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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,623 ✭✭✭Villa05


    There only essential in a pandemic it would appear

    When the pandemic is gone, they can get lost

    Rational thinking for some is compromised when one becomes a property owner I suspect



  • Registered Users Posts: 491 ✭✭SwimClub


    I didn't read anyone writing that it was 'OK' or 'acceptable' to attack anyone with a circular saw. Noting that someone is at the end of their tether is not the same as saying anything anyone does when at the end of their tether is OK. Might be a bit too nuanced for some but patently obvious to most.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Dr Raheel further stated that he then engaged a solicitor, who advised him not to pay the rent at that moment without looking at the situation further. Dr Raheel says he paid the rent for the month of April to a different account after having email contact with the landlord’s family, and that he has arrangements in place to pay the rest of the money and to find somewhere new to live as soon as possible. 

    I am very cynical as to the intentions and story put forward by the surgeon. His friend talks of the need to rotate so I estimate it likely he will be moving to another hospital soon and I would see it likely that he paid no rent. His story doesn't add up with the interaction we see between him and Tomas. I could be wrong but it seems remarkable he couldn't find time to pay rent from August and hired a solicitor to advise him on whether he should pay rather than just paying.

    Obviously, this does not justify the circular saw action however, I think the law needs to be updated.

    A friend spent 2 years trying to get a non paying tenant out of his PPR while abroad. The tenant bought a new car while paying no rent. Where else can anyone steal €48,000, walk away and face no charges because it's a civil matter?



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,513 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    And what about low paid workers in the private sector? A lot of these were classified as key workers during Covid. How do you define key worker? Nearly every job is needed to keep the economy going and could be classified as a key worker.

    As for ‘tis only fair’ I don’t buy it…you are saying houses are prioritised to what you classify as a key worker over everyone else. If priority is given and more housing built for key workers it’s at an expense to someone else…it could be a home that a hardworking FTB could have bought.



  • Registered Users Posts: 171 ✭✭Beigepaint


    What about them?

    The goverment must incentivise nursing teaching etc to a sufficient level or else people will go be a nurse or teacher in Dubai or Australia.

    If the government creates conditions to incentivise PS workers to leave the country and the services deteriorate and voters don't bring it up as a issue that will influence their vote then whats the problem? If the vote is not influenced then there is no problem.

    As for low paid workers in the private sector - they can lobby for higher pay, withdraw their labour, upskill, or accept their lot. Also not a problem.

    A lot of posters are hung up on the morality of what's right or fair. Irrelevant. There are only incentives and disincentives.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,586 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    A key worker is someone in the public sector providing essential services within the Health, Education or Infrastructure segments.

    Teachers, Nurses, Transport Workers etc.

    It isnt my definition, key worker is an established term.

    There are a limited amount of homes and yes, some of those homes need to be prioritised for key workers, even if its at the expense of someone else.

    Otherwise, only the highest earners gobble up all the houses.

    I particularly disagree with the constant allocation of social housing to people earning no or low incomes. The govt should priortise key workers providing essential services, regardless of their salaries.

    That doesnt mean we forget about everyone else, we should of course try to accommodate everyone. But in a world of limited stock and high demand, we have to prioritise someone, so whom would you choose, out of interest?



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,586 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Sone good social cleansing ideals in play there :)

    None of which will ever happen, obviously.

    Imagine the objections to endless amounts of modular estates for refugees and the unemployed, lol.

    The REITS ensure a lot of property developments are built in the first place.

    Dont assume that if the REITS didnt invest that the housing development would still get built. In many cases, they would not.

    I am not saying REITs are the greatest thing in the world, not at all.

    But there is a place for them and they do contribute towards the delivery of housing. We would be seeing less housing completions each year without them and house prices would be even higher, rents also.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,647 ✭✭✭Nermal


    I could survive a long, long time without the services of the Departments of Health and Education.

    The people who ensure there's a ready supply of food in my nearest Tesco are substantially more 'key' to my ongoing existence.

