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The dairy boom.Can we officially say its over

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  • Registered Users Posts: 19,827 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Sub 100 fine if you don't take on a load of debt and have some reliable help available if needed.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,259 ✭✭✭green daries


    Ya afew things needed for just say 70 cows to work obviously just my opinion here 😉

    1) age need to be early thirties max (really 25 ) to allow for a bit of debt payment before family Houses etc

    2)need good land block mostly owned

    3 infrastructure need a certain amount of roadways buildings (even ones for conversion) . A good decent yard and silage storage area

    4)a decent amount of machinery the ability to service maintain it and the willingness to do most of your own work ie slurry fertiliser etc

    5 need to be a jack of all trades re building maintenance and. The ability to carry out some or all of the conversion work on the farm to get set up

    6 (the biggest one imo) slurry storage on farm already. This is now a huge cost in setting up a dairy farm. And the requirements are just going to get bigger.

    Just editing to add I suppose that's a long winded way of saying I think greenfield sites are a no no for smaller numbers and in present cost pressures



  • Registered Users Posts: 581 ✭✭✭Jack98


    80 cows and a 20% replacement rate so 16 heifer calves and 16 maidens kept all other calves sold at 2 months say would require 135 acres in a non derogation scenario which is a possibility, so 150 acres as a minimum isn’t a million miles away from the potential reality of it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,223 ✭✭✭✭mahoney_j


    Honest answer is no unless there’s little to no investement to be done for compliance ….repayement capacity for debt and to mantain the farm are key …..saying this as a just about 100 cow man that was up to my eyeballs in debt since 2010 ….just put other side now but I’ve just to mantain the place now ….auto calf feeder going in over winter and can’t see any more big investement for me



  • Registered Users Posts: 602 ✭✭✭Silverdream


    Organic dairy may still be an option for anyone looking to get in. It suits a smaller Herd size too



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,264 ✭✭✭weatherbyfoxer


    Was reckoning i could get into 60 cows for €1500 per cow borrowing here,60 cows producing 5000 liters @ 38c x 60 cows is €114,000, 55 AA calves sold at €150 €8250..gross sale total €122,000..that was along the line I was thinking



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,969 ✭✭✭cute geoge


    All fine and well but what is your bottom line??

    plenty of lads have made good money milking 60 cows or less in the past but imo you can forget about that going forward with all the new red tape and a piss poor reward for all the extra work and headache



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,264 ✭✭✭weatherbyfoxer


    As bad as 60 dairy cows would be it grosses more than beef and sheep by over €30k off the same land base



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,844 ✭✭✭straight


    But it's a full-time job Vs part time.

    I remember years ago that John O' Shea said on the Late Late. "Irish food will be coming from the third world whether Irish farmers like it or not".

    I was young at the time but it stuck in my head. I know it's called the developing world now.

    You can't just blame Europe because the UK are shutting down farming too.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 3,816 Mod ✭✭✭✭Siamsa Sessions


    I agree with your John O’Shea quote - it’s happening already.

    But part-time farming is not a part-time job. There’s always another part-time or full-time job in some cases.

    Trading as Sullivan’s Farm on YouTube



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,844 ✭✭✭straight


    That's my point. You can have a decent job with beef but with dairy you are tied to the place. So you can do 20 hours a week beef farming and 40 hours a week in a job or you can do 60 hours a week dairy farming. Works out the same money so it's just down to personal preference imo.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,611 ✭✭✭Mooooo


    Stick figures in at 25 cent to see how you do when things bottom out and a 5 Yr avg of 30c. All prices which have been in thr last 10 yrs. 1500 a cow borrowing should be fine, just think time efficiency when setting up



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,827 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    What is your total investment in setting it up? (Not what you are borrowing).

    Also, you haven't factored in any replacements into your calculation



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 3,816 Mod ✭✭✭✭Siamsa Sessions


    Yeah, we’re agreeing here.

    Flexibility, or a lack of it, can make a difference too. You might be tied to cows twice a day but you could very easily be tied to 9-5 at the off-farm job too.

    As you said personal preference is the big thing and there’s no real too big or too small.

    Trading as Sullivan’s Farm on YouTube



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 3,206 Mod ✭✭✭✭K.G.




