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Storm Debi : Mon 13th Nov 2023

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,092 ✭✭✭aidanodr




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,600 ✭✭✭archfi


    Very tall tree just fell beside me into a bunch of other very tall trees. I can see the base of the trunk where it snapped.

    Dublin 12.

    A thing isn't what it says it is.

    A thing is what it does.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 720 ✭✭✭HazeDoll


    I came back to this thread and combed through it until I found the traditional reference to a moist cephalopod.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 259 ✭✭GHendrix


    The frustrating thing is that a red warning is called and finishes at 9am. For most of the east at least, it seems like the criteria for Red wasn’t met, not even close.

    Then you have schools and crèches making the decision to close all day!

    A few weeks from now we’ll probably have the same weather and a yellow warning and everyone will carry on as normal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,277 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    80,000 properties without power according to RTE, that’s a big storm ….. end of story



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,347 ✭✭✭GhostyMcGhost


    Look up, 3 posts above you

    YOU didn’t experience a red weather event so nobody in the east of the country did?

    What crèches closed for the day? They’re were only closed until 10/11



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,731 ✭✭✭Macy0161


    They said they weren't opening until 10 under the orange warning, before it went red. As someone who had to take time out of work to drop mine to school for 10(ish), I'm happy they weren't waiting for, and then on the bus at 7.30 this morning. Even if it has been a pain.

    Essentially it seems to be that school, creche and transport workers are expected to go out in a red warning to prepare for the rest of the pop to be ready to go as soon as the warning is dropped? And with no consideration for the aftermath - if a school or creche has no power they seem to be expected to open?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27 Stormyhead


    Local creche not opening today. In Sligo. Owner has cited 'dangerous conditions'. A few gale force gusts earlier and a spell of heavy rain. Ridixulous carry on. Facilitated by the media and Met E who have everyone hyped.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 735 ✭✭✭finlma


    From 4am-5am was the windiest I've ever experienced in Galway. There are walls and trees down everywhere and plenty of flooding. It was clearly a red warning.

    ME are using weather modelling to predict the future - it's inherently difficult or next to impossible to get it correct. They are far better erring on the side of caution.

    Just because your little area didn't get the worst of it doesn't mean that warnings weren't merited.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,092 ✭✭✭aidanodr


    Re "This is what Met Éireann has to say about the yellow, orange, and red weather warnings." .. Over at All things MET Eireann thread. EXAMINER Explainer article

    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121362266/#Comment_121362266



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,731 ✭✭✭Macy0161


    Whatever about schools, you're free to take your creche business elsewhere.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,029 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    But there is a bearing.

    People have to respect warnings and advice from those in charge. If they keep looking back, again and again, at shutdowns/red warnings that in retrospect were not warranted then they are going to lose all respect for warnings in the future.

    There are now a lot of examples of Ireland becoming incredibly risk averse and there is likely to be a reaction to that in the coming years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,092 ✭✭✭aidanodr




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 720 ✭✭✭HazeDoll


    Where I live, in a shallow but steep-sided valley, the direction of the wind is a huge factor. I suspect this is also the case for lots of people in urban areas. For me, strong north-westerly winds don't have any real impact whereas a less violent sustained south-westerly will really churn the place up, take slates off the roof and probably take branches down. There are people who live within a few kilometers of my house whose experience might be the complete opposite.

    Luckily I'm a cast iron genius and I understand that the weather forecast is the experts' best guess for the weather in my general area and not their holy ordained prophesy for what will happen in the sky above my roof and my roof alone.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 414 ✭✭RoisinD


    Many of those (over 5000) flagged early on in my small area of North/West Clare were rectified pretty quickly. Many would have not even realised there had been a power cut. Well done the ESB. No waiting days as it used to be.

    I have read one or two references to Debi being intense for those who don't have much experience of storms. Not true. We regularly get the brunt of all the Atlantic throws at us and this was up there. The major difference being Debi didn't hang around. Thankfully, she moved on quickly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,775 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    There will be plenty of firewood for the winter after the storm.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,178 ✭✭✭Peter Flynt


    You're also free to educate your own kids at home.

    No one is forcing you to send them to a school.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,620 ✭✭✭OldRio




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 999 ✭✭✭MrDerp


    Exactly this point. I've had stuff flying around my Cork City garden during an Advisory/Yellow, but during Ophelia: it wasn't as bad in my garden (though I could hear a roar of the wind overhead, nothing was slamming the house), and within 1km of my home several old trees had been ripped from the ground and there was tarmac pulled up etc around them.


    Like politics, all weather is local. I was massively inconvenienced this morning by a school run, all the associated traffic, but I'd rather that any day then get a call to say a branch had landed on my daughter's school transport.



