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Brexit discussion thread XIV (Please read OP before posting)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,326 ✭✭✭yagan


    A carefully controlled democracy with 70% of MPs being Oxbridge alumni, a massive disproportion to the less than 2% of the electorate who attended Oxbridge.

    Edit to add, Cameron's 38% of first preferences giving him a legislative majority is not 50%+1 democracy as we know it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,606 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    The reality is the UK at best getting to realign with the Single Market. This will be in the form of enhanced cooperation.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,735 ✭✭✭eire4


    Just as a quick aside I would argue that the US is indeed not a full democracy. Aside from anything they do not even elect their own president an electoral college does so and has and can return a result that is the opposite to the way the electorate voted. No law can be passed without passing both houses and being signed by the president. Yet the Seante is most certainly not fully democratic when huge population states like California with 40 million residents get the same representation as small states like Wyoming with less then 700,000.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,080 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Firstly, nowhere near 70% of MPs are Oxbridge alumni, it is 19% of the 2019 cohort.

    No legislature is reflective of the socio-economic background and upbringing of the population and there is no particular reason why it should be.

    A party is entitled to field nothing but Oxbridge candidates if they so want, and the electorate can choose whether or not to vote for those people.

    One would expect the proportion of University educated MPs to outstrip the general population and it would be difficult to argue that that is an inherently bad thing.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,190 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    What do you mean, 38% of first preference votes? The UK doesn't use that sort of system.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,640 ✭✭✭rock22


    "Representative Democracy as a name comes from having a representative to act for you in the legislature. It does not actually mean that that legislature must be perfectly representative of the national votes. That is a contortion of the name."

    But commentary on the Copenhagen criteria "Functional democratic governance requires that all citizens of the country should be able to participate, on an equal basis, in the political decision making at every single governing level, from local municipalities up to the highest, national, level." This would surely imply that the parliament must be representative of the electorate, otherwise it could not meet the criteria highlighted



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,327 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    No, all that means is that all citizens should have the possibility to VOTE on who's being elected; it is then up to said citizens to vote for a suitable candidate to represent them. If everyone decided to vote in Farage style representation the fact they where represented equally by the fact they all had an equal vote and possibility to vote (i.e. none of the southern USA style of getting a voting pass from one office open 1h a month in the middle of nowhere). There is no requirement that those voted in are somehow then going to represent everyone in every question which is what you're implying but rather they can't have a law saying votes north of Newcastle only counts as 0.5 votes because Scots can't be trusted (but if you can show you're really a brit then it counts as 1 vote).



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,080 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Everyone has an equal vote in the UK and the constituencies are fairly similarly sized. Everyone can participate on an equal basis. The fact there are "safe" seats is a function of freely chosen voting patterns.

    While it would take more contortion, there is nothing stopping a party that polls at 10% in every single constituency in Ireland failing to get a single seat.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,800 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    In Ireland, it is not right to take first preference votes as 'votes' because in a four seater (20% quota) got 35 % of first preference but all to candidate A, with zero going to candidate B, but after the surplus was distributed, and then candidate B gets 15% votes transferred. Now if A and B are in different parties, the B could be elected on zero first preference votes.

    Our system is not like the UK system. They vote FOR a candidate. Here, we tend to vote AGAINST candidates by not giving them a preference.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,539 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    We're at risk of spinning off into a debate about the merits and demerits of competing electoral systems. A fascinating discussion, no doubt, but one for a different thread.

    The truth is that their are almost always trade-offs involved here. Perfect proportionality is just one criterion against which we can measure an electoral system, and it's not obvious that that should be the sole, or even the primary, criterion of democratic legitimacy. For one thing, if it's achieved by paying attention to the number of seats each party has, that often comes at the expense of allowing the voters to choose which person will represent them. Thus the interests of parties may be given more attention than the interests of voters; there's an obvious problem of democratic legitimacy there. For another, there's a widespread view that an excessively proportional parliament can produce paralysis or instability; that's often cited as one of the reasons for the failure of the Weimar constitution in Germany, and it's the reason why Germany today does not give proportional representation to the candidates of a party that secures less than 5% of the national vote. Then you have countries with directly-elected officials (like the President of the French Republic); proportionality is obviously impossible there, where only one candidate can win and all the others must lose.

