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High Irish GDP is an illusion, Ireland is not that rich

123468

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,735 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    But the fact remains that both the people with a medical card and the people who have health insurance/pay privately get better access to a GP in Ireland than most people get in the UK. If your criterion is "costs the least" then the UK GP service is superior, but if it's "delivers the service more effectively" then the Irish GP service looks to be the superior.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,787 ✭✭✭✭Geuze



    Most healthcare is financed by taxes in Ireland (75%).

    Yes, you are correct, about half the population must pay for GP visits.

    There are two other fees in healthcare:

    • ED fee = 100 euro
    • DPS fee up to 80 pm?

    Otherwise, all hospital care is free at point of care, paid for by taxes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,787 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    France has higher labour costs than us, due to much higher SI conts.

    But are you sure wages are higher in France?





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,735 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    I was working off this: https://www.statista.com/statistics/557777/average-annual-salaries-in-europe/

    . . . which gives an annual rather than an hourly rate and, more to the point, give an average rather than a median figure. (If we want to know which the economy as a whole pays the higher wages, I think the average is the appropriate figure to use, rather than the median.) Also my figures are for 2022; yours are for 2018.

    The truth is that Ireland and France are probably broadly similar here; depending on which measure you pick (or can find) you can probably find one to be a bit ahead of the other, or vice versa. But my main points remain; the technical point that comparisons of earnings levels which ignore earnings inequality risk being misleading, and the policy point that securing higher earnings for some by accepting greater income inequality across the workforce as a whole is not, by and large, a good trade-off. If we're going to learn from other countries, it should be high-wage economies that are not characterised by greater inequality than we already have.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,706 ✭✭✭Nermal


    Additionally nearly all US private sector employment is at will. It should be compared with salaries for contract employees here, which closes the gap quite a bit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,622 ✭✭✭maninasia


    You keep replying to me, sitting back and criticizing my ideas, but offering no stats of your own. I find that pretty interesting .

    In Singapore they pay maids and labourers badly (I don't agree with it but the pay is more than many of the surrounding countries hence popular to go there) but I specifically mentioned professionals who are getting paid by the same multinationals in MID level professional jobs get paid 120,000 now on average. I am very familiar with middle manager pay in Singapore.

    When you realize they pay almost no income tax the take home is massive compared to Ireland. The mid level professionals will definitely feel richer in Singapore if they are locals who don't drive (cars are expensive) . WHEREAS if you were on 120,000 USD in Ireland almost half of it is taken in tax!

    In Ireland it's the state that is rich...not you.

    PS In Ireland we just give 100,000 + refugees and other recently arrived immigrants with children who may immediately declare homeless billions in social welfare and supports. Very few countries do that, instead they would make them work and thus make 'income equality' more obvious.

    Post edited by maninasia on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,654 ✭✭✭rock22


    @maninasia "PS In Ireland we just give 100,000 + refugees and other recently arrived immigrants with children who may immediately declare homeless billions in social welfare and supports. Very few countries do that, instead they would make them work and thus make 'income equality' more obvious."

    We now know the type of country you are arguing for. Selfish totally lacking in empathy for victims or war and disaster, and strongly favouring the rich. Thankfully Ireland, and Europe in general, is far from your idea of utopia.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,622 ✭✭✭maninasia


    I'm not arguing for anything I'm saying that's what the country is like which therefore changes income inequality statistics and NO the rest of Europe is definitely NOT like that . Check policies in Denmark, Sweden, Poland, Italy, France etc and get back to me . You think asking refugees work for a living like the rest of us is lacking empathy? That's a good one . Fortunately many are eager to work I'll give them that

    Get off yer high horse will ya and get busy taking care of the orphans.

    Yer such a good person St Peter will be waiting for you at the gates nobody asked for your moralistic bullshit :).



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Sonmeone on 120k in Ireland with zero deductions pays about 39% in tax.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,622 ✭✭✭maninasia


    Correct, almost half of their salary.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    39% is absolutely not "almost half" their salary (it is almost 40% of their salary), and that assumes zero pension contribution, no family or any other tax advantageous system.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,035 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    They also have precarious job security and can be sacked at the drop of the hat.

    So a fair percentage of their extra income could be referenced as danger money. :)

    In the US, you have to earn big and save big, in the hope you can gather enough money to see you through the future winters. Knowing that at any point in time, your days with the employer could be numbered and if you do get the sack, there aint much of a safety net below you.

    I guess you could liken working on a permanent contract in the US to working as a contractor here.

    High wage, low security.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,622 ✭✭✭maninasia


    Sure it is almost half . It's a massive whack of taxes off your gross before you then get slammed by VAT, excise duties, insurance, vehicle tax, carbon tax and standing charges, DIRT , property tax you name it. Are you trying to say it's not much lol.