  • Posts: 1,264 ✭✭✭ Miracle Dirty Halogen


    Gerry Murphy of Met Eireann was on Newstalk just now discussing the criteria for warning and the role of weather numerical prediction models in forecasting. Quite informative.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,503 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    Here is a Big Jet TV Storm Debi special from London Heathrow Airport. https://www.youtube.com/live/uh-lrx8mFUE?si=v6kybqPUOrlDHm75



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85 ✭✭Mapaputsi


    Spent the morning here in Oranmore Galway helping neighbours find their bins that were blown 500 meters down the road into hedges. It was as wild as I've ever heard. Took a peek out the window at about 4am and saw one of them autumn door wreaths fly past our house at a ferocious speed.

    Anyone gets caught in the path of that or other debris and they are seriously injured or killed. I'm happy with it being flagged as a red here but understand the frustration further inland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,347 ✭✭✭snowstreams


    Im glad it was a red here in Athenry too. I know the Athenry weather station only recorded 115kmph but that was its station record. So even during all the other previous red storms like Ophelia etc it still didnt reach 115kmph. So maybe it could be said that you need to add 15kmph to Athenrys gusts because it is so sheltered.

    The amount of sea wall damage in Oranmore seems to be unprecedented too but that could be have been due to timing with the high tide.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,064 ✭✭✭_Puma_


    County boundary wind warnings is unworkable for storms (maybe they are more appropriate for rain and flooding)

    ME forecasted the track of this storm and the wind gradients well. I think a Map based warning system is more suitable for wind events like this and let the media figure out how to communicate this themselves. I know I end up looking the model runs rather than listening to the press releases.

    One look at the model output overlayed over the country a few hours before is more useful than all the press releases and and County warnings the press and government releases.

    Looking at it last night it was clear we were getting a direct hit in Galway and it was tracking north of Dublin



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 55 ✭✭plasterman


    Storms cover large areas and counties are small. They're also sparsely populated outside of Dublin. If you catch a few extra people in a red warning it's not a big deal. It would take a very long time to communicate the areas affected.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,570 ✭✭✭✭dsmythy


    'Better safe than sorry' has its cost too. One part of the population will respect the idea while the other part, with each 'just incase' warning, will ignore it when the big one comes and lives will be lost. More over a 10 year period? The same? Or less? I don't know.

    Predict the wind speeds, consider the context and give the appropriate warning for what you consider the most likely scenario. And that's what I presume was done in this storm.

    You can understand the reasoning behind a warning while also realising afterwards it didn't quite pan out that way and learning accordingly from the data the storm has provided in its brief existence.

    A tree could fall over in a yellow wind warning situation but it doesn't mean everything stops and it doesn't mean the warning was incorrect.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    I came in this morning into Dublin on a flight that had to have a couple of goes at the landing. It was the roughest ive ever been on a plane. A lot of people were saying their prayers. Its put me right off flying.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,643 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    One part of the population will respect the idea while the other part, with each 'just incase' warning, will ignore it when the big one comes and lives will be lost.


    To put it bluntly, that will be their own stupid fault.



  • Posts: 1,338 ✭✭✭ Isabelle Quick Sprout


    Everything has a cost if you want to quantify it and storms are a reality of life.

    I find this notion that we should just brush them aside as if we don't live in significantly windy and rainy part of the North Atlantic is a bit ridiculous.

    No forecasting model is likely to ever be able to give you the exact happenings at every Eircode, but there were significant issues caused by that storm this morning. The fact that a tree didn't fall down in your particular street or back garden does not mean that the storm was not significant. It just means that it wasn't significant in that few square meters.

    Compared to most countries, we've relatively few very disruptive weather events, other than floods and the odd storm. We don't have massive freezes very often and we haven't had to deal with searing summer heatwaves and all of the associated chaos they cause - power system overloads, lack of cooling water for power plants, etc nor have we ever had to deal with wildfires, or earthquakes or anything really devastatingly bad.

    We had a slightly delayed rush hour and a day off school for some. It really isn't the end of the world and it's not something we're doing every day of the week.

    We got through months and months of FAR worse disruption in the last few years. This is a blip.

    99% of employers are quite capable of adapting around this stuff. The other 1%, well that's an entirely different conversation and you can be sure they'd be exactly the same types (like my previous boss) who wanted me to work from the A&E!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,520 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Weather station measured a wind gust of 68.5kph in my back garden. Hardly mind blowing but these weather stations don't really read the correct amount. Usually way lower. Babet had 58kph .

    Would be interesting if we get a storm that actually affects the NW what will it read.

    Rainfall up to 128mm for the month. Only 26mm from this so a bit of a non event here really.



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