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"average Dublin house prices should fall to ‘the €300,000 mark" according to Many Lou McD.

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 997 ✭✭✭iColdFusion


    SF will just borrow massively to buy up every single available unit for social housing keeping the house builders booming, the open market price and what people can afford doesn't matter if the government buys them all to give away like candy for votes to keep them in power.

    All the educated hard working people with decent salaries will be screwed over as there will no houses for them and they'll have to pay for it all but SF know their base and their base have the time to make lots of kids, its genius until we hit another recession.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,265 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Another possibility would be to give An Bord Pleanala more resources so that appeals don't get held up for long periods. If you remember there was a bogus "NGO" that made spurious objections on environmental grounds which they would withdraw if they were paid a lucrative "consultancy" fee. The idea was to object just enough to have the application sent to An Bord Pleanala where it would then languish. A more efficient appeals process would take away the incentive for these groups to operate in this way. But again, there are probably too many who support the current mainstream parties who would lose out if new developments were easier to get going.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    Not all, sorry mistaken phrase, but a lot....

    So the statement about making jam is nonsense. If it was so easy more LL would be joining and not leaving.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,265 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    The only positive aspect is that at least this money will go into the creation of new units through, as you point out, keeping builders busy. I would prefer to see obstacles removed and the encouragement of inward investment so it is not just the State carrying the can but that will not happen under Sinn Fein or the current parties.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    No the units will be already created, They will just buy up for social housing and block people who want to buy their own house from the market.

    You keep saying you want inward investment and stop obstacles but so far have refused to confirm what you mean, any chance?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,265 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    However it is extra state money going towards building new housing over and above what private buyers can afford. So it will have a stimulating effect on building just like if the State were to build directly or contract a builder to build an estate of houses. If you are against social housing you wont like it, true, but that does not detract from fact that public money is directed towards builders building housing.

    By inward investment I mean regulated public-private partnerships where outside money, not merely state money is used to build housing with the outside party getting an agreed percentage of rents over a number of years. Like you might have in say, building a bridge, for example.

    The idea here is to get large numbers of housing units built relatively quickly while keeping cost to the tax-payer fairly low.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    So you want the state to price people out of the market?

    Nobody is against social housing, but you can't just buy up all stock for social housing and stop the people who are working from buying houses.

    The inward investment you are talking about is trying to turn construction companies into rental companies? why would a construction company take all the up front cost for houses and then not have the ability to sell them? they have to then pay a large loan out of years on the hope that it will be rented?

    Ireland is currently building a large number of houses, the reason more or not been built are multiple but the main one is we don't have the construction staff



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    You said LL are making jam, if it was such easy money why don't they stay in the market?

    So you now agree LL are not making jam at all? or some of the reason you gave yourself.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,600 ✭✭✭DataDude


    To be fair, Ireland has a tonne of landlords from the 2000s who are, to be kind, ‘unsophisticated’ and had no business ever being landlords.

    Im related to several of them and their lack of understanding of the financials is quite astounding. They don’t realise that only the interest component of their mortgage is an actual input cost. They didn’t mentally come to terms with the fact they lost hundreds of thousands from 07-12 and are just relieved to sell at no loss now (meaning they gained hundreds of thousands in last decade but won’t acknowledge).

    Over last 10 years landlords have had double digit capital appreciation almost every year. Record rent growth with double digit yields. Finance rates dropping to historically low levels (until last year).

    If you think you haven’t made an absolute fortune as a landlord in the last decade you are either

    A) horrendously incompetent

    or more likely

    B) Ignorant to your true underlying profit & loss and therefore not aware you’ve been making a small fortune for years but just clawing back from a catastrophic loss which occurred 17 years ago.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    A LL from the Tiger would probably have a 20-30 year mortgage at anything between 1-3k per month repayments.

    So they would need 2-6k per month rent just to cover the mortgage. That's before a profit.

    Unless you have properties without a mortgage then that's why people have left the market, along with the increasing number of tenants who think everyone owes them a living it's easier to sell up and move on.

