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General British politics discussion thread

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,236 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Keep in mind that the Brexit charlatans (like Daniel Hannan etc) assured everyone that not only would the UK keep pace with rest of the G7 post-Brexit, but would actually surge well ahead of them and become the envy of the world (as the EU was supposedly holding Britain back from reaching its true potential). I notice this confidence trickster is rarely sighted anywhere in the media these days.



  • Registered Users Posts: 277 ✭✭Guildenstern


    The last hurrah for the Brexit types is still a way bit off. The problem is that it was always going to take realistically a decade for any Brexit benefits to bear fruit, if they ever do at all.

    Some in the UK are counting back from 2016, whereas realistically it has to be from 2021 once the deal with the EU was done. So, that's not until 2031. The UK's Brexit journey is still in its early days. The problem for the UK also is that expectation also envisaged a significant downturn in the EU's fortunes, which has not yet bared fruit.

    Hard to envisage how the next 8/9 years will work out, for either the UK or even the EU. I think time will show that the UK haven't really planned for this set of circumstances. That's probably because much of the UK establishment were so shocked by the decision in the first place. Maybe they are beginning to do so, but it is almost 7 years now since the vote.

    I would not at all be surprised if the EU/UK enter into another strategic deal in the years to come, which will be couched as a co-operation deal, benefitting all sides etc, to give comfort to both sides, to give the perception that no one has sold out their ideals.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,236 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Also, there was never any mention of Brexit being a 'long term' project. All of the talk was of immediate pay offs and instant new trade deals. The sclerotic EU was holding Britain back and once free of the shackles, the British economy would surge ahead. The Brexit godfathers weren't putting any precise timelines on it, but the strong suggestion was that by 2021 or so, the UK would be in fantastic shape and with a surging economy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,820 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    Rees-Mogg said the benefits would take 50 years. Just in time for my funeral if I live as long as my grandparents did..

    I suspect the UK will rejoin the Common Market in all but name, most likley in the second term of a Labour-lead government.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,161 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    He said that after the vote though. Very quiet about that possibility before hand.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,337 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    And only as an excuse why media/people should not call Brexit a failure when all the glorious benefits promised did not materialize; then suddenly it would take 50 years to find out instead to dodge the fact they failed to deliver any Brexit benefits as promised.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,338 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    The EU is doing worse than the UK in many respects. For example, The UK harmonised unemployment rate for Q4 2022 was 3.7%, up from 3.6% in Q3 2022.  The rate for the Eurozone was unchanged at 6.7% in Q4 2022, while in the G7 the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.0%.

    Why is unemployment so high in Europe? It is causing huge problems in the ghettoes of Europe, not reported here.

    For 2022 as a whole, UK GDP growth was 4.1%. This figure compares GDP in all of 2022, with all of 2021. The GDP growth in Europe in 2022, despite all the propoganda, was less than that.

    Nobody is saying the UK economy is doing brilliantly, but the constant putting down of the UK and Brexit in this country is a bit tedious. Yes, I know things will be different in 2023. However, the EU is not the be all and end all, ask any of the huge number of unemployed there. Ask the many thousands of refugees each year who still risk their lives ( and many poor unfortunates pay for it with their lives) in little rubber boats trying to escape from the EU in to the UK.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,335 ✭✭✭✭gmisk




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,161 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    He did say that it's being "lower class" that makes you a candidate for slavery. So sounds like standard Tory policy to me.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,642 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    It really feels like that party's just completely disintegrating. They're not even pretending to have policies at this point beyond performative racism.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,898 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    A most Brexity use of statistics to paint the rosiest picture! :)

    Unemployment in the UK is so low because (a) qualified Europeans left their jobs post Brexit/post Covid and didn't/won't go back ; and (b) the government is so absolutely determined not to legitimise non-European immigration that they won't allow qualified non-Europeans work in the (many, many, many) sectors that are crying out for staff.

    As for year-on-year growth: yep, Britain did great in 2022 ... because GDP in 2021 took such a hammering. It's really, really easy to show huge percentage increases in anything when you're starting from a desperately low base. If you compare absolute figures, though, you'll find that Britain (note: Britain, not Britain-and-Northern-Ireland) is staggering along well behind the European curve.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,338 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Unemployment was much higher in the EU than in the UK before Brexit too.

    You cannot claim the very high unemployment in the EU (compared to the UK and the rest of the G7 etc ) as anything to be proud of.


