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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users Posts: 16,742 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Some posters seem to think it is a false flag. I don't buy this, as the image of a drone getting anywhere near the Kremlin makes Russia look incredibly weak and it is humiliating. A drone or whatever it was would never get that close to the White House.

    Of course it suits Ukraine to deny it was them, they don't attack Russia directly, yet have saboteurs conducting secret missions on the border and inside Russia. Russia won't go nuclear, so there threats in response to this attack are rather empty ,as it seems they can't carry out a successful strike on Kyiv due to the modern air defenses systems Ukraine has now. Which yet again demonstrates by and large conventional Russian military equipment is no match for the West. Perhaps their hypersonic missile is the exception, but they have very little of those



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The problem is there has been several videos of drones flying over Moscow recently, no big deal, well with the exception of Russia recently placing pansir Air defense systems on top of buildings in and around the Kremlin and close to it , Along with their nuclear air defense systems already surrounding the capital,

    It would be next to impossible to put any sizable aircraft or drone over Moscow without getting taken down , then came the video which itself is comedy gold,and Russias statement of they used electronic anti drone systems to take down the drone,

    It's all Kremlin propaganda and nothing more



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,751 ✭✭✭zv2


    Why was Putin up on the roof in the first place?

    “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.” — Voltaire





  • Chay Bowes move to the dark side is now complete. Now shamelessly retweeting Russian propaganda.




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  • Registered Users Posts: 16,742 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    I still don't subscribe to this view, as the image it conveys is of Russian impotence. Cast your mind back to the recent recruitment propaganda campaign, it underscores how Russia is obsessed with projecting an image of strength and vitality, an enemy missile or drone flying close to the Kremlin projects an image of weakness.



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,742 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Hilarious Zv2. I don't believe it was an attempt to kill Putin, rather psychological warfare to remind Putin and Russia that we can bring the war to you. It's timing close to the Victory day parade is no coincidence in that regard.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Exactly,

    But ask why the Russians keep saying that the Ukrainans tried to kill putin at his residence, the Russians and would Know putin doesn't live in ybe the Kremlin, from what I can gather he's only been to the Kremlin several times this year, usually at night and with a massive convoy,

    If this was ukraine why would they deny it ,it was be a huge propaganda coup saying we can get you in Moscow and anywhere else in Russia,but no they are coming out and saying it's nothing to do with us ,

    The other option is the start of an internal power struggle inside of the Kremlin, putin will likely stay inside his bunker for the foreseeable future, making him look weak Just as much as Russia



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,751 ✭✭✭zv2


    I suspect he sent one of his doubles up to the roof first, to see what happens.

    “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.” — Voltaire



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,110 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    He drank the Kool-Aid a long long time ago.

    He's married to a Russian and has lived there. He's even been interviewed on RT.

    His twitter feed has been an absolute dumpster fire during this invasion.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,686 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I agree. All this does is make Russia look incompetent (because they are).

    If Russia has expertise in anything its the old false flag op - they'll gladly murder scores of their own citizens in the process. If an apartment block in Russia explodes I'll listen to the false flag theory, but I just can't see how it makes sense here.





  • "He's even been interviewed on RT."

    Isn't he working for RT's Indian operation now?



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,928 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Prigozhin is not some generic businessman who can easily be chucked out of a window, he has his own private army. He's also, so far, been useful to the regime. Although it's definitely an odd relationship.

    He is critical of Putin, but more from a "wants to win the war" sense, which is non-threatening to Putin. Prigozhin also randomly comes out with his own ridiculous propaganda. It's a strange one, I think as long as he keeps providing meat for the fodder, then the regime will forgo his occasional outbursts.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,110 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    Perun did a great video on the competing interests in Russia between the MoD and the PMCs. Basically it all comes down to Putin's primary goal, which is to stay in power. Having the Wagner group and the Chechen's operate as almost independent armies seems crazy until you realise that it dilutes the strength of the Russian army, thereby reducing the chance of a coup at any point. That's the same reason that Gerasimov and Shoigu have been kept at the top of the army despite the utter shambles that they have presided over - they're loyalists who can be trusted and that's more important to Putin than competence.

    Prigozhin understands this dynamic all too well. I'm not sure he has ever actually criticized Putin directly. He instead criticises the Russian MoD and specifically Shoigu. That's entirely allowable under the perverse rules of Kremlin politics.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,997 ✭✭✭rogber


    I agree. false flag makes little sense, if it was the Ukrainians it makes them look pretty incompetent (they were never going to hit Putin at the Kremlin).

    I think most likely could be some anti Putin group or individual within Russia itself



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,065 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Lot of nonsense being spouted over this so called Kremlin attack. All that is needed is to juxtapose a photo of a few puffs over the golden palace of Moscow with images of obliterated towns and villages in Ukraine. Utter nonsense.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Everyones favorite Russian comic on stage at the UN , seriously funny guy






  • Registered Users Posts: 5,930 ✭✭✭Cordell


    They did carry assignations in NATO countries. They did what can be qualified as a chemical attack in the UK which failed to kill the target but killed a UK citizen. So it's fair to say that they would do it if they would have the chance.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,006 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    He hasn't been critical of Putin, he isn't that thick.

