Russia - threadbanned users in OP

Well that’s a sad indicator of the state of technology back home.

I mention Granard because it is a small village and so is Staromaiorsk.

Seemingly they had 6000 at the beginning. They lost 4000 so they have 2000 left and the UA are destroying/capturing 70 to 100 per week. Do the math...

A couple of pages 1-2 pro Russian posters were saying if the UA numbers were fairly right the Russians would be running out of tanks Oops

😂😂😂😂

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Peace talks 🤣🤣🤣

Yeah this was weird. Reuters claims to have witnessed the South African delegation going to an air-raid shelter during the time of the missile attack.

This was their spokesman subsequently tweeting. Note the additional context underneath his tweet.

I have come to the conclusion that the offensive is not working. Or, if it works, it will come and an unacceptable cost to Ukraine. The days of tanks rolling across fields is gone. If this war has taught us anything it is that assaults of this kind are not worth it. The ATGM has ended this kind of conflict. Already the conflict has reverted to attrition or 'accelerated attrition' as someone called it.

What should they do about this? I think that rather than using tanks, mainly, they should use artillery. They need to hit the Russians so hard they will be forced to retreat. For this the west needs to increase artillery production dramatically. Cheaper than F16s though. The Russians need to experience unacceptable losses until they retreat. Then the Ukrainians can move on to the next target. This worked for the Russians so it should work even better for the Ukrainians with precision artillery, fragmentation shells etc. That's my penny's worth. I hope I'm wrong and the Ukrainians have resounding success but I have my doubts.

If Ukraine was making serious inroads they'd rightly be trumpeting it for it's public relations value. They aren't because there hasn't been any significant advance by Ukraine. How many more days can they keep talking about the grand total of around 2 km in some places? They need a bigger result soon.

I don't know that the Ukrainians are in any time crunch here whatsoever though. I too have seen reports the Ukraine push is stymied by classic Russian Artillery, and I have seen where they tooted their horns when villages were behind the new lines. But I don't see any time crunch for them, it's Russians running out of munitions, tanks, troops (at a rate faster than Ukrainians), and morale. Ukrainians are flying home to Ukraine to fight in the war to follow their President, 'I need bullets, not a ride'; Russians are fleeing the country to avoid conscription. No there's only 2 real time crunches: the 2024 United States Presidential Election, and the limit of Russia's patience with Vladimir Putin. Ukrainians meanwhile will have generational levels of motivation, rivaling that of Israel or Palestine, to keep fighting this war until every inch of Ukraine is free. And core NATO countries (USA, Germany, France, Poland, etc) have pledged ongoing support, nobody is asking for a deadline.

https://americanindependent.com/republicans-congress-celebrated-fourth-of-july-russia/

Ukraine has taken more land back in the past 10 days as the Russians have taken this year.

And you want to replicate Russian mass artillery tactics? That's not going to work unless Ukraine are ok with shelling towns and cities to dust like the Russians have been doing.

100 square km liberated in 10 days with 30% armed forces committed. If it was working, what figures would you be expecting? You obviously have some wee equation for success vs failure.

Mostly around Bakhmut, which was the only place Russia seemed to be advancing in any way.

Interestingly, you had the usual realists talking about how the strategic importance of Bakhmut was played down. Well, Russia now control the town of Bakhmut (or that is the collection of blackened edifices which used to comprise it) and they've not moved an inch past it. So much for its strategic importance for Russia after all.

100 square km over a 1500km front pretty much a very small gain ,be different if it was 100 km.s per day or week even,but we saw today more Bradley and leopards lost the same field as the last batch back on the 8th so they seem to be having some issues going forward,

But we have to remember this is a marathon not a 200m Sprint,it could take months to see any real gains and Big objectives secured

I don't hate the ordinary Russian people either, but the 'orc' slur is usually directed at their soldiers operating in Ukraine. The soldiers participating in the Bucha massacre or pounding Mariupol into dust may be human, but they're behaving with the utmost brutality, in a base and bestial way, without regard for the suffering of ordinary civilians. In their case, 'orc' is a suitable word.

If they want people to cut out the orc talk, the door out of Ukraine is thattaway ===>>>.

It doesn't matter which Republican wins in that scenario, the Republican party will kowtow to Russia.

The war is already at the top of western news. Money is still pouring in for the war. They are seizing hundreds of billions of dollars of russian assets. Materiel is still being actively delivered. Pilots are engaging in F-16 training. F-16s are planned on the way. The war from the Ukrainian side, is heating up, not cooling off. Russians are tearing up microwaves for computer chips.

Again, nothing is projected to change about this for at least the next 18 months, does Russia have 18 months of artillery? How much was traded for vodka?

Would be great if it was true, but in the article there's no mention of Shoigu saying that.. or least I can't see it. He said they need to build more tanks, which sounds like something you'd say when visiting a tank factory.

Also, whatever Shoigu or Putin say about the war, there's a 100% chance they're lying.

I think one thing about Russian tanks is a fact - they're losing many more than they can replace. But how many do they have left? I have no idea.