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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,108 ✭✭✭amacca


    If it gets that far I'd say lots of recriminations and a massive step up in supply of conventional weapons/support bringing an accelerated end to this sorry war....but I doubt nato/us launch nukes tactical or otherwise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 767 ✭✭✭technocrat


    Wouldn’t still be enough for Worzel Gummidge and his sidekick to publicly condemn Russia.

    They’d find a reason somewhere to keep blaming NATO and the ‘corrupt EU’ !



  • Registered Users Posts: 146 ✭✭Wes M.


    If Russia decides to destroy the nuclear power plant to gain advantage or create some kind of zone of exclusion, they will of course deny, deny, deny, and the Chinese, who show no signs of withdrawing their support, will demand restraint from the West while an investigation is launched....which one imagines would be extremely difficult. It's frightening because Russia is completely beyond the pale now, and we are seeing them use increasingly desperate tactics.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,486 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    If they do it then they'll do it in a manner that allows them and their useful idiots to claim that it was actually Ukraine that did it for....reasons

    Basically the dam playbook all over again. Tucker Carlson will blame the UAF. Western far-lefties will blame the CIA.

    Basically everyone will rush to confirm their priors.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,485 ✭✭✭macraignil


    China trying to demand restraint if radioactive fallout is being spread across NATO member states won't have any impact on what NATO does to putin's forces for causing a nuclear incident in Ukraine and it has been repeatedly spelled out by NATO that putin's forces would face severe consequences if this happened. If putin got away with using radiation as a weapon once there is a load of ex soviet nuclear material where he could repeat the same tactic again and again and again so NATO has to respond once this line is crossed.

    China also shares a border with russia and I can't see how they would be happy to look for leniency for putin once he crosses the red line of actually deliberately causing an incident that leads to nuclear fall out.

    The nuclear fall out won't just stop at the border with Ukraine and he will also have to face causing the deaths of large numbers of russians in areas where moskow may already be unpopular.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,209 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    NATO need a black/white event at the plant to happen to trigger a big response, the Russians are unlikely to play ball with that. I would guess the Russians will instead "play games" with the plant, e.g. moving staff away from it, or setting off a small explosive close to the plant but not enough to threaten a nuclear release.

    Of course they have no problem murdering Ukrainians and destroying Ukraine and causing a nuclear accident there, it's just that tactically and strategically I don't think it suits them for now. Keyword: for now. I remember last year there was a lot of talk of the dams being rigged by the Russians. They waited very patiently on that one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,645 ✭✭✭victor8600


    "Setting off a small explosive close to the plant but not enough to threaten a nuclear release" -- that worked well with the Nova Kakhovka dam. Trust the Russians to f*ck things up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,269 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    Even if NATO don't act in such circumstances, I'd be stunned if Biden doesn't unleash the USAF.

    At the very least, it would drag the the Baltics into the conflict



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,240 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Ukraine has literally been asking for more help since the opening week of the war. Zelenskyy's message to the world on week 1 was, "Please - close the skies."

    "Appear strong when you are weak and weak when you are strong."

    In the opening week of the war, few predicted that Ukraine would not only not be overrun by Russia, but that they would hold the vast majority of their territory, have reduced Russia to a defensive posture, and be putting together counter-offensive operations. Ukraine has constantly downplayed its true combat effectiveness while always pressing for more weapons via public pronouncements, usually by Zelenskyy. He's been on what seems like a perpetual junket to keep aid coming. It's not that Ukraine's allies won't have a proper idea of what Ukraine is actually getting, but it helps a lot with allies' public support for giving the aid to always say that Ukraine doesn't have enough.

    This isn't to say that Ukraine couldn't really use those F-16s, for example, it's only to say that you're never going to get a true picture of the state of things via public pronouncement like that. In war, cards will be held close to the chest and deception is crucial. Well, that's what the canny participants will do. Ukraine haven't been bad at it so far.

    Look at what Russia has built to withstand what they think Ukraine could throw at them, and we probably get a truer picture of their capability as things stand.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,382 ✭✭✭SortingYouOut


    Not necessarily. What I gathered from that Guardian article was the potential for a smaller and more containable radioactive event was at risk here. If the Russians blow cooling ponds, it seems the aftermath might just be insignificant enough in the grand scheme of it all to see them get away with it.

