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Is it time to join Nato

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  • Registered Users Posts: 535 ✭✭✭Scipri0


    Ukraine is being supported by nearly the entire world but it's not all out of goodwill to protect Ukraine, It's to protect their interests and the United States among others see this as a chance to knock out Russia without hardly lifting a finger themselves. They also get to use up surplus and old stock weaponary, Get to try out some of their other stuff which the rest of the world sees so they can seel some weapons and in the sametime show how inferiour Russian weapons are so to deter others from buying Russian. There's a lot more going on then just helping Ukraine out of goodwill.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    But yet those military trinkets were essential to the defense of Ukraine, just as they would be essential to our defense



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,102 ✭✭✭greencap


    But we always will depend to some extent on certain countries not attacking us.

    As will many other countries.

    We're still soverign.

    To illustrate; if we were to spend €10bn on defense the US could still simply nuke us. Therefore €10bn later we're still not soverign by your standard. As we still depend on Washington not attacking us.

    And probably a few other countries too. We would simply move up the table, a bit, for a time, but ultimately we're never 100% secure.

    We always will depend on decisions in other capitals in that regard.

    We're still soverign however. As is Cuba, or Mexico. Or Andorra, Monaco, Etc.



  • Posts: 13,688 Evie Red Surface


    Ireland is not joining NATO.

    Put yer mickeys away.

    Ireland joining NATO is the closest thing to a revolution we'll see.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,102 ✭✭✭greencap




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    We got through WW1 unscathed, WW2, Korea, Vietnam. We got through the cold war without being invaded and USSR were vastly more dangerous than present-day Russia. Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, all the other nonsense around the world.

    We've been neutral with a **** defensive capability for our entire existence as a state, while war waged in random corners of the globe and throughout it all we somehow managed to avoid being invaded. Amazing.

    And now when the world is safer than it's ever been we should join a defensive alliance; commit ourselves to spending a tonne of money and also obligating ourselves to come to the defense of a bunch of shithead warmongering countries who legit might get themselves into a war? Nah



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The idea people actually believe that suggest it's time to put the koolaid down



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,537 ✭✭✭brickster69


    No good to join NATO lads it ends up with madness.


    “The earth is littered with the ruins of empires that believed they were eternal.”

    - Camille Paglia



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,657 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    A famous NATO rule that



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,102 ✭✭✭greencap


    The idea that he meant an actual revolution suggests youve been at more than the koolaid.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    But there won't be a revolution,

    Just Nato membership



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,102 ✭✭✭greencap


    I wouldnt bet on either happening.

    Although, you may like to.

    You could win big. Im sure a bookie would give you nice odds. Dont miss out.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Already said we will join Nato .....

    No revolution,no referendum,



  • Registered Users Posts: 24,008 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Ok look, this is what's going to happen. And I am always right about these things.

    The current Government is holding its foreign and security policy consultative forums this month. There will be a report out of that which will shine a light on themes, concerns and unavoidable challenges.

    Some time next year, there will be a citizen's assembly on defence, informed by the above exercise and covering inter alia; historical context, global geopolitics, the EU and EUCSDP, NATO, the fallacy of "neutrality", non-alignment, our hollowed out Defence Forces, Double Locks, Triple Locks and the new multi-polar World.

    What will come out of that, will be a series of recommendations to the Government, to address and to codify all of the current policy mess into a coherent hierarchy of constitutional position and legislation to flow from it, which can be put to the people in a vote.

    Now, I'm not saying it's right that defence posture should be a constitutional clause (in fact it should not) but the constitution is the right place to establish some principles and limits, which cannot be exceeded without further recourse to the people. And those limits may ultimately restrict any Irish Government from joining ANY formal alliance without further reference to the people, which currently isn't required.

    And that could provide comfort to many, while still enabling a more robust foreign policy approach.

    In any case, this will be all be a matter for the next Government, not this one. And thats why it'll be an important party policy issue, for everyone, heading into the local and European elections of mid 2024 and the General Election of early 2025.

