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Global warming

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,632 ✭✭✭Shoog




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,069 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Nah, it's reasonable to expect supporting data. Your own common sense seems to fail you at every turn tbh.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,951 ✭✭✭Spudmonkey


    Hey man, not having a go.

    Just needs to be a viable path forward and there currently is none with renewables. Was talking to my uncle-in-law recently who worked as a geophysicist for BP. He said effectively the same thing I've heard from multiple sources that life will just get simpler. Fossil fuels have allowed society to build incredible complexity due to the extremely high EROI. You remove that and the whole thing comes down.

    As another poster above mentioned there is no way to create renewable without FFs and the inherent destruction of nature that goes with them means they aren't very green. Also none of them (with perhaps the exception of hydrogen which doesnt occur in any great quantity in nature) has the same mutablity so everyone of them has massive limitations.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,632 ✭✭✭Shoog


    The process involves using fossil fuels to pump prime the transition to renewables, once you hit critical mass the fossil fuel get replaced by renewables.

    I wouldn't disagree that life will probably have to adapt to a different reality - but there is literally vast and limitless amounts of solar (in all its forms which includes wind and wave) to tap into. Sodium batteries are now approaching the energy density of lithium but using one of the most common elements on the planet.

    It's difficult to conceptualise the path forward since the future will look entirely different to what we have now. All the essential elements are already in place and research is making every element of it both more efficient and cheaper. Do you think that a farmer driving his horse and cart a couple of centuries ago could imagine the world we live in now ? He would not have single clue that the world would be so different to the one he lived in.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    That land isn’t being managed holistically under holistically policy from government.

    That’s the difference in all this, is the management. Different way of thinking.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    So what if the soil doesn’t sequester carbon to your desired effect.

    But nobody else is telling me an alternative to the biggest problems we have.

    how we stop Bio diversity loss on 60% and growing rapidly Of the planets land and destruction of its waters.

    Feed an ever growing planet with healthy food

    Provide habitat for all creatures

    amongst others

    The only thing we can do is change our management. How we make decisions and form policy!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,632 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Preserving biodiversity is not a one size fits all set of problems. Each habitat needs its own management strategies specific to the location. In Ireland low intensity extensive farming with traditional hay making is essential to preserve the biodiversity which has co-evolved in lock step with human habitat. Then there is the need for true wilderness for a whole set of other species.

    People have been studying and practicing biodiversity and habit management for over a century at this stage.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Absolutely. And under current habitat management & policy & education land degradation, waters and our health has gotten worse & worse in a lot of places.

    There can’t be any argument for that!

    Under Holistic Management aka the Savoury institute management, they have proven there method is working in all there research plot’s on nearly 20 million hectares in various environments around the world.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,632 ✭✭✭Shoog


    It would be a catastrophy if applied to Irish conditions. The result would be poaching, erosion and water pollution.

    There are no one size fits all magic bullets - the world is complex.



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  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 40,789 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    WTF does this actually mean in an Irish context?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    It depends on the context doesnt it. We are in a non brittle environment so conservation & resting land will work fantastically well here.

    And i agree there’s places being farmed here in Ireland using cattle that the land can’t handle cattle, the ground can’t support them. if a farm needs 6 months worth of Silage and heavy use of chemical fertiliser then Cows probably aren’t the right animal to be farming in those conditions.

    We would all agree that the environment in Kerry, Mayo Donegal etc are very different from say Dublin Wexford Tipperary etc

    So it comes back to management, education, planning.

    Now in Brittle environments like in Africa, Middle East, Australia, texas etc the land needs animals to keep it healthy. Otherwise complete Biodiversity loss & ecosystem collapse.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    In an Irish context we are farming Cattle in places on Land that cannot support cattle, the ground simply isn’t strong enough.

    The environment doesn’t suit. If a farm need’s 6 - 8 month’s of silage to keep cattle wouldnt we all agree then that Cattle aren’t suited to that place?