    Etc, etc. The point is, there is no absolute answer as to the optimal electoral system. Among the countries that are generally accepted to be democracies, some of them must have electoral system that are seen as less democratic. Why should "some" not include the UK and the US? Having an electoral system which is less democratic than Ireland's, however, does not mean that those countries are not democracies.

    The other point is that the EU is absolutely not going to set itself up as the arbiter of electoral systems, and start dictating to its members and candidates which electoral systems they must adopt in their domestic institutions. And we are especially not going to do that in a way that rules out electoral systems that, for 50 years, we have been perfectly happy to accept.

    Too many people in the UK — mostly remainers — look to the EU to cure the weaknesses in the UK's political culture. It can't and won't happen, and the view that it might is a delusion that we in the EU should not encourage. The UK has to sort this out for itself.

    Post edited by Peregrinus on


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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,080 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I'm fully aware how the system works. Nonetheless someone attaining 10% of first preference votes could, theoretically, achieve zero seats and never have their votes distributed to their second preference. Our system is inherently not as proportional as a direct list system (and indeed, there are a number of political scientists who don't think it should be properly described as PR).

    Equally national list systems often have thresholds below which people are afforded no representation.

    Perfectly proportional representation is neither achievable nor necessarily desirable and I have no idea why it should be a goal of the EU to enforce it. Democracy in the UK is as free and fair as anywhere else.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,640 ✭✭✭rock22


    @Peregrinus "We're at risk of spinning off into a debate about the merits and demerits of competing electoral systems. A fascinating discussion, no doubt, but one for a different thread."

    Agree, and I have to hold my hand up for my part in perhaps leading off-topic.

    However, my point wasn't necessarily that the EU would find fault with some aspects of the UK political and legislative framework ( although I gave a few examples and could add more, for instance the necessity of swearing an allegiance to a monarch disbars some republicans from sitting in parliament), where , if they were so minded, the Eu could find fault . But rather, that the EU had to examine the democratic and legislative framework of the applicant country , in this case the UK. and it couldn't do so in 10 seconds as was suggested by one poster.

    Here are two extracts from two different application negotiations

    2.1.1 Democracy

    In xxx, polarisation,.. The proper functioning of xxx  institutions has been affected by political volatility, government instability and tensions 

    within the ruling majorities, stalling decision-making processes and reform implementation.


    2.1.1 Democracy

    In February 2022, a set of new election laws was adopted, including the framework Law on election of Members of Parliament, Law on election of President, Law on local elections, Law on financing of political activities, and the amended


    So for an applicant ( or candidate kip this process as EU prefer) country the EU has an obligation to make that assessment and recommend and insist on changes as it sees fit. , as hopefully the two extracts above, from two different countries, indicate.

    It is worth recognising that new applicant countries in many way face tougher examination then did earlier member countries.

    Finally, as regards any single country holding up accession talks, Bulgaria held up all accession talks for Montenegro for over two years.( it could have been more, I cannot remember now). So Greece could hold up UK membership talks, if it so decided. Whether it would do so is probably down to whether it feels that might facilitate, or not, a deal on the Parthenon marbles.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,478 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    Let's not ignore that any re-applicant UK will be as a net contributor, and a sizeable one at that, despite whatever ongoing GDP drops it is experiencing.

    That's the sort of thing which focuses minds - the other net contributors will welcome them for this reason, and will likely back-channel to the beneficiary countries that it wouldn't be clever to hold it up for spurious local reasons. Whereas holding up Montenegro or Macedonia doesn't really annoy the rest of the EU.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,186 ✭✭✭✭Hotblack Desiato


    funny how parties can drastically discriminate in terms of background of candidates, but not gender.

    © 1982 Sinclair Research Ltd



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,037 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    For sure, but the system is heavily loaded in favour of there only ever being two dominant parties in the country (or three at the very most, as happened in 2010).

