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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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  • Registered Users Posts: 596 ✭✭✭deholleboom


    Mmm, i wonder where to start (and finish). Let's just leave it at every detail considering climate gate. Look it up! And to keep it topical and recent: Michael Mann's infamous 'hockeystick'. It is still in the latest IPCC report! Those people have no shame. All these anomalies have been stated by many scientists. But to have a debate with anyone immediately dragging in the oil lobby and at the same time ignoring the huge green one as if the scientific 'climate community' is neutral and isnt already heavily biased is a waste of time. And as far as consensus goes, one always has to say about what? Im pretty sure 100% agree that the climate is changing. So far so good. Do humans contribute to changes in the atmosphere via putting out Co2 and the greenhouse effect? Probably 97%. Is it significant? Now the number goes down. Is it harmful? Down again. And it depends on who you ask which also relies on people willing to stick their neck out, usually independent retired scientists like emeritus professors etc. Many still in the field don't take the risk as the punishment is severe and immediate.You should really read Steve koonin's 'unsettled' in which he uses actual IPCC data and states the many anomalies between the data and the summery. And then there are a multitude of books about the history of climate science which wouldnt interest you im sure..



  • Registered Users Posts: 596 ✭✭✭deholleboom


    ''Word vomit". Glad to see you are finally revealing yourself.

    But just to be serious for a moment. There is a continious (and unsettled) debate about the greenhouse effect on the Earth's atmosphere. Its impact cannot be precisely calculated and the margins are wide. Like everything else it depends on a multitude of factors. There are scientists who claim everything concerning temperature has to do with the greenhouse effect and others who state it makes no difference whatsoever and that other factors are more important. Can you confidently state who is right? I can't so to me it shows a high uncertainty. Again, it is a complex non linear chaotic system that even diehard physicists have a hard time explaining. The sun and the oceans have a huge impact. H2o in all its forms, really.Co2? As an easily saturated molecule that operates in limited frequency bands unlike say H2o and of such a low percentage in the atmosphere (0.4 i believe) the chance of it being significant is, well, really low. It can't 'force' anything. And again, to state that Co2 has a 'massive' impact is just that, a statement. To say it doesnt make it so, so you can eat your own words..And that thing about iron in the blood made me laugh. It shows the level you are at, really clearly. Science is never settled, the door is always open. The only reason that people keep on insisting it is settled is to implement green policies hence the attack of unbelievers. In the old days only a limited amount of scientists debated matters and it was religion that enforced dogma. Now, green politics can arm an army of soldiers and punish infidels from far away. Bigger and better weapons of compliance with bigger funding than anything seen in history. Are you part of that team? It looks that way.Over and out..



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,551 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    It was discussed on here about the IPCC report being compiled by people who had carte-blanche to pick and choose parts from the many studies that went into making the report. In essence, it is written and compiled to state a wanted position



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,237 ✭✭✭crusd


    Michael Manns hockey stick graph which in the real world has not being refuted. Thank you for bringing up a real world example of the deliberate misrepresentation of reality which in fact shows the length the head in the sand brigade will go to distort reality. An incomplete dataset using some flawed, not falsified, statistics methods did not fully represent everything therefore it was judged by the likes of yourself as completely wrong. But you know that’s the thing about science. Data is published to be tested and refuted or replicated. And you know in the real world, Manns results have been replicated using different methods and Manns original study was revised in 2021 with improved methods and no alternative conclusions were drawn. Your argument is that because the first study was not perforce it is 100% incorrect. If this was the case why do you and your ilk not publish real data refuting the now replicated conclusions rather than shouting “but Mann is not perfect”. Because it doesn’t exist, that’s why.

    Steve Koonin's views on climate change, as presented in "Unsettled," are misleading and flawed. While he acknowledges the existence of human-caused warming, he downplays its severity and misrepresents the consensus among climate scientists. Koonin selectively cherry-picks data and uses outdated arguments to create doubt, ignoring the overwhelming evidence that supports the urgent need for climate action. There is admittedly more cash to be made in contrarianism what with so many people wanting the easy answer.

    I do understand where you are coming from though. It would be so much easier to not have to deal with a rapid shift on the climate. I often hope for a report to identify an offsetting natural cooling pattern which otherwise may have left it in the ice age without the increase in CO2, or an unanticipated consequence where some mechanisms is created where carbon is captured naturally restoring the balance, or a new technology which allows rapid halting of the current trend. However, it is foolish to plan on hope in the absence of supporting data.