    GDP took a hammering everywhere in 2021 because of the pandemic. However in 2022 GDP growth was higher in the UK than in the EU. At least you accept that. Listening to some people you would think the UK was in a much worse state than the EU. No word about all the thousands of refugees literally risking their lives fleeing the EU in rubber dinghies in bad weather in to the UK? If the EU was that great, they would not want to or have to?



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 40,418 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Can you show us a reputable source to support your claim that people are "fleeing the EU"?



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,338 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    "small boat arrivals"  : In total, 45,755 migrants crossed the Channel from EU to UK last year. Some drowned etc they were so desperate to get to the UK from the EU. That is in addition to thousands who smuggled / stowed away on lorries on car ferries, ships etc.


    Illegial migration from the EU in to the UK is so bad that the UK has agreed to give France stg £500m over three years which will go towards more patrol officers etc.




  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,642 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    So, nothing.

    Refugees are coming from countries where they aren't safe and a tiny amount pass through the EU to come to the UK.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Since when did passing through a country constitute "fleeing"?

    I had a 2 hour layover in Heathrow the other week travelling from Athens to Dublin; I guess I was "fleeing" the UK by this logic?



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,338 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Some have been in France for years. If France was that great they would stay there or go to another EU country with a land crossing, which would be much safer. Instead a known 45,755 migrants ( and probably more, as some may have got in undetected ) came in small dinghies alone. That is not counting those who stowed away on trucks, ferries, ships etc - a safer option. So all in all the population of Galway or Waterford. Not quite "nothing" as ancap. said.

    Not surprising I suppose considering the huge unemployment problem in the EU and the ghettoes.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,642 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Your statement implied that EU citizens were fleeing the EU. When called out on it, you do what the Tories do and go back to blaming refugees.

    So, yes. Nothing.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Nothing you say constitutes "fleeing" based on the angle you're trying to grind out, which is that apparently the EU is wretched and something people don't wish to live in or migrate to. There's clearly more to the issue of the UK as the final destination for asylum seekers than some hysterical, melodramatic desire for flight away from "the EU" (such as, you know, the actual war-zones they originated from).



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,917 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Like reading the comments section in the Daily Fail. Another Orwell Roader stirring the sh1te?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,230 ✭✭✭Sudden Valley


    I would say they probably either have family in the UK or dont speak other European languages apart from English. I think you'll find the UK has quite a number of underdeveloped regions too- the word ghettos should have gone out of fashion in the 1960s. You are right about the unemployment rate has consistently been better in the UK than continently Europe, though after Brexit the labour shortages has contributed to the higher inflation there.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    A tiny minority of refugees/asylum seekers/undocumented migrants in France attempt the Channel crossing (a point often made in vain to politicians in the UK), but none of them are doing it to "escape" the EU.

    Indeed, to use your own weird metric, Many multiples of the number attempting to cross the Channel into the UK are actually going into the EU.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,446 ✭✭✭Gerry T


    80% of refugees stay in a neighbouring country. Those that transit on do so for several reasons. One they might have friends or family in the country of choice. Or they might have the language as their second choice. Either way it's their choice where they seek asylum, there's nothing saying they have to go to the nearest country.

    The UK is not in any way receiving a higher percentage than East European countries. Its just their gutter press make a meal out of it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,898 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    You're still at it - leaving out the word "rate" from your growth statements. The EU's GDP currently stands at 17177bn USD; the UK's GDP currently stands at 3131bn USD. Source If the EU grows at a rate of 1% year-on-year from this point, that's 171bn extra; if the UK grows at 5%, that'd be 156bn. So even though the growth rate might be five times higher, the value of that growth is significantly less.

    And, again, you're ignoring the inconvenient fact that the UK's economy suffered almost double the loss of GDP in 2020 compared to the EU, so they need their growth rate to be much higher than other countries/blocs just to stand still. Low single digit growth rates aren't going to do be enough.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,338 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    I remember about 4 years ago there were loads of cartoons showing what the EU thought the UK would be like after Brexit : they showed photoshopped pictures of large inflatable dinghies carrying lots of refugees from the UK in to the EU.

    Interesting that the Refugees still want to go the other way, and are willing to risk and pay with their livres sometimes to do so. Also interesting that unemployment, which was double in the EU compared with the UK, is still considerably higher in the EU than in the UK.

