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Is there any party or person worth voting for in modern-day Irish politics?

245

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,067 ✭✭✭Murph85


    " First he'd point out that in casting your vote, you honour the dead generations that went before you, most likely your grand parents or great grand parents at this stag, who thought your right to express your opinion on how the country is governed was so precious that they were willing to pay the ultimate price to win you the right to do so. And in his case he saw his best friend shot dead during an ambush of the Border Regiment."


    The likes of Collins etc are the absolute other end of the spectrum compared to the sell out weak weasels we can choose to elect... compare national heroes Collins to varadkar etc , literally extremes...

    There will be a huge increase in vote spoiling this election. Short of starting a new party, its the only tool left... this might spur ssome new parties into action. All of the current lot are literally identical, they offer no proper differentiation...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,828 ✭✭✭✭28064212


    There will be a huge increase in vote spoiling this election

    Why? There has never been any remotely successful intentional spoiled vote movement, despite it always being predicted on Boards. In fact, spoiled votes have been steadily decreasing in every Irish election since 2002 (apart from possibly 2011, which I can't find the figures for):

            Spoiled    Total        Spoiled %
    2002    20,707    1,878,609    1.10225
    2007    19,435    2,085,245    0.93202
    2011    N/A
    2016    18,398    2,151,293    0.85521
    2020    17,703    2,201,192    0.80424
    

    So in the last five elections, we've seen a consistent downward trend of spoiled votes, but you think that this time, the protest vote is really going to happen?

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,605 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Taking defence alone, getting to NATO expenditure level would be several billion a year. (even more in the first few years, because we are starting from practically zero in terms of equipment and facilities)

    Lol indeed.

    Scrap the cap!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,067 ✭✭✭Murph85


    How blatant this whole sham here on, the government, the opposition... I think mamy people are fed up.. there is zero chance we get any proper change here with the current offering... too afraid of the civil servants, the status quo etc...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,605 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    Yawn

    Cliched old rubbish

    Scrap the cap!



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Your point of political comparison is a 100 year old army general? Someone who died before they lived long enough to tarnish their legacy through actual, pragmatic governance?

    Don't think there are too many fans of Varadkar around here but nostalgically pining for the days of mythic Irish rebellion is gonna yield nothing. Look forwards, stop idolising the past like it was perfection. Deifying icons of history won't solve problems of today.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,067 ✭✭✭Murph85


    Varadkar barely got in the last time. His constituency going out and making sure he doesn't get elected, same with mm might be a useful tool to get them to make progress on issues rather than regress. People here may shout down my solutions, what's yours? More of the same shite?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,067 ✭✭✭Murph85


    Other Countries deem it with the spend... the difference is they don't support mental welfare rates and appalling infrastructure etc over basics like defence



  • Registered Users Posts: 746 ✭✭✭Heraclius


    That's not true though. He got 20% of the first preference vote and was elected on the fifth count.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,612 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    You are just showing ignorance of STV here. Varadkar had a running mate which split his forst preference votes

    His election was as valid as being elected on the first count or on the last count; as that is how our electoral system works



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 92,624 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    “[Ford said] ".. On its world, the people are people. The leaders are lizards. The people hate the lizards and the lizards rule the people."

    "Odd," said Arthur. "I thought you said it was a democracy."

    "I did," said Ford. "It is."

    "So," said Arthur, hoping he wasn't sounding ridiculously obtuse, "why don't the people get rid of the lizards?"

    "It honestly doesn't occur to them," said Ford. "They've all got the vote, so they all pretty much assume that the government they voted in more or less approximates to the government they want."

    "You mean they actually vote for the lizards?"

    "Oh yes," said Ford with a shrug, "of course."

    "But," said Arthur, going in for the big one again, "why?"

    "Because if they didn't vote for a lizard," said Ford, "the wrong lizard might get in.”

    ― Douglas Adams, The Ultimate Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy


    Thanks to PR you can leave one name blank on your ballot paper and vote for everyone else ahead of them.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,553 ✭✭✭Ginger83


    We are not going to bother voting, waste of time and diesel. They're all the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,807 ✭✭✭satguy


    A whole lot of the top FG and FF TD's only made past the post on count 5 or 6 in the last GE. Guys that would have been expected to top the poll.

