Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

Options
1579580582584585808

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 330 ✭✭ingo1984


    Any double digit pay increases in public sector will only be offset by tax increases to fund them in the first place.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    Most people I know have had a significant pay ise at this point and the pnes who havent have been promised one coming soon. My company tried to get away with it and had to cave in thios year as people started leaving. We all ended up getting 10% pay rises and 10% more promised by the end of the year. They even threw in a €2000 Christmas bonus too as a gesture of things to come.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,502 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Yet people are telling us wages will not rise significantly. Even 3-4% pay rises o er 5 years will mean that what look like large mortgages payments will be very manageable.

    I dealth with it on another thread here. Daughter is a teacher five years qualified/working. She is presently on 49k. With increments and an annual an annual average pay rise of 2% her salary will be 65k in five years time. A 4% annually pay rise over 5 years is nearly a 22% rise in pay.

    It quite possible that those once again predicting a collapse in house prices are getting it wrong.

    I have said I taught there could be a 10% drop in prices during 2022/23 but prices would either level off to start rise again after that.

    I will repeat another fact that I constantly point out to. Most construction labour in Dublin travel in and out every day. They will not do it for nothing.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,653 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I doubt it. More likely, it will be paid for by debt.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    By the end of this year ill be getting over a 20% pay rise in one year. Due mainly to them ignoring inflation last year. Im still not happy with that tbh. I think it should be more looking at what others have been getting since last year. I would would absolutely hate to be public sector tbh. The amount of teachers leaving my kids school is scary. Some of them probably never to teach again. Also I know quite a few gardai and not one of them is planning on staying a guard. Im sure there is much the same going on in other parts of the public sector im not privy to.

    Nothing is funny when you look around you at others getting higher pay rises than you are.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    If the government give the PS a huge pay rise at a time when they are handing out one off payments/solutions for the rest of us in the unwashed masses there will be a general election as everyone is feeling the cost of living pressures not just our public sector. I didnt hear clammer from the teachers looking for a pay cut when their wage increases outstripped inflation in the years from 2013/14 to 2018/19 (funny that it is only an issue when inflation is higher). If the government have scope to give money back out then they need to take the foot off the neck of all income tax payers and seriously reduce the amount of tax they take off the cohort who as Leo says "get up in the morning" pandering to a sector (public sector) that is paid over 20% (all verified via the CSO) than the productive sector, a guarantied pension and a job for life is the wrong way to do business, you only have to go to your local A&E for a visit to see the sh1tshow that they the government are in control of and are p1ssing away money hand over fist I mean year after year the HSE overspend is in the hundreds of millions and its getting worse and of course any wage increases in this sector will see zero improvements or greater efficiency for it. Its time to go through our spend and cut the fat (when the IMF were in town they had the chance and made so many promises about this but they didnt have the balls to face our perma government) and if there is wiggle room the focus should be on addressing the odious burden income tax payers are forced to carry in this country. So if we have money to spend and time to make some changes I would prefer they concentrated on the following.

    Income tax reduction

    House building/ramp up of modular homes

    Increased infrastructure - Roads, Schools, Hospitals, etc

    A complete overhaul of our Public sector spend

    A complete overhaul of our Welfare spend

    This list seem fairly obvious to me but not one party out there is going to do it.


    I am waiting for the Public servants telling me all the teachers are leaving and forgetting that there are far more non public sector workers heading for the exit door and this is due to how the cards are stacked against all young people (not just teachers) ... They cant get a house to buy or rent and have to pay a serious amount of income tax to work in this country at least teachers will have a pension at the end of their career and Carlsberg holidays (probably the best in the world) same cannot be said for the rest of us. Until the income tax bands are widened and the financial demands are significantly less for someone working I can see a good chunk of our younger population heading off to other countries at least they will be able to afford the rent.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,653 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Is there any solid data on just how many private sector workers have received pay rises, and by how much? Speaking personally, I got a 4.5% pay increase this year, along with a 4.5% bonus (which is taxed) and a reward card. This was, I should add, performance based, and it was only awarded because the company had a good year last year. What the civil service unions want is a blanket pay rise regardless of performance, and heedless of where the money comes from.  

    That aside, the solution to inflation is not to chase higher wages. The only thing that has ever worked to tackle inflation is to reduce the money-supply, be it through interest rates or some other means.  



