I Love Punting , Providing Selections & Chatting Gibberish ; & I Intend To Do So On Hyah

howdy :)

no study - no bettee#

NO SALISBURY !! 😒

Paye Ye heede - no get tae much involved 'study-wise' ('#just da one race for me ws all that me had a squizz at there) in a Meet with word "Precautionary" immediately preceding "Inspection" , in racecard info

that's interesting tbs @j@utis about that 7f race in the last at Doncaster - didn't notice much "interference" at all, but obvs was watching from ye normal ~side-angle focus

straight on shot always shows more, but don't recollect them mention much about it last night

must be a Sunday off for ya missus 🤗

don't fancy looking at 1000 Guineas - looks woeful tricky

went with a speculative each way on POLLY POTT , also , for the big'un

:)

have that 4.15 narrowed down to three 😂

think it'll be won by a Blue Point colt, myself, but no strong opinion 🤩

nowt today - all us picks no good

hard !

think i'll watch Sunday Game

g'luck

me thought I could make a case for one more 🙂 Slainte Mhaith 4.58 Ham @ ~ 11/4 ... no bet tho

if i ws winning - mebbe 3 or 5euro win, but could make similar cases for several more in that 6f race - just me looked at SM first

ta for ur service j@u 😊

tomorrow or after for (hopefully) inspo and wunners !!

w/out today with me 4 or 5 picks - enough punishment 🤗

keeping with the "keeping us eye in" stratagem (having a cursory at card/s , and tryna solve at least one race) - not that it's done us a lot of good 'tween last night and today, tho 😄 😌

had a look at trusty AW , and seeing as it's the time of year, "Going" is usually #"Standard" , and #that's what it's down as - must be the sun etc what makes le going go from Standard to Standard/Slow - surface warming up, therefore component parts getting sweaty (think that's the terminology anyhow 🙂 ) and the like - or maybe there's other reasons, and am completely wrong

#not that it makes much diff, as most these (in race in question) have ran on the surface - with only one what's ran on Stan/Slow at this course. some have ran on S/S Going at places like Kempton, Newcastle, etccc

now, after that irrelevance 😀 :

Southwell : Standard

3.05

have it narrowed down to two "likely" - top two in betting -ones (what me's #not doing) and one what can't be ruled out, on past form

Bond Spirit ~ 9/4 is a lot more friendly priced than predicted SP (paper/s had this one at betwen 11/10 & 13/8 - top end barely appealing, but 13/8 not bad, and, obvs, 9/4 way better 😃)

was trying to get jolly beat - may go win yet tho. came a decent third over CD lto, and is a previous CD winner from "Classified Stakes" race back in January. price is tempting, and this looks poor field (even for grade) overall , but, atm, me'd rather be against. not ruling this one out tho - #may go win yet

Pittsburgh ~ 9/4 is one of a few of these what has ran over jumps, and his sole win come in NH sphere. has a couple of decent and recent runs on t'flat AW, in times recent, at or about this trip - a third at Lingfield in March over 10fs, and a course 4th in January over a furlong shorter. is lightly raced at middle distances, and there's 'green shoots' so far as winning goes if we look at that Lingfield run - when staying on from off the pace over 10fs; however (and horse was to the fore then) Pittsburgh didn't seem to stay the course trip of 11furlongs, so not too confident about him getting 12fs here. can't be ruled out if different tactics are utilised, but don't scream winner to me

Blue Hawaii ~ 7/2 (some going three to one it seems, and others as big as 9/2) is not one of the two "likely" ones above-mentioned; has had several runs, but only three of them on Flat proper, and there's nowt there to be enthused about

onto the pick:

HAMMY END EW. Hammy End is having his third run for latest connections - with the first two poor. perhaps they've got a line on him now. am drawing a line thru them as will consider as 'factfinding missions' . has two CD (from three wins in total) wins, with one on the Standard, and t'other on Standard/Slow Going. Both those races were ran in fast times for the grade/surface Going; and from held up out the rear rides. haven't given race a proper second going through to see if there's much pace on, and the horse was sold to new owners as well as going to new stable, so plenty of niggling doubts here.

is 14/1 in the paper, and that looks about right. anything north of that be value, imo. from what I can see there's plenty of 16s about and one or two ha'e this one as 18/1 shot - and think is a mere 10s with 365

early forays and all that

not done owt yet, but hopefully can see something making this a stern test - thereby giving Hammy End right good chance for a bold 'come from off the pace' showing

had a quick look and not seeing any out and out frontrunners, alas, so that'd have to count against us prov pick

if it is a trappy affair/dawdle, then a case would have to be made for the first one mentioned up top - Bond Spirit - and am basing that on his third placed finish two runs back at the course over 1/4 mile further - thinking is he's a strong (relative to the bunch) stayer, and if it comes to a sprint near the end, then Miss Allen's 4yo gelding could be one what prevails here.

nothing done yet, like i said, but if i had to pick now, i'd have two picks in this for small stakes:

BOND SPIRIT #2/1 WIN , HAMMY END 16/1 EW

#9/4 mentioned above, but me's not with any o' Books what's offering them odds

confusing race 😣

😊

Newcastle - Standard

8.45

very tough race to solve. might have an angle tho, to wit le draw

used to be, imo, that high numbers were favoured over straight trips - least that's how it seemed to me. checked the last 5 or six meets at GP venue, and only one was drawn high: the well backed Beast Of Burden (14) last Friday. Apart from her, in the last 6 or 7 6furlong affairs here, all or most of the winners have been drawn in single figured boxes

as well as that, most recent (last month or so - maybe more) winners have seemed to either race prominent/lead or race from just off the pace

GOWANLAD (7) 25/1 EW is pretty much out of form, but has mainly being tackling Class4s and 5s ever since the 6yo got a hcap rating. has been out of form tbs, and tackled a Class6 h'cap for the first time lto - a rare run on turf - at Thirsk, and flopped on the soft going.

most recent CD run was his penultimate outing in Class5 in Feb - money came that day (6s from 18/1) , but finished last of ten, from out the 9 box. must be something up with this one as the tonguestrap and blinkers are both applied for the first time

is a versatile horse, as can race from front or back or mid-div , but has mainly raced (sometimes, perhaps mostly, due to tardy starts) from the rear, in times recent.

horse is plummeting down weights, and Madi Patzelt (who gets spin for first time) takes off a handy seven pounds. will hope the equipment does the job, and being drawn middle, young Madi might utilise that position to lie handy - hope so at least

enough 'green shoots' to make this one a bet

g'nite nd g'luck 😊

hello :)

nowt to say hyah on reasons why us meet got called off -sun practically beating down outside, but must be/have been beating it down o'er in Lenabane if Rosc got abd :(

all dat study i did an' all 😪

least @GosforthParkRacing@NewcastleRacecourse#@GowanGowanladIn#LuckyLast goes ahead 😂

8.25 Windsor

go small win on DEEP SPIRIT 9/1 for no solid reason - very poor field this. Racing Demon should go close - gamble on Optik, well it's his first run in hcap after three very poor runs. pretty hard to make case for Simcock horse

selection only having second run on turf - very first run was on turf, so will overlook that one

gl

take chance on FLOWERS 20/1 EW in Windsor 6,15 upcoming

hopeful pick :)

😁

absolutely ! can't trust those "advised odds" at all

this is oldish video , but this chap has a deep dive over a certain shortish period of time (bout a week only, tbf, but tis likely the same since he (Hugh) got successful - ATR site recording bs "advised" or "available" hehehehh 😆 , prices ) 🤗 😪

very few prices the chap got 😌

all a sham !!