    It will take a long time to see if Brexit was a success or not, but one thing for sure, the EU is not the be all and end all. I suppose part of the reason for Brexit, as many in the UK saw it, was to control their own borders more. (the way some in Britain - rightly or wrongly - see it, London, Leeds , Bradford etc are minority British cities now, certainly minority white British but they cannot say that). However, after leaving the EU, the UK has agreed to give France stg £500m over three years to try to get France to control the amount of people leaving there for the UK in small boats. You would think for humanitarian reasons alone the French would be trying harder to prevent people taking to sea in dangerous small inflatable boats for the Channel crossing, without the UK having to pay them stg €500,000,000 to do so.



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  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 40,418 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    I remember about 4 years ago there were loads of cartoons showing what the EU thought the UK would be like after Brexit : they showed photoshopped pictures of large inflatable dinghies carrying lots of refugees from the UK in to the EU.

    You don't really see those images now because those EU citizens that were going to leave the UK have already left and aren't coming back.

    Interesting that the Refugees still want to go the other way, and are willing to risk and pay with their livres sometimes to do so. Also interesting that unemployment, which was double in the EU compared with the UK, is still considerably higher in the EU than in the UK.

    Some do but even now, the UK is taking in far fewer refugees than EU countries.

    It will take a long time to see if Brexit was a success or not,

    How much time? How long are the British public meant to put up with the mess that is Brexit?

    but one thing for sure, the EU is not the be all and end all. I suppose part of the reason for Brexit, as many in the UK saw it, was to control their own borders more. (the way some in Britain - rightly or wrongly - see it, London, Leeds , Bradford etc are minority British cities now, certainly minority white British but they cannot say that). However, after leaving the EU, the UK has agreed to give France stg £500m over three years to try to get France to control the amount of people leaving there for the UK in small boats. You would think for humanitarian reasons alone the French would be trying harder to prevent people taking to sea in dangerous small inflatable boats for the Channel crossing, without the UK having to pay them stg €500,000,000 to do so.

    So you're telling us the UK took control of their borders by paying the French to manage them?



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,338 ✭✭✭Francis McM



     You say "The EU's GDP currently stands at 17177bn USD; the UK's GDP currently stands at 3131bn USD"

    Thank you for that.

    If we take the population of the UK as 67 million approx, and the EU as 447 million approx, then the UK is still doing pretty well, certainly better than the EU per head of population.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,642 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,071 ✭✭✭Christy42


    You are intentionally being misleading and got called out on it. EU employment rate includes countries that have historically had high unemployment rates. If you want to brag about the UK having a stronger economy than Greece then have at it. Not sure that would have counted as an achievement for the UK in 2012 but standards have lowered I guess.


    The refugee argument is always interesting, they want refugees looked after as long as it is someone else's problem! Yes we are in favour of good treatment of the less fortunate as long as someone else takes care of it. The cartoons were a mock of UK citizens travelling to the EU in dinghies, we don't have EU citizens travelling to the UK in dinghies. Many refugees (the vast majority I would guess) stay in France but refugees will naturally spread out to try and find a home. Providing a legal route to the UK for them will stop the dinghies but obviously the important bit is if someone else takes care of it.


    Brexit is a failure. The only reason you don't want judgement on it yet is because it is a failure. If people wanted control over immigration from non white countries (since you mention white British specifically) then they shouldn't have voted for less control with Brexit. They had control and have lost a lot of leverage in encouraging France from stopping those people from reaching the UK. Other countries will also leverage immigration laws in return for trade now that the UK is in a weak position.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,446 ✭✭✭Gerry T


    Yes the UK isn't doing bad, GDP by PPP, it comes in at 17th place in Europe, about half way down the table. Behind Luxembourg, IRL, Swiss, Norway, San Marino, Denmark, Netherlands, Austria, Iceland, Andorra, Sweden, Germany, Belgium, Finland, France, Malta.

    But it is ahead of Italy, Slovenia, Cyprus, Checz, Spain....


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_in_Europe_by_GDP_(PPP)_per_capita



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,338 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Given that the UK is having to give France stg €500,000,000 to help try to stem the amount of people fleeing the EU in little rubber boats for the UK, it would appear the UK wants to control the amount of refugees it gets, and to have those refugees it does receive come by car ferry or ship or plane rather than by the much more dangerous means of little rubber dinghies. if you look at London for example, in the 2021 census, London had a population of 8,799,720. Around 37% of the population were born outside the UK. Only 36.8% of the population of London is white British.

    Those cartoons of inflatable boats full of refugees leaving the UK for the EU did not turn out to be the case. The rubber boats are still going the other way.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 40,418 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Mod: Right, you are obviously trolling - yet again!

    While I have been more than lenient towards you, at this point I've had enough. I've given you plenty of notice and warning and you obviously ignored me.