    In the meantime, the current Government will carry on with its Defence Forces investment plan and with exploring bi-lateral security cooperation to secure our cyber and infrastructural security, on land and in the ocean, under the aegis of EU PESCO and / or NATO PfP, which is an urgent matter of national social and economic concern and cannot wait for a future clean-sheet policy.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,321 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    for the sake of comparison, Norway just released its “Chief of Defense’s Advice”, which seems to be roughly equivalent to the Irish Commission on the Defence Forces from last year. They were nice enough to print a copy in English.

    It has many similarities with Ireland. The population isn’t far different, it has an excellent reputation on the international peacekeeping stage* and it has a lot of water to keep an eye on, including air and sea routes that Russia would be interested in to reach the Atlantic.

    The defense plan is pretty similar to that proposed by some who don’t see a point in an armed Ireland: The “Norway cannot defend itself on its own, but the Americans, Canadians and British will save us.” (Well, they don’t specify those nations, but read between the lines). The difference is that they believe they have a duty to protect Norwegian lives and territory for long enough for the cavalry to come to the rescue. Well, that and the Americans, Canadians and British are obligated to help Norway. Ireland can be put on the back burner until resources are available.

    Note, this document does take account of the fact that Russia is currently getting its arse kicked in Ukraine. It still sees an existential threat.

    *I note the comment a couple posts back that Ireland’s reputation for neutrality gained it an advantage over Canada in obtaining a seat on thr UN Security Council. I am curious as to how this has actually helped Ireland. The security council doesn't seem to have done a hell of a lot of practical good, and I don’t see any economic or security benefits to come from the position either.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,839 ✭✭✭Polar101


    NATO Article 6: Thou shalt not drive over the speed limit, or else you will be fined 2% of your GDP.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,102 ✭✭✭greencap




  • Registered Users Posts: 24,008 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    You do know we had one Irish soldier murdered and one seriously injured in Lebanon recently, not to mention dozens down the years in different areas of operation.

    Being in the military anywhere is a dangerous game, irrespective of whether a deployment is a NATO mission or not.

    In point of fact, Ireland has been involved in that KFOR mission, with greater or lesser numbers since it began 24 years ago. We have people there now!



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    324 Irish soldiers killed carrying out various UN missions over the years,

    Being a soldier comes with significant risks and those who do sign up and serve know exactly the risks that come with the job ,but remember on here we don't want our lads fighting wars overseas,



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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Nato are in Kosovo under a UN mandate and most of the problems comes from Kremlin backed entities in Serbia



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,657 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    No thank you what?

    These are the exact kind of missions that Irish soldiers already engage in. If you want an Irish defence forces that never faces any danger you basically don't want one.



  • Registered Users Posts: 91 ✭✭johannmall


    He's nor ridiculous, raf jets regularly see off Russian jets in our airspace, and it's they're st petersburg Internet group who held our hse to ransom , an bord plenala recently "shot down" the Russian embassy request to build bunkers on their Orwell Rd premises, just because the red army aren't on our beaches doesn't mean we're not under attack !



  • Registered Users Posts: 82,411 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Been thinking. When the oceans warm and the Greenland ice caps melt the Arctic Ocean will become the next focus of geopolitics. Brand new economic shipping lanes, vast swathes of Greenland, rich in mineral resources, deglaciated.. the winter and summer pack lines retreating farther north,

    so while for the longest time while the north was frozen over and conflict instead happened in the Middle East or equatorially, don’t discount that Ireland will get swept in more as being geopolitically one of the closest English speaking economies to it.




  • Registered Users Posts: 91 ✭✭johannmall


    I'd imagine renewables will be well established by then !And being the poster boy we'd never take advantage anyway ! Maybe send eammo of on one those new shipping lanes !



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,102 ✭✭✭greencap


    No thank you lets not become militarily aligned against a European country.

    Especially one in the powder keggy balkans.

    Dutiful peacekeeping as part of the planets impersonal bureacratic attempt at a referee system is one thing. The united nations is pretty hard to hate, even if some disparate individuals and lower level groups will. Theres just not that national level of vitriol, its a bland bureaucracy, its like hating a govt dept.