    'Key worker' is a nonsense term.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,586 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Food workers, supply and sales, are key workers.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,513 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    Not according to your earlier post…would also assume based on your previous post that as there low paid and in the private sector the government should stop helping them with housing.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    Its almost like we havent seen the effects of not looking after things essential to the economy before. In fact its almost like some people still refuse to believe we are seeing the effects of just that right now.



  • Registered Users Posts: 210 ✭✭Mr Hindley


    Moving away from public sector salaries - from what I can see, the housing market is heating right up again, at least in Dublin. High attendance at viewings, and serious bidding wars. Am desperately regretting not buying something - anything - during the lull over the winter. It's all very dispiriting.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,569 ✭✭✭✭Dav010


    When you consider that the subsidy is linked to the provision of low cost rental housing, that the developers would not build at present due to cost, and that the cost of the State building the homes would be substantially more than 150k per unit, and probably take a decade, then I’m not sure why your first thought is, welfare for struggling builders. Would you prefer they sit on the sites until costs drop and they can sell for more profit to institutional investors?

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    Supply has ticked up ever so slightly.

    Myhome 13,608

    It's pretty scary to be honest. We were outbid before Christmas. There doesn't seem to be any bargains out there, the opposite, doer uppers for a small fortune requiring another small fortune to do up.....

    Post edited by mcsean2163 on


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,569 ✭✭✭✭Dav010


    Seems that some British people are moving here, because property is less expensive and better value.

    https://archive.ph/ZeP0a



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Why shouldn't it happen there is no reason why modular homes cannot be put in to different areas in all counties including the likes of leafy Foxrock and Dublin city center. Let them object either take the modular home or hit the streets the days of Angie the single mum of 4 from 3 different daddies telling the state she wants a 5 bedroom house near mumsy in a nice south Dublin suburb with a south facing garden for the sunshine and one of her baby daddies staying there on the QT and working away should no longer be tolerated. Also if it was done right it would not be taking them out of the location but it is freeing up housing stock. Why should people be given houses for free or one set of workers prioritized over another, we are basically setting up a system for people who get up off their asses and work and do things the right way and they will never be able to buy or rent in the country but if your from a different country and fleeing from some kind of persecution or on the dole or your biased view of what an essential worker is that they should all be prioritized for a house which is wrong. We are all running the same race and jumping the same hurdles with regards to housing and the cost of living and every worker who pays income tax in this county is essential for the running of the country.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Will you give over (Mods please you have asked me not to comment on public sector workers, yet this poster has posted on this topic numerous times with out warning? Please will you tell this poster that this thread is not about this topic as they keep bringing it up and baiting.) Your post is applicable to every worker. If as a worker you have no reasonable expectation to own or confidently rent long term at a price that is affordable in this country your not going to hang around regardless of what job you do. So in your narrative if we do prioritize teachers and nurses for housing further impugning every other worker in order to do so, do you think they are going to hang around in Ireland? No they wont and who will be left to pay their wage and pensions long term when the our younger workers who are currently working here the likes of the shop/coffee shop/retail worker and basically all of the other SME workers feck off to Oz for a better life or at the very least in a warmer and in a country where they can rent or buy a house??

    Already our pensions age is up at 68 as 65 is deemed as being no longer affordable. Already kites bring flown about upping PRSI as well. So if this cohort of young people cant get housed they will leave or they will have less or no kids meaning the pool of future tax payers paying into the system will be decimated, the kids who will be their will be from the likes of Angie above and if ever the term "monkey see monkey do" analogy can be used its for this situation, studies show that if a kid is brought up with the expectation of a welfare handout they are most likely to follow suit into adulthood.

    Post edited by fliball123 on


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    2 month on month drops nationwide on prices (5 month on month drops in Dublin) and at least another 3 Interest rate hikes coming the first this month hardly heating up its more like the electricity has been cut and the pan is no longer boiling over and the sauce is cooling down. So you will excuse me if I think you may be a bit of a Ray Charles with the "from what I can see" analysis.



