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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Depending on who and what you believe on here Russia is broken, Russia is out of men , ammunition,tanks and aircraft Russia has no artillery ,the Russian lines have collapsed, but day 577 ? And yet despite neatly 100 billion in military aid and equipment sent to Ukraine Russia still occupies large part of Ukraine, they are still firing tens of thousands of artillery shells per week and and are still launching air attacks ,

    I was hoping this we'd have Ukrainians at the gates of Crimea by the end of this year



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,097 ✭✭✭Lirange


    This was queried on the previous page. Looks like the pipeline of support will not be impacted.


    “The Pentagon will exempt its Ukraine operations from a potential shutdown if lawmakers can’t agree on a deal to fund the government by the end of the month, allowing key training and other activities in support of Kyiv’s forces to move ahead uninterrupted, according to a Defense Department spokesperson.”


    https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/21/pentagon-exempts-ukraine-operations-from-shutdown-00117482



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,612 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    A contrarian thinks NATO countries, including the US, will start running out of equipment before russia who are losing equipment hand over fist daily and are resorting to WW2 era equipment.🤣 The delusion is strong.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    NATO countries do not have an infinite supply of equipment and munitions,you might not agree but these are well documented facts ,the big donations of tanks, IFVs and other equipment will slow down to a trickle because NATO can't give what if doesn't already have



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,839 ✭✭✭Polar101


    Meanwhile Russia goes begging for arms in North Korea, but that's a sign their weapons stocks are definitely not running out.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,180 ✭✭✭green daries


    The yanks have thousands of vehicles in storage that they don't won't and never will use again .....even in the really slim chance that they have a land invasion. These vehicles will be sold into Ukraine one way or another . ......I do think that the us is holding off slightly in a way to shove european countries into properly upping its ability to rearm and defend itself.



  • Registered Users Posts: 82,405 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    It's a matter mostly of Congress. The GOP has 50 seats in the Senate and the majority in the House. The Republican caucus is not in agreement in funding Ukraine, and the MAGA wing would actually prefer to see Zelensky fail ('he's a nazi, he's corrupt, he wouldn't sham-investigate biden,' etc). It's ultimately up to moderate Republicans how much support the US can give.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,908 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    And all these years I thought it was North of Spain and South of Belgique



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,407 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    So,

    1. US supplies to UAF will not be affected by potential US shutdown.

    2. Poland and Ukraine appear to be rowing back and looks like missile supplies will continue (makes sense)

    3. Abram tanks are reportedly on route and arrive next week.

    All Eyes On Rafah



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The US have their supplies and stocks NATO and the EU not so much,but if your not defence industry has been whittled down to a handful of companies who only make to order rather than mass producing tens of thousands of military vehicles and various weapons systems, NATO countries will increase spending but with Russia no longer a threat to NATO that will see less spending on massive amounts of equipment and money on smarter and smaller systems ,

    The best weapon system given to Ukraine is the Himars launchers,but they only received a handful of them, Poland Rocked up and ordered 480 launchers and several hundred other systems from south Korea,and 800 + modem tanks and hundreds of modem ifv for themselves,

    20 Himars and a Similar number of other systems won't be enough to defeat Russia,but nobody in Europe is producing large numbers of similar systems so it's really down to America to supply the biggest amount of equipment something they have shown that they are not willing to do for whatever reason,



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,819 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    It just has to do enough to hold most of what it has. Stalemate is a victory. Even if it comes at a million dead Red Army men and the Russian economy behind Pakistan.



    Europe has been winding down its armies for years, only a few in Eastern Europe are taking it serious.

    They remember the brutal days of being a Soviet Socialist Republic, how many European States will hit the 2% for NATO spending, nearly SFA.


    Yes Russia has a desire to churn out equipment, shells,tanks etc.


    The West does not.


    It's down to will. If Europe wanted the war would already be over or at the least Ukraine would be set up to be a juggernaut next year against the reds.


    There is zero chance of a Ukrainian defeat now but there certainly is a sizeable chance that Russia keeps a lot of what it has taken and that chance grows the longer it goes on.


