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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    See thats the things about the sea, it doesn't just rise in one location. Case in point, many pacific island nations are worried about being wiped out due to the rising sea levels. Its such a worry that they've now taken to the courts to try and get more action

    Small islands like Vanuatu are particularly exposed to the impact of global warming, with seawater rises posing an existential threat.


    “Just a few years — this is all we have before the ocean consumes everything my people built across centuries,” Tuvalu’s Prime Minister Kausea Natano told the court.


    “If international law has nothing to say about an entire country going underwater… then what purpose does it serve?” he said, pleading for a clear direction from the court.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,042 ✭✭✭Shoog


    The real issue with heat pumps is that electricity costs 4x what coal does (and to a lesser extent all other fossil fuels), and only produces a COP of 3x which still makes it more expensive than burning coal. Hard figures to argue against if your on a tight budget.

    The reason they are setting a minimum BER target of B2 is because this is the point when the cost penalty of heat pumps becomes manageble.

    For many a solution such as wood pellet is a far better solution



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,723 ✭✭✭creedp


    Nice to hear a bit of push back against the current hard green agenda push to replace perfectly functional oil/gas boilers in unsuitable houses on the false promise of eternal savings. The amount of people Ive heard complain that far from realising the promised savings, these HPs have instead been more expensie to run. Doesnt matter though whats more important than fighting the good fight



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,554 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    Any farmer not farming with 170kg N/ha now in mind, and hoping for an extension to derogation is foolish. The 220 won't be retained either unless the new EU commission after the next elections is focused in a different way, but I wouldn't expect it to be much different. Though they are rowing back on some animal welfare targets for fear of driving food prices up.

    The big problem with the reduction from 250 to 220 is twofold. First, the changes being put in place over the last few years haven't been given time to see if they are working or not, plus any nitrates found in water are automatically given to dairy and the dairy industry takes the hit, despite tillage being more prone to N leaching depending on how the tillage enterprise is managed. Dairy, and in particular derogation dairy farmers have a huge raft of actions to comply with which haven't been given the time to see if they are working or not. Secondly, the timeframe for the reduction to 220 is very short (4 months). The indications were that it would be reduced, but the timeframe was expected to be longer. What's happened now is that leases were signed, animals in calf, etc from previously are now a pain point. A derogation farmer needs to either export slurry (double previous amounts as the N content has been reduced), get more land (thus driving land prices bananas) or reduce stock. The latter here then means a flood of cows going to head for slaughter in the next few months, in-calf heifers being sold below value to offload (assuming buyers can be found) and valuable heifer calves that were destined for dairy being fattened and slaughtered on a beef enterprise, again moving between the 2 for below value. This then has a knock on effect of impacting beef enterprises (glut of cheaper beef in the market) and tillage (being out priced for land by dairy). The financial hit in the next 4 months to dairy on top of already collapsed milk price is going to be nasty. Any change such as this should be given more than 4 months to implement. i think that 's a fair ask.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 698 ✭✭✭TedBundysDriver


    There is no point telling this to the climate warriors, it's a cult and like all cults they are brainwashed into believing something in the absence of anything worthwhile in their life.

    These people are deeply damaged and tbh i can't see much hope for them. Hopefully they'll grow out of it and mature as the years pass.



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,420 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    In the timescale that you're claiming to be worried about, the length of time it takes to repay national dept, millions of acres of Irish land will become inundated with sea water, coastal cities towns villiages, beaches, roads, infrastructure will be washed away if we do nothing to mitigate climate change now

    With the antarctic ice sheet being less stable than initially thought, we could be on the worst case scenario trajectories with .5 of a metre sea level rise in the next few decades, leading to over 1.5 metres by 2100, and continuing at that that trajectory, between 3-5 metres of additional warming in the next century...

    Doing nothing to stop climate change guarantees incessant sea level increases for hundreds of years, with the consequences getting worse and worse as time goes on.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users Posts: 22,420 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Thats one way of looking at it, (if you are determined to completely distort the facts)

    This is an agreement that Ireland won't cut off gas to NI if the UK doesn't cut off gas to the Republic.