  • Registered Users Posts: 601 ✭✭✭mike_cork


    My partner & I have been at 2 viewings this week in Cork city. We were the only ones at either viewing.

    In contrast we were at a viewing 2 months ago and there were 5-7 other people.

    In both cases no offers on either property have been placed per the respective estate agents.

    Could be purely coincidental though.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Its not and the figures have what your seeing as being the narrative overall. I mean its not just the interest rate hikes it the other costs that have been hitting would be house buyers not to mention the bank still has to do its due diligence and stress test at at least 2% above the rate, that will lock a hell of a lot of people out of the market. Not to mention people will see the stats 5 price drops in Dublin month on month and 2 in the the first 2 months of the year not to mention the threat of another 3 rate hikes coming up so it would be insane for someone to buy now when all trends are showing prices are coming down.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 310 ✭✭Hillmanhunter1


    I find the doctor's story implausible. Where did you find evidence that "the landlord appears to admit to changing accounts"?

    I can find no information provided by the landlord. As far as I can see all we have is the doctor's version of events.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,117 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    Its the right move, we need rental properties at all costs. State controlled cost rental is the way forward I believe, long term secure tenancies and moving away from home ownership like mainland european cities. State can recoup most the costs through the rental and retain the property rights.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users Posts: 544 ✭✭✭theboringfox


    Doer uppers? I think houses requiring work or extensions are being priced too high. Im interested to see are prices holding up where house is in good order and can be moved straight into. Id be shocked if market just absorbs rate rises. The savings you've to show monthly are very high for 2% stress rate. Ill be interested to see how many can borrow at 4x or even 3.5x due to it. If prices are even stabilising also people not just bidding to get in before price rises. Strange market right now



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,087 ✭✭✭JohnnyChimpo


    5 month drops in Dublin are the same as what happened in the winter of 2014 and 2018 as well, all 3 amounting to about a 2% drop in sale price over the winter. None of those resulted in a continued price drop as we all know. The interest hikes will obviously most likely have a cooling effect as they're expected to, but I wouldn't be especially convinced by a slight undulation of the CSO graph.

    This isn't particularly motivated reasoning on my part, because even though I'm a homeowner I would prefer a cooling of the market (both to allow some of my peers to access property, and to make it easier for me to upgrade in the coming years).

    A lot of prognostication, but as always its trying to over-fit the model of the GFC property crash to the current datapoints, when the fundamentals are vastly different.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    One simple question will show that it is different now and this what were the interest rates in both of those years that seen prices fall in both 2014 and 2018??



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,087 ✭✭✭JohnnyChimpo


    Did you just read one sentence and lose the head and mash the "Post Comment" button? If so, please look back at the very next sentence where I acknowledge the differentiating circumstances of the interest rate hikes.


    I'm not even disagreeing with your conclusion, just that it's far from definitive and you're cherry-picking sparse data for your own reasons



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    I did, but I am just pointing to the fact that you choose to 2 periods over the last 12 years where we had a small reversal in property prices but the conditions are completely different in 2023 we have ravenous demand and p1ss poor supply and yet prices are dropping and that will continue while rates get higher I am not cherry picking just stating how it is.



  • Registered Users Posts: 601 ✭✭✭mike_cork


    Both houses are livable right now but both need work, especially house no 1.

    House no 1 is currently single glazed, gas boiler on it's last legs and has water damage/discoloration in a small part of the kitchen ceiling due to a leak from the upstairs bathroom. The estate agent said it's all sorted and all it needs is some paint to but i contacted a builder buddy and showed him some pics i took. He said it's very fixable but you're looking at a couple of grand to resolve.

    Finally the kitchen & bathroom is outdated and both would need to be upgraded.

    All in you're looking at at least 15-20K (and probably a good bit more) to do it up.

    Considering the work required the property it's well over priced imo and hence may explain why there isn't any offers on the property/why the estate agent was keen to get us back for a 2nd viewing.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    Because the state are so good at collecting the rent they are owed :)



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  • Registered Users Posts: 18,117 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    That's an argument for another day but your talking about a tiny minority not paying.



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