    What does need to change though, in the context of the thread title, is the overwhelming emphasis on the stick approach to dealing with climate change. Give people the alternative first. Make the alternative better than the status quo. You will then find than the paradigm shift will be much quicker.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,237 ✭✭✭crusd


    Carbon dioxide (CO2) is a well-established greenhouse gas, and its role in Earth's climate system is supported by abundant scientific evidence. Numerous studies and observations demonstrate its impact on the greenhouse effect and global warming. CO2 molecules have the ability to absorb and re-emit infrared radiation, trapping heat within the Earth's atmosphere.


    Firstly, laboratory experiments have confirmed CO2's greenhouse properties. Scientists have conducted controlled experiments that measure how CO2 absorbs and re-emits infrared radiation, providing clear evidence of its capacity to trap heat. This understanding is based on fundamental principles of physics and has been validated by empirical data.


    Furthermore, direct measurements of atmospheric CO2 concentrations over time reveal a consistent increase due to human activities such as burning fossil fuels and deforestation. Ice cores extracted from deep within Earth's polar regions provide a historical record spanning hundreds of thousands of years, showing a strong correlation between CO2 levels and global temperatures.


    Satellite observations have also shown that increased CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere lead to reduced heat escaping into space, thus enhancing the greenhouse effect. These measurements provide direct evidence of the heat-trapping capability of CO2.


    Climate models, developed by scientists around the world, incorporate the physics of greenhouse gases, including CO2, and successfully simulate observed climate patterns when considering the rise in CO2 levels. These models project future warming trends consistent with the observed increase in atmospheric CO2, further strengthening the link between CO2 and global temperature changes.


    Additionally, experiments conducted on other planets, such as Venus, further support the greenhouse properties of CO2. Venus' atmosphere is predominantly composed of CO2, resulting in a runaway greenhouse effect and surface temperatures hot enough to melt lead.


    The collective body of scientific evidence, including laboratory experiments, observational data, historical records, satellite measurements, climate models, and extraterrestrial comparisons, all converge to confirm the role of CO2 as a greenhouse gas. This robust evidence underscores the urgency of addressing rising CO2 levels to mitigate the impacts of climate change on our planet.

    Because you don’t understand something or cannot comprehend something is not evidence. Real world analysis is.

    And that thing about iron in the blood made me laugh. It shows the level you are at, really clearly.

    And here is yet another example of you believing stating something makes it so. Your argument was that a tiny proportion of a substance in a complex system could not have an impact. I can give you more examples if you like. There is one particular one. Makes up 0.00006% of the atmosphere. Yet when a human created gas caused depletion of the levels of that gas impacts on the absorption of solar radiation deadly to life was observed pretty quickly. And when an alternative was quickly deployed the depletion was largely halted and evidence of reversal is emerging. Heard about it by chance? Many people denied that was real too.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,237 ✭✭✭crusd


    For what purpose? To piss you off? If you are going to make extraordinary claims you must provide at least some evidence and maybe motivation?

    In the real world the IPCC compiled their reports using evidence that was representative of the preponderance of science evidence, not cherry picked. If it was cherry picked I am sue you would have no trouble in finding that the overwhelming majority of studies do not in fact support the climate change consensus.

    If incontrovertible evidence were to emerge concluding the man made climate change was not real the scientists involved would be getting a call from Sweden and everyone would be celebrating



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,591 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    Here is what Michael Mann did


    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    I think you need to read up on what exactly goes into the IPCC summary report. It is indeed a cherry picking of soundbites decided upon by government officials and very little input from the actual scientists who carries out the main body of work.

    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,237 ✭✭✭crusd


    Nice. Now that the outcome has been replicated by others using different methods and the author has revised their own study with more complete data replicating the original result, I am sure that you will be able to find actual data that refutes the conclusion rather than just concluding that it is all wrong based on an error that has been corrected without changing the conclusion?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,237 ✭✭✭crusd


    I think you need to stop believing everything you read on the internet just because it chimes with your world view




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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,551 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    No. Don't be silly. I said they picked information out of the studies that make up the report. Did you mean to say "the overwhelming majority of studies do not in fact support the climate change consensus" as that doesn't sound right. Humans are the #1 reason for the increase in CO2.