    All guess work and nothing may happen but if they do decide to blow the plant, I can imagine they'll only do so in a way that allows them to keep their head above water.

    Beverly Hills, California



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 767 ✭✭✭technocrat


    More proof if needed to show the Russian mindset, a truly sick and twisted nation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85,224 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    This and the abduction and brainwashing of kids chills the spine and boils the blood.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,349 ✭✭✭rogber


    Details on another victim of this week's Russian terror attack, probably over the weekend to be replaced a new attack....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,486 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85,224 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    I give up, there's no other way to describe it

    Waaaagh



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,864 ✭✭✭Economics101




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,240 ✭✭✭✭briany




  • Registered Users Posts: 271 ✭✭Seanmadradubh


    Noticed this this morning trying to check the latest news from Ukraine, like many people I don't have a twitter account (no intention of getting one either). Big loss for the moment.

    Just remember this folks when posting "tweets" or whatever you call them.




  • Registered Users Posts: 287 ✭✭dennis72


    Article 5 needs to be triggered and made clear before nps is blown probably in progress

    This is a backdoor nuke on Europe and end Ukraine offense, force a stalemate cleanup time will allow Russia rebuild its forces that was their insurance grab.

    Russia prevented a storming late last year so its there jewel in the crown

    I believe putin has ordered or planned like the dam nobody blinked think he can get away with it we are screwed if we back down



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,382 ✭✭✭SortingYouOut


    Beverly Hills, California



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,240 ✭✭✭✭briany


    It would end Ukrainian offence and Russian defence. Everybody would be forced to vacate the area for the foreseeable future. If Russia wanted to attack again, they'd have to do it in lead-lined suits.

    I'm not saying Russia definitely wouldn't blow the PP, but it wouldn't be a move to rebuild for another attack. It would just be the ultimate spiteful stunt before walking out the door.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,520 ✭✭✭✭kowloon


    Twitter links require an account now. I doubt I'm the only one who doesn't have an account. Could people post the text instead of just dumping a Twitter link?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,154 ✭✭✭opinionated3




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,520 ✭✭✭✭kowloon


    Mr Bowes, described as a "scholar specialising in small arms and munitions", spoke by video link yesterday.

    What is his background to claim this?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,486 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    The best thing would be that people who wish to post tweets do so by pasting the link into the "Insert Media" button at the bottom of the screen (red arrow pointing to it below) when you're typing a message. The boards software embeds the link so that anyone will be able to read it from within boards.



    This will then look like this:



    So the Russian crowd Rybar are reporting that there is a massive attack by Ukrainians on Kremina. I saw someone on YouTube mention it. Doesn't seem to be much chatter on twitter yet so not sure how much truth there is to it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,108 ✭✭✭amacca


    I only see two options regardless of qualifications etc


    Career utter gee bag twat that would do anything to get ahead


    Or quite deluded mentally unstable person


    Actually there is a third option...some combo of the above.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,486 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    Presumably they thought that it sounded better for the UN than "Sometime RT correspondent and full-time twitter troll". He even made sure to wear his glasses to look extra scholarly.

    I see they had Max Blumenthal of GrayZone out batting for them yesterday at the UN. So they're sending out all of their English language speaking useful idiots.

    Who knows - we might even see everyone's favourite two independent MEPs up soon - or maybe that'd be too much even for them



  • Registered Users Posts: 602 ✭✭✭mike_cork




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,520 ✭✭✭✭kowloon




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,486 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    Those 1420 videos are always depressing but that one was especially so. Not sure which was worse, the guy at the very beginning telling him to drop out of college to go fight in Ukraine or the woman at the end saying that they wanted all of her 3 sons to be mobilised (ethnic minority of course).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,486 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    1 post in the last 10 hours. Some difference between that and exactly 1 week ago!