    It's a perfectly sensible bi-lateral agreement and does absolutely nothing to stop us from proceeding with our plans to reduce our reliance on gas, and doesn't require any white elephant infrastructure that locks into contracts to feed a LNG supply



  • Registered Users Posts: 596 ✭✭✭deholleboom


    I think people actually SHOULD be allowed to spout nonsense (as they do). You know fine well they are not going to accept whatever is put against it. I think nonsense is revealing. Again, no amount of data will change a blockhead. Those WITH any sense can already spot the holes/ anomalies, even without pointing them out.

    Now, one might imagine a neutral person being persuaded by an argument. How many do you think live in this thread? It looks pretty binary to me.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 22,420 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    The rich are famously a good role model for how the rest of us should use our resources.....

    Oh, sh1t, I forgot to pay the parking metre on my billion euro super yacht

    People 'building on flood plains' and river deltas doesn't disprove that those places are gonna be the first places to flood in the coming decades.

    The fact that governments all around the world are ridiculously short sighted, and prone to going along with developments for short term gain is exactly why we're in the mess we're in today

    Post edited by Akrasia on


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,237 ✭✭✭Markus Antonius


    Ha! How naive that you think the "average irish person" sits around all day filling out climate change drivel like this.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,126 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    What choices did he make other than just to continue with more of the same leaving us ever more dependent on gas from the U.K. as the Corrib field becomes depleted. ?

    That`s not going to improve our energy security. Something for which Ryan`s own commissioned and paid for energy security review told him a LNG terminal was necessary.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,723 ✭✭✭creedp


    Unfortunately these are the same Govts who are now pushing the green agenda telling us this is the only way to reverse the impact of these previous decisions which the great unwashed were supposed to believe were the best for us all at the time. Now we are supposed to believe without question they are making the right decisions for the future of society and not guaranteeing another windfall for their buddies and philanthropists



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    A cool tool from SEAI showing the connected (top) and planned solar farms. There's a heck of a lot, 119, on the way

    https://gis.seai.ie/solar/



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,126 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I think a lot of people dip in and out of forums like this who have more immediate or longterm worries in their lives than climate change, or how some of the insanity being proposed is going to effect their lives, especially financially.

    If there is one thing greens will not divulge it is financial costs of their proposed insane measures yet are not so shy about making often exaggerated claims on costs and timelines on any proposals that does not suit their agenda.

    Personally I do not believe they should be given free range to spout that type of rhetoric attempting to influence others unchallenged



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,205 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    No there isn't since we are diddly squat in terms of our overall contribution to climate change mitigation measures. We can revert to a complete self sufficiency model based on people growing their own food, we can let grass grow over the roads and return to horses, donkeys and shanks mare. And it'll change not a whit wrt changing sea levels.

    We should be using our resources and wit, to ban all building on flood plains, ban all building within a prescribed distance/ height level above the sea. Then a combination of building new towns which are needed anyway at suitable locations further inland and flood surge defences in urban areas.

    We're an island and we can control the passage of people to and from our island too, if we want to.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,607 ✭✭✭ps200306


    LNG is a far worse source of pollution than natural gas from the North sea because it is sourced from Fracked gas. There is no good reason to favour the more expensive and more damaging LNG over British natural gas derived from conventional gas fields. So Ryan has made a very reasonable choice here.

    So many things wrong with those statements.