    This is why people don't feel rich, because they aren't rich.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,622 ✭✭✭maninasia


    There are huge numbers of Irish working on contracts in Ireland and I'm not just talking about IT contractors and construction but different industries including finance , scientific and education. They'll do their best to put you on contract employment. I know many myself, it ain't so different than the US as you think it is in that regard.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,928 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    DIRT is invidious when interest rates are below inflation, to be sure. But property taxes are not high Ireland even when compared to the US, while insurance and standing charges are not taxes at all.

    As for being rich, GDP is inflated, Irish people are decently well off but not rich. Other countries with similar standards of living have similar taxes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,924 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    I've looked at lots of different metrics comparing Ireland to other European countries in terms of wealth and standard of living etc.

    I think in general I'd put us above the eastern European countries and the Mediterranean countries like Spain, Italy, Greece etc, but at the lower end of the northern and Scandinavian countries like Germany, Sweden, Denmark, Holland etc.

    These countries have been wealthy for centuries but we're catching up.

    I think if we invest in renewable energy and storage like offshore wind, hydrogen etc and also with our good demographics, we can move slightly past some of these countries and stay ahead of the likes of Spain, Poland, Czech and Italy as I think their demographics will inhibit growth.

    If you were to look at just one metric I think adjusted household disposable income reflects this.

    This graph puts us 9th in the EU, which I think is fair. We've high salaries but pay more for everything.

    Obviously our GDP is nonsense. Also AIC or GNI aren't an accurate reflection.

    We've lots of advantages going into the future such as young population, good education, only english speaking country in the EU, good infrastructure (I know we're lacking in public transport), strong institutions, low corruption, rule of law etc.

    We've a huge amount of experience and know-how also in areas such as IT, Pharma, etc.

    I think renewable energy would be a brilliant industry to invest in as we could control almost the entire industry without needing outside resources (obviously we'll need to import some resources like steel etc).



  • Registered Users Posts: 843 ✭✭✭m2_browning


    Not just DIRT irish system is actively hostile to any sort of investment from property to stocks and crypto and don’t even think about ETFs

    and then you die and there inheritance…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,928 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    The Irish government should make some effort to reduce the cost of things, then our salaries would give us a decent standard of living. Of course, housing is the obvious one, but that takes time to sort out. But other things are expensive and if we moved closer to the European average then we would be better off.

    As for inheritance tax, I'd be more in favour of reducing taxation on the return from risk taking investments than reducing it on money derived from nepotism.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,924 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    They could tackle insurance costs for a start.

    I think energy prices will come down over time.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,928 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    They have done something on car insurance. Public liability insurance is a real problem.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,622 ✭✭✭maninasia


    They are busy putting the excise duties back to full rate on fuel even in the middle of the cost of living crisis (tax accounts for approx half the cost of the petrol in your tank), they have no interest in reducing the cost of living long term because they love having control of all that mullah, equals votes you see when they dole bits and bobs out to this and that favoured group.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,622 ✭✭✭maninasia


    It's insanity the way they tax ETFs in this country even though some of the world's major ETFs are domiciled here. And this is definitely related to the topic at hand.



  • Registered Users Posts: 167 ✭✭mode1990


    Joe Stiglitz called it "leprechaun economics " , all I know is that the current interest rates are really squeezing , and to hear they're will be no respite until at least 2025 is borderline insufferable, everytime Lagarde opens her mouth I get poorer !



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,450 ✭✭✭McGiver


    Huge discrepancy between the GDP and the GNI is a primary symptom of tax havens.

    Ireland is a leading tax haven/OFC. No need to be ashamed. There's a consensus on that amongst academics dealing with tax havens.

    End of the story. Let's go for a pint of the black stuff.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,450 ✭✭✭McGiver


    AIC is a good indicator, in fact.

    I'll throw another one here, which also takes into account the distrubution of the income.




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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,450 ✭✭✭McGiver


    Government by definition cannot reduce or increase prices of...anything easily.

    They can increase prices by adding extra taxes or increasing them. Reducing/abolishing taxes might not always work as the middlemen can take the profit and not pass anything to the final prices (how it usually works). It could be done with extra legislation, but the more the government tries controlling the prices the worse it generally gets.

    The government should ensure fair competition, consumer protection, quick resolution of disputes (courts), easy and fast establishing and liquidating companies, order and defence. Not control prices.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,928 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    I didn't suggest that they control prices. I do suggest that they encourage competition, Aldi and Lidl have done a lot for competitive prices, for instance, but some sectors do not have that competition.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,924 ✭✭✭orangerhyme



    This has us below Romania and Lithuania so there's obvious anomalies.

    I don't think it's a good metric. It has us too far off the likes of France and Germany and too close to Spain and Portugal. South Spain is quite poor. We're not that poor either.

    I'd put us on the lower end of the Northern European countries and Scandinavian, but definitely above Eastern and Southern Europe.

