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Cold Case Review of Sophie Tuscan du Plantier murder to proceed. **Threadbans in OP**

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,901 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    Alfie was incapable. We have no reason to suspect those that state this are lying.

    I'm focusing on Bailey because no one comes close to the level of historic violence, lies, opportunity, motive etc. You think everyone was out to get poor Bailey, the guards, Bill Fuller, etc. It's all a big conspiracy. The problem with that is that they didn't force or make up the beatings Bailey gave to Jules, they didn't give him his injuries, they didn't start the fire behind his house, they didn't force him to say he did it, they didn't make him lie and change his story about the night in question. This all came from Bailey. He's the leading suspect because of his actions and suspicious behaviour. Full stop.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 39,750 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Earlier you were saying there was evidence, now it's just suspicions?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    I would correct you: The botched investigation not only could be, but more likely is the actual reason, how possibly Bailey or equally any other suspect has gotten away.

    If you believe so much that Bailey did it, how come there was never a conviction in an Irish court? - Because there was never any shred of evidence beyond reasonable doubt that he did it, - there is absolutely nothing, same as against all the other possible suspects.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,901 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    Bailey didn't just lie and that was it. He didn't just have a history of violence and that was it. He didn't just confess to doing it and that was it. He had all these things and a large list of other things against him. No one comes close to that. You can't dispute this is why he's the suspect in chief. Again, it's not a conspiracy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,901 ✭✭✭Musicrules




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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,038 ✭✭✭Deeec


    So again you are saying nobody could have done this but Bailey. I really hope you dont work for the gardai or the legal profession.

    Anyway this is my last post to you - you dont seem to understand the details of this case at all. Unfortunately you dont seem to be able to see past Bailey.

    Of course Bailey is a strong suspect but there are also other strong suspects ( nobody here denies that) - you have to be able to discuss other theorys aswell though to be credible.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,901 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    That's exactly what I said. We'll never get a conviction for this murder unless there's a confession. Absence of evidence doesn't mean absence of guilt though.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 39,750 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Apols, my error.

    Anyhow, your suspicions against Bailey are based on nothing but bias against him.

    You appear to have rejected the credibility of the DPP although it appears you haven't read their report on Bailey. You accept that the investigation into him was botched right from the start but when AGS point at Bailey as the prime suspect (based on nothing) you happily take their word for it?

    What made you not consider any other man (or woman) living in a five to ten mile radius as strong suspects? Potentially, they all tick the same boxes that Bailey ticked so what was unique about Bailey that makes you think he should be labelled as suspect #1?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,901 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    Again, this is not a conspiracy. I have no bias against Bailey. The guards, those testifying against him, forensic experts etc don't have any bias against him. He's the lead suspect because of the long list I've mentioned. I haven't rejected the DPP, I said they're not infallible. The guards were investigating the murder, not Bailey. It was botched, hence no conviction. Bailey is the main suspect based on the long list, I can keep repeating them if you want. They are far from based on nothing. If someone else had the same or more against them, then they'd be the leading suspect. That's not even close to being the case though. Hence, why Bailey is top of the list.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Thing is, the Gardai appear to considered no other suspects. So him being their main suspect is guaranteed when they fixated solely on him.



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  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 39,750 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    Bailey was lead suspect from the outset. Nobody else was given much, if any, consideration by AGS.

    Items apparenrly missing from the crime scene but sure rhe gardai allowed someone allegedly in dispute with Sophie head off to the dump shortly after she found the body.

    Bailey is only top of the list because the Gardai wanted him there - there can be no other reason.

    As for the DPP, being infallible, their published review of the "evidence" presented by the Gardai has been available to read for decades and still the Gardai hold him as suspect #1 despite what you could claim is much stronger suspicions against other people in the area.