    What will work really well in Ireland is conservation & resting land to restore biodiversity, habitat etc

    Thats because we have year round rain

    But in seasonal rainfall environment’s, over two third’s of the planet, That land has to have animals on it to keep it healthy. But they need to managed properly, Bunched & moving.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    People have to see this documentary.

    It explains everything.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,069 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Linking to hour and a half documentaries by the same org that has actively lied rather than research is really missing the point. Reminded distinctly of people dumping conspiracy theory videos. They're free to submit research for peer review, no Organisation is gonna block it but the most likely reason they don't is they don't have adequate evidence of what they claim.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    How do you peer review something that’s complex and constantly changing?

    if the only thing you accept is academia then that’s sad.

    there’s many forms of knowledge, not just peer reviewed paper’s.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,069 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    You do realise peer reviewed studies were being released on COVID from every angle while the virus was in full flight? That's pretty complex and changing. So no, I don't think think an agricultural technique is immune to peer review and Organisations avoiding it tends to be the ones who have zero evidence to substantiate their claims, or have grossly exaggerated them.


    Now I'm expecting some quip or a snarky remark. 😂



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    absolutely perfect example, and look how much of a mess that was. Look at the amount of conflict information that was given at the start to what we ended up with.

    Peer reviews have been wrong before. There not a one solution that fits all either.

    A nutritionist & doctor will tell you drinking lemon juice everyday will be brilliant for your body. I accept that.

    But a dentist will tell you dont do that because it’ll ruin your teeth. I accept that also. Both a right.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    And we are following the science, the peer reviewed papers, all the experts.

    Go to the Grand Canyon and you’ll see as far as the eye can see land turning to desert. It’s under conservation. Resting the land. No animals, no soil disturbance. All understand conventional management the best we have. And has been for decades.

    That area is in absolutely shocking condition.


    We can use Yellowstone National park also as an example. They reintroduce wolves as a key species and the ecosystem has greatly improved.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,632 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Peer review is the only defense we have against wild claims, why ? Because if the wild claim is made through a peer reviewed paper then it is reproducible and if the claimed result is not reproduced the paper is rejected and the claim is demonstrably false.

    An unsupported statement has no such protections.

    So if a claim is made that 3.5tonnes of carbon can be sequestered in one hectare of pasture per year then this is a testable statement meaning I do not have to take anyone's word for it if it is shown in evidence presented in a peer review paper.

    Similarly claims about increase in biodiversity are testable statements with commonly available methodologies to test them.

    People who are confident in their claims are happy to support them with peer reviewed papers since they are the first step in been generally accepted as valid. I do not need to take anyone's word for something if it is systematically studied and presented in a reproducible format.

    Only people who know their claims are not verifiable shy away from peer review.

    So far any third party which has attempted to verify the claims of the Savory system has failed to reproduce those claims in any meaningful way. Some have shown the results to be the opposite of what was claimed. If there is some "magic" ingredient missing from these studies the only way to disprove them is to produce the evidence in a peer reviewed paper and show how they misapplied the methodology.

    Hand waving gets you no where - and that is all the Savory advocates have done so far.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,087 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    It sure does depend on context. From https://www.sierraclub.org/sierra/2017-2-march-april/feature/allan-savory-says-more-cows-land-will-reverse-climate-change

    (have you read it yet? 3rd time I've posted the link)

    In Southern Utah, a seriously dry part of the US with very brittle soil conditions:

    ""I think claiming that you're going to reverse climate change by running cattle across the dry lands of the earth doesn't make sense," Bramble told the crowd. "And I would caution you all not to leap on the Savory bandwagon, especially in these parts. This is very dry country. And you need to consider some evolutionary history. There were no large ungulates grazing in this region. The grasses did not coevolve with grazing."

    This was him addressing a meeting of farmers to discuss Savory's hypothesis.

    So, if you're in favor of adopting Savory's methods to Ireland, quantify what the impact on Ireland's CO2 emissions will be, would you?