    @[Deleted User] was the one who stated how the report was compiled. I'll look back over the thread as the search function is total horseshit



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,993 ✭✭✭✭JRant


    The fact that you don't know the summary for policymakers, which is where we get all the headlines from, is finalized by a mixture of government officials, diplomats, and civil servants tells me you don't understand the process at all.


    "Well, yeah, you know, that's just, like, your opinion, man"



  • Registered Users Posts: 596 ✭✭✭deholleboom


    Which is what Steve Koonin's book was all about. Then he was accused of cherry picking the data which was in fact a large chunk of the cake itself and came entirely from the IPCC reports. The fact that he really couldnt be accused of cherry picking (which they did anyway) and that he laid bare the many anomalies taking place within the IPCC, the difference between working group one and the summary for policy makers, the huge role of politics in the climate debate was unforgivable to many well up in the system. Too bad that mr Koonin is a well spoken and reasonable man making excellent arguments backed up by data. In other words: rather dangerous to those in power. They couldnt really pin him down on anything so now they hope nobody will read the book and this thing just might go away. Too much attention to it might lead to more people getting interested which is a big nono. It might put the lid on the scare story. But it is not working. The genie is out of the bottle.

    Edit: it also happens that 'unsettled' is a really well written and presented book which contains a nice balance between words and graphics without being simplistic. Plus, he is someone with real expertise.One by one the deck of cards put forward by those compiling the IPCC summary are taken down. The brilliance lies in the fact that he uses the IPCCs own data to do it. It must've made many green agenda proponents very angry and upset. Talking about a slap in the face!

    One should really watch the many presentations on the likes of Youtube.

    Post edited by deholleboom on


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,591 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    Mann did not make an error, what he did was deliberate.

    It's was not the only deception.


    Here is the infamous Climategate email that revealed what was going on:

    From: Phil Jones

    To: ray bradley ,mann@xxxxx.xxx, mhughes@xxxx.xxx

    Subject: Diagram for WMO Statement

    Date: Tue, 16 Nov 1999 13:31:15 +0000

    Cc: k.briffa@xxx.xx.xx,t.osborn@xxxx.xxx


    Dear Ray, Mike and Malcolm,


    Once Tim’s got a diagram here we’ll send that either later today or

    first thing tomorrow.

    I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in the real temps

    to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from

    1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline. Mike’s series got the annual

    land and marine values while the other two got April-Sept for NH land

    N of 20N. The latter two are real for 1999, while the estimate for 1999

    for NH combined is +0.44C wrt 61-90. The Global estimate for 1999 with

    data through Oct is +0.35C cf. 0.57 for 1998.


    Thanks for the comments, Ray.


    Cheers

    Phil


    Prof. Phil Jones

    Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) xxxxx

    School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) xxxx

    University of East Anglia

    Norwich Email p.jones@xxxx.xxx

    NR4 7TJ

    UK


    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 596 ✭✭✭deholleboom


    The Greens are usually very reluctant to get rid of the garbage. They just repackage, recycle, adjust, hide, and their favourite word 'recalibrate' to hang on to their models of how the world should look like.

    One should never forget how Michael Mann not only lied but also didnt let anyone near his data which is bizarre for a scientist and aggressively went after each and everyone who questioned his method and organized his pals into a wolfpack. This because he knew fine well that he was quilty of fraud just like the climate gate evidence showed. When he was finally forced to submit the data everyone could see the crime he committed. Then his pals gathered around and manipulated the in and outputs once again to make his hockeystick a tad more presentable. Then a little later as they hoped everybody would have forgotten they dared to repatriate him claiming he only made some slight errors but that it basically held up. See, others say so! These guys double down on every error. Their basics are flawed (mainly the assumed but never proven high sensitivity rate of the atmosphere to levels of Co2) and always produce the same outcome. It is always a win win situation and they have a religious faith in their icons/models. They are untrustworthy to say the least and masters of manipulation. They have an aim and their eye is on the prize. There is a lot at stake. Jobs, positions, money, prestige. They cannot afford to deviate. More and more people are starting to suspect foul play. And like the Catholic church and sex abuse scandals they can only hide the bodies so far and silence the infidels.

    And, giving their faith i can't really blame them. But i DO blame the media for going along and perpetuating falsehoods. The mushrooming truthsquad sections and their factcheckers are ready to go after the 'mis/disinformation'. Like a modern inquisition they put labels on people and brush them with a certain colour. They are by far the dumbest people around.'Verify', indeed!