    So it would seem, voters are using their votes smarter,, and TD's voters thought were worth a vote, topped the polls. In the next GE, expect poll toppers to bring a running mate with them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,612 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    You are showing ignorance of STV.

    you don't top the poll if you want to get a running mate in

    SF are going to deeply regret pushing this line when some of their big names scrape in due to vote management



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,807 ✭✭✭satguy


    Your bang on,, a lot of FG and FF TD's had running mates, in most constituencies if not all. And many of them only scraped through.

    I don't think any SF TD's had a running mate, in fact, I can't think of any constituency that had more than 2 SF candidates, off the top of my head.

    But if FG and FF have been doing it for years,, Maybe others might give it a go at the next GE.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,605 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    You can top the poll and still only get elected on 5th or 6th count or more.

    The first few counts are usually the elimination of the no-hopers.

    For some reason this has been a major SF talking point since the last election. Their tune will rapidly change when they get running mates in in the last counts in the next election.

    Scrap the cap!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,807 ✭✭✭satguy


    I don't think any SF TD's had a running mate, in fact, I can't think of any constituency that had more than 2 SF candidates, off the top of my head.

    But most constituencies had a main FF or FG runner, plus a running mate, and it seemed to do them no harm in most cases ..



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    What solution is there in idolising a 100 year old revolutionary who never had to govern a nation? While suggesting spoiling your vote will have no quantifiable effect on things whatsoever - in fact it has the opposite, given that lack of impact. Your views and vote are literally ignored.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,735 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    The indicator of disengagement with politics is not spoiled votes; it's turnout. People who care enough about political issues to be angry will find someone they can vote for; there is no shortage of protest candidates. And they will realise the nihilism involved in caring about political issues but refusing to exercise the political power they have as voters.



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 14,467 Mod ✭✭✭✭marno21


    This mornings Irish Times poll has Independents/others at 20%, tied with FF and 2% ahead of FG. SF miles ahead in 34%.

    There seems to be a growing cohort of people who feel politically homeless going by that level of support



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,186 ✭✭✭✭zell12


    Donegal, Cavan-Monaghan, Dublin Midwest, Louth, all elected two SF TDs in 2020



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,186 ✭✭✭✭zell12


    Not voting is the worst solution. Always vote, and use the full ballot paper effectively. We're blessed with our PR voting system



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,605 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    In other words willing to vote for any local gobdaw who promises to 'fix the road'?

    We really do get the parliamentarians we deserve...

    Scrap the cap!



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,904 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    That is true, but this is a survey of first preferences, and the Gobdaws usually squeak in towards the end of the count on third, fourth or lower preferences, or get rejected before the third count.

    I think that anyone who gets less than 5% of a quota (after initial surpluses are redistributed) should be eliminated. They are most unlikely to pull up the required votes, and failing to get enough first pref votes should be a killer..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,735 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    All this does is to devalue your vote — your one vote, Sam — by reducing the value of your transfers. It reduces the power of voters and enhances that of established parties, in order to raise barriers to less established parties. This is, in a small way, the same defect as characterises FPTP. It's a lousy idea.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,904 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    How does it dilute my vote?

    If the quota is say, 5,000, then candidates that fail to get 250 first preference votes cannot be considered serious contenders. Now they may be local one issue candidates or just cranks making a protest, but they will be eliminated in the first few counts, and my vote continues o its merry way as if they were eliminated on the first few counts. In no way does it impact any other candidate - it just speeds the count without affecting the result.

    Now maybe the threshold could be 1% of quota, but the basic idea does not impinge on the candidate as they will be eliminated anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,735 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    It's not true to say that your proposal will speed the count without affecting the result. If you eliminate a candidate on the first count, then obviously the second and subsequent counts will unfold differently. It may not make any difference to the eventual result. On the other hand, it may. And indeed that seems to be your intention; you express concern about "Gobdaws usually squeak[ing] in towards the end of the count on third, fourth or lower preferences"; your concern is the ones who get elected, not the ones who get eliminated.

    Your proposal is that first preference votes should have greater value than second or subsequent preference votes (because in your system first preference votes are effective to keep candidates in the race while second, etc, preference votes are not). But you don't achieve this by giving first preferences a greater value than they currently have. Rather, you give lower preferences a lower value than they currently have. So, yeah, you are diminishing the value of the vote.