    An exclusive and political self serving group like nato however, that youre not a member of, and which has by some perspectives, formed an alliance with your intergenerational enemies, and fought against you (some would say illegally bombed). Thats an actual enemy worth hating. Theyre militarily aligned against you, thats personal, the enemies within that group are clear.

    I dont want us to have large numbers of people who hate us as their mortal enemies. Why would we screw with Serbian people? They didnt screw with us. And now we're going to potentially have to point weapons at them?

    No thanks.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,321 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Is it your position then that the only peacekeeping that Ireland should be undertaking is the sort where they are "referees"? In which case there is no need to send the Defence Forces at all. After all, their function is the application of violence. It's why they carry guns and have mortars and armored vehicles and such because of the likely possibility that the locals may take exception to them or something they do. (Or some ruling they make as a referee... were those KFOR soldiers attacked because they were NATO, or because they were trying to stop a side from doing something prohibited?). Sending civilians from the Dept of Foreign Affairs is probably far cheaper and they would make better referees than people whose foundational training is "close with and destroy the enemy in combat".

    The Congo op was a seminal wakeup call that having a soft accent with a tricolor on your shoulder is not the guarantor of safety that the Irish people thought it was.

    Post edited by Manic Moran on


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,102 ✭✭✭greencap


    If the locals take exception its taken against the UN.

    Locals may fight and kill UN personnel, but they'll know that their enemy isnt a particular nation, their enemy will be the UN, a vague global entity - of which their own govt may well be a member.

    Its hard to hate a particular nation when you know it was just them or the next country on the list based on some sort of global organizations consensus, as part of a diplomatic peace mission to arrive in your country.

    As regards the Congo mission. Nobody can really say for certain, but I would think it very likely that few (if any) of the local combatants knew or cared much about Ireland, or ever held any grudge against Ireland.

    Jadotville was private corporation shenanigans making use of mercenaries. Niemba was a case of UN personnel being mistaken for European mercenaries. A soft Irish accent wasnt a factor either way. I doubt they recognized the tricolor.

    Historically Congolese people and Irish people have remained largely oblivious of each other, theres no rivalry to speak of, no history of bad blood.

    Put us in Nato however, and thats an entirely different kettle of fish. Thats an exclusive geopolitical club based on political rivalries and serving its members agendas ... and not yours, you arent a member, and youll probably never be a member.

    And this alliance came to your country, meddled in your bitter affairs, sided with your rivals (who naturally are clearly the bad guys who did this and that and xyz), and may even have fought and killed your troops (helping your evil rivals). Not out of a responsive UN peacekeeping operation voted on by Indians and Maori and Costa ricans, but out of their own north-western industrialized-country club self interest.

    Youre obviously going to apportion blame. And to each constituent member of this gang of meddling invaders (from the view of the scorned local). And in the unfortunate timeline where we're dumb enough to join nato, ...one of those members was the fcking Irish. You, Irishman, came to my country and you started it. Even though I never did anything to you.

    And thats how we'll end up with random Serbians or whoever else hating us. And thats how we'll end up fighting people who never actually did anything to us.

    And to a large extent for American soft power and economic interests.



  • Registered Users Posts: 535 ✭✭✭Scipri0


    They help yes and Ukraine will come out on top in this war because it has the support of most of the world. Whose attacking Ireland before they've attacked other parts of the world? Maybe, they've layed waste to all of NATO and only noble Ireland with it's bought trinkets will turn the tide of war?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 171 ✭✭200mg


    You attack the weakest link. Ireland is that link. Just take a theoretical what's to stop China landing 100k troops here ? Yes NATO will come but will be very hard to get them out before the damage is done. Even if Ireland uses the bat phone to the UK they will take time to come. As Ireland is not a neutral country a defensive force would be needed to stave off major loss of life and infrastructure destruction before the others get here. If Ireland was actually neutral we would have enough kit to make it a very hard decision to invade without encountering heavy losses.



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