  • Registered Users Posts: 602 ✭✭✭mike_cork




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,143 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    If they just cripple the plant instead of causing a radioactive disaster I highly doubt it. A more measured western response would be announcing ATACMS, F16 and attack helis to Ukraine asap.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,922 ✭✭✭✭Discodog


    I find it strange that main outlets, like the BBC, don't question the idea of Putin having doubles.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66065551



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,038 ✭✭✭circadian


    It's been made abundantly clear, in public and I'm sure in private too, that if anything happens to the plant that Russia will see a swift and comprehensive response.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,580 ✭✭✭jmreire


    They ( the WEST US Etc.) have already ruled out using nuclear weapons. They have more than enough conventional weapons to completely destroy the Russian military very quickly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,486 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    The BBC would have certain journalistic standards, that they abide by and speculation about body doubles would, I Imagine, fall below them. Now if there was incontrovertible evidence of their use then that might change.

    If you google "Putin Body double" though you can see many other outlets that are happy to write stories on the speculation, especially after the meet & greet in Dagestan the other day (including the Independent which is owned by a Russian oligarch)





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,099 ✭✭✭Rawr


    Does seem to be that way. A NATO-armed & supported legacy Soviet force is handing a larger Russian force their arses on the regular, with just land-based weapons and tactics.

    Throw in the combined sea, air and land forces of the NATO armies and you’d have them marching all the way to Novosibirsk in 3 days, not to mention Moscow. (I exaggerate, but it does seem like the Russian army would crumble in front of even a half-decent professional army)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,580 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Just look at the backdrop to all these videos...and you are looking at the real Russia, Rural Russia, and not the glitzy Moscow or St Petersburg. And when you see / hear reports of Russians stealing toilet's, fridges, washing machines etc. its easy to understand why. No Wonder Putin fears a successful Ukraine, one in the EU, an economic success and his Russians looking over the border and comparing it to their own miserable life and conditions. They would become uncontrollable.



  • Registered Users Posts: 602 ✭✭✭mike_cork




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,580 ✭✭✭jmreire


    Because they have all been brainwashed that it's WW2 again, and the Nazi'z are coming to kill them all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,009 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Yes, that is his real fear. The average life expectancy of a Russian male, particularly, in rural areas is appalling



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,615 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    Between that guy at the UN and Micky D and our two MEPs our reputation is taking a battering. Russian propaganda is really making inroads in this country. The other day was driving in a car with a friend. This guy is very much non politically engaged but he groaned when he heard on the radio that the US was announcing more aid to Ukraine. We were in mid conversation about something else completely. But the fact that he physically groaned and tut tutted when he heard that really struck me. I was actually Gobsmacked and didn’t acknowledge or tackle him on it. Getting more and more forwarded what’s apps as well decrying the war and anti NATO . The dial has been really turned up in pro Russian activity in this country. This time last year it was no where near as bad. I would bet every second person you meet here now would be 50/50 about the war in Ukraine. It’s a disgrace. Has there been any polls to gauge the level of support? I hope it would be overwhelmingly in favour of Ukraine. Are people in this country that heedless that they side with an expansionist murderous imperial regime over its smaller neighbour after all this country has been through. The issue has been politicised to death as well and being pro Russian is nearly an anti refugee establishment/government position.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,240 ✭✭✭✭briany


    The real rural Russia is, in many cases, hundreds or thousands of miles from any possible border with the EU. They're not in much of a physical position to be looking over the garden wall. If it's more of a case of hearing about this in the media, they either can do this already, or Putin's got that locked down so tight that it's a non-starter. Besides, the rural populations are so dispersed, so economically depressed and so just concerned with day to day survival that revolution isn't a realistic proposition for them.

    And not only that, but the apparent fetishisation of hardship that Russians, especially rural Russians, engage in means that they'll accept their lot in life with little more than a shrug of the shoulders.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,240 ✭✭✭✭briany


    How easily we forget, eh?

    This country got a bit of money and the charity fell right out of it as a result.

    The right wing making in roads in this country is one thing, but the gall of them playing up Ireland's past victimhood out of one side of their mouth, and demonising today's victims with the other.

    It's not even somebody from Nigeria perhaps chancing their arm in this case, but a country that is very evidently getting devastated and having huge amounts of its population displaced by the most terrible of war.