    The whole point of the STV system is to accord as nearly as possible equal value to each voter's vote throughout the process. Under the current rules, you have one vote, it will count for only one candidate, and it will have the same value for that candidate regardless of whether your effective preference is your first, your tenth, or any other preference. You're attacking that principle by giving diminished value to second and subsequent preferences.

    Under the present system if, at the last count, Olé F'tang F'tang Biscuit-Barrel from the Monster Raving Loony Party beats Mr Sober Serious from the Serious & Sober Party for the last seat, that is because more voters prefer Olé to Sober than the other way around. You're trying to rig the system so that the preferences of voters as between those two candidates are disregarded and Sober gets the seat, despite the fact that a majority of voters prefer Olé.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,904 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    I take your point, but it is very unlikely that a candidate with a tiny vote being eliminated earlier than otherwise would actually make any difference to the final outcome. Vote management by large parties might be affected though, so maybe the current system is better than my suggestion.

    There is a point that needs to be clarified. The surplus transferred is normally the last to arrive on a pile. So my first preference sits at the bottom of the pile and never gets transferred because my candidate is destined for great things. But another voter, who votes for many no hopers will have a vote that travels across many piles. Now that could affect the result, particularly if my candidate has a large surplus when elected. The initial randomising of votes does reduce this a bit, but not by a lot.

    However, there is a point that the candidate may not qualify for expenses, and that might matter (to the candidate).



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I take your point, but it is very unlikely that a candidate with a tiny vote being eliminated earlier than otherwise would actually make any difference to the final outcome.

    So why bother doing it?



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,904 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Because it can add about four counts when there is a collection of low scoring but close no-hopers each needing an elimination each.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    So what? Anything worth doing is worth doing properly and all that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,542 ✭✭✭✭whisky_galore


    Esp rural ones. Centre left or centre right and usually of a conservative mindset.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,735 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    This already happens. Two or more candidates with negligible numbers of votes can be eliminated in a single count.

    Imagine a hypothetical election where, after the first count, nobody has yet reached the quota (so we don't have to complicate our example by worrying about the distribution of surpluses) and the bottom of the table looks like this:

    . . . [Eight candidates with respectable numbers of votes]

    Candidate 9: 1,000

    Candidate 10: 500

    Candidate 11: 200

    Candidate 12: 50.

    Clearly, distributing candidate 12's votes, even if they all go to candidate 11, cannot put candidate 11 ahead of candidate 10. If no candidate at the top of the poll is within 50 votes of the quota, distributing candidate 12's votes also cannot elect anybody and so produce a surplus for distribution. So if, after count 1, we just distribute candidate 12's votes, then it is inevitable that after count 2 we will be distributing candidate 11's votes; nobody will have exceeded the quota, and candidate 11 will be at the bottom of the poll. Nothing is served by deferring the inevitable elimination of candidate 11 so, in this circumstance, the returning officer will eliminate both candidate 11 and candidate 12 after count 1, and count 2 will consist of the distribution of 250 votes, not 50 votes.

    But hold on! By exactly the same reasoning, distributing the votes of both candidate 11 and candidate 12 cannot possibly put candidate 10 ahead of candidate 9. If it also cannot elect anyone - i.e. if no-one is within 250 votes of the quota - then we can eliminate candidates 10, 11 and 12 after count 1, and distribute all their 750 votes in count 2.

    And so on. You can assemble as many low-polling candidates as you like until you have a block of votes large enough to elect someone, or to make a material difference to the running order of the remaining candidates, and you can eliminate them all in a single count.

    Tl;dr: The returning officer can - and does - eliminate a group of candidates in one count where it is mathematically impossible for this to produce a different election outcome than eliminating them singly in successive counts.

    The key point is that the threshold for being "group-eliminated" in this way is not failing to reach some fixed percentage of the quota or some fixed number of votes chosen because it's reckoned that, in most cases, it's probably not going to affect the eventual outcome. It's having less than the minimum number of votes that, in the particular case, is mathematically capable of affecting the eventual outcome.

    Post edited by Peregrinus on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,933 ✭✭✭tesla_newbie


    I’ll be voting for my closest TD geographically , he’s an independent and while he won’t set the world on fire, he is a hard worker and always available, I have no one to vote for after that



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Why everybody dismisses Independents as a waste of time is beyond me. A Dail of People working for their local interest’s can surely only be a good thing.