    You can't, because "Holistic farming" hasn't ever been subject to rigorous analysis, much like holistic anything.



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  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 40,789 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    To be fair, you seem to be waffling on and it does create the impression that you're regurgitating stuff you've heard somewhere (presumably your unproven cult).

    I've given you ample opportunities but I'm fed up asking you now: you're blinkered opinion is really not worth the effort!

    I'm unsubscribing from this thread!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,307 ✭✭✭✭EmmetSpiceland


    It’s mad that the oil companies, now fighting legal proceedings, are throwing all the people who, fully, bought into their climate denial propaganda under a bus.

    Their argument, now, is that they shouldn’t have to face any legal cases because, they say, that the ‘impact of fossil fuel use on the global climate has been open and obvious for decades’.

    Some turnaround but, of course, the climate deniers who believe Big Oil’s earlier, paid for, nonsense will still go on believing it.

    “It is not blood that makes you Irish but a willingness to be part of the Irish nation” - Thomas Davis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,069 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    The scientific work during COVID-19 was frankly extraordinary. Bs artists spreading rumours was the greatest issue during it and they didn't tend to be peer reviewed.


    Peer reviewed studies have been wrong but they end up challenged. It's the best system we have. Meanwhile your anecdote about lemon juice is just irrelevant nonsense. Make scientific claims then follow the scientific process which includes peer review, bizarre to say this should be the one exception.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    See its all very subjective isn’t it, what some say will work others say it wont.

    Did Bramble explain how The desert in Utah is going to help fix itself? Or sequester carbon? Isn’t there soil In Utah? How did that get there? But that’s one example. And Utah is one of those environments that it would be without a doubt very challenging conditions to farm.

    But lets take an environment like texas or Arizona. They get Rain, yet land is still deteriorated.

    See it’s all about the context and planning.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,632 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Most have an ideological investment in it, to accept climate change as real is to accept that their belief in neo-liberal economics of infinite growth is wrong. All climate change deniers are also neo-liberal advocates.

    They will never give up on climate change denial just as they will never give up on their Chicago school economic fantasies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,087 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Neither, because he's a scientist and was rebutting what the Savory institute was selling. He wasn't there to pitch anything (context is everything, after all). Later in the article he says he's improved his own land by not running cattle on it. Same is true in Texas, Arizona, Nevada.

    You really should read the article.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Adios, i feel much the same about you. Good riddance



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Savorys a scientist also. You believe one but not the other? Thats your opinion, your belief, that’s ok. People used to believe the earth was flat & slavery was acceptable.

    Bullshit, covid was a complete and utter **** show and everybody knew it. Not one bit of common sense came out of it after the initial first few weeks. You need a mask to go into a restaurant & get to your table. Then it was safe to take off the mask. Get real man.

    there’s no hope for people like you, no doubt a George Monbiot supporter also.

    Savory is right, and time will prove it.

    You wanna no what the world will be like when 80 - 90 % of it turns to desert? Look at the sahara. And no amount of windmills or solar or electric cars is going to fix that.

    If you need to read a peer reviewed paper to see how everything works then you havent an original thought in your head.

    Very sad to see the brainwashing taking place.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,087 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    So, the anti-vax agenda comes out. Sorry, you won't be hearing from me any more. Get help.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I have read it and he missed a key part of it.

    “When there are too many cows in places with intermittent or little rain, where the vegetation is brittle and the soil fragile, the animals spell trouble. Overgrazing denudes the soil and produces erosion, which leads to a landscape where plants can't revive and grow”

    Now what I’m about to say is the key thing. Once the animals are taken away from where they’ve been grazing. After enough time passes that land starts to regenerate. Plants grow, habitat restores, biodiversity comes back.