    The days of the Celtic Tiger the laws made it easier to be a LL, not for the last few years when the laws changed as demanded by the tenant, pushing all the risk onto the LL who have next to no comeback if the tenant doesn't pay rent/wreck the place etc

    I'm not a LL by the way but I don't listen to the crying of the rental market, they demanded the changes and then when they got implemented cried out the outcome



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,341 ✭✭✭Blut2


    Just covering the mortgage, and/or even making a loss of a few hundred euro a month on the mortgage, still leaves you in massive profit long term as a landlord. Because at the end of your mortgage you're left with an asset worth hundreds of thousands of euro.

    The idea that being a landlord has to be cash flow positive month to month is something believed only by those who are financially incompetent or being deliberately deceptive.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,600 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Agreed LL from Celtic tiger have not, over the period of their investment, made a fortune. But they leveraged up to the max and bought an asset in one of the biggest price bubbles of all time. Of course they didn’t make money. It’s like buying tech stocks just before the dot com bubble and saying that means tech stocks are a bad investment.

    But for anyone other than those who bought at the very peak they’ve had almost the perfect decade of massive capital appreciation, massive rental growth, almost 0 vacancy rates, falling finance costs. If they didn’t make money in those conditions then what on earth were they hoping for when they bought? Conditions couldn’t have be more perfect.

    As an aside based on your post, unless your mortgage is interest only, ‘covering the mortgage’ is making a profit. Paying down capital = profit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 362 ✭✭RobbieV




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,265 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    I think you are wrong in the same way that Sinn Fein is wrong in a fundamental sense. You are not taking into account that new units built and occupied as social housing take away pressure on the private market. The people given social homes are no longer competing in the private market for houses and flats and therefore the overall price comes down there too.

    Superficially, you might think you have the opposite view but that is not the case. They object to large upscale private developments based on the same misunderstanding that you have but operating at a different end of the market. They fail to realize that these private developments, even though they don't target the poor, remove pressure at the lower end as the better off are no longer competing with the less well off for the limited available housing.

    It is the same basic lack of understanding in both cases.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,341 ✭✭✭Blut2


    Where did I say I wasn't one?

    I am one, thats how I know exactly how the financials work.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 362 ✭✭RobbieV


    Ah fair enough. I thought you might have forgotten about half going to revenue and there are other costs on top again such as maintenance etc

    Glad you are cleaning up a fortune



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    This is all based on tenants paying rent/no damage to property etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    So you want to tell people who have worked and saved for years that it's ok they can not buy a house but rent one?

    Any government that plans to block everyone buying a house to give social housing to others will be rightly thrown out very very quickly.

    People spend years in school/college/work etc to get the chance to buy a house and you want to tell them no, you can rent. But all these people sitting on social welfare will be given a free one?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,341 ✭✭✭Blut2


    The maintenance costs are a tiny % of overall income on any rental property in the current Irish rental market.

    The half going to revenue only applies if you're already in the top income bracket, so doing reasonably well for yourself income wise regardless of any rental income. Plenty of the much talked about small scale Irish landlords are retired, or just have no other employment income, and so pay far less in tax.

    But even getting half of rental income as net income in the current market is a fantastic long term investment for anyone with a mortgage gotten any time from 2009-2022. You're still going to make hundreds of thousands of euro of profit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 362 ✭✭RobbieV


    Well the average salary is 45k and the top rate kicks in at 40k.

    Plenty are but plenty are not.

    I thought we were discussing your own personal situation?

    Half net? You forgot about the mortgage repayment too

    And many people who are retired have a pension too which is treated as income and taxed accordingly.

    Are you really a landlord? You are light on facts and knowledge



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,265 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Again you are making the same mistake if you don't mind me saying so. Building extra units even if they are for rent, will still have the effect of lowering overall prices elsewhere as there are now fewer people competing for those units available for purchase.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,341 ✭✭✭Blut2


    The top PAYE band starts at €42,000, an income which as of 2021 would put one in the 65th percentile for income in Ireland. Even allowing for across the board income increases since then you're looking at circa 40% of the population earning too little to be in that bracket. So yes, including plenty of small scale landlords.

