?itemId=/content/publication/9789264290303-en



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,041 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    OECD press release:

    https://www.oecd.org/tax/tax-policy/better-design-of-taxes-on-personal-savings-and-wealth-is-needed-to-support-inclusive-growth.htm


    The Role and Design of Net Wealth Taxes examines the use of net wealth taxes – both currently and historically – across the OECD. It assesses the case for and against the use of net wealth taxes to raise revenue and reduce inequality, but does not call for their introduction. The report suggests that there is little need for net wealth taxes in countries with broad-based personal capital income taxes, including capital gains taxes, and well-designed inheritance and gift taxes. It finds there may be scope for such taxes in countries where the taxation of capital income is low or where inheritance taxes are not levied.



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 10,613 Mod ✭✭✭✭Jim2007


    Wealth tax and SF policies are not going to make the slightest difference to the advice we provide clients when investing in Ireland. And the Norwegians I know that moved here over the past 18 months did not move because of the wealth taxes, they moved because all in, no questions asked lump sum tax payments were agreed with the communities they moved to, plus of course the usual donations and support to community interests.

    You need to find another excuse or get of the soap box, because neither you or the reporter knows how these deals are done.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,041 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    The OECD's 2018 study of wealth taxes shows that the number of states which levied such taxes fell from 12 to just four/five between 1990 and 2017.





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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 990 ✭✭✭Fred Cryton


    So the huge exodus of wealthy people and the loss of tax revenue is just co-incidental with the imposition of the wealth tax? Really? Just happened on the same year by chance?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 990 ✭✭✭Fred Cryton


    In a similar vein there's also the SF policy of 3% extra income tax over €140k. This will push the marginal tax rate at that level to 55%. Higher than Scandanavia except with a rubbish public sector.

    This will also cause a flight of high earners. So we will have the asset rich and the higher income earners fleeing the country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    I'd let the Norwegian experience shake-out before passing judgement.

    There's a school of thought (backed by OECD research) that the risk of "capital flight" or "fiscal expatriation" is only a major risk if the people leaving don't maintain their activities in their country of origin. For instance, wealthy Norwegians tend to be in shipping / shipbuilding / oil and gas support services / fishing. None of those activities can or will be moved to Switzerland if people elect to leave, and that there may well be a significant "reinvesting" effect on their primary wealth generating activities in their country of origin, which in turn may make up for any notional loss of tax via another means.

    And that's for those that elect to leave. For those that stay, well they're caught in the wealth tax net. And we don't read about those because they make less noise than those offended by such a tax and leave in a huff.

    France had a wealth tax for many years. Yes ultra-wealthy left, but many returned within a few years because frankly they got sick of living abroad. The ultra-wealthy are the most mobile anyway - anything from schooling for their kids, the investment climate in their new host country, to weather can send them back and forth between countries like a yo-yo.

    And as noted, not all wealth taxes are created equal. Switzerland has had a wealth tax for donkeys of years, and set at a rate not much lower than Norway's. There may be characteristics of the Norwegian tax that spooked these 30 people, but they may find the grass in the Alps isn't all that greener.

    If the Swiss have a long-standing wealth tax, what are all the stinking rich doing hanging out there?



  • Posts: 11,614 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    In the Opening post "... costing the Norwegian tax payer tens of millions". Tens of millions is what one governmment department spends on PostIt notes. Tens of millionsi s nothing.

    There is a great clip from The West Wing, where Sam, the deputy communications director says his previous job meant he earned more than 37 times the average wage. I'm paraphrasing, his water didnt come out of the tap 37 times hotter, and the fire department didnt come to his house 37 times faster, so why reasonably should he pay 37 times more tax.

    Which is a fair point of view.

    Also, the rich have the means to avoid paying tax in a way the average person doesn't. If setting up a shell company in the cayman islands, and tunnelling your income via there, requiring one to pay a team of accountants to keep it all above board, is cheaper than just paying income tax in the country you reside in, then why wouldn't a rich person do that?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,067 ✭✭✭Murph85


    Fg wealth tax of 50 % on marginally over minimum wage must be doing some damage!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,729 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Sounds like all the conditions ripe for another housing capitalist to sweep in who can provide a service the other billionaire wasnt. Someone new can make their fortunes now.

    This doesn’t prove wealth taxes don’t work it just proves more developed nations need them. Nowhere to abscond to when everyone taxes the same thing.



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 10,613 Mod ✭✭✭✭Jim2007


    Yuo need to stop digging! You don’t run in the right circles so you don’t get the insight!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,392 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Well let the wealthy Irish go if that's their wont - if they don't want to live in their nation state, be taxed here and contribute to it's development, they're not wanted here.