    Modern politics in the West has become totally fragmented, but the UK system has failed to move with the times and is operating as if this is still 1918.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,080 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I don't think it is particularly comparable to discriminate on qualifications and education and to discriminate on gender.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,041 ✭✭✭Christy42


    I would say the opposite. Here you vote for your favourite candidate and use the lower preferences to keep someone you dislike out of office. However the main point is you can vote for a no chance candidate without effectively throwing your vote away.


    In the UK system you end up voting for the candidate with the best chance to beat the person you don't want to win as opposed to voting for who you want as that may be throwing a vote away.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,539 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    The irony is that they can and do discriminate on the grounds of gender - both Labour and the Liberal Democrats have rules under which (I think) half of all "winnable seats" are subject to a requirement to have all-woman shortlists for candidate selection, mean that a man cannot be selected as the Labour (or LD) candidate in that seat.

    This is of course a form of affirmative action. The object is to increase the representation of women in politics and the policy has been very successful in doing that — 51% of Labour MPs, and 64% of Liberal Democrat MPs, are women. But it clearly does involve discrimination the ground of sex.

    (I've read that Labour will not be using all-woman shortlists at the next election because, now that women are not under-represented in the cohort of Labour MPs, there are questions about the legality of a discriminatory policy of affirmative action. If that's correct, presumably the Lib Dems are facing the same issue.)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,714 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Gender quotas are only for show anyway. Nothing I have seen suggests that being a woman makes you a pro woman's rights voter. What exactly did Thatcher, May or Lettuce do for women's rights.

    I would trust a young male Labour MP to be pro women's rights before I would trust an old female Tory.

    If there is one gender quota that I think would truely enact change its making a certain number of MPs be under a certain age.



  • Registered Users Posts: 23,801 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    It baffles me why some are so obsessed with the UK going back in to the EU. You honestly believe a country that has regained it's independence is voluntarily going to give it up again?

    I don't see that ever happening.

    It's about more than just economics.

    In any case they were never happy in the EU.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,080 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Regained it's independence 🙄

    They just follow rules they have no say over now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,539 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Seriously, Kermit, Ireland, of all countries, know the difference between (a) not being independent, and (b) being a Member State of the European Union. If you have to conflate the two on a discussion board where literally everybody will spot how bogus that is, it just underlines the complete intellectual bankruptcy of the Brexit project.



  • Registered Users Posts: 23,801 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    We are not independent. We have no control over our own monetary policy, we have no control of migration and we are subject to EU rules in all walks of life.

    Was the War of Independence for this? Subservience to Brussels. Is that what they were thinking? Is that why all those people died?

    I believe Brussels declared support for Israel.

    Interesting. Did Ireland declare support for Israel?

    Oh yeah we are merely a region with a governor and therefore no one cares.

    The EU speaks for us on foreign policy. I don't recall ANY Irish person voting for that.

    This is what happens when you surrender your independence.

    Stop with the lies. Stop pretending to yourself that somehow this country is still independent.

    It is not and the world knows it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,539 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Literally on line 1 you're talking nonsense. We have more control over monetary policy today than we had before we joined the EU, when we had none at all. Monetary policy was determined by the UK, with no input from us.

    Ditto with migration. Before we joined the EU, our migration policy was a mirror of the UK's, which was necessary to sustain the common travel area. The UK's migration policy was determined with zero input from us.

    Your analysis of Ireland's pre-EU situation treats us as having a degree of control over our affairs that anyone with even a nodding acquaintance with modern Irish history knows simply did not exist. By contrast, your analysis of our current situation treats us as having no participation in EU decisions, no agency in Brussels, and no influence. You present "Brussels" as imposing things on us without bothering to enquire what role we played in the Brussels decision, because you cannot admit that we play any role at all in EU decisions. Again, this ignores easily observable reality.