    “Cattle grazing produced such a transformation in the environment of the American West that its introduction, in the late 19th century, has been compared to a geologic event. Cattle have been implicated in the eradication of native plants, the loss of biodiversity, the pollution of springs and streams, the erosion of stream banks, the exacerbation of floods that carry away soil, the deforestation of hardwoods, and, in the worst cases, a reduction of living soil to lifeless dust. Two centuries of grazing on the Colorado Plateau catalyzed the most severe vegetation changes in 5,400 years, one study concluded”

    That land wasnt mangaged holistically. It was different management.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,069 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    A scientist who won't use the peer review process, sounds more and more like a scam artist tbh. And every time you resort to aggression or abuse cause you can't refute anything.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    “In Savory's universe, ungrazed land, known as "rested" land, will always wither away. "It's just wrong," said Brewer. A substantial number of studies on desert grassland have found that with rest, grass cover "increases dramatically," while "intensive grazing delays this recovery."

    With rest they will recover no doubt, but after enough time and no grazing of animals on those lands, they turn to desert.

    There can be no doubt about that. Because if Mr Brewer is right land is rested like it has been for decades then we should find no desertification. Arizona should look like Ireland. Australia should look like Ireland.

    But there not, we find desertification is getting worse every year in these environments.

    Over resting land is Cancer for Biodiversity & Habitat in Seasonal Rainfall environment’s. Which make up over two third’s of the planet!! there can’t be any argument against that! They need animals managed properly to stay healthy.

    Its like taking a heart, brain or lungs away from a person.

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Ahaha 🤣 more insults

    Same with all yee types on here, when yee have nothing else to say or when something has been explained.

    Same in all the threads. Good riddance.

    Yee are the Permanently outraged or very unhappy people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,632 ✭✭✭Shoog




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Coming from the person who doesn’t want to fix all the world’s problem’s and wants to keep the trail of destruction going. You and your pals here are trying to be bully’s, like any bully when somebody fights back yee flee and throw insults and labels.

    Your an old dog so we cant teach you anything new.

    And my last response to the other poster has proven how dumbfounded your science & peer reviewed papers are.

    Because if Mr Brewer & his ilk are right & resting land over a long period of time restores biodiversity loss, then Australia, Mexico, the Middle East should all be green and lush & eutopia. It’s the complete opposite. No peer reviewed papers needed to show the evidence of that.

    Its all about the management & planning & process’s. We have no other option’s.

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    A picture say’s a thousand words.

    I’m putting up this photo to illustrate the sheer size and scale of the problem.

    Now that’s some chunk of land and water & the potential to store carbon in it has to be absolutely enormous.




  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 40,136 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    No, we don't. It's another dump from a no doubt dodgy American "think tank".

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    See above. Gone very quiet all of a sudden here.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 40,136 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Peer review is worthless because things change but this disinformation will always be true.

    Pass.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 288 ✭✭Upstream


    Grasslands can sustain a high amount of biodiversity, but it depends on the management, and as you point out the harvesting practices matter too. I'm not advocating for the sort of green desert like the perennial ryegrass field you were looking at. I'm saying we need more farms that look like A and B, rather than C, while still maintaining as much production as possible.

    We need to move away from dependence on chemical inputs for fertility, prior to the advent chemical fertilizer, cows were used to restore fertility and restore soil carbon in a crop rotation.

    There are lots of ways to increase biodiversity apart from multispecies, native meadows, herbal leys all have their role.

    Prof Sheridan did mention in the video that the multispecies had an increase in invertebrates and earthworms in the trials, so it's reasonable to expect that the wildlife that feeds on these should become more abundant, but their trials have only been going on for ten years, so there's a limit to how much research they can do with the resources they have.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,069 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    It's more because it's like debating with a wall. 😂



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    No, as i simply pointed out that if the conventional scientific method of conservation works, we should find those area’s in lush green grass & trees & biodiversity Thriving.

    But it simply isn’t, the area’s under conventional management are wastelands. And are the most problematic region’s on the planet. That’s an absolute FACT.

    Now people need to get with the programme and do something about it. Because there’s 10s of million’s of people in those area’s off the world that for some reason don’t want to live in barron desert wastelands that support next to nothing and are making there way to Europe for a better life!!