    Do not post in this thread again!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,161 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Isn't that just lazy people who don't know how to conserve cheap pasta.

    According to the Tories at least.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,368 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    I see somehow liz truss has been in front of a microphone and a camera and shock horror it’s everybody’s fault but hers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,728 ✭✭✭serfboard


    and

    She really is appalling - were they capable of being embarrassed, she would be an embarrassment to her party. But, she's in a constituency that's been Tory for the past sixty years, so she'll stay an MP for as long as she wants to.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,735 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Nitpick: She'll stay an MP for as long as the Executive Management Team of the South West Norfolk Conservative Association wants her to. It's their seat, not hers.

    Post edited by Peregrinus on


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,642 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    I was rather hoping we'd heard the last of Liz Truss. I'm going to go ahead and assume that the Heritage Foundation is some sort of ungodly, far right US thinktank or some such abomination.

    She's basically collecting a fortune by parroting other people's nonsense about the culture war. Baffles me that there are people who will pay for this.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    I'm going to go ahead and assume that the Heritage Foundation is some sort of ungodly, far right US thinktank or some such abomination

    Oh yeah, and then some. TBH invoking "Social Democracy" as a dire warning tipped the hat 'cos as bad as the Tories are, even they aren't so to the right they'd shít on what amounts to the default on the mainland.

    The Heritage Foundation (abbreviated to Heritage)[1][2] is an American conservative think tank based in Washington, D.C. that is primarily geared toward public policy. The foundation took a leading role in the conservative movement during the presidency of Ronald Reagan, whose policies were taken from Heritage's policy study Mandate for Leadership.[4]





  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,642 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    The Tories, no but then this is one of the IEA brigade from the extreme right end of the party. She was co-author of Britannia Unchained, the British libertarian's polemic of choice against the tyranny of statism. Sure, I may be thousands of pounds a year worse off but if that ideological drivel has been discredited here for a generation, it won't be without benefit.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,728 ✭✭✭serfboard


    Well in fairness, the financial markets were quick to let the Tories know what they thought of it. Consequently the party didn't take any chances with the next leadership contest - it looked as if anyone but Sunak was "persuaded" not to run.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,728 ✭✭✭serfboard


    Indeed, but it seems that an MP would need to be involved in a fairly bad financial or criminal scandal to be deselected. Simply being an incompetent embarrassment isn't enough (I was going to list all who qualify on that score, but it would be easier to list those who don't). And once you keep being selected in the safe seats, you're guaranteed a job for life - if you want it.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,904 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Well, basically true, unless a parachutist needs it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,236 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Your assumption would be correct. Someone with knowledge of them was wondering today what Truss was doing giving a speech to a bunch of "far right lunatics".

    Was she ever really a Remainer? Seems hard to believe.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70,230 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady




  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,642 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    I'm reminded of Groucho Marx' comments about interchangeable principles.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,612 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    And there may be a very large one of those (in every way) depending on a recall election in Uxbridge...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,735 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    The only requirement is that you should toady to the constituency selection committee, and tell them the lies they want to hear. But since that's a requirement for getting selected in the first place, MPs who sit for safe seats generally have these skills in spades.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,904 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Is it a badge of honour for a constituency to be home to the historical figure of the former PM who had the shortest tenure of that post - EVER - 42 days.

    I would think the swivel eyed members might consider it such an honour, but some may be minded to change to a more honourable candidate.

    As for South Harrow and Ruislip rejects - well, we await the recall. However, I would think that particular loser would prefer a return to Oxfordshire where his Bullingham days built his thirst for notoriety.



  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Unionists and right-wing UK press making a holy show of themselves this week lashing out at not only Biden but Ireland for its lack of military might. Multiple papers running with the rhetoric that the UK is a more important partner to the US than Ireland so Biden should behave differently.

    It's pathetic "You're not my friend if I'm not your bestest special friend." playground stuff. The UK populace has seemingly lost all ability or interest in international diplomacy. Regular people just lashing out at the EU, US, and Ireland, for years, because they can't get their way.



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Just a point of order but I don't think the right wing press are representative of the UK populous. This is part of the problem of "populism", or indeed the irony in its name, it isn't necessarily popular with the people.

    What papers have been throwing a strop then? Sounds like above all else, these cohorts are feeling the sting of isolation in the wake of their self sanctions. Expecting the world to come flocking to this new, independent UK and instead have received broad apathy. So all they can do now is lash out at the rest of the world getting on with it

    Post edited by pixelburp on


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