    The entire case was botched completely and they chose someone to blame with nothing for evidence. You really should never have heard the name Ian Bailey. It really was no different to the actions of the murder squad when they said that in the relevant murders their #1 suspects were Joanne Hays or Martin Conmey, Dick Donnelly and Marty Kerrigan.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,901 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    How do you know? Every potential suspect could have been investigated. Again, the Gardaí didn't force him to lie, get injuries, beat Jules, to say he murdered Sophie etc etc.



  • Registered Users Posts: 30,137 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    It wasn't just botched.

    The Guards are caught on the Bandon tape trying to pressurise another Guard into changing a statement.

    The jobs book was tampered with. It was not botched. It was malpractice. Conveniently the culprit was deceased so charges weren't pressed.

    Then there's the total dodginess with Marie Farrell.

    To talk of the guards conduct in this case feigning ignorance of all that is an entirely bad faith argument.

    Bailey being top of the list lead 'suspect' in and of itself is meaningless in light of such conduct and the tunnel vision by AGS viewed everything Bailey did with suspicion.

    Miscarriages of justice happen all the time to the 'lead suspect' when police forces engage in such antics. That's why the DPP is there to judge the evidence.

    And as I have noted already on the thread, all that digging and what AGS came up with was flimsy, debateable, dodgy.

    So as far as I'm concerned Bailey is not the lead suspect anymore. It is person or persons unknown.

    Do you have any official statement to the contrary by authorities here?

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,901 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    You continually ignore the reasons he's the lead suspect. You're not the only one. As I said to the others, you can choose to ignore the history of violence etc but it doesn't mean everyone else has to. He wouldn't be the lead suspect if he didn't have the long list against him. Again, this is not a conspiracy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,901 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    The investigation was botched. That doesn't take away from all the things against Bailey that you want to ignore:

    We've still got the extreme violence committed by Bailey a short time before the murder, we've got his premonition of something bad happening in the area, we've got the changing stories and unknown whereabouts on the night, we've got the injuries, we've got the motive which came from Bailey himself, we've got the suspicious fire, the list goes on. What are your excuses for Bailey on all of those for you to state he's not a suspect in the murder?



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 39,750 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    There is no indication that AGS even looked at anyone else about this murder and even facilitated someone, who many would consider a key suspect, remove what could have been crucial evidence to the dump. They had him as suspect #1 on completely circumstantial "evidence", all of which could have been done by half the people in W. Cork.

    As for his admittances, these are worthless and of no evidential value as there would have been a context to them. Of those that heard his admittances, how many went straight to the Gardai?

    There is absolutely nothing that says Bailey should be anything more than an attention seeking gobsh1te that AGS have done their best to draw all attention towards (and to be fair, he has also done this).



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 39,750 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    What are your excuses for Bailey on all of those for you to state he's not a suspect in the murder?

    What are your excuses for the likes of Alfie & Shirley not being behind the murder?

    What are your excuses for Daniel Toscan du Plantier somehow not being behind the murder?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,901 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    How do you know who they did or did not investigate? Half the population of West Cork have a history of violence, changed their story on the night in question, were whereabouts unknown on the night in question, received injuries to their forehead and arms, burnt clothes, shoes and a mattress soon after the murder and admitted to killing Sophie?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    Well the Bandon Garda station tapes they found later on, were pretty strong evidence they wanted to blame on and focus only on Bailey. Or the way the coerced Marie Farell?

    It would have been even worse of the Garda in terms of corruption and collusion, if the killer was one of their own, as one speculation goes.

    It would also have drained resources, made an open minded investigation in every direction impossible.

    Suppose hypothetically her husband Daniel really sent a contract killer, placing a phone call from a public phone box, to a friend who again knew someobody who'd do the job for money? And this somebody wasn't even French, maybe Dutch, or Belgian, flew into Ireland or Northern Ireland not even from France, rented a car, drove to a pre determined place and address some believe it isn't possible to find for an outsider, does the killing and departs again? Garda back then and their incompetence and focus on Bailey they wouldn't have figured it out anyway.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,471 ✭✭✭FishOnABike


    By that measure, anybody and everybody should be considered potentially guilty. After all just because there isn't evidence it doesn't mean they are not guilty.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,901 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    It's possible that it was a botched investigation and the murderer was Bailey. It's far more likely that the culprit was the man with a history of violence and who said he killed Sophie than some wild Hollywood type script in my view.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,901 ✭✭✭Musicrules


    Did anybody and everybody batter a woman shortly before Sophie's murder, lie and change their story about the night of the murder, say they killed Sophie, burnt their shoes, clothes and a mattress a few days after the murder etc?