    The regime have completely turned their back on him though, according to him.

    And honestly at this stage I don't think he gives a shite about winning the war, the rhetoric about not been backed daily is more aimed at his own "army" so they don't turn on him or the commanders and more to do with saving face.

    The expectation is they will capitulate once the offensive begins, Priogzhin will hot step it the fúck out of there if he is able.

    Huge difference between terrorising villagers in Africa and executing rag tag militia and fighting against a committed military machine in Ukraine.

    They found out that the extremely hard way.

    Good enough for them, may everyone of them be slaughtered. They are no better than ISIS.



  • Registered Users Posts: 878 ✭✭✭Addmagnet




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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,930 ✭✭✭Cordell


    Land "stealing" by war, conquest and colonization was acceptable up to some point, it is not anymore. So please stop with the Texas nonsense, or, if we get there, both US and Mexico should dissolve themselves, give the land back to the natives and jump back in the ocean.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Russia are short on long-range precision weapons (cruise missiles / ballistic missiles / Shahed-style drones). This is common knowledge. They had a stockpile at the beginning of the invasion, they fired a lot and eventually they expended the stockpile - either to zero or to some limit they won't go below. At that point they can only fire what they manufacture or acquire.

    They are not short of non-precision missiles (or "low-precision"). They have a large stockpile of ex-Soviet weapons of all types.

    If they have 20 modern cruise missiles (which is approx what they can make each month) and fire them into Ukraine, a good deal will be intercepted. However if they simultaneously fire another 20 old missiles without warheads (decoys), now Ukraine have 40 targets to intercept. It is simply a numbers game, more of the precision missiles will hit their targets. Ukraine have said multiple times Russia are using this tactic.

    Something we have seen throughout the war is Russia rummage through their stockpile to see if they have some old stuff that might be useful. Ukraine are doing it also - they tried several times to use Tupolev TU-141 - a 1970s jet reconaissance drone - as cruise missiles.

    In WW2 some countries were using late 1800s weapons.





  • Must say fair play to Ruth Coppinger for calling out Mick Wallace for being a shill for so many authoritarian regimes.




  • Registered Users Posts: 7,110 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    Nice one. I must admit that I never had any time for her but she has just gone up in my estimation.

    Pretty telling that she had to turn the comments off. I'd say there'd be plenty on her "side" who would be furious about that take.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,036 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    more reconnaissance by force from Ukraine.

    As i said yesterday, expect more of these small scale probing attacks all along the line of contact until some weak points become evident





  • +1.

    Apart from a few honourable exceptions, I consider alot of people on the Irish left to be geopolitically illiterate.



  • Registered Users Posts: 510 ✭✭✭AerLingus747


    I wouldn't say stabilisation... known entity morso.... people know what their aim is, how they operate and how to deal with them....

    Unfortunately, they are propping up a number of governments, and if they go, most likely the governments will go with them..

    They are a militant force also, which will be replaced by another militant force if they fall, who that will be and their aims are all unknowns...

    There will be a power vacuum which will most likely cause civil war in 2 or 3 countries, I'd bank on Burkina Faso and Mali as definite. Mozambique is another possibility, and will be interesting to see how their influence in Madagascar would be filled if they fell.

    Not to mention Sudan and CAF where they have a lot of influence....

    Would also be interesting to see what would happen in Syria if Russia's main dirty work people stopped do just that...

    Even with all the posturing, Russia will lose a lot of ground and influence if Wagner goes under, even if they have failed in Ukraine.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,163 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    Some reports say that the main offensive due (in days) has been put back due to bad ground conditions for now?



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,006 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Russia will lose a lot of ground and influence if Wagner goes under

    Russia and Putin are done, Wagner is the least of their worries. But the reality is Russia have more or less abandoned them to slaughter, probably for scape goat reasons.

    The best Russia can hope for in the next generation is China use a slight bit of lube when they ride them for everything they are worth. Ditto India.

    As the countries in Africa they are at preputial civil war, there will always be someone along to exploit them either by the barrel of the gun or a pen.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,110 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    I only learned the word campist last week:

    Noun[edit]

    campist (plural campists)

    1. Synonym of third-campist
    2. (derogatorypoliticssocialismslang) A leftist who supports any country/organization simply for being opposed to the United States or the West, including authoritarian governments who would otherwise not follow leftist beliefs.


    What I have learned in the past year is that the vast majority of the far-left are nothing but campists.

    This Russian invasion has been a real litmus test. There's an actual bona-fide fascist dictatorship mounting an invasion of another nation, where they are looking to entrench the rule of oligarchy and kleptocracy, crush human rights and freedom of expression, all egged on by religious zealots. But wait....the USA is backing the other side. "I've heard enough. Case closed! Time to contort myself into a pretzel while I go to bat for the invaders liberators!"



This discussion has been closed.
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