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Donald Trump discussion Thread IX (threadbanned users listed in OP)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,103 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    You think the secret service would stay in Russia or wherever with him?

    As for losing out on raising funds from his supporters if anything they would give him more. He'll sell it as being in planning to come back and sort out America. He just needs $25 (per month).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,019 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    More pertinent question is will they stay in jail with him?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,019 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    What part of that blog did you find interesting



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,552 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    By all accounts only a couple of hundred people showed up for Trump (and similar number against him); don't think he's getting the support in person as he thought he would (similar scenes in NY earlier this year as well). As always a lot of hot talk online but after Jan 6th I don't think he'll ever get a great crowd going again even if he would somehow get inaugurated again (and his first one was not exactly a huge crowd draw either).



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    I think Trump got an indicator at the NYC hearing of how popular he is amongst the law enforcement agencies when the cop let the door slap back against him in the court building. If that can be seen as a form of popularity poll indicator, after the Capitol Hill debacle, for him, I reckon he'd be a fool not to include that amongst his considerations as others in his party are plainly not well-wishers when it come to the end result in votes for him, as against their future political careers.

    RDS is most likely to be leading the anti-Trump posse in Florida. I see RDS former Florida law firm is reputedly amongst his financial supporters. I found it interesting on how hard Trump was finding it to get a locally licensed lawyer whatever about his reputation of not stumping up the fees for services provided.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,435 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    Why does the media keep going on about his large fan base. There is none.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,552 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Well the first gut reaction answer is headlines but I think that's a bit to simplistic if we look at how Miami police prepared and expected a riot crowd ala 6th Jan. I think it's a combination of online tough talk ("We are 75 million supporters who mainly are members of NRA"), 6th Jan fear of not being prepared if something DO go off and it being Trump (i.e. people either hate or love him but either way he'll trigger emotional reactions). Added to this mix is of course the "lone wolf" scenario where you don't need a big group of people to cause damage and Trump supporters got plenty of Qanon and other conspiracy nuts who'd could cause plenty of damage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,970 ✭✭✭✭ohnonotgmail


    Yeah but how many in that firm have experience of espionage law?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,435 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    The media were only dying for something to happen at these court appearances. I don't get the impression this is exciting Americans as much as the media wants to portray. It looked like a few lunatics attracted because the cameras were there. They're attracted to the commotion which the American media is happy to create.

    CNN's profits and ratings have fallen since Trump left office. They seem keen on getting him back in.



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 42,489 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Of course it is. Your conspiracy theory about CNN's profits is just that. We've seen a former president incite a coup, steal classified documents, hand intel to the Russians, bribe prostitutes and debase the office of President in just about every way imaginable. Why wouldn't anyone who isn't a MAGA cultist be interested?

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,103 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    While of course media sells on excitement, given Trumps' previous it is more than warranted from media outlets to expect something to happen.

    I think what is catching people out is the lack of anything happening. Despite all the tough talk from Trump, and the likes of Kari Lake, people really don't seem that worked up.

    Trump seems to have lost his most valuable asset, that of being something people care about.

    Even look at the lack of his family around him. Melania missing again yesterday. I previously mentioned that Ivanka has completely removed herself, the same with Jared. Trump is now just on his own, devoid of any close support. And I would think that the same level of apathy is amongst the general populace. Trump was beaten, he is nothing more than a footnote in history. Voters seem to move on very quickly from losers, they are quickly replaced.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    The "breaking news" reportage factor is the reason. Missing out on live coverage of a s***storm would be a "No No" for the media even though a CNN person was fired after the recent Trump Townhall chat he arranged on CNN.

    I think one of his older sons was there in the left-side crowd facing the rostrum when Trump came through the doorway. I think I saw one of his loyal friends at another of his recent public appearances though I'm not sure if it was a spruced-up Bannon or Roger Stone.

    As for the Miami Police preparation, the loss of the Capitol Hill building to Trumps fans after he exhorted them to show up and support him there in a peaceful rally will be in the minds of police agencies and city mayors for decades, in textbook manuals for security agencies around the globe.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Even if they did, I doubt if they would touch Trump with a bargepole. The extent of Trump's legal experience is that of a defendant, unlike RDS who is a Florida lawyer and also has the advantage of not being a "blow-in" in Miami.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,276 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2



    He's a lawyer's nightmare is Trump. From what I read of the current nightmare he was given a lot of leeway and good advise from the legal heads around him, but he ignored them and just listened to a few cultists who pretty told him to do what he wants and well here we are.

