Cold Case Review of Sophie Tuscan du Plantier murder to proceed. **Threadbans in OP**

Not contradicted, they said there wasn't enough evidence, almost exactly what I said! And as I said above, there's no doubt the investigation was flawed but that's what could have saved Bailey.

There's not enough evidence to convict in court but as I said, we're not in court. Based on testimony provided by a large list of people, Bailey is the most likely culprit. Of that there's no doubt.

Someone like Josie who was actually living there states the most likely scenario. And it is.

Josie may not have being referring to Bailey at all.

You've gone off the rails there a bit dude.

The French authorities didn't find any evidence. What addtional evidence did the French authorities find that proved Bailey's guilt? They looked at the pile of sh1te evidence the Gardai handed them and decided that Bailey 'dunnit'. Evidence, I might add, that our authorities couldn't stand over. Evidence that they deemed insufficient to warrant a murder charge let alone achieve a conviction.

Yes, there was incompetence on the part of the Gardai. But that doesn't mean that Bailey 'dunnit' and got away because of the Gardai incompetence. Bailey could also be innocent. But you don't seem to want to consider that.

Being the most likely suspect doesn't remotely mean that he did it. It just means he warranted investigation. And when Bailey was investigated, they couldn't find any substantial evidence against him. The credibility of witnesses in this case was unbelievably bad. If Marie Farrell told me I had a head on my body, I'd go look in a mirror to check. Scratches etc. All had plausible causes.

Bailey hasn't helped his cause with what he said, but most people agree that he's an attention seeking whore with a very warped sense of humour.

Long story short. Do I think Bailey did it? I just don't know. In my mind, there's feckall credible evidence to say he did it.

Bailey was known to walk the roads late at night, traipsing miles was nothing new to him.

Plus in his eyes getting his hole was likely, rather than unlikely, he has a massive ego.

Sophie may have been running away from him down the lane.

Yes, you can look at it that way.....I think the only reason Bailey became chief suspect was because the Gardai investigating the case, or at least the most senior of them, decided that he was guilty. Hence the investigation became a game of trying to find anything that would incriminate him. Even to the point of manipulating witnesses.

I agree that some of the theories expounded are not really plausible but I am of the view that the Bailey theory is also implausible.

As I said above, motive here is key. In cases of this type, the husband is always the first port of call for the investigators. Although there is no actual evidence of Daniel being involved, no one had as much to gain as him and, statistically, most female victims are murdrerd by their spouse or partner.

You can polish a turd any way you like but it's still a turd. Just in case I'm not being clear, the evidence against Bailey is a turd.

I wouldn't put much faith in the the French levels of 'mediated' evidence. It's sh1te evidence, no pun intended. You know this. I know this. The Gardai know this. The DPP knows this. Everyone knows this. Yet the French convicted Bailey on that sh1te evidence. So that tells me the level of French scrutiny or oversight of this evidence is next to non-existent.

It's also a mad system in France that if Bailey was extradited to France to serve his sentence, he'd automatically be entitled to a retrial.

I think the only ones who did a decent job here is the Irish judiciary. They had no decent evidence beyond reasonable doubt, thus they didn't convict him.

The Guards were corrupt and inapt to solve the crime and the French judiciary convicted based on hearsay evidence.

Yes, the most likely scenario is that the killer is local, so it may point to lots of people in the area including her own family, Alfie Lyons, Leo Bolger, The French man from Marseilles, the German musician etc. etc. The Gardaí also believe that for her to leave her her house she probably knew her attacker. She did not know Ian Bailey.

Not only did they not convict him, they didn't even charge him in the first place.

I know but what she suggested is the most likely scenario in my opinion. Especially ahead of the Hollywood plots.

Why are you assuming the French authorities are wrong but not the Irish authorities? Couldn't the DPP be incompetent also?

There is doubt over whether they met and you're ignoring this part of Josie's statement:

"It is probably somebody who had a crush on her, who must have seen her and went out of their way to see where she lived."

This fits in with Bailey's statement:

 "You did it. You saw her in Spar on Saturday. You saw her walking up the aisle with her tight arse. You fancied her. You went up there to see what you could get. She ran off screaming. You chased her to calm her down. You stirred something in the back of your head. You went too far. You had to finish her off."

Jaysis I really really hope you are not in the gardai, legal profession or judiciary.

You are ready to convict a man of murder on very very flimsy information. I could say that you knew Sophie, I seen you in the area and you told me you did it - do you think it would be fair to convict you based on heresay.