  • Registered Users Posts: 148 ✭✭Ms Robini


    Bailey was the main focus or the prime suspect because he rose to the top of the list of potential suspects / persons of interest given the extensive list of reasons to suspect him - no one else looked into as a potential person of interest came even close to Bailey as a suspect for having murdered Sophie.


    Malachi Reed gave a part of his life to doing the right thing by Sophie and by her family by coming forward as a witness and giving evidence for the defendants in the libel proceedings which Bailey unsuccessfully initiated against various publishers. It was clear that being involved with this case was not something Malachi took any relish in and that he had not been someone who was looking for the attention that came with it and instead it was something that he did because it was the right thing to do. Is it any wonder all of that unwanted attention took a toll on Malachi but he did the right thing and his testimony was clear, strong, compelling. He had absolutely no doubt whatever in his mind that Bailey’s confession was not an example of or an expression of humour - it was a confession. A weird and twisted one? Yes. Then again, I think it’s reasonably fair to say - and many would agree - that Bailey is a weird, twisted person.


    The Shelleys did not go to the pub with Bailey and Jules Thomas the night after Bailey confessed to Ritchie Shelley at The Prairie - it is accurate to say that in the Christmas / New Year period, many people from that general location congregated in that pub and both the Bailey/Thomas couple and the Shelleys were in the same pub at the same time and they acknowledged each other and exchanged words along the lines that Ritchie Shelley told Ian Bailey that up to the previous night he hadn’t believed or known for sure that Bailey had been responsible for Sophie’s death but that now based on what had been said the night before he knew that Bailey had murdered her. It is not accurate to suggest that those couples were out together for the night that night - it is more that they were in the same place at the same time but they were not together that night - any friendship or acquaintance that had existed between the couples up to that point was gone at that stage. The Shelley’s never once wavered or departed from their account of those events - they remained steadfast in their account of Bailey’s behaviour and in what they had observed him to say and to do when he confessed to having committed the murder.


    Most witnesses can be challenged as to their credibility - it is very rare to have a witness whose credibility cannot be challenged or whose reputation is so good that they are beyond reproach. It is compelling that Fuller has had the courage to give his evidence in open court on a number of occasions and that he made himself available for cross examination and stood up to that - that is not something that is easy for any witness in these types of extremely serious cases where a woman has been the victim of an extremely violent murder… Bill Fuller did the right thing - he gave his evidence in Bailey’s failed libel action and he travelled to France to give evidence there. I have no doubt that Bill Fuller’s courage has been a support to Sophie’s family. He is to be commended for having the courage to stand up to everything thrown at him by or on behalf of Bailey and to do the right thing regardless.


    There are others who have testified to Bailey having confessed to the murder whose credibility is well beyond reproach. One of them is now a Senior Counsel. They never interpreted Bailey’s confession as anything other than an admission of guilt - a weird and twisted one yes… And again - it may fairly be said that Ian Bailey is a weird and twisted man, a foolish man, and a murderer. Time will establish this to be so beyond any reasonable doubt.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,038 ✭✭✭Deeec


    As others have said Bailey is top of the list of suspects because the gardai wanted him to be.

    Why didn't Malachi Reid 'do the right thing' as you put it and go to the French trial - it's because he didn't believe the confession to be true.

    The Shelley's did drink with Bailey the next night after his so called confession. Why didn't they go to the gardai straight away if they believed thiis confession to be true?

    Google Bill Fuller or ask locals about him - that will tell all you need to know about him. Indeed he probably should be a suspect himself.



