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Storm Isha - Sunday 21/Monday 22 January 2024

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 954 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (410ft asl)


    The track of this storm is pretty much nailed on in the GFS. Almost anywhere could experience potentially severe wind gusts. Spot flooding also will occur.

    www.x.com/wolfeeire



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 700 ✭✭✭bazlers


    "Tight hi" as they say in wee Donegal




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 515 ✭✭✭tiegan


    Same, I judge every storm by Darwin's standards, hoping none of them come close to the sheer power and noise of Darwin!! Think you are also in Tipp?



  • Registered Users Posts: 430 ✭✭Donegal Ken


    Donegal will definitely be going into a red warning tomorrow morning once that meeting with the The (NDFEM) happens.

    Based on the latest Met Eireann Ensemble Cork, Kerry, Clare, Limerick, Galway, Mayo, Sligo & Leitrim could also be added to a red warning . I think we are going to see further upgrades by tomorrow morning as this is still a developing situation.

    This will be the strongest storm of the season yet.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 700 ✭✭✭bazlers


    Im going to throw this this out there.. potentially the worst since Darwin but more country wide.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 273 ✭✭ascophyllum


    Re. The club finals, the people of St Brigids have a fairly straightforward journey down the motorway to Athlone, then it's just a few minutes from there. The people of Glen have a less straightforward route and they will be in the middle of the top third of Northern Ireland if you can picture that geographically at 7-8pm, not a great time to be travelling on the smaller tree-lined roads up there right as the worse winds pass through.

    Not to mention met are predicting increasing gusts to 100km in Dublin during the game. I'd probably opt to play into the Hill in the 2nd half if I won the cointoss!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,826 ✭✭✭Comhrá


    Darwin was the only storm I ever experienced in Ireland where I genuinely felt frightened, and I was in my own house in a suburb of Limerick City.

    At the storm's height, the entire roof of the house, a two-story regular semi-detached, was creaking and groaning like a living creature. There was no damage but I never heard that sound before or since, and I don't ever want to.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,807 ✭✭✭squonk


    Wasnt the damage from Darwin caused by a sting jet though? Not the main storm as such? I may be wrong though



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 380 ✭✭Bicyclette


    Another suburban Limerick resident and it was scary AF. I have a downstairs loo that's like a box inside my house - block walls, none of which touch any outside walls and it doesn't have any windows. I hid in there with the dog. There were huge trees knocked near me. It was a miracle nobody was killed or badly hurt.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 700 ✭✭✭bazlers




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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,137 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Mod Note: Off topic posts were deleted clogging up the thread. please refer to the Mod instruction on the opening post.

    -------------------------------------------------------


    Mod Note: This thread could get busy towards the weekend if a Storm materializes so your cooperation is greatly appreciated to please stay on topic, use appropriate threads and please adhere to the forum charter. Off topic posts cant be moved so will need to be deleted. Everybody is entitled and welcome to post on the topic. This is a thread for weather enthusiasts to discuss ,speculate and give opinion on the upcoming windy weather and post observations and relevant data in a civil and friendly manner.


    ---------------------------------------------------------------------



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,940 ✭✭✭adocholiday


    The 18z AROME showing some very strong gusts going right across the country. Very quick system by all accounts, 5pm to 12am for most really.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,718 ✭✭✭Gusser09


    Seems to have cleared in NE Kildare for the moment.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,189 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Same here in North Cork. There was an hour around lunch time that I have never seen before or since.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,710 ✭✭✭Eibhir


    This storm feels like it will be big enough hit for inland areas that aren't as used to 100km + gusts.

    Sting jet concerns too.

    I'd say Grace's cats are going mad🙂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 954 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (410ft asl)


    Here she blows


    www.x.com/wolfeeire



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,159 ✭✭✭.Donegal.


    Siobhán hinted at red being issued in the far NW tomorrow.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,545 ✭✭✭irishgeo


    Its coming into view on Sat24

    Cloud radar - Live satellite images | SAT24



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,137 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Wow the GFS is certainly an upgrade along with the AROME. This is the real deal, a true storm with very strong stormy winds crossing the country tomorrow night, starting to see gusts of 120km/h show up well inland, the AROME is a surprise, big jump in wind speeds. This has only been going one way and that is up.

    Highlighted some areas below where it looks like straying into Red warning territory.













  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 954 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (410ft asl)


    The UKV shows wind gusts exceeding 140kmh in western counties with the risk of damaging gusts later on Sunday night further inland. The most remarkable aspect of Storm Isha is the breadth and scale of its wind field.


    www.x.com/wolfeeire



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,771 ✭✭✭dmc17


    Same as that. I was due to drive from west Clare into Limerick that afternoon for a meeting with my dissertation supervisor when a red warning was issued. I mailed them in the morning explaining that it probably wasn't the best idea to drive in. I stood outside around midday and it was so calm you could have lit a match and it wouldn't have flickered. I was feeling like a right eejit until about an hour later when the windows in the house were flexing in the wind 😳



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,189 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    We really need an MT evening update to confirm this is a major weather event tomorrow!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,222 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    11pm TAF.s

    Knock max gust 55 knots between 5pm-7pm

    Shannon 55 knots between 4pm-6pm

    Dublin 52 knots between 2pm-10pm

    Cork 52 knots between 11am-8pm

    Belfast 53 knots between 6pm-9pm



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,137 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    GFS and APERGE showing a similar structure to the Storm now and showing similar wind speeds.








