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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭roadmaster


    I know the below issue is under the EU remit and they are over security but will it trigger the civil servants here to get the ministers to speed up on legeslation to deploy the army for protection on certain irish embasseys




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,328 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    They could legislate all they want, but there are very few countries that have the military capability to safely insert themselves into the middle of a burgeoning civil war in the middle of Africa.

    No I don't think such powers are ever in our future.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Well it’s a good thing that our “neutrality!” Means that these ships would never do anything hostile to our infrastructure…

    https://www.irishtimes.com/world/europe/2023/04/19/russia-has-plan-to-sabotage-north-sea-windfarms-cables/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,328 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Phew, thank God eh?

    Its also such a stroke of luck that none of the cables and pipelines connected to Ireland go to territories that aren't neutral, that would be bad.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭roadmaster




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,328 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Hey I'd love to be an Air Corps pilot, even though I'm too unfit, too poor of vision and have never undertaken a day's training in my life. But I know they're a bit short, so maybe if I write to the GOC, he'll make an exception due to the exigencies of the Corps and let me do it anyway.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Something more from Martin on his upcoming “review” I guess:

    https://www.rte.ie/news/2023/0420/1378214-defence-forces/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,328 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    On that note, still no word on these forums that are to take place in June.

    They can't afford to be seen to try rush or railroad anything around this public consultation of sorts. It will make the socialist PANA / Irish Neutrality League even more arsey than they already are.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Yeah, while that shower of shite are going to wheel out their usual BS, I’m sure the likes of PBP and SF will be screaming about NATO an all day long anyway. That being said, I’m still not sure what exact purpose these meetings will have? Is it going to change anyones position? Will anyone who doesn’t already have a position on the matter actually pay attention long enough to educate themselves?



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭sparky42


    So who do we bum a ride off of this time? Also has anyone checked the max capacity of a 295 when we have a situation where hundreds of Irish citizens might need to be moved (in a couple of years of course)?

    https://www.independent.ie/news/plans-to-evacuate-irish-citizens-as-civil-war-escalates-in-sudan-42443337.html



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭roadmaster


    So if someone provides a lift we will provide security?

    If its not safe to go by air could they be looking at a armed convoy to a friendly country to the north?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,328 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    71 pax plus 3 crew apparently. Maybe more if you're not talking about troops with full kit.

    Good luck everybody else.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Maybe Foreign Affairs and Defence could ask everyone going to unstable countries to limit themselves to just some 70 odd people at any one time in those unstable states... Though then what happens if there's two unstable states at the same time...



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭roadmaster


    Time to put a call in to the ballsbridge leasing company to see if the two casas they where offereing are still around



  • Registered Users Posts: 334 ✭✭Grassy Knoll


    No, what is happening is we are waiting (as usual) for our de facto defence force (the UK ) to evacuate their folks and hitch a lift for our citizens on their aircraft … am I wrong?

    We maybe could interchange the UK for one or two other countries.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭roadmaster




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭sparky42


    If the upper figure of 300 or so is right I imagine it might be a number of different nations we will be thanking, least we could do is send support for securing the airport and processing the Irish, but I imagine like Kabul we will finally do that only a couple of days before the mission ends…

    How hard is it to say “do what we eventually did for Kabul but do it now rather than leave it to the last”?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,328 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    I know it's easy for us to throw brick bats at the Govt for the decades of under-investment and they are all fully justified, but honestly even if we had that 295 shined up, fuelled and ready to fly, I think this situation is far more dangerous than even Kabul was.

    In Kabul, the allied forces on the ground had an absolute ton of defensive weapons, personnel, protective vehicles etc and controlled the airspace and the airport complex for the most part. Also, the Taliban were basically facilitating the allies to leave asap, so long as there were no tricks being pulled.

    Khartoum is a different ballgame. Its basically an active warzone, with combat aircraft, artillery and trained combatants roaming around the place. There is no local presence of western forces to anchor a defensive position and lead an evacuation.

    I suspect that even well resourced forces like l'Armeé de l'Air and the RAF will not be at all keen to stage an unsupported landing that far into deepest Africa, without combat air cover or a friendly ATC in place. The risk of a stray shell or something taking down a fully laden A400 with maybe 140 souls on board is beyond contemplation.

    Even if the planes got in an out, there is still a high risk of casualties among the evacuees or the air force personnel deployed. You could bring in special operations forces on the plane, but they still have to get off by the ramp without knowing who's waiting to take a shot at them.

    All that said, Khartoum is something like 600 km from the nearest border or the Red Sea coast so an overland exodus is no less fraught with danger and logistical nightmares.

    I don't envy the civil and military authorities in any affected Country this one at all.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭sparky42


    I don't think any of us are saying the situation isn't highly dangerous and unstable, that goes without saying, and we are so far behind the skill sets and equipment needed to help outside of the ARW, of course we are going to be left to put our faith in the resources of other nations. However when you see nations mustering planes and troops from Pacific nations to the US for the evac you can see what we are talking about in terms of resources.

    What gets me is that it seems again we are in an "Ad hoc" type situation, I mean since Kabul has there been any formal planning by Foreign Affairs and Defence (and of course the Cabinet) in how to deal with these emergencies? Have we spent the time working with any partners to make a "formal" arrangement for how to respond/react or are we still at the point of "ring around and find out?"

    Of course even if we had the Transport CASA and a full strength ARW we would only at best be playing a small role in such an operation.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭roadmaster




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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,121 ✭✭✭jonnybigwallet


    Looks like the French are coming to our rescue..."Vive la France 🇫🇷 "



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,328 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Reports of conditions on the ground say it's far from that simple.

    The French aren't commenting, even on a convoy of their nationals which was attacked in Khartoum, so something is obviously in the planning. If they are going to assist with Irish citizen evacuation again, we should certainly be sending an ARW unit with them to assist securing the operation.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭sparky42


    12 members of the DF are being sent (presuming ARW), andthe UK has evacuated their embassy staff and families already:

    https://www.rte.ie/news/2023/0423/1378622-defence-forces-sudan/



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭roadmaster


    Jesus it like the defence forces have entered a bad circle of news at the moment. Nearly every news article is to with some issue. I hope the CoDF report starts getting results shown to give some good news



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,328 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    God speed to them and our partners. Unless some arrangements have been secured with the conflicting groups on the ground, this could make Kabul look like a picnic in the Park.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,121 ✭✭✭jonnybigwallet


    A dozen is hardly and overwhelming force. Two dozen sounds like a better idea to me.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭sparky42


    It seems that at least the "Army" faction seems willing to help and allow the evacuation of foreigners, not sure about the other side or how much control they have over their fighters though.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,979 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Pretty much, between the sadly now regular reports on manpower issues and the growing reports on conditions and conduct this year is unlikely to be good for them, short of some the bumper billions finding its way to the Defence budget its hard to see that improving and even then money won't solve the misconduct issues.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,328 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34




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  • Registered Users Posts: 334 ✭✭Grassy Knoll


    I think 12 is the figure as it is considered the outer bound the Government can send abroad without the triple lock approval kicking in … such an idiotic bind a sovereign nation has placed upon it self….

    Anyways, presume it is the Rangers, also presume we are hitching a lift … again no reflection on the DF, but scandalous we lack the independent airlift capability to deploy at distance, at short notice …The government jet is not even fit for such a trip to get them to the region….



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