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,042 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    I think its the sustainable model we need to be moving towards, the state the largest landlord with secure long term tenancies. Demand is huge for these schemes



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,653 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    It's based posts like this that keep me coming back to this forum. God bless you, sir!



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    The problem in our place is that they tried to use the argument that giving salary increases was not good for inflation for over a year. Then people started leaving for other companies that did give salary increases. And it was now very difficult to compete for replacements for them with what was on offer. They ended up having to give new, less experienced staff even more money to attract them than they would have had to give the existing experienced staff who left to stay. It was too late though. I had gone to an interview myself actually and was given the surprise salary package between the interview and the job offer, so i stayed.

    There are a good few staff who work in a different departments where i am who really would find it hard to move so they didnt get increases. They are getting them now as it was noticed that moral and productivity had really dropped when they werent getting the raises everyone around them was. It was cheaper to give them the same increases than go through the process of either moving them on and replacing them, or threatening them and you never know what way they will react.

    There is only so long long you can resist inflation, no matter how big your resolve.

    Every company will be following if they have not realized that already.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Every company wont follow as in a lot of cases in the private sector - private companies are now essentially locked out of borrowing due to the high interest repayments they don't have the bank of TAX PAYER POCKETS to pay or borrow for everything. The cost of everything like heating, petrol, insurance and every other necessity that someone running a business has to pay has shot up over the last 18 months and in a lot of cases pay rises to staff will be the wave that drowns them. Already insolvencies in Ireland in 2022 are up nearly 40% on 2021 and PWC are predicting that this figure will ramp up this year. Yeah but its hunky dory in the private sector pay rises for everyone maybe in the Walter Mitty land you work in but it is not the case for the vast majority of private sector companies out there.


    https://www.pwc.ie/media-centre/press-releases/2023/restructuring-update-q4.html



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,603 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Your post reminds of this excellent podcast from March which explains the presidential cycle in relation to asset prices

    Government spending and policies ramp up 18 months out from an election so that it's given time to filter into the economy. This boosts the job market and asset prices through Bidens inflation reduction act. (the irony of the name)

    Ireland and us elections will be very close to each other this coming term. Think of what the Irish government have implemented

    Changed the mortgage rules

    Implemented a shared ownership scheme

    Doubled the housing spend from 2 billion to 4 billion (most of it buying existing property and propping up rents)

    All these policies increase house prices and rents, therefore our government are still in the camp that higher house prices = more votes.

    If your major issue is housing this government is working to make your issue worse

    45 minutes of Jeremy Grantham thoughts and opinions for free. Enjoy

    David Rosenberg was charging 120 dollars to listen to his interview with Jeremy




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,653 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Yes, but the difference is that many (if not most) of the civil servants who will get a pay rise would not find a job in the private sector that would offer a higher salary. As I've always said, if one believes themselves to be underpaid, that must mean that there is someone who is willing to pay them more than their current employer to do the same job. If there is not, then they are not underpaid.  

    Taking myself as an example. I earn slightly above the average salary for someone in my area with my level of experience. I would like more money, but I would not get a lot more if I were to move to a different job. Ergo, I'm not underpaid. The civil service unions are trying to get a blanket increase for people regardless of performance, and regardless of the demand for the job that they fill. This is also ignoring the many boons that working in the civil service offers such as security, flexibility, a pension and near impossibility of termination.

    "Every company will be following if they have not realized that already."

    Private companies are not the civil service. It's apples and organges. If they were comparable, then thousands of civil servants would have been made redundant during the crash.  



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    If everyone around you got a raise but you, how would you feel? If you stayed in your job would it effect your productivity?

    I think people overblow just what a nice job a public sector job is.

    I did a contract in the department of agriculture for about 18 months. What I saw were a few wasters alright but the vast majority were just exactly the same type of workers as you see anywhere else. Just normal people doing a normal job.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Overblown?? come on -

    no redundancies when the economy is falling apart.

    pay rises no matter how good, bad or ugly you are at your job.

    The tax payers pockets and over 200Billion of loans to continue pay rise after increment after pay rise.

    Pensions that us mere mortals in the private sector cannot afford.

    Paid over 20% more on average than those of us working in the private sector.

    All negotiations entered into on wage increases have gov on one side unions on the the other and the pay rises being discussed have a direct impact on all of their take home pay as in the more of an increase the more both sides get. Not to mention inflation only gets mentioned when it suits the narrative of how much more they should all be getting paid and not a whisper of pay cuts when inflation has been a lot less then their pay rises.

