Rory McIlroy - 4 Time Major Winner

C’mon, having an opinion on his game which isn’t always positive would only be considered trolling by the most narrow minded who think he should be immune from criticism. Grow up, this isn’t the school yard, people are allowed to have differing views.

I have praised him when he played well, criticised him when his poor play is beyond the boundaries of just having an off day, like the repeated missing of greens with wedges or lack of focus on the greens. Whether his mentality is suspect is for more informed people than me, but if he thinks he needs the help of a sports psychologist, who am I to argue with him.

It’s the same old ding dong here, some posters get all stroppy because others are less effusive in their praise, or more inclined to criticise. daithi, you just have to accept that in life, it’s not all about your viewpoint being right, it’s ok for others to have a different viewpoint on Mcilroy, that isn’t trolling, even jealous little school kids learn those lessons when they mature.

Lets just watch the golf and see if he deserves a pat on the back.

Exactly my point.

Also the chances of any player winning any week are low enough, so that the chances of one player winning one week & winning a major the following week are by definition lowered by that amount, e.g.

Odds of winning the week before tournament × odds of winning a major = % likelihood of winning both

I.e they are a fraction of winning the major alone just, by the mathematical odds of both things happening consecutively.

So Tiger in his prime used to win 1 in 3 majors he competed in, and say he won 1 in 5 PGA events that he played in. Therefore his simplistic odds of winning both the week before a major & the major itself would be 15 to 1.

Which roughly equates to the number of times he actually did this great feat which was just once in his 15 majors. Equally Mickelson did it just once for his 5? majors, and finally, of course Rory has already done it once for one of his just 4 major wins to date.

So considering this, I think it's a fair assumption that Rory is more likely to repeat the feat than others: why?

Cos he's done it for 1 out of his just 4 majors already, And, this most recent win in Scotland breaks his recent streak of not quite closing out tournaments to win them. So

1. He's been in sparkling form all season

2. Now he's in proven winning form, winning the week before his home major!!

3. Both being played in similar links type conditions!!!

4. And he's already won this major on this course before also!!!!

No wonder he's red hot favourite going into this Open imho!!!!

Favourite yes, I wouldn't say red hot favourite

You're trying to find a statistical or mathematic angle where none exists.

People have explained that a large proportion of major winners either don't play the week before (Tiger never did iirc), or are just out for a quiet tune up. Or winning the week before is such a big deal for them it's hard for them to mentally prepare.

It's no coincidence that two relatively serial winners, who while not lacking confidence generally, thrive when their tails are in the air having won the week before, are the two most recent guys to do it.

I enjoy these math conversations, even though they're a bit ridiculous. If we make some assumptions and assume Rory has a 9% chance of winning any given tournament (his win rate ish), assume each tournament is an independent event (big assumption) then his probability of winning two consecutively is 0.09*0.09, so almost 1%. However, it doesn't mean that he was a 1% chance of winning this week given he won last week - it's still a 9% chance based on the assumptions.

Concerning non-independence of the events you could argue, as people here have, that his win last week actually increases his 9% chance - i.e. good form, closing out a tournament, etc..

Anyway, that's my little tangent done!

Let's go Rory!!

Whatever about Rory's battles to close it out, Fleetwood would certainly be a good man to go up against on the back 9 Sunday head to head!

You don't seem willing to praise him for winning the Scottish Open with a strong field (no matter what the reason) or winning the fed ex cup - which is incredibly hard to win

only begrudging them

you backhanded both by saying they were basically rubbish

glorified and practice rounds

so I'm sure they read your posts

..

So Rory said he thinks he played well. He didn't but he turned an average pros +3 into level par.

Lil Fred is sitting behind a computer, old school, thinking he's upsetting people when really they are laughing at him.

Lots of fans of Rory here and if they respond to you they are almost all calm and trolling you. Just trying to get you to say more stupid stuff about Rory.

Catching up on BBC ,did he actually hit a fairway as every shot I've seen is from the lite rough/rough,his putting is iffy,but his approach is good, probably stole a few back , typical Rory round,all over the place

That is certainly one of the weirder questions I’ve been asked, I would often go to pubs to watch sporting events, not sure that celebrating a sportsperson/team would be the reason for being there, it tends to be more to meet friends, but everyone to their own.

Rory did well to get back to even and he was unbelievable last week on the final few holes. Only a few players could have done that. And it was in very strong winds but, i still think windy conditions are not in his favour. His ball flight just doesn't suit the wind and 4 days of having to flight shots is not preferable to him. I can't see him winning this week because of that. I also think whoever wins will need a bit of luck especially with the bunkers. Up against the face and it could cause a big score like JT.