    • The Shannon LNG proposal was to not use LNG from fracked sources. To imply all LNG is from fracked sources is wrong.
    • Fracking is a standard Green bogeyman, a bit like GMO "frankenfoods" back in the 90s. Green Luddite thinking regularly gets fixated on point-in-time issues with no revisions ever to allow for technology evolution. Fracking environmental standards are not a fixed thing. Modern fracked wells recycle their waste water, are surrounded by completely sealed rubber berms, have new standards for well casings and liners, use high resolution seismic to look for possible connections from the fracked strata to groundwater. I've no idea why Irish Greens think they have a role in setting the policy of the US EPA -- you know, the people likely to be most concerned about what's going on in their country.
    • As usual with Greenies, there are massive double standards. Geothermal is one of the poster children of renewable energy. All geothermal wells are fracked. To be sure, they don't use the same chemicals as oil and gas fracking, but deeper ones use the same slickwater / polymer additives to prevent well bore furring. Geothermal fracking produces wastewater and hazardous waste. It comes with the same subsidence and earth tremor issues as O&G fracking. "Dissolved solids discharged from geothermal systems include sulfur, chlorides, silica compounds, vanadium, arsenic, mercury, nickel and other toxic heavy metals" (source: US Fish and Wildlife Service). All energy production involves trade-offs. Greens mount insidious campaigns against the forms they don't like and lie about the ones they do. Intelligent people should not let them away with it.
    • All fossil fuel transportation incurs additional energy and emissions costs. Pipeline gas is cheaper and more efficient on those counts than LNG. That is absolutely correct, and our pipeline from Moffat is very welcome. However, we have no gas storage beyond line pack and no diversity of supply. The ability to store gas seasonally is a mainstay of energy security around the world. It's a bit of a headscratcher why Ireland thinks it's special in this regard, especially when the EU has been telling it as much for years.
    • Yes, Ryan is correct to sign contracts with the UK. That doesn't mean he's not also a swivel-eyed zealot who makes terrible decisions about our energy supply. Examples: failing to evaluate LNG and indigenous resources on sensible grounds, creating a terrible market climate for gas generators and now having severe problems ensuring security of electricity supply, trying to lock us into technologies that either don't exist or are uncertain to be commercialised, endangering our energy future through insanely optimistic utopian thinking, refusing to come clean on the costs involved. The man is a serious danger to our society.




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,607 ✭✭✭ps200306


    150 billion is nowhere near enough to adapt to unmitigated climate change even on our own small island.

    If every country spent nothing on mitigation and everything on 'adaptation' then our species will become close to extinct in a world more than 7c hotter than it is today.

    Business as usual is not an option. Delaying mitigation now only makes both mitigation and adaption much more expensive in the medium to long term.

    If you don't mind me saying (and even if you do) you would probably take the prize for most doomish doom monger on these threads. 7°C is way above the central warming estimate for RCP8.5. That scenario itself is now accepted as being ridiculously implausible. It is not, and never was, the "business as usual" scenario as it involved massive population increase and massive expansion of coal. The fact that it has been the most used scenario in the climate literature even after its implausibility was widely recognised is a stain on the record of the climate science community. Your assertion that mitigation is the only option is just that -- your assertion. You steadfastly refuse to back it up with evidence other than the debunked Stern report. Sorry, but I deal with facts to the best of my knowledge and ability, not wildeyed green hysteria.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,382 ✭✭✭WishUWereHere




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,607 ✭✭✭ps200306


    So throw your hands up say we can do nothing and proceed to do nothing. No amount of "mitigation measures" will save us from the consequences of doing nothing.

    How much assets do you think are vested in Dublin and Cork alone - both cities acutely vulnerable to even small sea level rises €150 billion wouldn't even come close.

    There is a significant difference in the outcomes between doing something and doing nothing.

    This is the standard confusion the greenies make between 1) anthropogenic and natural variation, and 2) local and global mitigation measures.

    Firstly, if "Dublin and Cork [are] both cities acutely vulnerable to even small sea level rises" then you better start evacuating right now. Sea level has been consistently rising by 25 cm per century for the last 7,000 years (and greatly more before that). The idea that we would be wiped out by an additional 25 cm represents extraordinary levels of doom mongering. Kinda hard to understand how Dublin has survived the last thousand years, though, or at least the last 300 if you prefer to count from when the Liffey embankment was built and the current city levels cast in stone.

    Secondly, perhaps you can answer how many millimetres of sea level rise will be averted if Ireland spends 150 billion on energy infrastructure. Seeing as nobody on here ever answers that question, I'll do so as usual. It's zero. Climate change is global. Mitigation measures have to be global. The current suggestion is to spend $4 trillion annually on the effort, about 5% of global GDP. Personally I'd like to wait to see everyone else step up to the plate with their 5% before we commit to something that, on its own, will have exactly zero impact on climate mitigation. And even then I'd want it spent on something less hare brained than current Green policies.