    Post edited by deholleboom on


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I like Michael Mann, I think his best work was Heat or maybe Collateral



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    “Europe’s electricity transition has hit hyperdrive,” says Ember’s Europe lead Sarah Brown.

    Wind and solar produced more energy in the EU during May than all fossil fuels combined.

    With coal generating just 10 per cent of power and gas reaching its lowest share since 2018 at 15 per cent, fossil fuel power is continuing to fall in the EU

    Onwards and upwards for renewables and circling the drain for fossil fuels



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,379 ✭✭✭✭ednwireland


    circling the drain for fossil fuels ? you do know what is fuelling all this production?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    More and more it would seem to be fueled by wind and solar

    That % is only going to keep going up

    Fossil fuels for power generation were dwindling in the EU and now the rate of the transition away from them is increasing thanks to Putin and his little escapade. Talk about blowing up in your face lol



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,385 ✭✭✭prunudo


    Its summer time, of course solar is up.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,591 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,237 ✭✭✭crusd


    Summary report is just that, a summary report. Anyone can review the full report. Here is the list of authors credited with the summary report.

    Most are scientists. Some are employed by government institutions. They does not invalidate the report.

    Most criticism of the summary report suggested it underplayed the full report because of political interference due the the unpalatable truts contained. So if political interference in the report is the hill you want to die on, it massively undermines your contention.

    No one has yet to explain why global governments would want to interfere in the IPCC report to make it seem worse than it actually is though. The only evidence for this is along the lines of "lizard people!"



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,237 ✭✭✭crusd


    Stephen McIntyre's criticism of Michael Mann's work lacks substantial evidence and fails to undermine the broader consensus on climate change. McIntyre's arguments primarily focus on statistical analyses rather than addressing the comprehensive body of research supporting Mann's findings. The scientific community has extensively reviewed, validated and replicated Mann's work, reinforcing its significance in understanding the climate.

    This is more of the continued method of dismissing an entire body of work based on an isolated error / mistake / lie (pick whichever you want). Keep talking about that single issue and ignore the fact that it has been replicated multiple times since using different method, as to acknowledge that completely undermines your position.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,237 ✭✭✭crusd


    But it has been replicated using different methods. You can continue to ignore and shout "but Mann". That however does not change that the original conclusions have subsequently been proven to be correct even if the original methods were not.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,237 ✭✭✭crusd


    First month ever where renewables produced more energy than fossils, not first since last summer



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,237 ✭✭✭crusd


    Diesel is often considered better than petrol in certain contexts due to a few key advantages. Firstly, diesel engines tend to have higher fuel efficiency, allowing vehicles to travel farther on the same amount of fuel compared to petrol engines. Secondly, diesel has a higher energy density, meaning it contains more energy per unit of volume, resulting in increased power output and torque. Lastly, diesel fuel emits lower levels of CO2 compared to petrol, contributing to reduced greenhouse gas emissions and potentially lower environmental impact in terms of climate change. However, it's important to note that diesel also has its drawbacks, such as higher particulate matter emissions, which can have adverse effects on air quality and human health. The overall preference for diesel or petrol depends on the specific requirements, regulations, and priorities of each situation.



  • Registered Users Posts: 171 ✭✭200mg


    That's with more stuff plugged into the grid not exactly bang for buck. If you said you had the same amount of solar panels as last year it would not be higher.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,237 ✭✭✭crusd


    Que?

    More capacity resulting in a higher proportion of energy being supplied by renewables is a negative argument against renewables somehow.


    And renewable s are getting cheaper all the time.




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  • Registered Users Posts: 125 ✭✭Kincora2017


    The big idea is not to eliminate private cars as much as possible - that’s a reflection of your own personal bias.

    The big idea behind a 15 minute city is to improve the quality of an urban environment by providing nearly all the essential services within a 15 minute area. That means if thinsgs like schools, doctors, shops, restaurants, parks, train stations etc. were all within a 15 minute walk of your house your life would be better.

    It means that building giant sprawling housing estates, with not even a shop or a school or other essential infrastructure, should not happen.

    this is basic common sense and something you’ll hear being discussed on the news nearly every single day. The “15 minute City” tag line is just a catchphrase for sensible urban planning.

    It has absolutely nothing to do with limiting people’s movements. It just means that if everything is within walking distance, then car usage will naturally decrease as there would be less need for them.

    There are already tons of “15 minute City’s or towns in Ireland. They tend to be the centres of towns that people want to live in.



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