    Your graph on disposable income looks pretty accurate also. It might be the best metric I've seen. We're level with France and Finland and just below the traditionally wealthy countries.

    I think if our economy remains relatively stable for next 20 years, we can solidify ourselves as a proper rich western country.

    The crash in 07 really knocked us back on our ass for 10 years. Very hard to plan or invest in anything when you're in a crisis.

    We can now invest properly in infrastructure, education, health, renewable energy, deprived communities etc.

    I think in 20 years we could easily be exporting energy and also maybe 90% energy independent.

    People spending so much on rent and housing isn't good for our economy either. It would be better if they were spending money in city centres and towns.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,928 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    The thing about AIC is that even in good years for Ireland, with pay rises, social welfare increases and more employment, we still never seem to catch up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,148 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    There is massive income inequality in ireland though, which is what most of us ignore when we dismiss stats like AIC.

    Plenty of pensioners live in slum like accomodation (that they do own however) and Ireland still experience plenty of deaths due to fuel poverty.

    In my experience that is not as common here in mainland Europe



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Ireland has generally quite high levels of household saving, which would not be reflected in the AIC stat as I understand it. Basically there is an element of choice around the spending levels.

    Ireland does not have "massive" income inequality by any comparative standard. While it's impossible to capture it all in one metric, we are on the low end of the scale in terms of Gini coefficient (i.e. more equal)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,622 ✭✭✭maninasia


    Irish pensioners are well looked after, folks should try seeing what pensioners get in other countries they'll probably be shocked .

    People on lower earnings can apply for housing subsidies and other supplementary welfare.

    High earners get slaughtered with taxes, can't believe people claim high income inequality with a straight face here .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,622 ✭✭✭maninasia


    Sure the government can reduce prices easily if they want, for instance almost half of fuel prices at the pump are government taxes!

    High fuel prices contribute a lot to inflation in other goods and services.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,787 ✭✭✭✭Geuze




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 771 ✭✭✭techman1


    With the Average Individual Consumption statistics showing Ireland to be the lowest consumers in Europe, how does that tally with our carbon emissions being at the highest levels.

    We have a large agricultural sector which produces alot of food but most of this is exported and consumed outside Ireland. However the carbon counting system loads Ireland with all that carbon. This is an obvious huge flaw in the carbon emissions statistics,

    Now we see Consumption statistics showing that we are actually the lowest consumers and have a lower standard of living simply because we don't spend as much money as our European peers on goods and services



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,450 ✭✭✭McGiver


    Wishful thinking. AIC is a good methodology. It's recalculated to purchasing power parity (price level etc). The high prices here don't play in our favour. Talking about consumption and income. Worth noting is that Ireland has one of the highest levels of personal indebtedness and likely lot of that consumption is driven by debt.

    France has a lot of very very rich people and generally consumption is high in France. Ireland definitely isn't in the Nothern European camp (and will never be due to the policy). It's somewhere between France, Italy and Spain. GErmany or even Denmark/Sweden are very far away.

    Ireland doesn't belong to North or South either, if you want to make that divide. It's closest analogy would be France which belongs in both or neither depending how you looking at it.

    Your idea about "Eastern Europe" is a bit warped. Czechia and Slovenia, if you count them as "Eastern" (they're Central) have a very good standard of living. Poland has made a huge progress in last 10 years and it's catching up fast.

    When it comes to wealth, if you look at median WEALTH and not income, it's a slightly different picture. Ireland is fairly high up, even above Sweden, Spain, Germany, Austria but below Norway, Denmark, France and Italy. Italy is actually wealthier that Ireland, they all accumulate properties, they're not poor at all. But it has two big caveats - property prices and % of property ownership in the country. Both increase the median. And both are very high in Ireland. So who knows.

    List of countries by wealth per adult - Wikipedia



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,773 ✭✭✭cgcsb


    Spain has different spending priorities. Basically a quarter of young Spaniards have no job, those that have a job have rock bottom wages. The unemployment benefits are even less. Ireland is offering a whopping €220 per week to scratch your unmentionables, unemployment is as close to 0 as possible without resorting to forced work and the average salary is around 50k. Ireland is only recently rich so there's a lot of catching up to do on infrastructure sure, but that's better than existing on the 'living' that's on offer in Spain



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,773 ✭✭✭cgcsb


    Banking in Ireland needs to be turned on its head but revolute may well do that. The insurance sector needs new competition also



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,450 ✭✭✭McGiver


    Property standards in large parts of Ireland even in the cities (Cork, Limerick, Galway) are shocking indeed, if you compare it to the continental Europe proper NL, FR, DE etc. Far off from continental "German" solid properties, especially apartments. Large segment of those properties offered here wouldn't be marketable in mainland Europe to be honest.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,450 ✭✭✭McGiver


    Not lowest. Above average, but not in the top league.