    Its interesting to consider what happens if he were to win in 2024, I think its very unlikely but anyone who says "their is no path"is deluded right now. Impeached very early unless the GOP storm it on the night across the board.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/06/14/trump-indictment-classified-documents-settlement/?pwapi_token=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJzdWJpZCI6IjI2MDg1Njg5IiwicmVhc29uIjoiZ2lmdCIsIm5iZiI6MTY4NjcxNTIwMCwiaXNzIjoic3Vic2NyaXB0aW9ucyIsImV4cCI6MTY4ODAxMTE5OSwiaWF0IjoxNjg2NzE1MjAwLCJqdGkiOiI5NDlmNTk4My02YmRlLTQyMmItYWZlNy1iYTRmOTg2MmJhNDYiLCJ1cmwiOiJodHRwczovL3d3dy53YXNoaW5ndG9ucG9zdC5jb20vbmF0aW9uYWwtc2VjdXJpdHkvMjAyMy8wNi8xNC90cnVtcC1pbmRpY3RtZW50LWNsYXNzaWZpZWQtZG9jdW1lbnRzLXNldHRsZW1lbnQvIn0.yjBh28ODnEQvz0mE5YkFhTxNCyQ04qpQQQg_nyeE9_g



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Tongue-in-cheek, it might be correct to think that he has personal traits alongside that of optimism and advisers have taken advantage of him to pursue their own personal/political agendas. As for impeachment, that would have to begin ASAP when both the House and the Senate sit, with the charges paperwork done in advance of his swearing-in as president [should he succeed in winning the GOP nomination race] and then the national election to the presidency again. Complaints about such actions should be met by referring to his statements of appointing a special prosecutor to investigate the Bidens on being re-elected.

    The High Crimes and Misdemeanours clause on charges sound like it might cover his holding on to classified documents without legal authority when not the serving president, denying he had them illegally on the basis that he had the right as a former president and making conflicting statements on whether he had declassified the said documents or not, while trying to frustrate the National Archives and Records Administration lawful efforts to gain possession of the classified documents, including allegedly trying to get his own lawyers to swear false affidavits that he has handed over ALL of the documents when he knew that his statements were lies.

    One definition of High Crimes and Misdemeanours is as follows: High crimes and misdemeanors is a phrase found in the U.S. Constitution that refers to an act not against either property or persons, but against the sovereignty of the government1It is coupled with treason and bribery, all three being acts taken against the government1The term had a broad meaning in English practice and in the American understanding, confiding to the two houses of the national legislature a sweeping range of power to punish what those political bodies determined to be misconduct or abuse of power by executive and judicial officers of a wide variety of types2 The phrase also appears in state laws and constitutions as a basis for disqualification from holding office3. The 37 charges brought against him in federal court are all felonies. Felonies are understood to be high crimes. If he were to get off in federal court on those charges, that will not prevent Congress from trying him there as a guilty resolution would be civil disqualification from office and not federal imprisonment.

    Another thing which might have an effect on the national election result is RDS anti--LGBT activities in Florida when it comes to taking a swipe at anyone seen as pursuing such activities for personal political gain. If Trump copies RDS cue aiming to divert votes from RDS, he could be "dumped on" by angry voters.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    There may be more interesting times ahead for some of the GOP senators as the GOP looks to insist all GOP senators abide by a loyalty pledge to the party's chosen nominee, even if the nominee is a convicted felon. It seems the GOP members include at least two of the nominees other than Trump and they have voiced objections to being forced by the party to pledge loyalty to a nominee tried and convicted as a felon under US law.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,187 ✭✭✭I.R.Y.E.D


    Well its not like there are examples from the past, even the not so different past of different dangerous regimes demanding the same; They are just playing catch up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    The GOP line seems to be that there should be no one in the party senior ranks stepping out [speaking publicly] of line in order to prevent the Dems making hay over Trump's previous activities while leader of the GOP. I don't reckon there'd be likenesses with historical European regimes.

    it's just Trump snared the senior ranks of the GOP since they gambled on him in 2015 and went on to lose the party voters to him. His boast that he would drain the swamp in Washington was fake, his incompetence and his lifestyle made it worse. I think they genuinely believed they could control him after viewing his TV and business CV. He f***ed them over, making them look like saps and they haven't been able YET to get over losing the party and more importantly, the loyalty of the voter to him.

    He's lost one of his lawyers, Jim Trusty, who was part of his documents defence team and on his defamation lawsuit against CNN. Former AG Barr and former Defence Secretary Mark Esper also laid into him, Barr calling Trump's defence line "wacky" and Esper calling his activities "illegal and dangerous".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,276 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    After the disaster of an interview on fox news, I see that Brit Hume who has been a staunch defender of most things GOP, said that trumps defences about the documents “border on the incoherent”, which is another sign that not everyone is going to play ball this time around.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,292 ✭✭✭amandstu


    I can anyone now who is the subject of a documents subpoena hold up the process by claiming they need time to sort out their supposedly personal items from those that are the subject of the subpoena?