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Watch the video like a good little boy, you be a better person after it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 288 ✭✭Upstream


    I'm not sure exactly. Gabe Brown was able to increase his soil carbon levels from 1.9 in 1991 to 6.1% within 20 years. I did back of the envelope extrapolation that would suggest that we could pull down all the excess carbon in ten to twenty years, if we all farmed in an optimal way for carbon sequestration.

    Two problems with that estimate

    • One, it's completely over optimistic, but it's worth considering the enormous potential soils have
    • Two, that's not going to stop our over consumption of fossil fuels and other resources in every other aspect of life

    But there are farmers who have moved the needle in the right direction, and there are papers that suggest that it can make some contribution


    Solutions will be different on every farm, but there are a host of solutions to consider

    • The multispecies, herbal leys and native meadows I mentioned in my previous post.
    • Compost and biological inputs for soil fertility (Korean Natural Farming is awesome)
    • Biochar for sequestering carbon and as a kind of microbe and nutrient reservoir in the soil
    • Re-intergrating livestock in crop rotations
    • Permaculture, agroecology and silvopasture would be near the top of the tree when it comes to practicing agriculture well, but it's a learning curve and we have to start somewhere

    I fell down this rabbit hole about ten years ago after watching videos by Alan Savory and Joel Salatin. I was in shock for two or three weeks trying to process how cows could be good for the planet, when it went against everything I had been taught. I realised I didn't know a huge amount about the science of farming, or biology and chemistry knowledge was dumbed down to four elements, N, P and K and a bit of Calcium. Savory's claims may be disputed and in some cases overblown, if the grasslands in certain desert areas didn't co-evolve with ruminants, cows may not be the best tool to restore them, but his ideas do work for some ranchers who have tried them.

    But what I learned was that we as humans as a species have placed ourselves outside of nature, we are trying to dominate it with fossil fuels, industrial agriculture, and industrial food, and it's killing us and the health of the planet.

    Regenerative farming is about farming with nature, rather than against it, and there's quite a bit of forgiveness in the system if we get it right.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 40,136 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Nope. Not interested in whatever denier drivel you're peddling.

    We're done.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    But you should though, it’s kind of important.

    It’s important that the message get’s out there.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Before Agriculture, circa 20k year’s ago? Humans invented spears and arrows and knifes etc

    For hunting amongst other’s

    There must have been million’s of animal’s that we had to be able to hunt and sustain ourselves for thousands of year’s, before agriculture.

    So over time, humans were killing everything off in order to survive! Once animals became scarce and food wasn’t as plentiful, humans started to adapt the concept of agriculture and farming. We were the first species on this history of this earth to do so. This changed the ecosystem in ways we can’t imagine over hundred’s of year’s.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,593 ✭✭✭cfuserkildare


    Not entirely accurate,

    Climate change killed off many animals that had migrated into an incompatible environment and as the temperature changed they couldn't adapt to the weather conditions.

    That was what killed so many animals during and after the last glacial period.

    Just look at the evidence found in places like Creswell Crags in Derbyshire.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 669 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    What absolute ignorance.

    Land management techniques, or the lack of, are exactly the reason why we are seeing temperature increases. The causes are land use changes from urbanisation, desertification, deforestation, wetland drainage and so forth.

    If you for one moment think that standing in the middle of a tarmacadam surfaced car park with the sun beating down on a mid-summer's day is going to be X degrees cooler at 280ppm than 400ppm - then buddy, you're cannon fodder!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,087 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    No, they're not "exactly the reason." They contribute. But it all comes down to CO2 in the atmosphere, and most CO2 is sequestered in the ocean. As temperatures rise, more is released, raising the temperature. It's a loop.


    There's no one answer to this problem as there's no one cause - cattle emit methane, for example. Burning limestone for concrete releases a lot of CO2. Not just burning fossil fuels.


    A little less hysterical posting here would help the discussion along.



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