  • Registered Users Posts: 11,223 ✭✭✭✭mahoney_j


    Good quality early calving cows and heifers will cost that alone



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,264 ✭✭✭weatherbyfoxer


    Secondhand parlour,tank,feeding setup and additional 45ft of slurry storage to give me soiled water storage and 18 weeks of slurry storage

    Have €100k worth of stock to sell to buy dairy stock..would that not be enough to get started with 50-60 cows?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,155 ✭✭✭MIKEKC


    Agree with everything except no 4.. Machinery needs a large capital investment and a lot of time. I would say a fert. spreader and topped Contractors can do a serious amount of work in a very short time.Main thing with contractors is to book in time About a week ago as it was about to rain local contactor had about 800 bales to make .Lads cut with their own mowers then decided to make the phone call



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,223 ✭✭✭✭mahoney_j


    👍👍not trying to poke holes in what your doing ….fair dues for giving it a go ..2/3 years ago I’d of said full steam ahead but all the regs and banding etc combined now with high interest rates have changed the landscape



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 3,206 Mod ✭✭✭✭K.G.


    Land base?.to pull off that amount of work for 90k nowadays would take some serious work on your behalf with the no outside labour being.for reference I know some who did a second hand 14 unit parlour using existing dairy and it came to 60 k plus vat 2 year's ago so I can't see you pulling it off.what about calf housing and roadways water etc



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,259 ✭✭✭green daries


    Ya sorry maybe I wasn't clear. what I meant was you would need that stuff going into milk as in having a tanker agitator ability to stack bales fast etc. .....obviously pit silage and bale making contractors all the way ...my point was that you could try keep things tight and in-house if money was tight and get contractors to give you a hand if the money was there



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,597 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    I'd be very slow to buy a second hand milking parlour unless you see it working. I wouldn't wish my existing parlour on anyone



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,259 ✭✭✭green daries


    Ya all good but what's your costing ... I know much better return but are you willing to only break even or maybe a loss for 5_6 years . You would need to have a lot of infrastructure in place already to get away with 1500 a cow. ....but I think you do a good bit of that sort of work anyway if I'm thinking of the correct poster



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,583 ✭✭✭✭Say my name


    Siamsa hope you don't mind me telling you what to do.

    But myself and the father are just after watching your latest YouTube clip.

    You've the bull and heifer calves together and it's August. Those heifers will be bulling now and those bull calves will be firing live rounds. Don't ask us how we know. But we found out the hard way.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,264 ✭✭✭weatherbyfoxer


    Love when people say that "can't see you pulling it off",..drives me on to make a go of things even more!,..33ha of owned ground here 26ha for a milking platform,all ground is all good limestone ground,with good fertility and mostly reseeded,I have a quote from pearson's for a new 12 unit swingover and feeding system for €60k + vat..10 units and the feeding system are tams eligible,..Have a specialist who removes and fits secondhand hand parlours giving me a ball park of 30k for a used setup

    Have 600m of farm roadways on the farm already,terra services will charge €5000 for a complete piping/drinking setup but I reckon I could do alot of that myself with a mate who has pipe sinking gear

    I rear 30-40 calves here every year as is so there would be plenty scope for keeping calves till they are are old enough to sell

    My main concerns are about buying in replacements?..tb?



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,597 ✭✭✭✭whelan2


    Pearsons installing the parlour here atm. Great service in fairness. Seems good quality stuff



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,264 ✭✭✭weatherbyfoxer


    There factory is only 15-20 from me would leave live easy to get call outs or spairs



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,827 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Why would you go with 30k for a used setup if you can get TAMS on 10 units for a new one which would leave you in near enough the same ballpark? Unless you have the TAMS earmarked for something else.

    Get the new one and at least you won't be worrying about any breaks for a few years, plus potentially dodgy thermodurics and high cell counts if the machine isn't milking the cows properly.

    I presume a "used" parlour comes with all new lines and rubber? Even still though



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,827 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Generally best to operate a closed herd. Especially if you are going to be depending on being able to offload younger animals.

    Nothing bought in here. Maybe the odd bull in the past when cows weren't going into calf. We tend to rear everything to the factory, or near enough. But even then we have been locked up once or twice in the past and it's a bit of a pain in the bollix.


    Just for reference on your other costs. We did a good bit of work here about 10 years ago for the end of quotas - when things were a cheaper as regards getting building done. Put a few extra units in the parlour, a slurry tower/tanks and put some cubicles into what was a loose straw bedded shed. It probably ran to in or around what you are talking about per cow today from scratch. I think that when K.G. is questioning whether you can do it, he means whether you can get it done for that price.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,739 ✭✭✭Birdnuts


    Third world doesn't even come into it - The reality is Ukraine alone can supply basically all of the EU's agri needs and that reality is coming quicker then alot of folks think given the fast tracking of their membership already agreed among member states once the current war gets sorted. Already the importation of Ukrainian Grain via Poland, Romania etc. is severely impacting tillage margins there. Same in America with many sectors like Pigs, Tillage etc. being propped up by the likes of crazy biofuel policies or US international aid stock piles.



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