    If they enter the state for anymore than a couple of weeks per annum, then tax them to the hilt.

    No time for people who say they are Irish but who pay their taxes abroad.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,933 ✭✭✭tesla_newbie


    its Interesting that a lot of wealthy individuals have been investing in farm land in recent years, very favourably taxation compared to other illiquid assets and no way will SF include agricultural land if a wealth tax is introduced?



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 50,895 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    'wealth taxes don't work when there are tax havens available nearby' shocker.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    Sounds like peoples attitude to landlords for years :)

    Be careful what you wish for.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 990 ✭✭✭Fred Cryton


    No answer then to my question. You said the flight of Norwegians was nothing to do with the wealth tax and now you can't back it up when challenged.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,933 ✭✭✭tesla_newbie


    No Government is going to whisper anything about a wealth tax when it comes to farmers, SF are no different on that score, a lot of long term SF farmer voters in places like Monaghan and the party are looking to grow amongst this demographic, incredibly powerful lobby group



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,864 ✭✭✭SuperBowserWorld


    You'd want to be extremely greedy and morally bereft to be a billionaire and desert the country that provided all the essentials for you to become a billionaire. Like clean water, air, food, education, health, policing, roads, ... for you and your family.

    I could understand leaving a corrupt country. But Norway ???? To go to Switzerland.

    Really, it highlights what some/many ??? rich people think of nations and the people who provide them with their wealth and power.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 990 ✭✭✭Fred Cryton


    Or you could look at it the other way - these people are often innovators and entrereneurs who provide employment and opportunities for their home nation, and all they get in return is another tax!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 834 ✭✭✭marathon2022


    I'm always a bit skeptical about poor billionaire story's, 5 minutes on google and my skepticism is only sky high

    • The paper owned by a Norwegian Billionaire

    Why is this agenda is so close to the heart of the current Olsen you might ask? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anette_S._Olsen

    • Like many owners of energy companies in the last two years (the majority owners of this newspaper, DN Media Group https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DN_Media_Group is owned by https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bonheur_(company) ) hiked the costs of its wind energy to profit from the suffering of it customers, one of many examples of greedflation profiteering in the energy sector, resulting in the Norwegian government deciding to put steps into place to take back some of the money these energy companies have taken from its citizens.


    Page 6.

    Its all about context,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,729 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Farmers are a powerful group much anywhere yes being in control of the food supply. And good luck taxing those Ukrainian farmers boyo



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,376 ✭✭✭✭rossie1977


    The most wealthy in Norway have been hiding their assets offshore for years




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,169 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Isn't SF against wealth taxes? They want the only one we have, abolished.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,864 ✭✭✭SuperBowserWorld


    Depends on what industry you made your billions in and the net positive benefit to society.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,819 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    Really this would require world cooperation so billionaires couldn't move their funds around to avoid taxes. The OECD and the EU successfully pushed for a minimum 15% corporation tax on companies, surely they can do something similar for the stupidly wealthy. Even then, there'll always be a few rogue countries willing to take their money and tax them a pittance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    In a democracy everyone gets 2 votes, one at the ballot and one with your feet. I have to laugh at Brid Smith there recently complaining that wealthy individuals are threatening to leave or move assets abroad if a more left wing government comes in. It seems to be a thing with the left that they think if the rules are changed, everyone just continues on behaving as before, which is not the case. Plenty on the left would cut their nose off to spite their face and you can see that with some of the comments on here saying the wealthy can leave if they want. The thing is, they will care if some high earners don't want to live here anymore, particularly doctors.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,819 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    Doctors get paid very well in Ireland already, is it the highest in Europe? The new public/private deal consultants have is crazy money. They're not going to be leaving because they pay a few more % in tax.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    Doctors have much better options elsewhere. They are paid reasonably well, there are places that pay better who are calling out for doctors. The conditions they work in here are an absolute shambles. Increasing tax will just be another push factor.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,819 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    Yeah but elsewhere isn't home. Pretty much every doctor goes to work abroad as they can work wherever they want, and they can gain invaluable experience in Australian and UK hospitals that they might not get in Ireland. There are stats out there somewhere (I can't remember where) to show the majority of them come back. Anecdotally speaking I know quite a few doctors through someone close to me, they have all worked abroad, and they are all now back in Ireland. I know some in the UK that really want to come back here but can't find suitable positions for now.

    The conditions aren't a shambles for all doctors, our A&E is in bad shape and juniors work mad hours but consultants get a good deal here and our hospitals aren't as bad as people make out.