    Whisper it who dares ,Trump is soft on white collar crime.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Looking at it in real time terms, Trump could have had the same staffers who filled the boxes in the White House empty his clothes and other personal items from the boxes at Mar-A-Lago leaving only the documents in the boxes. He just ignored the requests for the return of the documents from his "I'm still the boss" attitude. Ditto for the attempts of his lawyers to keep him safe from prosecution.

    He's responsible for all he does so one must hope, for the sake of the staff, that there was no real dirty laundry in the boxes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,103 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    It's all rubbish. This guy is supposed to be a billionaire and we are expected to believe that he has to go through moving boxes himself to get his golf shoes! Come on!

    What of course it really shows is just how lax he was about national security he thinks it's a good look that he piled in shoes and shirts with top secret classified information and he had no record of which boxes were which.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,071 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    The other way to look at it is he honestly thought he was gonna be allowed stay president somehow and rushed packing up at the last minute so he really did just throw random stuff into those boxes along with the classified docs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Probably true for his mindset at that time, in that it was his dream to stay on as boss. He possibly never conceived that he was opening the rabbit-hole of rabbit holes [as he might see it] for himself.

    Thinking about the documents, I wonder who did the packing and will they [whom-ever they are] have been asking themselves "will the boss take the rap for us or throw us under the bus - or if he gets back in, will he give us a pardon?".

    Post edited by aloyisious on


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,552 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    There would have been no issues for the packers IF Trump actually sent them back when found; the problem is Trump actively hid them and asked his laywers to remove them from being shown and/or sent back (and complained about his laywers actually writing down meeting minutes to protect themselves as noted in the lawyers notes included in the lawsuit). And this is the difference between Biden, Pence etc. because they actively cooperated to get the documents back once aware of them; Trump actively tried to hide the documents once aware of them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Self-incrimination [as it were] by the person fond of using the quote of guilt and the 5th.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,103 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Exactly, this is where all this nonsense about golf shoes and POTUS ability to declassify runs out.

    You can accept that in the haste to pack up, and for Trump the shock of reality, things were taken that shouldn't have been.

    But he actively attempt to not only keep them but lied about it. He had plenty of opportunity, like Biden and Pence, to fess up cooperate and return the documents but he chose not to.

    To what end? Certainly on what he said about Milly it appears he wanted to have as compromate, something to threaten others with in the future.

    For the majority I would think it was mostly just to boast. The ultimate 'money can't buy' items which he could show off to his adoring friends.

    Partly I think it was simply because he really does believe he should still be POTUS and therefore he can continue to act as POTUS.

    But it all seems that legally he is screwed. And Nauta will take the fall for him. Nauta lied to the FBI about his part in handling the docs and if I was him I would be very worried about Trump throwing me under the bus. There is no doubt Trump will try to claim it was all Nautas fault.

    Now they have been served the full details of evidence, including those that provided evidence to the prosecution, the reality that this is way more than just a DOJ witch hunt is clear.

    If I'm Nauta, I'm looking for a deal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    That would probably be Nautas best option now. He and Trump are under court order not to communicate with each other to prevent an interference with witnesses so even the use of lawyers or old acquaintances for communications between them should be out. Trump would probably throw a fit if his agents told him Nauta was meeting with the Feds.

    As for messing with Milly, Trump should be aware that messing specifically with the JOS in any manner of compromat is interfering with the national defence and probably a whole new federal crime. DOD and the JOS should/must have a range of optional plans in the locker for home and foreign emergencies for the president when needed. Trump probably hasn't got over Milly saying no to using N/Guard for his walk through Lafayette park to the church for a posturing session with the media.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,120 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    It looks like this week may not be one Trump will like living through.

    The USSC has ruled in favour of the North Carolina Supreme Court decision to overturn the result of that state's 2022 election. The case presented to the USSC was that the US constitution clause on independent state legislature meant no court could alter any decision of the state legislature in respect of election boundaries, including federal elections. The Chief Justice, along with five other USSC justices, decided that The Constitution “does not exempt state legislatures from the ordinary constraints imposed by state law.” The three other justices, Justices Clarence Thomas, Samuel A. Alito Jr. and Neil M. Gorsuch dissented. Trump apparently liked the legal theory that state legislature decisions were outside the remit of the courts due to his "understanding" of the constitutional clause.

    The other item is apparently a recording [which I have not heard or seen a transcript of] CNN obtained and broadcast of Trump discussing a classified document he had possession of while mentioning that he was aware that the document had not been declassified by him. I do not know if this a new and different recording of Trump discussing a classified document different to the ones mentioned in the US media least week. If it is, then presumably his former AG, Mr Barr, will have had his legal opinion of Trumps position in respect to the charges filed against him [Trump] validated.

    Post edited by aloyisious on


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