    As Zelensky has pointed out again and again, that isn't a problem for a lot of the leading powers in Western Europe.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    I believe it's Only a few Abrams arriving this month not the full 30 promised



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,100 ✭✭✭Akabusi


    Not sure what your point is here, there is no mention of numbers in the post.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Only a few Abrams tanks are arriving this month,



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,100 ✭✭✭Akabusi


    I think the point is NATO is the USA. Your point is correct though the Europeans should be contributing more or at least buying this vast stock the US has.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,922 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Shell munition supply to Ukraine is growing exponentially, Sweden will be jointly producing IFVs with Ukraine, Rheinmetall is setting up a complex in Ukraine. Military spending across Europe is rising dramatically. It's not just all about existing stock.

    Ukraine doesn't have to "defeat" Russia, it just has to aid the Russian invasion force in defeating itself, through attrition. Not a simple task but not entirely impossible either. The signs are growing - Ru military having to field prisoners, use ageing equipment, rely on Iranian drones, using vehicle borne IEDs and asking the North Koreans for ammunition. Russia still has quantity, and production ability, and poor 50 yr untrained men who will sit in trenches for low pay - but I wonder how long for. There's a clock running for Russia also.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Rheinmetall is setting up a complex in Ukraine announced during the summer it's mainly going to be repairing vehicles donated by Germany but it's being funded by several other nations,so it's cheaper and easier then sending them back to Germany which could take months to turn around,it makes sense setting up in Ukraine, there's only a handful of companies who make artillery shells in Europe and the US and it will be something like 2028 before they reach the capacity needed that's another 4 years down the road ,the same with deal to produce the 1500 +cv90s it's taken 30 years to Produce that many so we won't be seeing 1500+ cv90s built in Ukraine fighting in Ukraine in the short to medium term at all ,

    Both sides are being grinded down Ukraine themselves have had to lower their requirements for military conscription to include people suffering from medical and mental health problems as long as they believe it's curable, and recently talks of seeking extradition of individuals they believe have dodged conscription by fleeing to EU states.



  • Registered Users Posts: 82,405 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    F35 arrives in Finland




  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




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  • Registered Users Posts: 698 ✭✭✭TedBundysDriver


    Does the west have the will is the real question. Without that it certainly won't produce/release the equipment.

    Up until now the answer is a 100% no.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,579 ✭✭✭20silkcut



    In my opinion the poor performance of the Russian army in Ukraine has actually lowered the level of urgency to ramp up defence spending in western countries particularly on the western side of Europe. If the Russians were rampaging through western Ukraine and approaching the borders of Romania and Moldova etc the level of urgency would be many times different. The static front lines and pathetic offensive ability of the Russian army is paradoxically working in their favour as regards many people and countries seeing them as an existential threat, which they still very much are. And their more hybrid operations are yielding far better results than their military ones. And very few people can see that or make the connections which makes it a very dangerous situation.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,453 ✭✭✭weisses


    If the West starts sending the proper weapons and systems this will be over soon enough. It is letting Ukraine fight with one hand tied behind their back. The US is happy enough with this. It is witnessing the collapse of the Russian army without loosing a single man.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,772 ✭✭✭Sunny Disposition


    I think our own Government should be pressured into giving funding for weapons to the Ukraine. It’s an embarrassment that we don’t.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,250 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    It does seem to be strategy to drag the war out …



  • Registered Users Posts: 698 ✭✭✭TedBundysDriver


    Absolutely. Especially cruel on Ukraine unfortunately.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭thomil


    I think you're confusing lethargy and strategy here...

    Only halfway joking, it seems to me that even some of the more hawkish countries out there are unwilling to part with their pre-war approach to international crises, that is, taking things slow and deliberately with the least possible impact on their nation's populace.

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    On defence spending the 4 biggest spenders in Europe last and this year is Germany, France,UK and Ukraine



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,238 ✭✭✭Widdensushi




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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,607 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    Some of their actions would certainly seem in line with this theory. Wear down the Russian military but not fast enough for them to call it quits.

    Send tanks and other armoured vehicles but in the double digits.

    As regards the Poles, the seem to be continuing to supply Krab Howitzers and Wolverine IFVs. Which are at least partially funded by the EU & the US.

    So imagine some of the "noise" lately is just electioneering season.



This discussion has been closed.
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