    It's not about the money for everyone believe it or not, most people want to be near their family and friends and what they're familiar with. Otherwise every one of them would be in Australia. And how much money do you need, 200k as a consultant or whatever it is they're getting now, is enough for anyone.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    Most doctors are not consultants. The working conditions include things like ridiculous shifts. The health service is hanging together by threads at the moment. A lot of nurses (not particularly well paid) are moving out of hospitals and into private GP practices. You are absolutely deluded if you think things are going well in the health service.

    Of course not everyone is going to leave, it will be harder to fill positions though. People who can work remotely from other EU countries will start to do that in greater numbers. The issue in Ireland isn't that the tax take is hugely out of whack with other EU countries, it is that our state sector does a miserable job in providing services. So basically we get very little for what we pay.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    I know. Its like they think that they own the money that these people own and they are entitled to it somehow.

    I can think of a lot of countries that if I was that rich I would be off to with my money and wouldnt feel the least bit guilty about it.

    Its the same craic with people complaining that rich sports persons are living in Monaco. Why wouldnt they. If Monaco suits them and they have the money to make it happen, why not.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,819 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    You become a consultant or a GP or whatever when you have finished your medical training. Otherwise you're still a junior or registrar. Consultants and GPs do not work ridiculous shifts. For consultants it's the odd weekend and maybe once a week on call.

    I don't think nurses will be leaving because of a wealth tax.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,819 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    yeah that's juniors, they have it tough but they're not going to be leaving because of a wealth tax, is all i'm saying. conditions are good for consultants and the money is ridiculous, at least the ones i know.

    and regardless of conditions anyway, all doctors go abroad eventually, but the vast majority are coming back. i'll dig it out later but it's 80.something % come back i think.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    I have a friend who is a GP. Himself and his wife (also a GP) and kids last year moved to Australia.

    He had worked there for a few years back in the 2000s. She had a practice with her sister in Dublin.

    They decided to move just because now its better there for them. Her sister joined up with Centric after she left. She too is considering moving to Australia now.

    Ive another friend whos wife is a Dentist. They have decided to emigrate too and will most likely be gone by the end of this year.

    All of them were telling me that lots of people came back to Ireland as it was home but now the mood has changed to having a better life for them and their kids abroad. I can see how non english speaking countries might not be attractive, but there are certainly a big pool of attractive counties to medical staff out there still. Ireland is probably the least attractive to them.

    My own GP is in the middle of a year off. The last time I was in with her she told me it had all got too much and she needed a break. She said she was taking a year off, but might make that longer if she could.

    And then try getting an appointment with a doctor now if you are sick. The whole house of cards is blowing in the wind.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    and yet we have difficulty filling consultant positions in our hospitals. A further left government would not only be looking at wealth taxes, they would be looking at increasing income taxes, which are already at a marginal rate of 52%. I am just making the point that Ireland is already rinsing higher earners tax wise (in return for the services provided in particular, small 1 size fits all state pension, need to pay for GP, dentist, medication etc).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,819 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    Well there's not a lot we can do about the weather, lifestyle, outdoors etc. that Australia offers that Ireland doesn't. If that's what floats someone's boat, they're gonna go there, regardless of wealth taxes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    They would be pull factors, there are also push factors like the working conditions in Irish hospitals and level of taxation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,819 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    ok well doctors tend to come from wealthy backgrounds in the first place, they get paid silly amounts once they're qualified as consultants and they're not the ones working in horrible conditions like juniors and nurses, and extra taxes will not be the reason they leave their family and friends behind. but that's just like my opinion man, etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    They aren't paid silly amount for the amount of skill and experience they have. We might see anyway in a couple of years, although I expect SF will change very little as it is all about speaking out of both sides of their mouths, they say whatever is "popular" but will realise they can't just start loading on more taxes in my opinion. Anyway, doctors are just one example, another would tech workers who are quiet mobile.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,819 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    I agree yes, they deserve it more than anyone, but you don't get into medicine for the money, there are far easier ways to earn lots of money if you're smart enough to be a doctor in the first place. They care about our healthcare system more than anyone and are the hardest grafters out there.

    I wouldn't worry too much about SF, like every other party they wont do anything to rock the boat too much.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 411 ✭✭Starfire20


    it's basically a 0.01% tax hike on the super rich.

    that's what they're complaining about....the absolute leeches that they are

    they just want to hoard more and more



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,925 ✭✭✭Large bottle small glass


    SF are in favour of increasing taxes for everyone just not yours

    Its quite the trick which will probably work once



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    I wouldn't rely on the "green jersey" effect too much. People were out protesting about paying minimal water charges and that was driven by the left. It isn't about contributing to something better in Ireland, that should be clear by now.



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