    Institutions like our government party’s will never ever change unless public opinion does. And yes FFG need a right good kick in arse this time.

    BUT, we aint gonna change anything or get what we all want until the way policies are developed or the same thinking changes.

    https://youtu.be/lLSMBt_snwc?si=mS-DIuwCWv_39uvL



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,270 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    Luckily we have PRSTV in this country so you don't actually need to like any of the candidates or parties on your ballot paper, you can simply start at the bottom with the one you hate most and work on up the ballot until the least objectionable candidate gets your vote.

    I'd agree with the OP to an extent though. I've never in my life got to vote for someone I actually thought would make a good TD/Minister/Taoiseach. Labour would probably be the closest thing to my natural home in Irish politics but "lunatic, rabid feminist" is a good description of Bacik and I won't vote for the party as long as she's leader. I'll probably end up going with SD's in the hope they end up working in coalition with the bigger players and end up consuming whatever's left of the Labour Party after what's likely to be their worst electoral performance ever.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,605 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    The Dail isn't supposed to be a glorified county council, that's why

    Scrap the cap!



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    The National Legislature.

    Independents are worse than an utter waste of time, they are generally massive roadblocks to getting consensus to achieve anything. I have some time for the attempt at the Independent Alliance to at least get broadly similar-minded independents to at least attempt to work together. But the general free for all mess of independents is a disaster.



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    A national consensus; but independents holding the national government hostage over some local amenity is whatever the opposite of NIMBYism is. For sure sometimes those facilities are required entities the national government ignored - but it can too often result in the tail wagging the dog.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,372 ✭✭✭bladespin


    Like so many other democratic countries around the world our main political parties are now pretty much indiscernible from each other, even SF, hence the apathy most now have towards the political system: they've pushed so much to please everyone they're pleasing no-one.

    It's leading to the rise in popularity of those with a more radical outlook (both sides of the centre), it won't be long before we start seeing more and more far right/left political figures and the trouble they bring.

    So, yeah, there's not a single party I want to vote for in the next election, yet indies are trouble in themselves (even the best intentioned) - we need the return of the monster raving party to at least open a protest vote release.

    MasteryDarts Ireland - Master your game!



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    And Institutions like our Government partys dont do more or less the same thing?

    theres a lot of similarity with county councils and The Dail. They’re there to make management decisions and implement laws & policies.


    But until we change the decision making for policies & laws where on the road to ruin.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The Dail is there the same as a county council. Its a management system to develop& implement policies & laws for the country.

    well agree so that independents are a complete waste of time, and will get no problems solved will only halt progress.

    Now lets vote for a political party. A complete opposite to independents. Weve voted that way for over a hundred years so we should find Utopia….

    I dunno about you but i think Ireland’s very very far from Utopia.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,605 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    No it's not utopia but it's a damn sight better now than it was ten years ago never mind 30 or 40; This sort of unfocused whining gets really boring really fast.

    Scrap the cap!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,776 ✭✭✭eire4


    Totally agree. Our system has its flaws no question about it. For instance we have still not really dealt with the Seanad. We didn't abolish it but its just sitting there clearly needing major reform. But as much as our system has its flaws overall all our PR voting system is vastly ahead of and better then the first past the post they use say in the US and is overall pretty good. I know I will certainly be voting when it comes time for the next election.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 476 ✭✭Ramasun


    Always vote.

    Win, lose or draw you had your say.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,972 ✭✭✭mikemac2


    In Ireland the councillors who claim to be left leaning also vote to reduce property tax by the maximum 15%

    Any other state these socialists would want the full whack so they can use that money for other causes.

    In Ireland parties want to be all things to all people.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,564 ✭✭✭Finty Lemon


    Attended a public meeting lately where Holly Cairns made a speech on a range of policy issues. When she was questioned on detail she withered to nothing.

    Great leader? Leading ye up the garden path I fear. The politician with the best grasp of reality and the best ambition for the country remains Michael Martin.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,605 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    We also have 'socialists' who scream blue murder against any form of property tax (and even, in some cases, wealth tax)

    Scrap the cap!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,035 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    LPT raised in Dublin sees a third of the money go out of the county.

    So no point advocating top dollar LPT when monies raised from 1 in every 3 houses goes in full to Mayo or Roscommon.



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