    That aside, why should a landlord in the top income bracket's rental income be taxed any different than someone in the top income bracket who takes on a second job and receives an income from that? Or someone who invests in stocks and then pays the same tax on dividend income? They're all additional sources of income and treated as such.

    You assumed I wasn't a landlord so I told you I am one. I'm not sure how much more personal situation discussion you need/want.

    The mortgage payment is investment in the capital asset. Again, positive monthly cash flow is not a requirement for a massive positive investment return in the Irish property market given the way its developed over past 40 years (and all signs show it will continue to). Which anyone whos actually done the maths on being a landlod could tell you.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 362 ✭✭RobbieV


    I'm not saying they shouldn't be taxed the same as any other income. And they are!

    What are you complaining about? Genuine question.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    We are already at max output. Unless we hire more construction staff from other countries

    So the number of houses are not going to increase if you give them all to social welfare.

    What you are doing is making a market which it is of more benefit to sit on unemployment than it is to work for a living. People who want to buy a house don't want to be told all their hard work is useless because they are blocked from buying a house, but don't mind that the rent might decrease.

    Im not making any mistake. I work for a living and expect the opportunity like everyone else to buy a house. I don't want to get told I can't because someone who can't be bothered to work is been handed a free house. This is the sort of ridiculous idea I would see from Sinn Fein to be honest

    Plus from an MNC point of view, why would you put more jobs into Ireland when your staff can't buy houses?

    ANyone coming out of school, sure why do I need to go to college or get a profession, I can sit at home and the government will hand me a free house while those saps out working can only rent.

    Sorry but it's the most ridiculous idea I have seen on any thread, hence why I think it's a Sinn Fein one



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭Clo-Clo


    Random person on internet who knows nothing about been a LL claims to be a LL to win a discussion point. I think you can work it out



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 362 ✭✭RobbieV




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,317 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    This isnt true as they are different markets.

    People qualifying for social housing are not competing with private renters, at least not in Dublin.

    Because they cant afford private rents. Thats why they are in social housing.

    The practice by councils of renting or buying additional new builds, on top of the part 5 allocated to them in new developments, props up the rental prices in the privare market, because they are removing stock from the private market.

    Exsmple, a recently completed complex in Blackrock which is high end, around 80 apartments.

    if 20% go for social housing (standard practice under part 5 regs now), there are still 64 new apartments on the private market in Blackrock.

    Lets say 2 beds are renting privately for 2,300PM.

    Perhaps the additional 64 homes in the area pulls that price down to 2,200PM, as availability has increased.

    However, DLRCC actually paid the developer to rent ALL 80 apartments for social.

    Meaning the only impact on the private rent value in the locality is upwards, as there is zero increase in availability for private rentals in the area.

    Prices for private rental may well now rise to 2,400PM.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,341 ✭✭✭Blut2


    I'm not complaining about anything. My first post was in direct response to Clo-Clo's post on the last page which showed no awareness of the investment financials of actually being a landlord, to correct them on the realities. This one: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121588441/#Comment_121588441

    Suggesting that a landlord's rental income needs to cover the mortgage before they make a profit is just completely incorrect, as any landlord whos at all aware of their own finances could tell you.

    I am sorry that this seems to have triggered you so for some reason though.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 362 ✭✭RobbieV


    I'm a landlord too btw.

    We all should be as according to some it's money for jam.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,341 ✭✭✭Blut2


    Ireland-housing-crash-2_MCT-7006_EN.jpg

    Irish housing is an asset that has well over doubled in value on average over the last decade. Even if you had the property fully idle, with zero rental income over the time period, thats an absolutely phenomenal return on investment.

    Adding in tens (or hundreds, if someone has had a property for a decade) of thousands of euro of rental income on top just makes it even more profitable.

    So yes, if you're in any way competent then being a landlord in Ireland is very easy money.



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