Russia - threadbanned users in OP

Surely Isreal would have enough missiles , etc, for the short term at least without having to supplement with immediate imports - re planes , helicopters , all kinds of bombs/ missiles , mines, all types of personnel vehicles,tanks, etc. Hamas , no matter how ‘well armed ‘ it is would not have the capability of taking out a lot of the Israeli hardware IMO

There's two seperate things going on here that aren't at all related.

Currently Ukraine are not near Tokmak that much is true. The territorial gains have been modest because Russians have not been playing defense in depth but rather counter attacking every inch of territory lost like madmen and taking horrible casualties. Even on the offense Ukraine have been losing 3 times less equipment(and possibly men, I'm just extrapolating here I don't have evidence for this. ) confirmed by Oryx. Which is honestly staggering.

But the whole political fiasco in congress has not affected what's left in assignable aid. Only that new aid packages will likely not be announced for the coming month.

There's still 6 billion worth of aid left to go to ukraine. It's not like the weapons deliveries are just stopping because congress is a shitshow for a few weeks. Even in a government shutdown the military and other government institutions are still mandated to work. Taking into account that much of the equipment that has been promised still hasn't arrived it seems more like weather or the fact that Russia has deployed their more experienced VDV reserves to the Robotyne front has been slowing things down more.

https://kyivindependent.com/uk-defense-ministry-thousands-of-russian-airborne-troops-redeployed-to-robotyne-as-infantry/

Yeah be interesting with Taiwan. I just don't know if Chinese patience has run out yet on that situation. But to be fair it would of been perfect timing. China might need the world's attention a bit more distracted again with another conflict or 2 happening now. More if Kosovo kicked off more and if there is a wider conflict with Israel iran etc. then they might make a move.

Not the easiest task for China attacking an Island which has massive amount of modern western antiship armaments'

Especially when you have a fledging navy designed on Russian designs

Those same Russian navy designs have just been destroyed by a country without a navy

Its not going to happen, China will flex its muscle, but at the end of the day its very difficult for them to get boots on ground

They can bomb Taiwan but still they need boots on the ground

I just dont see it happening

China's best weapons are it's hypersonic anti ship Missles and it has numerical advantage in men , air and ships and other weapons,

In various war games scenarios the US loses its surface fleet and aircraft in the first 5 days of a real war , besides China has the ability to hit Taiwan from its mainland and don't have to Risk men and equipment

It's more that. They would just bomb and send missiles from mainland China. I think what the Russian/Ukraine conflict has shown is to bomb your enemy for days and then move in. If Russia could go back to day 1 they would of bombed Ukraine for days on end then made there move then instead of what they done by just thinking they could waltz on in. Easier to build a country up when destroyed then have your army decimated and nothing to show for it. I say China would think the same way just send 100s of bombs and missiles into Taiwan each day from mainland China then after a mth or so move in.

Which goes against the population opinion on here

You couldn't be more wrong if you tried. The vast majority of Chinese warships are indigenous designs, they've had to be, given the Sino-Soviet split of the 1960s. Yes, China's first aircraft carrier, the Liaoning, is a Kusnetsov-class ship, but it's been so extensively modified that it bears only passing resemblance to the original design. Shandong, the second carrier, while based on Liaoning, is very much its own design, and the third flat-top, Fujian, which is currently fitting out in preparation for builder's trials, has more in common with the Kitty-Hawk-class carriers of the US Navy, that is, second generation supercarriers, than with any Soviet or Russian design.

It's a similar story with surface vessels. Over the last several decades, the PLA Navy has been emulating European and US designs in their frigates and destroyers. Even the oldest destroyers in PLAN service, the 1990s-era Type 52 destroyers Harbin and Qingdao, are much closer in their design to contemporary Italian or German designs than to anything coming out of Russian design bureaus. It's a similar story with frigates, corvettes and gunboats. In fact, the only two positively Russian vessels in the PLAN fleet that I could find, two Kilo class submarines procured in 1994 & 1995 respectively, are slated for decommissioning and scrapping.

What's more, the vast majority of the PLA's combat force is young. Most ships were built in the early to mid 2000s, and wouldn't look out of place in a US carrier battle group, given their design. And there are a LOT of them. It is also interesting to see how China seems to be taking more and more cues from the US with regards to their amphibious warfare forces. China is currently introducing a series of helicopter landing ships, the Type 075, which is a lot closer to the Tarawa and Wasp class ships of the US Navy than to the Ropuchas that Soviet-influenced navies have traditionally operated. And once again, there are a lot of them.

The story is somewhat more different in the air, as the PLA Air Force operates several squadrons of Flankers, and several hundred Chengdu J-7 and Shenyang J-11, strongly modified copies of the MiG-21 Fishbed and Su-27 Flanker respectively. However, the majority of fighter squadrons seem to be equipped with indigenously designed Chengdu J-10 and J-20. Even where Soviet-era designs are in use, such as with the PLA AF's strategic bomber force, these designs will be significantly modernised and modified to fit in with the PLA's doctrine. I'm pretty sure that the designees of the original Tupolev Tu-16 Badger bomber would have no idea what to make of its Chinese version, the Xian H-6.

This all reflects the Chinese approach to any bit of technology they can get their hands on: Imitate, Iterate, Innovate

Imitate: This seems to be where most people think the PRC is still stuck. This is basically license producing foreign designs, or simply stealing the designs.

Iterate: At this stage, modifications are introduced into the design based on Chinese production, design & operational experience. This is where the later versions of, for example, the J-7 and the J-11 come in, foreign designs hat have been modified to better suit Chinese needs

Innovate: This is the stage where China is at right now, both in the military and in the consumer industry segments. At this stage, indigenous companies have gathered enough experience to begin producing their own designs. Most Chinese surface warships, the J-10 and J-20 fighters, Xian Y-20 airlifter and much of the PLA's ground equipment were designed once this stage was reached.

Now, needless to say, not every single one of these designs is going to be a success. Indeed, some designs have quite a reputation. However, to simply write everything off as Soviet/Russian hand-me-downs severely undervalues the massive investments China has made into its military in recent decades. What's more, the country has been very methodical in its approach, proceeding in a way that they believe they can sustain for the long haul.

If there's any weakness, it'll be in the doctrinal and Command & Control side. China hasn't fought a major land war since the 1960s & 1970s, when doctrine was still dominated by Mao's principles of a "People's War". It is anyone's guess as to how the PRC will fare in today's network-centric & highly technological battlespace, where situational awareness and the ability to act at a moment's notice are key. Has the PLA been able to adapt its doctrine to this new situation? There's effectively only one way to find out, and it's not one that I'm particularly thrilled about.

Nice speech, now read this, but you probably know better than them

China could launch attacks on Taiwan tomorrow if they chose to ,this thread wouldn't exist only for the experts telling us that Russia Will not be invading Ukraine nearly 3 years ago

He definitely doesn't sound too good

I think they can hit Taiwan but not actually invade , and there weather window is closed for a crossing this winter???

But open to correction

Think the two main months are April and October.

So its quite similar to my situation

I live in Finland

I can drive to the Russian border which is 150 km away

I can throw stones over the border but cant actually invade

So me and China are kinda in the same boat

Also i have weather window, much nicer to do it in summer

Yes exactly like i can throw stones across the border at Russia

If i throw big enough stones will Russia surrender