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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Looks like they now control something like 80% of bakhmut and creeping forward, while it's primarily being used as a meat grinder,both sides Ukrainian and Russian are loosing valuable men and equipment,

    At this point it might be worth saying right we've done our job we've weakened the Russians,let them have What's left of the city and we will return in a few months and liberate the city once and for all ,



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Seems like Prigozhin is advising Russia to hold what it has and declare victory, stating they’ve grabbed a substantial part of Ukraine and killed or forced to flee many Ukrainian men (no mention of worse stats for Russians).

    'The people are already looking for someone to blame for the fact that we are not the strongest army in the world, and in this situation they will look for 'the scapegoat'.'

    Looks to me he wants an upgrade from chef to dictator.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    It would almost make sense anywhere else in the world,but we know putin is still hoping to take the whole of Ukraine or the absolute majority of their territory,

    Come the summer Ukrainian offensive that occupied territories are going to be liberated and I can't see Russia coming back to try again



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Deputy Minister of Defense Hanna Maliar has denied Russian fakes and noted that the losses of Russians in Bakhmut are many times higher, there are days when the difference reaches 10 times.

    https://ukranews.com/en/news/927221-russians-losses-in-bakhmut-many-times-higher-than-ukrainians-there-are-days-when-difference-reaches

    The trouble with the bravado of 'Bakhmut holds' is that the people saying it aren't those doing the dying. Two young US volunteers died there a few days ago. If the Ukrainians are killing 350 Orcs a day there, 50 Ukrainians are also dying - per day.

    I'm not sure a meat-grinder, even running at 7:1, is as effective as having an extra 3,000+ experienced troops for the offensive. In a Telegram channel I saw a comment from an AFU fighter who sounded very dejected about being in Bakhmut, with a sharp criticism for management that they didn't tell them that Orc special forces had been unleashed on them, the inference being they were being more effective in killing Ukrainians and a far tougher opponent than they had been used to.

    It's also not helping that the Orcs have now gotten ECM assets that are rendering commercial DJI drones inopperable as well as doing some extensive GPS signal jamming.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,804 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    But if Ukraine withdraw from bakhmut, they loose the 10:1 advantage. So Russia advance to the next town/city and start destroying it and the ratio drops. So Ukraine withdraw from there and rinse and repeat?

    Ukraine may loose 3k as you have stated, but 30k less Russians may be worth it (certainly not for us to decide) Not to mention the advantage ratio wise must extend to Russian equipment losses.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 655 ✭✭✭BoxcarWilliam99


    From the recent leaks:

    "One leaked document, quoted by the Washington Post, said the Ukrainian army faced challenges in massing troops, equipment and ammunition, and could fall well short of its original goals for an expected counter-offensive. The document warned that only modest territorial gains could be achieved in Russian-occupied areas"


    Russian morale will soar while doubt and uncertainty will surely enter Ukrainian military personnel. This sounds like a failure before it even begins. Ukraine may well abandon this idea and instead send Zelinksy out with the bowl around Europe to try build up a bigger better equipped force.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    7-1 /10- 1 is pure propaganda both sides losing thousands in bakhmut,but yet the Russians now control the majority of bakhmut something like 80%+ ,

    Despite the various claims on here but ukraine aren't losing the same as the Russians but yet they are losing ground which suggests that the Ukrainans in bakhmut have been severely depleted despite being re-enforced twice recently



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    The Orcs altered many of the original documents in the leak, and likely fabricated ones that weren't leaked and inserted them in the overall information flow. It's the age old trick of inserting false information into a set of less important true information in the hope no one notices and accepts the false information as being true, by association.

    But you knew that.

    Post edited by cnocbui on


  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    One thing about the recent intelligence leak's losses were at 375,000 killed and a similar number of injured and incapacitated, which suggests both sides are around 185,000 killed ,

    While some one did a fairly amateur job trying to reduce Russian losses on one ,the original documents show high losses



  • Registered Users Posts: 655 ✭✭✭BoxcarWilliam99


    I don't know this. Do you have a link to this information?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    I think you are making a wrong assumption: The loss of ground may not be due to an equal loss of forces but a gradual retreat when a greater loss of forces would be required to hold. The numerical superiority is the problem, especially since a significant fraction of them are probably now parratroopers, not conscripts and convict cannon fodder.

    - Ukrainian intelligence had data on enemy numbers at the outset of the war. What are these numbers now?

