Russia - threadbanned users in OP

The US has not yet begun supplying weapons to Ukraine under Lend-Lease, - Politico

 Deliveries have not yet begun due to the US unwillingness to impose monetary obligations on Ukraine and bipartisan approval of support for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

“We prioritize security assistance that they won’t have to pay us for,” a senior Biden administration official explained.

So now your are saying common sense isn't my strong ally while you also in an earlier post accused me of not being able to see the big picture and in another that I was whining about your numbers you used to support your russia big argument which were easily demonstrated by a quick google search to be wrong. I believe you are the one who is not very well aligned with common sense and good luck with your putin fan boy attitude as I don't see the point any more of replying to someone who repeatedly just ignores the valid points I have made to demonstrate your faith in attrition being on putin's side is nonsense.

I'm not sure if you have noticed but the attacks by putin's forces have been ground down to minuscule levels of progress and Ukraine has liberated significant amounts of their country so saying putin's forces have enough to fight at the current rate for another 2 years doesn't point to them getting anything positive from their invasion.

And yet, it says nothing about 5 times more stuff.

From 3 days to take Kiev, to a 4 year war. Lets meet in the middle and agree it will end at the end of the year

We don't know ... A series of humiliating battlefield defeats for Russia , could get Putin the chop very quick , and it depends who and what faction replaces him .. not having cash to buy new support could be a big deal ..

A few humiliating failed assaults for Ukraine are more likely to bring a stalemate , and eventually the west pushing for compromise ..

If Ukraine put off a massive assault and keep goading the Russians into more stupid assaults then who knows - a few more volhedars may break the back of the Russian army ..

Hmmm...

I remember reports that Russia would run out of tanks, artillery, and men at various points last year.

We've had news reports for close to a year detailing how underresourced Russian soldiers were and how they were close to breaking.

We were told that the breakthrough at Kharkiv was the beginning of the end and that similar breakthroughs were only a matter of weeks away.

Russia is still fighting and still has plenty of men and materiel to throw into this conflict.

If true about Ukraine running out of air defence missiles, could have serious implications for the offensive.

Russia not being able to gain air superiority in the war has been a huge factor in Ukraine being able to hold Russia back.

Unfortunately for the Russians they may be running low on some missles but ukraine currently operate multiple air defense systems,and most importantly manpads which are taking down multiple Russian aircraft per week,

Bakhmut while still holding out to a degree, Ukraine currently holding less than 15% of the city since the lastest push from the Russians ,it looks like Wagner forces push forward in street fighting, before handing over the area to the Russian military, while the Ukrainians have re-enforced the city at least twice they are still losing ground, despite inflicting heavy losses on the Russians , Russian artillery and aircraft seem to be tipping the balance in their favor

But yet Russian missles regularly do get through,we already know that they have limited systems to defend the country so chance's are they might not be trying to shoot down every missle fired at them ,

Much like the Israeli iron done arguebly the Best Air defense system in operational but due the cost of operation it will only activate when there is a threat of mass loss of life

Manpads will deal with most of them,as it stands the Russians are launching missles from aircraft on their side of the black sea,

safe from Anti aircraft missles ,

With the exception of those aircraft and helicopters being shot down regularly around bakhmut and elsewhere

US has grave concerns about Ukraine's ability to mount a credibly large contingent to retake territory according to leaked docs.

The context being Ukraine realistically only has one shot at a big counter-offensive. It just has to work. Can only imagine the amount of planning going in to it.

Considering that Nato countries are training thousands of Ukrainans every couple of weeks ,I'd say that report is well wide of the mark and that's if it's actually genuine