    High emissions are caused by few things in Ireland:

    • Too much agriculture centered around ruminiants - lot of methane and nitroous oxide, both very potent GHGs
    • One of the most car-centric in the EU - public transport non-existing and/or abysmal and/or not used
    • One of the lowest apartment % in the EU - leading to higher energy use and emissions
    • Poor energy efficiency standards in most of housing stock - leading to higher energy use and emissions
    • Heat pumps lagging behind most of the EU -leading to higher energy use and emissions




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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,383 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    How are you defining personal indebtedness? In terms of household debt we are pretty much bang in the middle and below all of the Nordics, Switzerland, France.





  • Registered Users Posts: 4,450 ✭✭✭McGiver


    This is a local myth. You should loo at the income taxes elsewhere in the EU. Irish income taxes are low. In the lowest 3 in the EU, in fact, along with Cyprus, Malta (both tax havens and small island micro-states).

    Ireland is a tax haven/OFC and low tax country. That's why the gov here can't do any serious investment because they run a lean budget (comparatively speaking). It's a relatively small state solution. 50%+ of the revenue is from corporation tax due to OFC operations. The remaining overall taxation is quite low.

    The only taxt that is high in Ireland is the DIRT and CGT, that's a joke alright.

    Post edited by McGiver on


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,450 ✭✭✭McGiver


    This one:

    Household debt ratio in Europe 2023 | Statista

    Might have gone down, I think it was closer to 100% before, but still quite high.

    Interesting observation - Italy less debt more wealth than Ireland. In average.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,928 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    If the landscape in Ireland suits growing grass then this is the place to have ruminants. The products produced there are consumed in many places, it is ridiculous to attribute the emissions solely to Ireland.

    People in Norway or Sweden often live in houses also. It isn't entirely a problem, a house has ample space for solar panels and for a ground source heat pump, so could be be more or less energy neutral. Heat pump usage can be increased. The energy efficiency standards of much housing is indeed a disgrace, there should have been strict insulation standards any time after the 1973 oil crisis, but this can be improved.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,787 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    You are correct, in that overall, income taxes are not very high here.

    However, the entry point to the 48.5% rate, at 40k, is really, really low.

    So anybody earning over a modest 40k, faces 48.5% on any overtime, progression, promotions, etc.


    Yes, at the same time, hundreds of thousands of earners pay no income taxes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,787 ✭✭✭✭Geuze




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,773 ✭✭✭cgcsb


    There is no massive income inequality. Ireland ranks highly here, below Scandinavia but still very high



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,924 ✭✭✭orangerhyme


    I can't take any metric seriously that puts us below Romania. There's not an economist in the world that would agree we've a lower standard of living than Romania. So for that reason I ignore AIC. Likewise any GDP or GNI figures I ignore as ours is so distorted.

    Our personal debt isn't that bad. It's more around average. That might be due to mortgages.

    France has a lot of wealth but lots of immigrant population live in poverty. Also lots of rural poverty hence the Yellow Vest protests.

    By "Eastern Europe" I just mean the former communist/Soviet states that recently joined the EU. I know geographically they're central Europe.

    I know Poland is catching up but we've a 30 year head start. Eastern European countries don't have good demographics either with low birth rates and low immigration so I don't think they'll pass us out any time soon.

    If you look at any metric on salary such as median/average gross/net we're amongst the highest in the EU. We're in top 3 for these metrics. I know it's expensive here but that must count for something.

    Italy is 2 different countries really. The north might be slightly wealthier than us but rural and Southern Italy is much poorer. Also their demographics is a ticking bomb. You can buy nice apartments in the center of Genoa for example for €20,000 to 30,000. Old people dying off with no replacement. Likewise Spain and Portugal have poor demographics.

    Germany likewise is two countries. Western Germany is wealthier than us but we're definitely above Eastern Germany.

    What Ireland has is a huge middle class and high earning working class. Granted lots of those are squeezed with cost of living like property and childcare etc.


    I think the two maps above best sum up Irelands standard of living.

    We're at the lower end of northern/Scandinavian European countries but above Eastern and Southern Europe and I think we're only moving in one direction.

    This graph augurs well for the future.

    That's why I think with good policy and investment we can cement ourselves as a proper western Europe wealthy country.

    Post edited by orangerhyme on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,148 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Salary cannot be compared across countries unless you account for relative purchasing power and taxes

    Disposable household income is a better metric than salary, but PP still needs factored in too. Price of just about everything is quite high in ireland.


    ! Just seen your edit with image attached



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,481 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    One of the other problems with that measurement is that it looks at consumption within a State. If there is little travel abroad for holidays (e.g. Romania) it will compare well with a country where there is huge travel abroad for holidays (e.g. Ireland). Similarly, consumption statistics in Ireland are deflated by online purchases from the UK, as well as the cross-border trips to the North.



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