    - The number of the enemy forces involved – in the territory of Ukraine and around it – is slightly more than 350,000 - Commander of the Ukrainian Army’s Joint Forces, Lieutenant General Serhiy Naiev

    https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3673603-serhiy-naiev-joint-forces-commander.html



  • Registered Users Posts: 287 ✭✭dennis72


    Holding Russians where they are prevents more war crimes and destruction on the next city

    So why not keep hold especially when defending is less costly than for the aggressor

    It seems the Russians have re-energised it forces with reinforcements hope they will end up the same way as its previous lot.

    I am sceptical of the exhaustion, low morale and short of weapons touted by propaganda on Russians forces they still seem better resourced unfortunately.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,804 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    If Ukraine was acting the same as Russian meat grinder tactics that would be a correct assumption. They retreat back a street to prevent being overrun vs the Russians who will be shot if they retreat. You can see how loosing ground or a tactical retreat can loose ground while not loosing troops.


    Ukraine and Wagner both dismiss the 80% claim, so I guess you're going on the Russian figure?



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,804 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    According to Reuters, the documents allege that between 15,500-17,500 Ukrainian troops were killed and 109,000-113,500 wounded in action.

    Russia is believed to have 35,500-43,000 forces killed in action and 154,000-180,000 wounded, Reuters added.

    Im not sure what leak you are referring to?



  • Registered Users Posts: 655 ✭✭✭BoxcarWilliam99


    He says the Russians changed the numbers on the leak and then leaked the leak.

    When pushed for evidence of this Russian interference he hasn't responded yet.

    A link or a clip would be good. I hadn't heard this theory anywhere else



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    I'm going by the maps not by the claim of one or the other,

    It's beyond obvious Russia is in control of the majority of bakhmut,

    Russian forces have maid steady gains for the last few weeks,and yet people on here deny it ,

    But but but, 10-1 ,10-1

    Lol holding on to a figure that been brandied around for months from the same accounts ,

    Funny that no .

    Ukrainians are dieing in their thousands in bakhmut just like the Russians are ,as I said last week or the week before Russia has changed it's tactics in bakhmut,as a result they have made gains , which puts several towns outside side of bakhmut at risk in the next few weeks,



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,254 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    J

    jayaus Patrick Stewart was so young ! I thought he was an old man back then !



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,484 ✭✭✭Fighting Tao


    I’m surprised they collected that many bodies. They normally leave them behind.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,746 ✭✭✭zv2


    “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.” — Voltaire



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Looks that way reports suggest a Russian base was hit with 12 missles, that's a pretty large strike on one location

    Post edited by Gatling on


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  • Registered Users Posts: 486 ✭✭junkyarddog


    Military training area in russia on fire.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Seems this wasn't mentioned at all yesterday Russian s300s hit an apartment complex in sloviansk (9 dead so far still searching) which is next Big city after bakhmut, looks like exactly what I said last week they are already looking past bakhmut .






  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Oh look someone new ,



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,418 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    There's a war on. Do you expect Ukraine and Russia to publicly reveal everything about the conduct of the war? Can you point to a war in history in which this ever occurred? And why would you have this as a reasonable expectation of any future war?

    Here's a general rule, if you get your information from countries with a free press, you are going to be much closer to getting a sense of the truth of matters. Than say Russia. Another general rule is that whatever the opposite of Russia says is closer to the truth.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The leaked documents say that Russia has been quite successful at jamming the GPS guidance of the glide bombs.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    the glide bombs have been a success cheap and easily adapted to dumb bombs which they have alot more of than missles,this is where reaper drones would have come in handy compared to off the shelf djis or clones Which operate on 2.4- 5ghz band



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,460 ✭✭✭Markcheese


    In honesty they're free to report , there's just no likelyhood that they'll get the whole truth ,

    Both sides wish to under play their failures and hype up their victories , and if you actually thought differently then that's a bit odd ..

    A western journalist in Donbass is free to report ,( once nothing sensetive is included ) and there are plenty of journalistic critiques of ukraines military , plus there are the vloggers ,some more critical than others ..

    But no way either sides military are going to announce actual figures or dates

    Slava ukraini 🇺🇦



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,804 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    And the source for 180k KIA on both sides?

    Even the photoshopped version didn't have the figures that high.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The loses were 354,000 combined losses for Ukraine and Russia,

    Russians KIA 35,000 - 43,000

    Russian incapacitated/injured - 154,000-180,000

    Ukraine KIA -15,500 -17,500

    Ukraine incapacitated/injured -109,000-113,500,

    Russian tanks lost- 2048

    Russian APC lost- 3900

    Ukrainian tanks lost -486

    Ukrainian APC lost-1020 ,

    One think this leak does ,it debunks the notion of 10-1 losses or even 7-1 in Ukraines favor ,



This discussion has been closed.
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