    I think you mean overpaid not overblown :)



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Thanks, I didn't realise how it works.

    Single adult

    €40,000

    2 Adults

    No Children

    €42,000

    No wonder there's so much talk of not getting married etc. Basically discourages working..... Madness.



  • Registered Users Posts: 615 ✭✭✭J_1980


    single adults get pokey 1beds. Families all get houses/ large apts.

    much easier to house singles. Waiting list is far shorter.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,603 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Pokey 1 beds are more expensive than 3 bed houses. I suspect many singles on 30 to 40k are sharing or living with parents, many may not be aware they qualify for assistance



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Never knew how it worked, a pokey one bed would've been fine for me starting out. In fairness, rent used to be a LOT cheaper...



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 330 ✭✭ingo1984




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Is that not what the majority of the people complaining about landlords have been requesting? Small/accidental landlords out and professional landlords to increase their presence in the Irish rental market.

    Are we now upset that professional landlords are using favourable tax treatment to allow them to build up a large property portfolio and extracting maximum rents for their units.

    Was there an expectation that they would start providing low cost rentals?



  • Registered Users Posts: 491 ✭✭SwimClub


    The important thing is that they are willing to provide security of tenure, you will never be asked to leave your pokey one bed in Gardner street once you pay your 2k rent a month.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,664 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    If you go back 10-15 years ago on here you'll find threads of people pleading for corporate landlords to come in to the market. Poor service, poor maintenance and no fault evictions for weak or fake reasons being the reasons given to prefer them over single unit owners.

    I'm not sure what people expected to happen when they did come in!



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,502 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    LA have very few one bed units. It's costs little more to build a two bed than a one bed. Basically you are adding 9-10 sq metres to a small unit. Living area, bedroom and bathroom are similar in both units.

    Most single people who are in good health are unlikely to get a LA unit. They invariably end up in the private system. The HAP will only generally cover a room in a shared unit for a single adult.

    What has happened is that one beds units are targeted by couples. However not single adults get the couple hap rate.

    This is especially true of young single workers moving into large urban centers. Most do not realize they are entitled to a HAP payment even in shared accomodation. They might not get the full single rate but they might get 50-80% of it.

    42k is a substantial wage for a young adult starting out.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,502 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Go back even 7-8 years REITs were going to be the best thing since the sliced pan. I pointed out at the time that in trying to replicate what was elsewhere we were failing to take into account how property was so much more expensive to build compared to when these original institutions started renting on the Continent 50+years ago and that the REITS in Ireland would have higher costs

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users Posts: 277 ✭✭Guildenstern


    Yes, that was the case and yes, that professional approach would mean they would provide a better service. The downside is it leads to a monopoly which along with the dysfunction that had now developed, result, sky high rents!!

    An example if you keep just tweaking away on policy initiatives one issue gets solved but brings on another one. And on and on we go.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    While professional landlords would be less likely to reclaim a rental unit for the reasons allowed by the RTB I wouldn't say that ongoing security of tenure will be a given.

    I'm sure as rental prices will continue to rise over the long term especially when there are less providers of rental units available. Once they have the market sufficiently cornered these wealthy individuals will use a portion of their income to lobby the government to allow them to keep rents on existing rentals at pace with what the market can afford.



  • Registered Users Posts: 277 ✭✭Guildenstern


    It is characters such as these who upto 2019/2020 were engaging in entering into 10/15/20 year term leasing schemes with the State mostly through deals with ever desperate councils who couldn't keep up with demand.

    This had been going on for years with paddy public taking little interest until the media put the spotlight on what was going on with the development of houses in Maynooth. Middle Ireland eventually woke up to the fact that houses were being sold off as block purchases. Houses that in a normal market would have been first time buyer territory.

    Leasing opportunities has now been replaced by building up portfolios of PRS. I'd say the strategy is to build a portfolio and sell off to a fund. Kerching!!



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    I really dont understand why anyone is surprised at all.

    Ive seen this video and several others like it, posted every now and again for the last decade or so. There were more even older ones basically saying the same thing going back to when rent controls started in Ireland. There used to be great examples around the world of what rent controls did. But now Ireland is the poster child for this folly.





Advertisement