  • Registered Users Posts: 253 ✭✭littlema


    I posted at the beginning of this thread of the possibility of it being a named storm...... Isha. Docarch replied saying it had an ominous sound to its name and I think he may be right. We're 17km from the Sligo coast up on a ridge and I think this is going to be bad. 😣



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    And with that jetstream being so strong flights from the states are going 1,200km/h compared to 750km/h flying against it



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,767 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    That's interesting, I didn't know that's how it works! Cool...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,520 ✭✭✭An Ri rua


    No gales in the Midlands. As yet. That was a squall line. And all calm now.

    No doubt whatsoever that there wil be gales here late Sunday night however.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,767 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    130 kph gusts potentially in Cork City @Meteorite58? 😯



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    Ye go on flight radar and you'll notice it some flights 2 hours ahead of schedule if they follow the jet 😉



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,189 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Looks very gusty right up the coast from west cork to east cork.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,767 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Wow... I guess that's why they call it the jet stream!



  • Registered Users Posts: 409 ✭✭holliehobbie


    It’s not thunder that’s the going to be a problem🤣



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,137 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    According to GFS near the coasts, wetterzentral only shows every 6hrs, gets windier after this.

    If ECM comes out not upgraded then there is something amiss perhaps but I cant tell you the last time I saw the GFS overdo it especially so close to the off.

    https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=20&model=gfs&var=19&time=6&run=18&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=6








  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,771 ✭✭✭dmc17


    If it brings rain we'll rename it Ishka (Uisce) 😬



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  • Registered Users Posts: 52 ✭✭Tom Thumbless


    My young one is down to do her driving test on Monday morning. Anyone have any idea if that will go ahead



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,767 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Could be bad for Britain too. Such a huge wind field, with inland gusts.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,520 ✭✭✭An Ri rua




  • Registered Users Posts: 427 ✭✭Robwindstorm


    It's looking like the powerful storms of the 80s and 90s. There is still uncertainty over the shape of the center looking at some of the charts .There's an elongation downwards over the north of us that causes an extra squeeze in the isobars and so increases predicted windspeeds. However,this might not occur as the models are showing now and maybe a twin center may develop instead and may actually space the isobars to our north. Very interesting to see the structure in the morning. Do not risk travelling in this storm tomorrow folks, there's alot of decaying roadside Ash trees and squally winds will up the ante anywhere at any time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 870 ✭✭✭SnowyMuckish


    How would you rate/compare the pre storm charts for Isha to the charts before our other biggest storms in the past?would you say they’re looking as severe?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 427 ✭✭Robwindstorm


    Maybe not as severe as similar storms in Feb 88 and Dec 98 but only time will tell and the fact remains that despite these super computers they still can't accurately predict a storms behaviour until just hours before it hits.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,137 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ECM 18Z out and unchanged really, showing gusts of 120km/h along the coasts, gusting 100 to 110 inland.

    The W and NW looks strong all right with 120 km/h gusts inland a bit and 130 km/h along the NW coasts. Looks like it is taking a track a bit further off shore ??

    Would tally more with the TAF's that Oscar Bravo posted.

    ECM showing a scatter of thunderstorms tomorrow from the afternoon in the W crossing the country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭Dank Janniels


    Strange seeing East and West Galway the same shade of colour in the charts. That grey smudge from the City up to North Roscommon is a cause of concern if put mildly!




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,107 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    That dark streak from louisburgh through westport and inland is concerning.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,593 ✭✭✭davehey79


    What does grey signify for the unlearned ?



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,018 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Looks like we'll get the full brunt of Isha here in south Wexford, can't wait



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,677 ✭✭✭Chong


    Living in North County Dublin, based on charts how should I fair out and when ? Sometime around 7pm ish tomorrow?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,241 ✭✭✭sdanseo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,091 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    Not just the strongest storm of the season, it is likely to be one of the strongest storms in recent times. Some areas inland could see gusts in excess of 80 mph



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 954 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (410ft asl)


    The scale and breadth of the wind field associated with Storm Isha is what makes it different to the storms that have preceded it this winter season. Damaging gusts of 120+ are relatively rare away from exposed coastal locations, but the latest Arome suggests the possibility of this. Images show max gusts up to 11pm.

    Another feature of Storm Isha is the warm airmass it introduces over Ireland and Britain. This is the max temp for 10pm Sunday 🥵


    www.x.com/wolfeeire



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