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,420 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    How much damage will be caused 'annually' and 'same period'?

    What does this mean? That if the 'annual damage' is only 1 million euros, and it costs 100 million to fix it, that we can just not fix it and leave it for people in 100 years to worry about?

    This is the kind of logic that you think to be 'logical' or 'intelligent' because you have no concept of the long term, or collective responsibility, or cooperation to achieve a mutually desirable end.

    Climate change denial is the ultimate in the tragedy of the commons. You refuse to act in the best interests of the community while trying to extract maximum personal gain from a limited resource for as low a short term cost as you can get away with.

    I'll put it in crass terms.

    Following your logic, you would think it's better to keep sh1tting directly in the town's drinking supply and spend a bit of money putting a filter on your own water pipe to remove most of the chunks, rather than support investing in a sewage system and waste treatment facility that, while expensive in upfront costs, keeps everyone's water clean and reduces costs in the long term.

    Using your own logic, your would refuse to chip into the waste treatment facility because it's cheaper, for you individually, in the short term, to put a filter on your own pipe, even if in the long term, you'll spend much more money replacing those filters while still drinking polluted water.

    And you will refuse to stop sh1tting in the towns drinking supply because your own individual sh1ts are only a small part of the problem and if you stopped **** in the water, your own action would not make a measurable difference.



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,420 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Well that's a bit of a generalisation don't you think?

    Are you saying that all of the science around climate change is wrong?



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,420 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Do you think the average irish person sits around all day arguing against action on climate change online?

    (or more seriously, do you think anyone who answered that survey did nothing that day but sit around answering those questions? Or are you saying 'average people' never answer surveys, in which case, the CSO, and every polling company are only polling wingnuts all of the time??)



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,420 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Oh, if you think we can reverse the impact of previous decisions you're wrong. We're absolutely locked in for a fair bit of warming. Those bad decisions in the past, they've already fu.cked us. We are now in a position where if we continue to make more bad decisions, we're just piling more and more consequences onto our future selves and our children.

    The scientific consensus has been clear for decades. The governments of the world were actually on the right track at the start, taking action and making provisions for a carbon neutral energy system. Then the Oil industry got involved and corrupted everything (many of those politicians were pretty easy to corrupt)




  • Registered Users Posts: 911 ✭✭✭Mebuntu


    LOL. Some people are so gullible they'll believe anything, even nonsense like that.



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,420 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    The RCP 8.5 scenario refers to emission concentrations and it's assumed that human emissions will eventually start to fall and plateau. Unfortunately human emissions are only part of the picture. Tipping points are not accounted for in the RCP scenarios and it's likely that some tipping points will be triggered within our current emissions pathway, and possible that those may in turn cascade and trigger more tipping points.

    RCP 8.5 predicts 4.5c by 2100. I don't want 2100 to be the end of history, so we need to look at temperature increases beyond 2100 which is where 7c of warming came from...

    Whether it's 7c or 4c it's all much the same (very very bad for humanity)

    The hothouse earth paper in PNAS supports everything I have said



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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,559 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme


    You don't want 2100 to be the end of history?

    Surely you mean to caveat that by human history at least? The earth will go on spinning long after 2100 regardless of what we do to screw it up. What lifeforms will exist depends on evolution but regardless of what scenario you look at, it's unlikely that the planet is going anywhere in the next 3 billion years unless struck by something large or the sun nova's earlier than models predict. You post some sensationalist sh1te, but that is easily the worst post I've seen from you yet.


    Also, who cares what some hothouse paper says? It's just someone's opinions superimposed on a mathematical model that may or may not be accurate. Up until Gallileo, every scientific paper thought the world was the centre of the heavens. They aren't so widely heralded now and heliocentrism reigns supreme based on scientific observation. Things could go either way still, we're still lashing convenient models on selective data sets as some sort of proof. There's a lot of outliers and inconvenient trends being ignored and until there's a more comprehensive model, I'm reserving judgement and doing what feels right while being affordable. I don't care that I won't see 2100, it'll be after the end of my history.



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