    Just look at the issue of partition. For fifty years, while we were independent but not in the EU, partition was one of Ireland's major policy focuses, and the UK was able to — and did — completely ignore our wishes and interests in a matter of existential significance to us. Fifty years of Irish government pressure and campaigning about partition secured precisely nothing. But when the issue became live in the context of Brexit, the UK was not able to do this. Because we acted in conjunction with fellow-Member States, the UK could not ignore us any more — which came as something of a shock to a lot of backward-looking Brexiters. The whole course of Brexit was — and still is — shaped by Ireland's concerns about the Irish border; something that would have been unthinkable in the days when we were independent out side the EU. What this shows is that EU membership hasn't diminished our control over our affairs; it has enhanced it.

    Irish people who talk like you are the mirror of the madder fringe of UK brexiters. The difference is that the Brexiters hark back to a degree of imperial control and world influence that the UK did once have. The Irish "independence" that you look back to never existed, and never could exist.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Literally on line 1 you're talking nonsense. We have more control over monetary policy today than we had before we joined the EU, when we had none at all. Monetary policy was determined by the UK, with no input from us.

    Ditto with migration. Before we joined the EU, our migration policy was a mirror of the UK's, which was necessary to sustain the common travel area. The UK's migration policy was determined with zero input from us.

    These two paragraphs should be stapled to the top of the thread to remind anyone peddling this idea of some prior, golden period of Irish "independence" with Sons of Roisin twaddle, either too selective or young to remember we had ourselves pegged to the UK at every facet of our economy - not without reason the UK and Ireland EU entry was a double job.

    Christ I remember as someone growing up on the border, all those "we take pounds" signs as our respective currencies hovered around each other. Or indeed how our own frequently fell behind.

    All it serves to show is an individualistic mindset that if you're not "in control" you must be subservient, there's no middleground and there's no such thing as partnership - as it was with British Eurosceptic thinking. Like marriages and relationships can't ever be that of partners or equals all rowing together: someone has to be in charge (this is usually when the tropes about France and Germany calling the shots comes up)



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,190 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Worth pointing out that there are a litany of links between Ireland First, the Irexit Freedom Party and the National party with various British white supremacist and fascist organisations such as Britain First. So-called Nationalists are ultimately looking to become a British vassal state or even have Ireland be wholly re-annexed by the UK. That's what the agenda ultimately is here. They're like the DUP but somehow even worse.

    The standard playbook is all here: dodgy foreign money, links to organisations they'd prefer to keep quiet, gaslighting and hard right racist and misogynistic nonsense. Twentieth century Irish Nationalists fought for freedom and independence, twenty-first century Irish Nationalists fight for oppression, money and foreign interests. They're quite literally traitors.

    A lot of the links hinge around a man called Jim Dowson. He's the man behind the scenes of the UK's far right. Here's Rowan Croft (Gran Torino), Herman Kelly & Dowson together:

    In addition, Kelly used to work for one Nigel Farage:

    Check the addresses. Notice anything?

    This is the goal of so-called "nationalists" like Kermit here. Subjugation or even the extinction of their own country. Irish nationalists and Irish fascists are literal traitors.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,249 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Croft was a British soldier also.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,707 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    As usual with wannabee fascist dictators, the foot soldiers shouting in the streets will be the first sacrificed should their fascist dreams come true. Nazis eat their own.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,359 ✭✭✭peter kern


    The lack of European unity on a policy response to the Hamas-Israel conflict is part of a wider issue related to the EU’s Common Foreign and Security Policy. Brussels has struggled with ensuring that common positions (the EU’s Common Foreign and Security Policy requires approval by unanimity)


    i know the facts dont interest you, and i agree given that there is no agreement what van der layen said was not correct. but this was not eu position. and countries such as spain belgium and ireland made that very clear.

    i would say the only part the eu speaks with one voice is that it still wants the 2 state solution.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,640 ✭✭✭rock22


    We have all got it completely wrong apparently. The UK economy is doing much better post Brexit than the EU and Brexit has saved the UK from nasty nationalism "the UK has not witnessed the rise of the nasty nationalism seen across the Channel."


    Who knew Brexit was such as success



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