    If there isn't a charitable attitude to that, then there can be little hope, and it's only our arrogance that makes us think that such a rape of a country could never happen to us again where it's us begging for aid, where it's us putting our women and children on a refugee boat to some safer part of the world, not knowing if we'd ever see them again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,486 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout



    Yeah I've experienced similar as well. At this stage I know the people who not to broach the subject with. Typically they are what the yanks would describe as "low information voters". Basically people who have no interest in politics but if asked will typically say that they believe that all politicians are corrupt liars. They're already primed to believe the worst and so Russian propaganda plays into that. I have found that trying to have a reasonable discussion with someone on the topic is a frustrating waste of time so I just steer clear of it now.



  • Subscribers Posts: 693 ✭✭✭FlipperThePriest


    The type of people that fall for this guff will usually be diametrically opposed to the general consensus when it comes to any contentious issue of the day. It seems to me that these are people that have pretty **** lives, end up marginalised by society and it's easier to blame society for their grievances rather than take a look inward and shoulder some blame for their life and choices.

    This same attitude then spills into general societal issues and is backed up by their echo chambers online. Covid ballsing up society? That's the government's fault. Immigration problem? Government. Russia invading its neighbour, torturing raping, bombing and killing civilians? Stupid bloody west. They will always go against the grain of society because in their heads, it's society's fault that they have a **** existence. 



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,342 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    There is a particularly virulent strain of "republicanism" (its not real republicanism, I don't know what to call it) that sees it as a point of pride to be against anything that Britain supports and holds an absurd grudge about partition that makes them reject any efforts to enable Ukraine to retake the occupied parts of its country (by making historically illiterate comparisons).

    Its sad to see.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,171 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    It's been my experience that every single one of these types I've encountered is a conspiracy theorist of some stripe. If they were WEF/AntiVax/Bill Gates is sterilising us/Anti Woke/Scamdemic/anti EU/Flat earthers etc before, it follows they're near 100% guaranteed to be a newly minted Russia supporter.

    It's a given. Indeed I would suggest imho it's such a given that Russia has been grooming these disaffected Western fringe groups mostly online for at least 10 years(the Chinese in the mix wouldn't shock me either). They have previous with this as they were doing it throughout Cold War 1. Left wing groups, Right wing groups, peaceniks, anarchists and so on. They were also pushing the oul leftie post modernist stuff too. It wouldn't shock me that they helped push the "Woke" narrative and now push the "Anti Woke" because it suits them now. I mean when you see Americans waving Russian flags because they think they're conservative Christians that hate the Gays... You couldn't make it up. Never mind a host of Africans seemingly keen to invite in another White European Christian empire to screw them over.

    They're certainly using them now. Go on Twitter or Arsebook and if you see conspiracy in their bios/posts they'll also push Russian propaganda. You can tell because read one and you've essentially read them all and you've read what the Kremlin wants them to spin and you to read. It's the same script, with the same pics, the same memes, the same stock responses to open criticism. Now you get some of that from the Ukrainian side, but not nearly so consistently and you have to read a lot more people to get the wider picture and they contradict each other a lot, which is what you'd expect from a normal crowd.

    This was very evident when Prig made his "March of Justice" towards Moscow. The usual voices fell silent, or got very confused, like the rest of us. The Kremlin script hadn't been written yet. The script when it finally came out was enlightening, for me anyway. Putin solved this peacefully. No Russians died(at first. This went stale when it couldn't be denied Russian airmen were killed, so it was ignored). Russia is fully behind Putin. Cue near every one of them posting a video of a bunch of young Russian women singing and dancing to a "I'm Russia" song. With the all too usual "no blacks/fatties/faggots/trannies in that mix". Then it was lots and lots of Putin is loved, with the more ardent arse tonguers near crying over his greatness. It was flat though and they knew it. Then France and riots came along to save the day and they must have jizzed their pants at the lifeline for a new script. With the same pics, the same memes, the same stock responses, from the same people, repeated by morons... Rinse and repeat.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,576 ✭✭✭yagan


    I've met English, Welsh and scots who feel the same way about the British. Maybe the supremist British imperial identity is the problem and not us.



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