Russia - threadbanned users in OP

These Ruskies couldn't even come up with an original movie plot. Must have watched all but the last 30mins of inglorious basterds before setting about their knock off.

I do want to know if the new flick is better than The Crimean Bridge (a rom-com).

200 million ruble budget (which most likely includes 10 for the actual film, and 190 stolen by the director).

Ah the old telling the truth is "pro-Russia".

Absolute nonsense. I look at this conflict entirely dispassionately and will continue to tell things as they are and will not mindlessly parrot the propaganda of either side.

If/when Ukraine starts making some game changing progress I'll say it. Until then it is what it is.

Russia is dug in on it's occupied territories and the way things are right now, like it or not, those territories will be partitioned. The progress and momentum Ukraine needed has not happened. The sum of gains since the start of their offensive has been way too small, way too slow, and as has been correctly pointed out they can far less afford the losses they have taken for such small battlefield gains than Russia can.

It's not only man-power, it's also production. Russia has over 10 times the war-time production capacity of Ukraine.

Ukraine understandably tries to convince Western populations that they've closed the gap somehow or there is some evenness in this fight. There isn't. It's not close.

We, collectively in Western Europe, are going to have serious decisions to make after this war especially if it turns out as I think it will with large parts of Eastern Ukraine adsorbed as part of the Russian Federation.

I know governments are preparing for that reality if it happens. I'm not sure the public outside Ukraine are prepared though.

Like I say if Ukraine has some big success I'll be here saying it. It hasn't happened yet.

That will make a definite box office smash hit.....where did the money go, and how was it done?

"I look at this conflict entirely dispassionately" and then spout pure shte based on nothing but your own fantasy.

"You know governments are preparing for this" are you some sort of government insider ?

Aren't you the fella who every few months came on the Brexit thread to warn of "next weeks" impending "EU selling Ireland down the river" to appease the big mighty UK. And then disappear for months with your tail between your legs.

Ah here now, the Counter-offence is not even 3 months old (you somehow believe it's 4 months)

As for momentum, Ukraine have liberated more land in the past 1 month than the previous 2 months around Robotyne, which suggests momentum is increasing. Recent success in breaching the first line of defences etc...

It really annoys me when people throw around statements like: Ukraine can't afford the losses for such small gains.

Nobody outside of the top brass in Ukraine know what those losses are. All those videos from the failed counterattack months ago, amounted to only 5 leopards being destroyed. All the damaged ones have been recovered and repaired. Destroyed Bradleys have been replaced etc...

It was mentioned in this thread, as soon as the **** hits the fan, the Russians will start the misinformation and feeding their zombie followers to talk about a truce or stalemate, to say Ukraine can't sustain the losses etc... you're simply parroting that. Makes me question where you get you news or information etc...

I fail to see how you concluded Russia has 10x the war-time production than Ukraine has? Are you just going by population or GDP or what?

Thankfully Ukraine doesn't need to produce any tanks/artillery/planes/AA systems etc... as the west have stepped in to do that. Do you think Russia can outproduce Ukraine's backers?

There is very little truth in what you are contributing to this thread from what I can see. Ukraine is making progress in removing putin's forces occupying its territory and destroying the military capacity of putin to attack them again with their estimates on progress over the last month detailed below. They don't need to get all the way to the coast to cut off the majority of the routes putin has available to supply his forces in the occupied territories and just bringing the land bridge within artillery range and hitting the Kerch bridge again will insure they can strangle the supply of the occupying forces and force a withdrawal just like they did with Kherson last year.

Don’t waste your time.

I'm not a mystic meg. In relation to Kupyansk it's in a precarious situation. The Russians are only a few kms from the center of the town.

According to reliable media Russia has amassed a lot of troops and eqiupment on that axis. I have no idea why they haven't moved or if they've tried.

Another point is Russia hasn't attempted to break out of it's own positions. It could be the case they are content to hold what they have. None of us know what the situation is in relation to Russian intentions with territory atm.

Sorry but you'll have to do better. The whole point is that you brazenly said that "Kupyansk is about to fall", no hedging or caveats. If anyone else posted say "Looks like Melitopol is about to fall to the Ukrainians". You and the other naysayers would be ripping into them asking what evidence they have for any of it. Like you did above.

But you hold yourself to a different standard of evidence than you do everyone else.

You say a bigger loss for Ukraine, be specific, what losses?. Ukraine lost 5 Leopard 2 tanks so far and have been replaced.... They lost Bradley's which have been replaced, Strykers, which have been replaced, a modern mobile radar, which have been replaced..... You see the trend?

Russia is producing **** all, it's pulling even older and older **** from storage, T55's etc...

If Russia is outproducing Ukraine (excluding western support) 10 to 1, why is Russia using Iranian drones and North Korean shells?

Well that's just the thing. There's a lot of Russia around Ukraine. Why isn't Russia attacking Chernihiv or Sumy? Surely it would be easy to overrun Ukraine from multiple directions, since the power of balance is so heavily tipped for Russia? Kupyansk should be really easy to take, since they already have a lot of troops in the area (allegedly) What are they waiting for?

Obviously Russia has a lot of military might (only an idiot would think they aren't a dangerous opponent), but they've made a complete balls of the invasion. And it's just going to get worse and worse for them, until they reach the breaking point.

On paper the Russian's should have taken all of Ukraine in weeks (if not sooner).... they didn't, was that incompetence or a plan?

Same answer would apply to Chernihiv & Sumy.

We've seen the great Russian winter advance... I don't think they made it out of a field. I think the only advance (in the past 6 months) worth noting that Russia (briefly gained) was Bahkhmut. Russia is a busted flush. They have been shown as paper tigers (no disrespect to the Ukrainian's).

Russia will only loose more and more land they illegally took.