  • Registered Users Posts: 148 ✭✭Ms Robini


    Sure why not seek to throw suspicion on Bill Fuller as a potential suspect - Bailey/Bailey supporters literally tried to suggest that everyone and anyone is a viable suspect: Marie Farrell; Jules Thomas; Alf Lyons; a Garda; a horse; Heinz-Wolney; the man from Marseilles; a French hit man; Bruno Carbonet; a criminal drug gang, etc.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    In your opinion, what would Bailey's motive have been to hike for one hour one way at night to kill Sophie?

    Whilst focusing on Bailey's history of violence towards Jules, you seem to conveniently forget Sophie's husbands infidelity and his financial cost of a divorce, or Alfie's or Bolgers history with drugs.

    Sophie didn't matter to Bailey at all, Bailey gained nothing out of Sophie's death, neither financially nor otherwise, but Sophie's death sure would have mattered something to her husband, or somebody running drugs.

    In my opinion one isn't the murderer if one isn't convicted in a court of law beyond reasonable doubt. One is still innocent until proven otherwise.

    The conviction in France is clearly full of doubt and a farce, I'd say we all agree on that.

    Also, if you have a record of speeding it doesn't automatically mean you're responsible for a hit and run accident.

    And then verbal confessions in front of others the likes of Reed and the Shelleys don't count either. It's one word against the other if push comes to shove. The defence could easily argue that these individuals were anywhere between biased and prejudiced and there is probably nothing to prove otherwise.

    The only confession would be a written and signed confession by Bailey which he would do in presence of a solicitor or the Guards, and both hasn't happened.

    In my opinion Bailey would have stood a very strong chance to have the French court decision overturned by the European supreme court. However this would have cost him financially and resources, something he may not have had.

    The ultimate problem is, if the Gards don't do their job and get the evidence there will simply be no evidence, thus no conviction and endless speculation.



  • Registered Users Posts: 148 ✭✭Ms Robini


    Hike? One hour? To quote Withnail & I in reference to how far Uncle Monty would have gone for the chance of sex with Marwood -

    ‘Withnail : I never thought he'd come all this way.

    Marwood : Monty, he'd go to New York!’

    Ian Bailey fancied his chances with Sophie or at least that he’d chance his arm; he was heavily intoxicated; he’d already tried to contact her by calling her workplace in Paris, even though she had not given him her number or asked him to contact her. That shows the lengths he was willing to go to and a sort of bold, pushy presumptuousness typical of an egomaniacal narcissist.


    He was also in her car as she travelled from the airport towards her holiday home. Again - imposing himself; chancing his arm. Thinking he had a chance and thinking more of himself in terms of his physical attractiveness than was actually the case. She found him weird and said this to her friend - her rejection of him when he had so much drink on board (and spirits in particular) was too much for him to bear.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,471 ✭✭✭FishOnABike


    There were others with a 'history' of violence, others who repeatedly lied and changed their stories, others who were economical with facts.

    Earlier in these discussions I counted around a dozen potential murderers, not including any person or persons unknown.

    The early fixation on one person and attempts to fit the 'facts' to that narrative by the investigating team did the investigation a great disservice. A disservice which may have irrecoverably harmed the investigation.

    The resulting intense scrutiny applied to Ian Bailey becomes a self fulfilling prophesy - especially when viewed through the tinted glass of confirmation bias. Had that scrutiny been as diligently applied in the objective pursuit of evidence, the investigation may have been more successful.

    “If one would give me six lines written by the hand of the most honest man, I would find something in them to have him hanged.” - Cardinal Richelieu.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,038 ✭✭✭Deeec


    Have you proof Bailey rang Sophie's office - or are you just basing this on Sophie's friend remembering this year's after the murder when Bailey was chief suspect. It's very convenient she suddenly remembered that phone call.

    So you definitely know Bailey was in Sophie's car - wow were you there too?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 148 ✭✭Ms Robini




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